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Oh, No! Election Day is Tuesday, November 2nd, 2010...

 
 
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 05:39 pm
...but some folks here have already started to talk about the U.S. mid-term elections for Congress some 51 weeks from now. 51 weeks: after the end of the year's holidays, the Superbowl, the day we file our income taxes, the crack of the bat at the beginning of the baseball season and the last out at the end of the World Series, hurricane season.
Join us for the romp. There will be maps and inevitably videos of some politicos putting feet in their mouths.
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Type: Discussion • Score: 16 • Views: 38,577 • Replies: 837

 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 05:40 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

...but some folks here have already started to talk about the U.S. mid-term elections for Congress some 51 weeks from now. 51 weeks: after the end of the year's holidays, the Superbowl, the day we file our income taxes, the crack of the bat at the beginning of the baseball season and the last out at the end of the World Series, hurricane season.
Join us for the romp. There will be maps and inevitably videos of some politicos putting feet in their mouths.


Won't it be fun? Laughing

I think this cycle has extreme comedic potential.

Cycloptichorn
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 05:41 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Bring you helmet and gird your loins.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 06:03 pm
I am RealJohnboy from the mountains of Virginia. I am a 7 year veteran on A2K and a political junkie.
I try to report on stuff objectively but I am obliged to disclose that I am a Democrat.
I would like to appeal for civility but realize that will never happen.
I am too stupid or too busy to remember how to post charts and maps. If someone else would offer to do that, that would be cool. Thanks. -rjb
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 06:06 pm
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

I am RealJohnboy from the mountains of Virginia. I am a 7 year veteran on A2K and a political junkie.
I try to report on stuff objectively but I am obliged to disclose that I am a Democrat.
I would like to appeal for civility but realize that will never happen.
I am too stupid or too busy to remember how to post charts and maps. If someone else would offer to do that, that would be cool. Thanks. -rjb


If you will let me know what sort you want, I will post them - with a minimum of commentary, haha

Cycloptichorn
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 06:10 pm
The Senate presently has 58 Democrats + 2 Independents who typically caucus with the Dems. The Republicans have 40 Senators.
18 seats now held by Repubs will be contested while 16 held by Dems will be.

All 435 seats in the House of Representatives will be on the ballots. 257 are controlled now by Dems; 178 by Repubs.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 06:12 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I was thinking, for example, of a map of the U.S. showing which states will be holding Senate elections and whether the seat is currently held by a Repub or Dem.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 06:17 pm
@realjohnboy,
Ask and ye shall receive.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/thumb/3/3b/2010_Senate_election_map.svg/320px-2010_Senate_election_map.svg.png

Senate Seats up for Election:
Dark blue - Two Democratic incumbents
Medium blue - Democratic incumbent
Light Blue - Retiring Democrat
Dark red - Republican incumbent
Light red - Retiring Republican
Grey - No election

Of course, every single House seat is up for election.

More data for ya:

Quote:
# 2 Overview of races

* 2.1 Retiring Democratic Senators
o 2.1.1 Roland Burris of Illinois
o 2.1.2 Ted Kaufman of Delaware
* 2.2 Retiring Republican Senators
o 2.2.1 Kit Bond of Missouri
o 2.2.2 Sam Brownback of Kansas
o 2.2.3 Jim Bunning of Kentucky
o 2.2.4 Judd Gregg of New Hampshire
o 2.2.5 George LeMieux of Florida
o 2.2.6 George Voinovich of Ohio
* 2.3 Democratic incumbents
o 2.3.1 Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas
o 2.3.2 Barbara Boxer of California
o 2.3.3 Michael Bennet of Colorado
o 2.3.4 Christopher Dodd of Connecticut
o 2.3.5 Daniel Inouye of Hawaii
o 2.3.6 Evan Bayh of Indiana
o 2.3.7 Barbara Mikulski of Maryland
o 2.3.8 Harry Reid of Nevada
o 2.3.9 Kirsten Gillibrand of New York
o 2.3.10 Chuck Schumer of New York
o 2.3.11 Byron Dorgan of North Dakota
o 2.3.12 Ron Wyden of Oregon
o 2.3.13 Arlen Specter of Pennsylvania
o 2.3.14 Patrick Leahy of Vermont
o 2.3.15 Patty Murray of Washington
o 2.3.16 Russ Feingold of Wisconsin
* 2.4 Republican incumbents
o 2.4.1 Richard Shelby of Alabama
o 2.4.2 Lisa Murkowski of Alaska
o 2.4.3 John McCain of Arizona
o 2.4.4 Johnny Isakson of Georgia
o 2.4.5 Mike Crapo of Idaho
o 2.4.6 Chuck Grassley of Iowa
o 2.4.7 David Vitter of Louisiana
o 2.4.8 Richard Burr of North Carolina
o 2.4.9 Tom Coburn of Oklahoma
o 2.4.10 Jim DeMint of South Carolina
o 2.4.11 John Thune of South Dakota
o 2.4.12 Bob Bennett of Utah



In the House,

Quote:


Retiring incumbents


At this point in time, 18 U.S. Representatives are voluntarily retiring from the House at the end of their current term.

Democratic incumbents

* Alabama's 7th congressional district: Artur Davis: To run for governor of Alabama.[8]
* Florida's 17th congressional district: Kendrick Meek: To run for the U.S. Senate.[9]
* Hawaii's 1st congressional district: Neil Abercrombie: To run for governor of Hawaii.[10]
* Louisiana's 3rd congressional district: Charlie Melancon: To run for the U.S. Senate.[11]
* New Hampshire's 2nd congressional district: Paul Hodes: To run for the U.S. Senate.[12]
* Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district: Joe Sestak: To run for the U.S. Senate.[13]

Republican incumbents

* Delaware's At-large congressional district: Michael Castle: To run for U.S. Senate.[14]
* Florida's 12th congressional district: Adam Putnam: To run for Florida Commissioner of Agriculture.[15]
* Georgia's 9th congressional district: Nathan Deal: To run for governor of Georgia.[16]
* Illinois's 10th congressional district: Mark Kirk: To run for U.S. Senate.[17]
* Kansas's 1st congressional district: Jerry Moran: To run for the U.S. Senate.[18]
* Kansas's 4th congressional district: Todd Tiahrt: To run for the U.S. Senate.[19]
* Michigan's 2nd congressional district: Pete Hoekstra: To run for governor of Michigan.[20]
* Missouri's 7th congressional district: Roy Blunt: To run for the U.S. Senate.[21]
* Oklahoma's 5th congressional district: Mary Fallin: To run for governor of Oklahoma.[22]
* Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district: Jim Gerlach: To run for governor of Pennsylvania.[23]
* South Carolina's 3rd congressional district: Gresham Barrett: To run for governor of South Carolina.[24]
* Tennessee's 3rd congressional district: Zach Wamp: To run for governor of Tennessee.[25]


Cycloptichorn
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 07:02 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Part of what piqued my interest in starting this now was a Rasmussen poll taken during and after last week's elections in VA and NJ for Governors.
52% of "registered voters" polled thought that the Repubs would gain seats in Congress while 32% thought the Dems would gain. 16% were unsure.
That defies logic given the history of off year elections.
49% thought that it will be somewhat likely or very likely (18%) that the Repubs will take control of Congress.
37% said it would be somewhat unlikely or not at all likely (7%).
13% were unsure.
0 Replies
 
Merry Andrew
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 08:15 pm
What's the current story in Massachusetts now that Ted Kennedy ixs no more? Isn't his seat up for grabs? Or how does it tie in with the chart above?
tsarstepan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 08:20 pm
@Merry Andrew,
Presently Paul Kirk is the interim senator. Why take the temporary job in a temporary capacity only? He can't be that old.

I'm keeping an eye on that seat.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 08:22 pm
@Merry Andrew,
My understanding is there will be a special election in January, 2010, for his seat in the Senate. That is why, on Cyclops' map, MA is dark blue, indicating 2 positions up for grabs. The successful candidate will hold office until Sen Kennedy was due up again for election in 2012 or 2014.
Please correct me if I am wrong.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:01 pm
@tsarstepan,
The reason Paul Kirk is in the Senate is that he has a pulse but no desire to remain in office beyond January.
How is that for an answer?
But it is true.
tsarstepan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:04 pm
@realjohnboy,
Sounds quite reasonable to me. I suspected as such.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:14 pm
@tsarstepan,
I can't recall the details, tsar. A few years ago a Dem Senator from MA resigned to go into the cabinet or run for President. There was a Repub Gov (Romney?) & the Dem controlled legislature changed the rules to keep the seat. When Kennedy died they managed to change the rules back to suit them. Shamelessly.
They needed someone to keep the seat warm until the election. They found Kirk.
I am sure someone from MA can do better justice to the story than I.
roger
 
  2  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:17 pm
@realjohnboy,
They usually say the same, but delete the word shamelessly.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:22 pm
@roger,
I think I should get a +1 for objectivity, Roger.
tsarstepan
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:24 pm
@realjohnboy,
Sucking up to the teacher will only get you an A-!
0 Replies
 
roger
 
  1  
Reply Tue 10 Nov, 2009 09:29 pm
@realjohnboy,
You do.
0 Replies
 
Merry Andrew
 
  1  
Reply Wed 11 Nov, 2009 12:40 am
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

My understanding is there will be a special election in January, 2010, for his seat in the Senate. That is why, on Cyclops' map, MA is dark blue, indicating 2 positions up for grabs. The successful candidate will hold office until Sen Kennedy was due up again for election in 2012 or 2014.
Please correct me if I am wrong.


I just looked at Cyclops' map again and I think you're wrong. MA appears to be grey, not dark blue, indicating no offices up for grabs.
 

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