Will impeachment proceedings guarantee a 2020 win for president Trump?

further outrageous behavior by the Democrats might just spawn a movement to outlaw the Democratic Party in America.

What happened to the party of JFK?

What happened to the party of Barry Goldwater and Ronald Reagan?

Trump is going to be reelected no matter what the Democrats do.

However, further outrageous behavior by the Democrats might just spawn a movement to outlaw the Democratic Party in America.

I'll never understand why people are embarrassed to be wrong. If I'd been wrong I'd simply shrug and post "I guess I was wrong this time."

Perhaps I'd also do a post-mortem of my prediction to try to see where I went wrong, but otherwise I'd move on pretty quickly.

In fact, since my prediction was (and is) that we're at the start of 20 years of Republican rule, there is still plenty of opportunity for me to be wrong. But if my 20 year prediction does turn out to be wrong, no one should be surprised if my only reaction is to shrug and maybe do a post-mortem of my prediction.

Trump is going to be reelected no matter what the Democrats do.

However, further outrageous behavior by the Democrats might just spawn a movement to outlaw the Democratic Party in America.

In my accounting, your actual "track record" of admitting when you are wrong is not very good.

You are constantly insisting that your talking points, and ill-defined political opinions are "facts".

Then you discount actual facts (i.e. data that is objective and testable) when they challenge your opinions.

We will see about this one. Your claim to be 100% certain is a little silly.

However certainty on such an issue, affected as it is by so many variables, is very unrealistic, and, in my view, not possible.

Outlawing the Democrat Party would be an illegal violation of our fundamental political principles.

I predicted on April 17, 2013 that a Republican would win in 2016.

H2O MAN wrote:

The presser Obama just gave was shameful.
What a little cry baby. What a little bitch.

I agree. He sounded like he was going to cry.
And now that he's used up every bit of the political capital that he earned from winning reelection, he's all set to be a do-nothing president for the next four years. The voters will be more than ready to make a change by the time 2016 rolls around.
I hope the Republicans nominate Jeb.

Take notes. See what else the President is able to achieve now that he has expended every last bit of his political capital in a futile war against America's gunowners.
He might get immigration reform, but only because the Republicans want it too. He certainly has nothing left to push for anything that the Republicans don't want.
Then see what mood the voters are in when 2016 rolls around, after four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency.

You guys need to set up something like the NRA over there in the UK.
We've absolutely shattered Obama's presidency. He's poured 100% of his political capital into trying to defeat us, and now he has nothing left for his second term. He's going to get immigration reform only because Republicans want it too.
By the time 2016 rolls around, we'll have had four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency, and the voters will be all set to put a pro-gun Republican in the White House.

Just after a president is elected, he has a bit of political capital that he can use to pressure the other side to do as he desires.
Had Obama used his political capital wisely, he could have pushed something through, environmental legislation limiting carbon pollution for example.
He was very foolish to waste all of his political capital on a futile assault against the might of the NRA.

It wouldn't have to be an environmental issue though. Obama had the political capital to achieve "something". What it was, was up to him.
He chose to waste it all in a futile assault against a superior power. Now he'll achieve little with his second term, and then he'll be replaced by a Republican.

Obama just blew all of his political capital in this futile assault against the NRA, and now he's got nothing left to do anything at all with his second term. The only reason he's even got a hope of immigration reform is because the Republicans want it more than he does.
And after four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency, the voters are going to put a Republican in the White House in 2016.

Our freedom is secure. Obama has not been allowed to violate the Constitution. And all the political capital that he wasted trying to violate our rights, is now not available for him to do anything else. His second term is a wreck, and a Republican will be elected president in 2016.

Thanks for the part you played in helping Obama wreck his second term and elect a Republican as president in 2016.

And we've just shattered Obama's second term. All that political capital that he might have used to achieve something, has been wasted on a futile assault against our superior strength. And after four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency, look for a Republican to be elected president in 2016.

It was kind of a mistake for Obama to waste all his political capital futilely attacking the NRA.
Whatever he might have used that political capital to achieve in his second term, now he will never achieve.
And after an ineffective second term with nothing to show for it, the voters will be more than ready to put the Republicans back in the White House come 2016.

The only reason immigration reform has a chance (it's not like Obama has any political capital left to push for anything) is because the Republicans want it too.

Not a chance. After Obama's gun control debacle, the Republicans are going to retake the White House in 2016.
Obama just frittered away all of his political capital in a childish assault against the NRA, and now he has nothing left with which to achieve anything in his second term. If he gets immigration reform, it will only be because the Republicans want it even more than he does. By the time 2016 rolls around, the voters will be sick and tired of his do-nothing presidency, and they will be more than ready to change which party controls the White House.

The Democrats have already guaranteed that Obama will not achieve anything in his second term, and guaranteed that a Republican will be elected president in 2016.

Obama wasted every bit of his political capital in this childish assault against the NRA.
He might get immigration reform, but only because the Republicans want it even more than he does. Other than that, he no longer has any ability to achieve a thing with his second term.
After four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency, the voters are going to be more than ready to switch which party controls the White House in 2016.

It'll start to sink in I think when Jeb takes his first oath of office. But the Democrats might not fully realize their blunder until Jeb is reelected.
(At least, I hope the Republicans nominate Jeb. But same thing no matter which Republican it is.)

Obama has exhausted his political capital and will now achieve nothing in his second term, leading to a Republican presidential victory in 2016.

speaking of Obama's exhausted political capital, you should hear his press conference this week if you haven't already. He tried to explain to a room of skeptical reporters why he isn't a washed up has-been. He failed.

Since the Republicans now have a guaranteed presidential win in 2016, I hope they nominate Jeb. I could go for another 8 years of having a Bush in the White House.

It isn't BS that Obama wasted every bit of his political capital in a childish assault against the NRA, and now he has no energy left to do anything with his second term.
The only thing he has even a small chance of achieving is immigration reform, and that is only because the Republicans want it even more than he does.
It isn't BS that after four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency (see above), the voters will be more than ready to switch which party controls the White House.

Now that Obama has expended all of his political capital, he's going to be doing a lot more "nothing" over the coming years.
The next time we'll see a president with any ability to achieve something will be when a Republican takes office after the 2016 elections.

It doesn't matter much either way. The Democrats can make things worse for themselves by keeping gun control at the forefront, but even if they don't, the damage they've already done to themselves is irreparable.
Obama squandered every bit of his political capital in this futile assault against the NRA, and now he has nothing left to achieve anything with in his second term. We're in for four years of a do-nothing presidency now. The only thing that has even a small chance of getting done is immigration reform, and that is only because there are Republicans who want it even more than Obama does.
And after four years of a do-nothing presidency, the voters are going to be all set to switch which party controls the White House come 2016.

He will have little choice but to do nothing, as doing something takes energy, and he exhausted all his energy throwing a silly tantrum against the NRA.
He might get immigration reform since there are also a number of Republicans who really want it, but he won't be able to get anything else passed.

I predicted on February 9, 2016 that Mr. Trump would win the nomination and be elected president.

I like Kasich, but he is not popular enough among conservatives to defeat Trump. Rubio was the only one who could have done so.
Looks like Trump is going to be our next president.
I hope he nominates far-right justices to the Supreme Court when all those liberal justices retire.

Might as well get used to it. It looks like Mr. Trump really is going to be our next president.

Chris Christie will go down in history as the man who made Trump president. Rubio was the only one who had enough appeal to both conservatives and moderates to allow him to beat Trump.

I am 100% confident that the Republican nominee (no matter who it is) will win the election. The 2013 gun control debacle essentially wrecked Mr. Obama's second term, and that wrecked second term will make an easy win for the Republicans.
But yes, I'm just getting used to the idea. I didn't realize until tonight that Trump was going to be the nominee.

I'm not saying that voters will base their votes on the gun issue. I'm saying that Mr. Obama's wrecked second term will be what gives the election to the Republicans.
Mr. Obama wasted all of his second-term political capital attacking the NRA, and as a consequence didn't manage to achieve anything in his second term beyond a few things that the Republicans wanted even more than he did.
Come election day it'll have been a long six years since Mr. Obama's last legislative victory. That's what is going to hand the election to the Republicans on a platter.

I predicted on February 14, 2016 that the Republicans will also win the 2020, 2024, 2028, and 2032 presidential elections.

Robert Gentel wrote:

I don't think even he would be stupid enough to do the things he says on trade. It would destroy the economy. That is something that would legitimately cause a revolution.

Mr. Trump is setting himself up as someone who is going to do what he says, as opposed to a typical politician who will pander and then change their minds.
I think he really does mean to do what he says.

It's going to be worse for the Democrats than for the Republicans. Trump is going to reshape the Republican Party to fit his views, but I'm upping my electoral predictions now to say that the Republicans are guaranteed to win the next five presidential elections.

It'll be Trump. Trump in 2020 as well.
2024, 2028, and 2032 will also see Republicans elected president.

I'm basing it on logic, not on wishful thinking. My logic may be wrong. I don't claim infallibility. But it is more than wishful thinking.

Let's compare notes after each of the next five elections. Maybe I'll be wrong. It's happened before. But I've also been right before. We'll see.

I'm reminded of Asimov's Foundation trilogy, at the points when the remnant of an old order that is about to be swept away is still acting like they have a future.
Poignant.
Oh well. Let's get on with the future.

I do understand that I could be wrong. The odds are pretty good though that I'm completely right.

Hawkeye saw Trump coming long before the first votes were cast.
I didn't see it until the New Hampshire primary results were announced, but have consistently predicted ever since that point that Mr. Trump is going to smash the Democrats so hard that they will be out of the White House for a good 20 years.

The right are about to shut the Democrats out of the White House for 20 straight years.
There are some old school Reaganites who don't like how Mr. Trump is going to reshape the Republican Party, but once the Democrats have been electorally obliterated I suspect most conservatives will come around to liking Mr. Trump a lot more.

My prediction is not in any way based on psychic ability. What I am doing is like saying "If you drop a baseball off a cliff, it will fall and hit the ground at the bottom." No psychic ability is involved. It's just straightforward logic and reason.

It's too late. There was only one shot at defeating Mr. Trump, and that was getting behind Mr. Rubio from New Hampshire on.
All this panic from the establishment at this point is just closing the barn door after the horses have already escaped (is that how the saying goes?), and is just doing pointless damage to the party.
Mr. Trump is going to be our next president, and as such he will have the power to reshape the Republican Party to fit his values. The Right might want to start dealing with that, because it's going to happen whether they like it or not.
It'll be much worse for the Left. They are going to be out of power for a good 20 years.

We'll see if I'm right. I actually have two predictions now.
First, that the 2013 gun control debacle will sweep the Republican candidate into office.
And second, that if Trump becomes president, he will reform the Republican Party into something that will dominate for 20 years minimum, with the Democrats only eventually winning again when they start nominating "Trump-lite" candidates (sort of like Bill Clinton won by becoming "Reagan-lite").
If my first prediction fails, my second prediction will never be tested. But both predictions look sound to me so far. I remain confident in both.

maxdancona wrote:

In my accounting, your actual "track record" of admitting when you are wrong is not very good.

You can't point out any cases where I have refused to acknowledge it when I was shown to be wrong.
And while this is beside the point, I can actually point out a case where you have refused to accept it when I proved you wrong.

Leftists are just bad people.

Conservatives are relatively more stuck in the principles of the worth, independence and freedom of individuals. and a preference for limited government - all as expressed in the founding documents of this country.