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NORTH KOREA CONDUCTS NUCLEAR TEST

 
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Thu 12 Oct, 2006 08:51 pm
parados wrote:
Ticomaya wrote:
parados wrote:
Let me repeat a question... What has Bush done that worked better than Clinton did?


I'm not suggesting Bush's approach has been all that much better, aside from the fact that he's wised up to the fact that bilateral talks with NK are useless.


Instead Bush has pushed for 6 nation talks which NK pulled out of and tested a nuclear device. Yeah.. That is really wising up because he still wants 6 nation talks.


To reitierate:

Bilateral talks are useles for reasons I have outlined above. The reasons may be entirely flawed and I welcome a rebuttal other than "They worked for Clinton!" Clearly they did not work for Clinton.

Multi-lateral talks are a construct for allowing bilateral talks between China and NK. They have not worked for reasons I have outline above. Again, I welcome rebuttal.

While, clearly, multi-lateral talks have not been tremendously effective, it is equally clear that they have held greater promise than unilateral talks between the US and NK. As respects this issue, we can paraphrase James Carville "It's China stupid!"

The addiction of partisanship politics too often renders the discussion of this problem into a silly back and forth.

There is absolutely no reason to believe that bipartisan talks between the UK and NK will be effective. The only reasons anyone is endorsing them is because they were used by Clinton and they are not being used by Bush. These are ridiculous reasons.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 06:51 am
Quote:
Bilateral talks are useles for reasons I have outlined above. The reasons may be entirely flawed and I welcome a rebuttal other than "They worked for Clinton!" Clearly they did not work for Clinton.


From what I can gather what Clinton failed in was putting in something about developing uranium; however, the talks did result in the reactor being frozen. It seems to me rather than pissing them off by calling their nation part of an "axis of evil" and refusing to work directly with them, they would have tried to continue to work with them first; or at least not antagonizing them as that clearly didn't help matters. Clearly pissing them off and refusing to work directly with them didn't work because they restarted their reactor program as well as enriching uranium and now are boldly testing their nuclear weapons.

I don't agree with this guy's assessments but this is where I got my information. Basically I have a lot to learn in this issue.

Also for the record, I think this country is horrible in other ways dealing with the way it starves it citizens in order to have that huge military and these weapons, however, it just seems hypocritical for us to talk about other nations having or working towards nuclear weapons when we have them ourselves and have actually used them. I wish that the talks would lean towards the goal of every nation (including ours) disbanding nuclear weapons. I realize that seems Pollyannaish nevertheless...
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 08:54 am
Clinton had 2 party talks. North Korea stopped producing plutonium and shut down the reactor.

Bush demanded 6 party talks. North Korea restarted the reactor and produced enough plutonium for perhaps another 6 nukes. North Korea then tested a nuclear device.


I don't know what planet you live on Finn. But the results are pretty clear for both approaches. Clinton's approach may have had some problems in that North Korea probably attempted to build centrifuges for uranium enrichment. We don't know if they even came close. We are only told they were trying.

If CLinton's approach was a failure we can only describe Bush's as a complete disaster.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 09:14 am
As for your claim that somehow bilateral talks between the US and North Korea prevents China from being involved, that is downright silly and disregards all other diplomatic efforts.

At the same time the US is talking to North Korea they can be talking to China and China can be applying pressure to North Korea. There is NO requirement that China be at the same table at the same time. If you can provide me evidence that Clinton wasn't talking to China at the same time they were talking to North Korea then you might have something.

One other thing Finn.
declassified document about 4 party talks with North Korea
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB164/EBB%20Doc%208.pdf

4 party talks with China, US, NK, and South Korea in 1996. You know.. when Clinton was President and forgetting about China in dealing with North Korea.

You can have bilateral and multilateral talks at the same time. Of course you have to able to chew gum and walk at the same time first. Something the Bush diplomatic corp seems incapable of doing.
0 Replies
 
Asherman
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 10:08 am
The left and Democrats have been constant and shrill in criticizing the President for not involving other nations in his foreign relations with rogue States. "Clinton's approach was soooo much better" we are repeatedly lectured. Clinton ignored the fact that the ROK is by far the most interested party in what the DPRK does. Japan, the second most country at risk from DPRK nuclear weapons, was given no opportunity to participate. China and Russia, the two land powers bordering the DPRK both have deep historical interests in the Korean Peninsula, but Clinton excluded both of them as well. Since the PRC is without doubt the only nation who has the least influence in the DPRK, excluding them from discussion is tantamount to madness. But, we are told, Clinton's approach was superior.

Bush, that scoundrel determined upon world conquest, has insisted upon talks involving all of the parties directly involved in the problem posed by the DPRK. This administration's efforts to enlist the PRC's influence to persuade Jong-Il to step back from what all the other participants in the talks regard as provocative, threatening and destabilizing behavior are scoffed at. Russia was the only outside nation to be given inside information regarding the recent test, but according to the left they should be excluded from talks. Japan and ROK are apparently regarded by the left and Democrats as mere puppets of the Bush Imperial Plot, and so we are told they have no place at a table dealing with Jong-Il's nuclear weapons aimed at them.

Return to direct two party talks we are told. Uh huh, Bush is an out of control cowboy who never stops his aggression long enough to involve interested others in his foreign policy efforts. Sure, and I suppose that the poor victimized DPRK is some sort of exception. If the DPRK is an exception and only has only become a problem since the administration came to power, I guess the left has a point ... not.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 12:00 pm
Asherman,

The first rule in negotiations is you have to actually meet. I don't know if bilateral talks was Clinton's first choice but he was willing to meet rather than play a silly game of "my way or the highway". If I remember correctly North Korea made the same demand of only talking to the US in '93.

Where are you getting your information that Clinton excluded all the other countries? I posted a declassified document on 4 country meetings in 1996. This claim that Clinton absolutely refused to let Japan, China and South Korea participate in any discussions seems false based on government documents.

As for excluding other countries? I have never said we should. If the ONLY way North Korea will talk is with the US then why can't we take that route? It could be a step to turning it into multilateral. It could force North Korea into simultaneous bi and multilateral talks.

It comes down to which his better. Contact that isn't your first choice or no contact at all. If you choose no contact at all then don't be suprised at the results.
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 12:06 pm
Asherman wrote:


Bush, that scoundrel determined upon world conquest, has insisted upon talks involving all of the parties directly involved in the problem posed by the DPRK. This administration's efforts to enlist the PRC's influence to persuade Jong-Il to step back from what all the other participants in the talks regard as provocative, threatening and destabilizing behavior are scoffed at. Russia was the only outside nation to be given inside information regarding the recent test, but according to the left they should be excluded from talks. Japan and ROK are apparently regarded by the left and Democrats as mere puppets of the Bush Imperial Plot, and so we are told they have no place at a table dealing with Jong-Il's nuclear weapons aimed at them.
Lovely strawman there Asherman. Care to tell me when anyone on the left said Japan and the ROK were Bush puppets? When did the the left demand that anyone be excluded? This all started because the right has blamed Clinton for his bilateral talks as the problem. That is so much BS. Continuing the BS about the lefts position to hide the right's position doesn't help you much here Asherman.

Some simple questions.
Is it better to have discussions or not?
If yes and the only way that North Korea will talk is only with the US then is it better to do that or not?

Are we better off with talking one on one with North Korea or with North Korea having nukes? I know my answer. You can blame Clinton if you want to ignore reality.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 12:16 pm
agree with you there parados

jaw jaw is better than war war*


always

*winston s churchill
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 03:36 pm
The right should ask itself (but won't) what Bush has done about NK during the last six years. NK went from maybe two weapons to maybe six weapons, a nuclear test, and several missile tests.

Clinton gave NK a couple of nondangerous light-water reactors that were paid for by Japan and SK. NK's facilities were padlocked and cameras were installed to ensure compliance. NK gave up rods.

When Bush took over, the media asked Powell whether Clinton's policies on NK would continue. He strongly asserted that they would. However, the White House quickly blasted Powell and then began its verbal attacks on NK. The rest is history.
0 Replies
 
satt fs
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 05:11 pm
Strategic Security Blog

Quote:
..But the test was not successful. The North Koreans no doubt learned a great deal from their test but they have not proven to themselves, or the world, that they have a design that works. If the first test were successful, the marginal value of subsequent tests would have been relatively much smaller but with an unsuccessful test, the value of the next test will be as great or greater than the last test. We should not give up and say this is now a lost cause. There is much to be gained by using threats of sanctions and other tools to stop follow-on tests.
0 Replies
 
spendius
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 05:27 pm
Does the media saying they had a nuclear test prove that they actually did?

Or do you all just want to believe they did so you could have another useless ego jack-off?

I would be surprised if they could conduct a proper bonfire night display.
0 Replies
 
satt fs
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 05:46 pm
North Korea Nuke Blast A Dud?
Quote:
Results from an initial air sampling after North Korea's announced nuclear test showed no evidence of radioactive particles that would be expected from a successful nuclear detonation, a U.S. government intelligence official said Friday. ..


Also ..
Quote:
On Wednesday, President George W. Bush indicated that he saw little distinction between an actual nuclear test by North Korea and its announcement of one.

"The United States is working to confirm North Korea's claim, but this claim itself constitutes a threat to international peace and stability," Mr. Bush said.


I think the quote in my previous post of the statements by Ivan Oelrich is of great significance in this case.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 07:33 pm
parados wrote:
Clinton had 2 party talks. North Korea stopped producing plutonium and shut down the reactor.

Bush demanded 6 party talks. North Korea restarted the reactor and produced enough plutonium for perhaps another 6 nukes. North Korea then tested a nuclear device.


I don't know what planet you live on Finn. But the results are pretty clear for both approaches. Clinton's approach may have had some problems in that North Korea probably attempted to build centrifuges for uranium enrichment. We don't know if they even came close. We are only told they were trying.

If Clinton's approach was a failure we can only describe Bush's as a complete disaster.


NK already had begun to renege on the Clintonian deal before Clinton left office. They were on their way to building nukes. Bilateral talks didn't stop them and multi-lateral talks sure as hell didn't spur them on.

Do you really believe that if Clinton had not had to leave the White House because his terms were up that NK would not have nuclear weapons right now? It took Bush's Axis of Evil speech to push them over the edge? Good grief but you are either naive or mentally paralyzed by partisanship. Clinton's approach failed for the same reason Bush's approach has failed: The US will not use the only big stick it has in terms of NK.

What is this obsession with defending all things Clintonian? Are you secretly John Podesta? It seems that you rely totally on the calculus of: If Clinton did it, it is good, and if Bush is doing it, it is bad.

Bilateral talks with NK did not work. Multilateral talks with NK are not working. Neither approach works because, believe it or not, there are some people in the world with whom talking doesn't work.

Clinton's approach made sense if we accept that he could not use military power. It didn't fail because it was inherently flawed, it failed because the North Koreans do not deal in good faith.

Why would you expect Bush to repeat a failed approach? Because it had Clinton's stamp of approval?

It made perfect sense to move from bilateral to multi-lateral talks, primarily because everyone knows that China is the only nation that holds a non-militarily stick over NK's head, and, as importantly, it is necessary to break this global notion that the US is the only nation that is obliged to do something about NK.

Now we see that multi-lateral talks are not working either and the US is still not willing to use the only big stick it has over NK.

The answer is to do what we can do to prevent NK from selling nukes to our more dangerous enemies, and turn the problem over to the nations most impacted by it: South Korea, Japan, and China. If this means SK and Japan go nuclear, so be it. They will use nukes on NK before we will, and perhaps that will persuade NK to cut the crap.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 07:42 pm
revel wrote:


Also for the record, I think this country is horrible in other ways dealing with the way it starves it citizens in order to have that huge military and these weapons, however, it just seems hypocritical for us to talk about other nations having or working towards nuclear weapons when we have them ourselves and have actually used them. I wish that the talks would lean towards the goal of every nation (including ours) disbanding nuclear weapons. I realize that seems Pollyannaish nevertheless...


And since when has the desire to not be hyprocritical ever factored into any nation's security policy at any time in earth's history?

The premise of your argument is that all nations of the world are morally equal. If we have nukes how dare we tell other countries they can't have them?

You seem to be a forthright and moral person. If you lived in a very dangerous place where criminals and crazy people were your neighbors, would you really suggest that it was not right for you to try and keep guns from them simply because you had one and once used it against someone breaking into your house? Would you really attempt to address the lawlessness of your neighborhood by offering to give up your gun?

Fortunately you do not have such a personal dilemma because if you did and you reacted to it as your suggest the US should in terms of nuclear weapons, you would probably not be alive to post on this board.
0 Replies
 
gungasnake
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 08:14 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:
revel wrote:


Also for the record, I think this country is horrible in other ways dealing with the way it starves it citizens in order to have that huge military and these weapons, however, it just seems hypocritical for us to talk about other nations having or working towards nuclear weapons when we have them ourselves and have actually used them. I wish that the talks would lean towards the goal of every nation (including ours) disbanding nuclear weapons. I realize that seems Pollyannaish nevertheless...


And since when has the desire to not be hyprocritical ever factored into any nation's security policy at any time in earth's history?

The premise of your argument is that all nations of the world are morally equal. If we have nukes how dare we tell other countries they can't have them?

You seem to be a forthright and moral person. If you lived in a very dangerous place where criminals and crazy people were your neighbors, would you really suggest that it was not right for you to try and keep guns from them simply because you had one and once used it against someone breaking into your house?.....



People still questioning the use of the atom bomb, huh? Evidence which has turned up recently indicates that Truman had no options which anybody would have liked any better and, in fact, which would have been vastly worse, particularly for the Japanese.

What the Japanese would have been looking at three or four weeks later would have been really, really bad, including LeMay being totally resupplied with incindiaries which he'd run out of in July and operating his B29s from Okinawa instead of the Mariannas, which would have had the same effect as tripling the number of those planes. All 100 American carriers would have been freed for attacks on the Japanese home islands; the carrier groups were only vulnerable to kamakazis when being held on station to protect an invasion, and the invasions requiring carrier support were basically over. Midway class carriers with armored flight decks and compliments of F8s and F7s would have begun arriving on station, and then there's this:

http://www.danieldrezner.com/mt/mt-comments.cgi?entry_id=736

"JUNE 18, 1945 - When A Democracy Chose Genocide

The United States government decided on June 18, 1945, to commit genocide on Japan with poison gas if its government did not surrender after the nuclear attacks approved in the same June 18 meeting. This was discovered by military historians Norman Polmar and Thomas Allen while researching a book on the end of the war in the Pacific. Their discovery came too late for inclusion in the book, so they published it instead in the Autumn 1997 issue of Military History Quarterly.

Polmar & Allen ran across references to this meeting in their research and put in a Freedom of Information Act request for related documents. Eventually they received, too late for use in their book, a copy of a document labeled "A Study of the Possible Use of Toxic Gas in Operation Olympic." The word "retaliatory" was PENCILED in between the words "possible" and "use".

Apparently there were only five of these documents circulated during World War Two. The document was requested by the Chemical Corps for historical study in 1947. In an attempt to "redact" history, another document was issued to change all the copies to emphasize retaliatory use rather than the reality of the US planning to use it offensively in support of the invasion of Japan.

The plan called for US heavy bombers to drop 56,583 tons of poison gas on Japanese cities in the 15 days before the invasion of Kyushu, then another 23,935 tons every 30 days thereafter. Tactical air support would drop more on troop concentrations.

The targets of the strategic bombing campaign were Japanese civilians in cities. Chemical Corps casualty estimates for this attack plan were five million dead with another five million injured. This was our backup to nuking Japan into surrender. If the A-bombs didn't work, we were going to gas the Japanese people from the air like bugs, and keep doing so until Japanese resistance ended or all the Japanese were dead.

Genocide is defined by treaty as the murder of a large number of people of an identifiable group, generally a nationality or religion, which number comprises an appreciable percentage of the total group. Five million dead is 6.4% of then 78 million people in the Japanese Home Islands, so this proposed gas attack would certainly have qualified as genocide.

What brought the United States government to that decision was the prospective casualties of a prolonged ground conquest of Japan against suicidal resistance, after Japanese Kamikaze attacks and suicidal ground resistance elsewhere had thoroughly dehumanized them to us.

The American people certainly would have supported such tactics at the time, especially as Japanese Imperial General Headquarters issued orders a month later, provided to us courtesy of code-breaking (MAGIC), to murder all Allied prisoners of war, all interned Allied civilians, and all other Allied civilians Japanese forces could catch in occupied China, the Dutch East Indies (now Indonesia), Malaya, etc., starting with the impending British invasion of Malaya in late September 1945. The Imperial Japanese Army was every bit as evil as the Nazi SS, and more lethal. They'd probably have killed at least an additional 50 million people, more than had died in all of World War Two to that point, before Allied armies could eliminate Japanese forces overseas.

The horror would not have stopped there. An estimated ONE THIRD of the Japanese people (25-30 million) would have died of starvation, disease, poison gas and conventional weapons during a prolonged ground conquest of Japan. The Japanese Army planned on locking up the Emperor, seizing power and fighting to the bitter end once the US invasion started. Thank God for the atom bomb - killing 150,000 - 200,000 Japanese at Hiroshima and Nagasaki saved 75-80 million lives. One of whom would have been the writer's father, an infantry lieutenant who survived Okinawa.

So the United States has within living memory made a decision to commit genocide on a whole people as a matter of state policy. We didn't have to do it because the Japanese Emperor knew we'd do it.

The relative power of America's armed forces vis a vis the rest of the world has grown to the point where genocide is unlikely to be necessary to impose our will on any possible combination of enemies lacking the ability to seriously menace the American homeland. The American people might support genocide as policy if further attacked at home, but the American government will act based on its perception of American interests, and keep that demon in the bottle, absent overwhelming public demand. Nuclear weapons use is another matter - the American government has used nuclear weapons to avert greater evils and recently indicated some willingness to do so again, albeit with non-genocidal force.

Our enemies considering further attacks on us should keep these history lessons in mind.

So should our erstwhile "friends".
0 Replies
 
Intrepid
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 08:26 pm
gungasnake wrote:


Quote:
The relative power of America's armed forces vis a vis the rest of the world has grown to the point where genocide is unlikely to be necessary to impose our will on any possible combination of enemies lacking the ability to seriously menace the American homeland. The American people might support genocide as policy if further attacked at home, but the American government will act based on its perception of American interests, and keep that demon in the bottle, absent overwhelming public demand. Nuclear weapons use is another matter - the American government has used nuclear weapons to avert greater evils and recently indicated some willingness to do so again, albeit with non-genocidal force.

Our enemies considering further attacks on us should keep these history lessons in mind.

So should our erstwhile "friends".


All this talk of imposing will wreaks of a doctorship. Shocked
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 08:51 pm
Intrepid wrote:
gungasnake wrote:


Quote:
The relative power of America's armed forces vis a vis the rest of the world has grown to the point where genocide is unlikely to be necessary to impose our will on any possible combination of enemies lacking the ability to seriously menace the American homeland. The American people might support genocide as policy if further attacked at home, but the American government will act based on its perception of American interests, and keep that demon in the bottle, absent overwhelming public demand. Nuclear weapons use is another matter - the American government has used nuclear weapons to avert greater evils and recently indicated some willingness to do so again, albeit with non-genocidal force.

Our enemies considering further attacks on us should keep these history lessons in mind.

So should our erstwhile "friends".


All this talk of imposing will wreaks of a doctorship. Shocked


I assume you mean "reeks of a dictatorship."

And it might, if the will being imposed was a national leader over the citizens of his or her nation. However, the article addresses the US imposing its will on its enemies (other nations that is).

Many of the most successful nations in terms of warfare have been democracies of one sort or the other: E.g. Athens, Rome (as a Republic), The British Empire, and, of course, the US.

In any case, it's unlikely that any nation will be successful at war if it does not set as a goal the imposition of its will over the enemy. That may sound iccky to you, but it happens to be reality.

I know, I know...we should just not go to war! Did we really have to take on Imperial Japan after it attacked Pearl Harbor? Surely we could have continued talks with them and worked everything out. Did we really have to go to war with Nazi Germany? Heck, they didn't even attack us. Why couldn't we just have gotten Germany, Russia, and England to sit down and talk? Germany probably would have been satisfied with continental Europe if we just tried diplomacy. Think of how many lives would have been saved!

Why are we so quick to employ violent means? Can't we just all get along? What would Bill Clinton have done back in The Day? That's the question we need to keep asking ourselves.
0 Replies
 
gungasnake
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 09:51 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:

What would Bill Clinton have done back in The Day?



Probably been porking some teenage intern or exposing himself to some girlscout troop while Pearl was being bombed. Why?
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 09:58 pm
gungasnake wrote:
Finn dAbuzz wrote:

What would Bill Clinton have done back in The Day?



Probably been porking some teenage intern or exposing himself to some girlscout troop while Pearl was being bombed. Why?


Read the whole post
0 Replies
 
Intrepid
 
  1  
Reply Fri 13 Oct, 2006 10:01 pm
Finn dAbuzz wrote:


I assume you mean "reeks of a dictatorship."



No, I meant wreaks of a dictatorship. I usually say what I mean.
0 Replies
 
 

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