16
   

Oh, No! Election Day is Tuesday, November 2nd, 2010...

 
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:08 pm
@Irishk,
Some, I bet, if not directly just in terms of what kinds of people are willing to associate themselves with Strickland. Ohio is a lot more than Columbus and Cleveland. (Pointy-headed liberal territory.)
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:09 pm
@JPB,
Nate Silver said that the big lead (20 pts at one point) was specious because of which counties had reported, and he expects Giannoulias to lose.
0 Replies
 
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:11 pm
@sozobe,
I looked it up and he did indeed receive the endorsement. He campaigned on it and said his opponent (Kasich) had received an "F" rating from the NRA (not quite LOL).
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:12 pm
@Irishk,
I think I remember seeing something about that in the sheaf of election materials that I glanced at before putting in the recycling.

Irishk, are you in Ohio?
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:13 pm
@sozobe,
No...Northern Oregon.
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:13 pm
@JPB,
Thanks for the report, JPB. It will be close, for sure, as predicted.
I put my chit, with no great confidence, on Giannoulias (D).
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:14 pm
@Irishk,
Oh, OK.

Meanwhile, I gotta turn off this computer! I've been "just a minute"-ing for like 45 minutes now.

Hope Strickland wins.

Will find out tomorrow morning.

<salutes, exits stage right>
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:15 pm
@sozobe,
G'night. I'll hold down the fort Smile
0 Replies
 
JPB
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 08:47 pm
77% reporting and Kirk (R) has taken a very small lead.
0 Replies
 
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 11:01 pm
NBC: Defeat for Prop 19 in California.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 11:08 pm
@Irishk,
Irishk wrote:

NBC: Defeat for Prop 19 in California.


Yeah, which is a real bummer.

Cycloptichorn
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Nov, 2010 11:14 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
I have a friend who's about our age (early 30's?) who told me he voted for it. I laughed. Not sure why Smile
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Nov, 2010 05:12 am
No Strickland. Sad

Two parts: 1) I liked him as Gov, 2) he was helpful re: Obama in Ohio, which has implications for 2012.
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Nov, 2010 10:05 am
@sozobe,
The GOP had a banner night in executive races, picking up 10 altogether. Nate called it exactly.

0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Nov, 2010 11:55 am
@realjohnboy,
realjohnboy wrote:

HOUSE PREDICTIONS:|
Current Make-up: Dems 256 Repubs 179 = 77 seat Dem margin

EPro: Dems 194 Repubs 241 = 47 seat Repub margin (62 seat Repub gain)
Cook: Dems 196 Repubs 239 = 43 seat Repub margin (60 seat Repub gain)
Enten*: Dems 200 Repubs 235 = 35 seat Repub margin (56 seat Repub gain)
Sabato: Dems 201 Repubs 234 = 33 seat Repub margin (55 seat Repub gain)
Rudin: Dems 215 Repubs 220 = 5 seat Repub margin (41 seat Repub gain)
Silver: Dems 203 Repubs 232 = 19 seat Repub margin (53 seat Repub gain)
Gallup: Dems 196 Repubs 239 = 43 seat Repub margin (60 seat Repub gain)
RCP: Dems 189 Repubs 246 = 57 seat Repub margin (67 seat Repub gain)
Georgeob: Dems 212 Repubs 223 = 11 seat Repub margin (44 seat Repub gain)
Cyclo**: Dems 218 Repubs 217 = 1 seat Dem margin (38 seat Repub gain)
JohnBoy: Dems 206 Repubs 229 = 23 seat Repub margin (50 seat Repub gain)

*Enten is the kid from Dartmouth Irishk introduced us to.
** I assigned numbers to Cyclo based on his long-standing prediction that the Dems would hold on to a majority.



realjohnboy
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Nov, 2010 12:09 pm
@realjohnboy,
The Denver Post is declaring Bennett (D) to be the winner over Buck (R) in the Colorado Senate race. And Murray (D) has a lead over Rossi (R) in Washington state with most of the remaining votes to be counted in areas thought to be favorable to Murray.
I would call Alaska as staying Repub, but whether it will be Miller (R) or the write in incumbent Murkowski (now Indepen) will depend on a recount. Murkowski says she will caucus with the Repubs if she wins.

If that all happens the Dems will end up losing seats in the Senate but will be better off than what most pundits predicted.
0 Replies
 
Irishk
 
  1  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2010 11:37 am
History-making gains for GOP - 680 State Leg. Seats

Excerpt:
Quote:
"2010 will go down as a defining political election that will shape the national political landscape for at least the next 10 years," Tim Storey, elections specialist with the NCSL, said in a news release. "The GOP … finds itself now in the best position for both congressional and state legislative line-drawing than it has enjoyed in the modern era of redistricting."

At a minimum, 54 legislative chambers will be under GOP control when they reorganize, the highest number for Republicans since 1952. They will hold 53% of the total number of seats, nearly 3,900 – the most since 1928.
0 Replies
 
realjohnboy
 
  2  
Reply Thu 4 Nov, 2010 02:06 pm
HISPANIC/LATINO VOTERS
(I prefer Latino but various news organizations use Hispanic).
Political types will be analyzing and reanalyzing the election results. The role of Latino voters will be something that is looked at.
A Newsweek article claims that the (upset?) victory in Nevada by incumbent Harry Reid (D) over Sharron Angle (R) was due to his getting huge Latino support. Exit polls by Latino Decisions show that Reid won the Latino vote 90-8. They claim that in California the split was 86-14 in favor of Boxer (D) over Fiorina and 81-19 in Colorado in favor of Bennett (D) over Buck (R).
CNN's exit polling shows Nevada's Latino voters breaking for Reid 68-30 and, in California at 65-28 for Boxer. They don't have a poll for Colorado.
The percentage of Latino voters vs non-Latinos seems to have increased. This is explained as being because the Latino population is growing.
It is not clear whether voter participation rates are rising for Latinos.

Angle in AZ seems to have made a deliberate decision to forsake trying to attract Latinos into the Repub fold. Instead she appealed to conservative voters with a strong anti-immigration campaign.
0 Replies
 
 

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