@Setanta,
Setanta wrote:I have no idea what "official version" Miguel is referring to
I'm referring to the version offered by the president, which you repeat and defend.
"Those labeled "traditionalist" or "orthodox" echo President Truman's and Secretary of War Henry Stimson's contentions that the bombs were used to force Japan's surrender as quickly as possible and to save American lives.
[...]
That defense rested upon the military necessity and therefore the lesser-of-two-evils morality of the decision. The bomb had been dropped because not to do so risked prolonging the war. By ending the war the bomb saved lives, American and Japanese. The reason for using it was strictly military—to hasten the surrender of Japan. There had been no ulterior political motives: neither domestic, in justifying a very expensive weapons development project, nor international, in regard to any power other than Japan."
Robert Messer, 1995.
Setanta wrote:i wonder what Miguel alleges was the reaction of world public opinion in 1945.
I don't allege anything on that subject, and I fail to see the connection with the content of my post.
Setanta wrote:Miguel needs to explain what this reaction of public opinion was, nad what evidence he has.
Why would I need to do that?
Setanta wrote:I don't consider that Miguel has made any case, and i don't see any evidence provided by him that there was an especial outrage expressed in 1945 about the use of the stomic bombs.
Indeed I made no "case" in my previous post, rather I merely expressed my opinion that
I don't think one can consider that anyone suggesting a version different from the official one is a "blithering idiot" participating in "popular online bullshit".
I have no idea where in my post you read that I believe there was "an especial outrage expressed in 1945 about the use of the atomic bombs."
Robert Messer in A HISTORY OF OUR TIME, 1995:
"The recent discovery of this evidence [Truman's private journal and letters written at the time he gave the bombing order] [...] reveals, for example that,contrary to his public justification of the bombings as the only way to end the war without a costly invasion of Japan,
Truman had already concluded that Japan was about to capitulate.
[...]
The declassification of government documents and presidential papers, and the release of privately held manuscript sources such as Stimson's
private diary forced a revision if not a total refutation of accepted orthodoxy.
[...]
In the 1970s the work of Martin Sherwin, Barton Bernstein, Gregg Herken, and others revealed the early and continuing connection U.S.
leaders made between the bomb and diplomacy.
[...]
Referring to the Soviet commitment to declare war on Japan three months after the defeat of Germany, Truman noted Stalin's reaffirmation of the agreement he had made with Roosevelt at Yalta: "He'll [Stalin] be in Jap War on August 15th." To this Truman added: "Fini Japs when that comes about." In these two brief sentences Truman set forth his understanding of how the war would end:
Soviet entry into the war would finish the Japanese.
[...]
In writing to his wife the following day (July 18), the president underscored the importance of Soviet entry and its impact upon the timing of
the war's end. "I've gotten what I came for—Stalin goes to war on August 15 with no strings on it.... I'll say that we'll end the war a year sooner now, and think of the kids who won't be killed! That is the important thing."
The implications of these passages from Truman's diary and letters for the orthodox defense of the bomb's use are devastating:
if Soviet entry
alone would end the war before an invasion of Japan, the use of atomic bombs cannot be justified as the only alternative to that invasion.
[...]
the issue was no longer when the war would end, but how and on whose terms. If he believed that the war would end with Soviet entry in mid-August, then he must have realized that if the bombs were not used before that date they might well not be used at all. This relationship between the Soviet entry, the bomb, and the end of the war is set forth in Truman's diary account for July 18.
[...]
Truman apparently believed that by using the bomb the war could be ended even before the Soviet entry. The bomb would shorten the war by days rather than months. Its use would not save hundreds of thousands of lives—but it could save victory for the Americans.
The race with the Germans had been won. It was now a race with Soviets.
[...]
It is in this light that the new evidence, in both the Potsdam diary and letters to his wife, calls for a reevaluation of the old issue: why were the
only two bombs available used in rapid succession so soon after testing, and on the eve of the planned Soviet entry into the war?
Gar Alperovitz, Robert L. Messer, Barton J. Bernstein in International Security, Vol. 16, No. 3
in the late summer of 1945 President Truman and his top advisers were aware that use of the atomic bomb was no longer necessary to avoid an invasion. In his recent survey of the literature on the bomb decision, J. Samuel Walker, chief historian of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, concludes:
"Careful scholarly treatment of the records and manuscripts opened over the past few years has greatly enhanced our understanding of why the Truman administration used atomic weapons against Japan. Experts continue to disagree on some issues, but critical questions have been answered.
The consensus among scholars is that the bomb was not needed to avoid an invasion of Japan.... It is clear that alternatives to the bomb existed and that Truman and his advisers knew it."
[...]
The Japanese leaders had decided to surrender and were merely looking for sufficient pretext to convince the die-hard Army Group that Japan had lost the war and must capitulate to the Allies. The entry of Russia into the war would almost certainly have furnished this pretext, and would have been sufficient to convince all responsible leaders that surrender was unavoidable.
[...]
as Japan's condition worsened American leaders understood in advance-well before use of the atomic bomb was authorized- that an invasion was increasingly unlikely.
[...]
As early as April 18, 1945, the Joint Intelligence Staff put the crucial issue thus:
"If at any time the U.S.S.R. should enter the war, practically all Japanese will realize that absolute defeat is inevitable."
[...]
Marshall's advice to the President on June 18, 1945, was presented seven weeks before the bombing of Hiroshima. During the ensuing period, Japan's condition deteriorated even further, with the result that a Soviet attack appeared likely to have even greater shock impact. On July 6, 1945, for instance, the Combined Intelligence Committee offered this assessment to the Combined Chiefs of Staff: "
An entry of the Soviet Union into the war would finally convince the Japanese of the inevitability of complete defeat. "
[...]
It is important to note that
these "estimates of the situation" preceded the most important indication that the Japanese recognized their situation was impossible: the direct personal intervention of the Emperor beginning in late June.
[...]
Leon V. Sigal observes that "
one point was clear to senior U.S. officials regardless of where they stood on war termination. . . . [They] knew that
the critical condition for Japan's surrender was the assurance that the throne would be preserved." As Robert Butow put it in his classic study of Japan's surrender decision: "It was all there, as clear as crystal: Togo to Sato: 'Unconditional surrender is the only obstacle to peace'.''
[...]
In his diary entry for July 18, for instance,
Truman set forth his understanding of the latest intercepted Japanese message, referring to it straightforwardly as the "telegram from Jap [sic] Emperor asking for peace. " During their first private meeting, Stalin had assured Truman that
the Soviet Union would ignore the emperor's approach and declare war on Japan by August 15. Truman welcomed this news by recording in his diary his interpretation of the meaning of Soviet entry: "Fini Japs when that comes about"
[...]
General Ismay's private summary of the Combined Intelligence Estimate of July 6, 1945, to Churchill, and its conclusion that: "when Russia came into the war against Japan, the Japanese would probably wish to get out on almost any terms short of the dethronement of the Emperor." In this regard it is also instructive to note that Marshall joined in
an extraordinary "end-run" at Potsdam in which the U.S. Chiefs of Staff urged the British Chiefs to get Churchill to press Truman to change the terms.
[...]
Clearly,
foremost among the political factors influencing the decision was what Stimson called the "Russian problem." Many scholars now recognize that at least
three distinct Soviet-related factors were involved in the decision. These go well beyond the commonly used but oversimplified catch-phrase "intimidating the Russians."
First, although initially American leaders sought Soviet entry into the war, once the atomic bomb was proven their views changed dramatically:
The bomb now seemed a way to end the war before the Red Army (and Soviet political influence) got very far into Manchuria. This is precisely the argument Truman used in private the day after the Nagasaki bombing in explaining to the Cabinet his modification of the demand for unconditional surrender. Second, the bomb also meant that
the United States would not have to share the victory over Japan with the Russians. Third, Byrnes in particular (but Truman and Stimson as well) saw the bomb as a way to
strengthen America's diplomatic hand not only in the Far East but in negotiations over the fate of Europe in general, and Eastern Europe in particular.