Advocate wrote:Bush insists on six-party negotiations that clearly are not in the cards. I don't see what is so wrong with bilateral talks.
You should review what happened in the Cuban Missile Crisis. The GOP, as well as many Dems, were essentially demanding that JFK attack Cuba, which would have killed many from the USSR who were manning the missile facilities. Most historians think that this would have brought on retaliation by the USSR, which might have killed 90 million of our citizens. Luckily, JFK and his brother concluded that bilateral negotiations with Kruchev were in order, and this averted an incredible disaster. I am certain that, had Bush been the president, we would have suffered a nuclear conflagration.
Why because he might have insisted on multi-lateral negotiations?
Here is what is so wrong with bilateral talks between the US and NK (note I am not suggesting any bilateral talks between any two nations is "so wrong."
The US has essentially two hammers to use in bilateral talks with NK
1) War
2) Continued bad mouthing.
Obviously, war is not going to happen unless and until NK actually launches a conventional or nuclear attack someone, or is found to have sold a nuclear weapon to someone who uses it on the US. It is not going to happen to make NK stop making or testing NK weapons. This has been made crystal clear to NK.
Kim Jong Il thrives on US bad mouthing. It gives him stature. He doesn't want it to stop. As soon has gets too focused on Iran, he pulls a stunt to get refocused on him.
On the other hand, the US has many carrots to offer. This was the route the Clinton administration followed and we know that it did not work. The people who are making the decisions in NK are not subject to the suffering of the NK people, and they are, obviously not concerned about these people from a humanitarian aspect or as a revolutionary threat. The US would have to promise NK the Moon to get them to agree to stop making nukes, and still they would cheat.
What is "so bad" about bilateral talks between NK and the US is that they will never work. We can give them the Moon and they would eventually renege in order to get the Sun. Clearly they are not worried about our hammers.
It is, by no means, certain that multi-lateral talks will work either. So far they haven't, but "mutli-lateral talks" is merely a cover for bilateral talks between China and NK. Only China has the capability of reigning in NK,without military intervention, and they are not going to engage in bilateral talks with NK because:
1) It serves their geo-political strategy to have NK be a problem for the US
2) They do not want to risk suffering a loss of prestige if even they cannot reign in the inscruitable Kim.
3) They want rewards from the US (and to a lesser extent Japan and SK) for enabling the multi-lateral talks that serve as a construct for bilateral talks.
It is somewhat ironic that those who believe Bush is an arrogant SOB who believes in American Exceptionalism and global dominion criticize him for pushing multi-lateral talks. It is not surprising, because he could announce tomorrow that he was opening up the treasury of the US to feed the poor of the world and his diehard detractors would find some way for such an action to reflect his war mongering. It is ironic because by insisting on multi-lateral talks, the US is acknowledging that it does not have the power and ability to solve this problem.