58
   

Guns: how much longer will it take ....

 
 
oralloy
 
  -2  
Reply Sat 12 May, 2018 04:27 pm
When Australians gave up their freedom, the only thing that changed was their loss of freedom.
Quote:
SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australian police found seven dead people on Friday, including four children, in a rural town in the Margaret River wine-growing region, and said guns were involved in the killings.
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-australia-killings/seven-found-dead-in-rural-western-australia-police-idUSKBN1IC08S
MontereyJack
 
  2  
Reply Sat 12 May, 2018 07:52 pm
@oralloy,
Australians gave up no freedoms when they restricted guns. On the contrary they GAINED freedom. They gained the freedom to LIVE which is the greatest possible freedom, That mass shooting of SEVEN people was the worst mass shooting in Oz in 22 (that's twenty two) YEARS> In the States, seven people is a really low body count for a WEEK, let alone a year, or 22 years. We are the people whose freedom is taken from us by guns, more than ten thousand times a year..
oralloy
 
  -3  
Reply Sat 12 May, 2018 08:10 pm
@MontereyJack,
MontereyJack wrote:
Australians gave up no freedoms when they restricted guns.

Wrong. Free people have the right to have guns that are suitable for self defense.
0 Replies
 
coldjoint
 
  -3  
Reply Sun 13 May, 2018 03:41 pm
Quote:
ICYMI: April Gun Sales Set A New Record, Thanks Anti-Gun Activists

Another in the continuing backfire of gun grabbers. Including the ones in Europe, your whining helps sales increase, too. Laughing Laughing Laughing
https://townhall.com/tipsheet/mattvespa/2018/05/13/icymi-april-gun-sales-set-a-new-record-thanks-antigun-activists-n2480222
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Mon 14 May, 2018 12:00 am
@Baldimo,
The number of homicides is affected by improvement in trauma care, leading to less deaths but not necessarily indicating less violence.

500,000 to 2.5 million ? That's quite a spread you got there... Source?
oralloy
 
  -2  
Reply Mon 14 May, 2018 05:51 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:
That's quite a spread you got there... Source?
Well clearly he is referring to the study that Barack Obama ordered from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention:
http://able2know.org/topic/131081-156#post-6641077
http://able2know.org/topic/131081-158#post-6642487
http://able2know.org/topic/131081-159#post-6643097

So:
http://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/3#15
Quote:
Defensive Use of Guns

Defensive use of guns by crime victims is a common occurrence, although the exact number remains disputed (Cook and Ludwig, 1996; Kleck, 2001a). Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million (Kleck, 2001a), in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008 (BJS, 2010). On the other hand, some scholars point to a radically lower estimate of only 108,000 annual defensive uses based on the National Crime Victimization Survey (Cook et al., 1997). The variation in these numbers remains a controversy in the field. The estimate of 3 million defensive uses per year is based on an extrapolation from a small number of responses taken from more than 19 national surveys. The former estimate of 108,000 is difficult to interpret because respondents were not asked specifically about defensive gun use.

A different issue is whether defensive uses of guns, however numerous or rare they may be, are effective in preventing injury to the gun-wielding crime victim. Studies that directly assessed the effect of actual defensive uses of guns (i.e., incidents in which a gun was “used” by the crime victim in the sense of attacking or threatening an offender) have found consistently lower injury rates among gun-using crime victims compared with victims who used other self-protective strategies (Kleck, 1988; Kleck and DeLone, 1993; Southwick, 2000; Tark and Kleck, 2004). Effectiveness of defensive tactics, however, is likely to vary across types of victims, types of offenders, and circumstances of the crime, so further research is needed both to explore these contingencies and to confirm or discount earlier findings.

Even when defensive use of guns is effective in averting death or injury for the gun user in cases of crime, it is still possible that keeping a gun in the home or carrying a gun in public—concealed or open carry—may have a different net effect on the rate of injury. For example, if gun ownership raises the risk of suicide, homicide, or the use of weapons by those who invade the homes of gun owners, this could cancel or outweigh the beneficial effects of defensive gun use (Kellermann et al., 1992, 1993, 1995). Although some early studies were published that relate to this issue, they were not conclusive, and this is a sufficiently important question that it merits additional, careful exploration.
oralloy
 
  -4  
Reply Mon 14 May, 2018 06:02 am
@oralloy,
I'd personally prefer GunCite over the Obama-era CDC:
http://guncite.com/gun_control_gcdguse.html

However, I admit that the Obama/CDC data tracks well with GunCite, so it should be accurate enough.
0 Replies
 
Baldimo
 
  -2  
Reply Mon 14 May, 2018 02:35 pm
@Olivier5,

Quote:
The number of homicides is affected by improvement in trauma care, leading to less deaths but not necessarily indicating less violence.

Are you implying that the violence is just as high or higher then in previous years? You make a lot of comments and fail to provide any proof.

Quote:
500,000 to 2.5 million ? That's quite a spread you got there... Source?

How about the 2013 CDC report on Gun Violence authorized by an Obama EO/EA.

There is a reason none of the anti-gun people use this study, it didn't provide them the info they wanted, it did leave room for more study, but all conclusions reached by the anti-gun crowd fell flat and were mostly proven wrong. Hence the reason such a study says more study is needed, they wanted a conclusion and didn't get it.

izzythepush
 
  1  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 03:31 am
Quote:
A Chicago public art installation is raising eyebrows in its protest of American gun culture.

The display, Chicago Gun Share Program, depicts an urban bike-sharing station, but instead pretends to offer people the opportunity to rent a rifle.

A sign invites anyone to "unlock and load" a replica high-powered, semi-automatic rifle known as an AR-15.

Activists say they want to raise awareness on how easy it is to "obtain a weapon of war".

The installation in downtown Chicago's Daley Plaza was commissioned by the Brady Center, a gun control advocacy group.

"We hope the Chicago community takes advantage of the opportunity to visit this installation and to learn just how simple it is for an everyday civilian to obtain a weapon of war," Kris Brown and Avery Gardiner, co-presidents of the Brady Center told US media.

The structure, which was erected by Chicago advertising agency The Escape Pod, displays 10 fake AR-15 rifles.

The legally-available weapon has been used in a string of recent mass shooting attacks, including one at a Florida high school that left 17 people dead in February.

Part of the installation includes a sign featuring statistics, including data showing that many of Chicago's gun crimes were committed with weapons that were brought from neighbouring states such as Indiana.

"When you rent a bike it's easy. It's easy to just rent a gun and it's easy to kill a person with it," tourist Omar Bahey Eldin, 12, told NBC Chicago after viewing the exhibit.

Illinois Congressman Mike Quigley, posted a photo of himself visiting the exhibit on Monday, writing "getting a gun shouldn't be as easy as renting a bike - but in many cases, it is".

The Brady Center advocates for banning AR-15 rifles, stricter background checks for all gun sales and the ability for a court to prohibit gun ownership from people who may pose a threat to themselves or others.

The exhibit will be open to the public until 16 May.


http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-44115267
Glennn
 
  -1  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 08:04 am
@izzythepush,
Quote: "Activists say they want to raise awareness on how easy it is to "obtain a weapon of war".

It's not a weapon of war. It it were, it would have a select-fire capability. But it doesn't have a select-fire capability. Therefore . . .
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 10:19 am
@Baldimo,
I'm saying that a slow reduction of the number of deaths by guns over time could simply be the result of better trauma and medical care.

Quote:
How about the 2013 CDC report on Gun Violence authorized by an Obama EO/EA.

Link?
oralloy
 
  -4  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 10:50 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:
Link?

http://able2know.org/topic/131081-160#post-6643984
http://www.nap.edu/read/18319/chapter/3#15
Quote:
Defensive Use of Guns

Defensive use of guns by crime victims is a common occurrence, although the exact number remains disputed (Cook and Ludwig, 1996; Kleck, 2001a). Almost all national survey estimates indicate that defensive gun uses by victims are at least as common as offensive uses by criminals, with estimates of annual uses ranging from about 500,000 to more than 3 million (Kleck, 2001a), in the context of about 300,000 violent crimes involving firearms in 2008 (BJS, 2010). On the other hand, some scholars point to a radically lower estimate of only 108,000 annual defensive uses based on the National Crime Victimization Survey (Cook et al., 1997). The variation in these numbers remains a controversy in the field. The estimate of 3 million defensive uses per year is based on an extrapolation from a small number of responses taken from more than 19 national surveys. The former estimate of 108,000 is difficult to interpret because respondents were not asked specifically about defensive gun use.

A different issue is whether defensive uses of guns, however numerous or rare they may be, are effective in preventing injury to the gun-wielding crime victim. Studies that directly assessed the effect of actual defensive uses of guns (i.e., incidents in which a gun was “used” by the crime victim in the sense of attacking or threatening an offender) have found consistently lower injury rates among gun-using crime victims compared with victims who used other self-protective strategies (Kleck, 1988; Kleck and DeLone, 1993; Southwick, 2000; Tark and Kleck, 2004). Effectiveness of defensive tactics, however, is likely to vary across types of victims, types of offenders, and circumstances of the crime, so further research is needed both to explore these contingencies and to confirm or discount earlier findings.

Even when defensive use of guns is effective in averting death or injury for the gun user in cases of crime, it is still possible that keeping a gun in the home or carrying a gun in public—concealed or open carry—may have a different net effect on the rate of injury. For example, if gun ownership raises the risk of suicide, homicide, or the use of weapons by those who invade the homes of gun owners, this could cancel or outweigh the beneficial effects of defensive gun use (Kellermann et al., 1992, 1993, 1995). Although some early studies were published that relate to this issue, they were not conclusive, and this is a sufficiently important question that it merits additional, careful exploration.
0 Replies
 
Baldimo
 
  -3  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 11:37 am
@Olivier5,
Quote:
I'm saying that a slow reduction of the number of deaths by guns over time could simply be the result of better trauma and medical care.

You guys will grab on to any form of data that tries to prove something you can't prove. Do you have stats to back this up, as you asked below, link?

Quote:
Link?

I'll find it again, but I've posted it before in this thread, you only missed it if you were ignoring it.
http://www.ncdsv.org/images/IOM-NRC_Priorities-for-Research-to-reduce-the-threat-of-firearm-related-violence_2013.pdf
Like I said, it didn't come to the conclusions that Obama and the anti-gun left were hoping for, they don't reference it for any of the gun debates or gun laws, that should tell you something.

Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 01:59 pm
@Baldimo,
oralloy
 
  -3  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 02:14 pm
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:
It could be 60,000 for all we know.

Not since all the estimates below 500,000 are fatally flawed.

Although even 60,000 defensive uses per year would greatly exceed the number of people killed with guns.
0 Replies
 
Baldimo
 
  -2  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 02:26 pm
@Olivier5,
Quote:
The study you linked to is entitled: "Priorities for Research to Reduce the Threat of Firearm-Related Violence". And it does identify a whole lot of priorities given that the data is surprisingly shallow and old on this matter.

And...

Quote:
That's an even larger spread than what you said ("500,000 to 2.5 million"). It could be 60,000 for all we know.

It's a far cry from the lie that no one uses a gun for self-defense, or even that self-defensive use of guns is rare. It also proves that a good guy with a gun can stop a bad guy with a gun. Even on the extreme low end of 60k, which would be a stat you would favor, it is far more than the 11k murders with guns that take place, 2016 saw 17k people murdered in total. 60k defensive gun uses vs 17 k murders... more lives were saved with a gun than taken with a gun.
My point is proven, your's isn't.
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 02:46 pm
@Baldimo,
Quote:
 Even on the extreme low end of 60k, which would be a stat you would favor, it is far more than the 11k murders with guns that take place, 2016 saw 17k people murdered in total. 60k defensive gun uses vs 17 k murders... more lives were saved with a gun than taken with a gun.

That assumes that 1 (one) life would be taken each and every time a person is robbed or otherwise attacked, if that person doesn't own a gun, AND it also assumes that the same 1 life was saved each and everytime a person used a gun in self-defense...

I see no reason to assume any of that. Take the random attack on a mom and pop shop. A n armed thief does not always kill the cashier. If the cashier pulls a gun on the robber, sometimes he lives, and the robber lives, sometimes one of them dies, sometimes they both die... There's no one-to-one relationship between cases of self-defense use and cases of death/lack of.
Baldimo
 
  -3  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 03:18 pm
@Olivier5,
Quote:
That assumes that 1 (one) life would be taken each and every time a person is robbed or otherwise attacked, if that person doesn't own a gun, AND it also assumes that the same 1 life was saved each and everytime a person used a gun in self-defense...

It doesn't have to stop a murder, it has to stop a crime. Would some of those crimes be murder? Sure but not guaranteed, I would rather someone have the chance to protect themselves then just be another stat on crime.

Quote:
I see no reason to assume any of that. Take the random attack on a mom and pop shop. A n armed thief does not always kill the cashier. If the cashier pulls a gun on the robber, sometimes he lives, and the robber lives, sometimes one of them dies, sometimes they both die... There's no one-to-one relationship between cases of self-defense use and cases of death/lack of.

Lets put those low end #'s together for our spread, 60k to 500k. That is still a lot of people who prevent harm to themselves or others. I favor self-defense, not restrictions on self-defense.

Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Tue 15 May, 2018 03:28 pm
@Baldimo,
You don't need huge guns and tons of ammo for self-defense. You need something portable and light.
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