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Attack in London Today

 
 
thethinkfactory
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 02:31 pm
Brandon:

Previous behavior is the best indicator of future behavior.

Do you think America, over time, has been slower to war or quicker to war? Given the isolationist position of the first half of the century and then the war of the decade mentality thereafter - I would say that our use of 'the bomb' is of great importance for the future.

Furthermore, we are developing nuclear weapons to explode underground - we are thinking of more ways to use 'the nuclear option'.

As far as bio-weapons are concerned - our policies of the past seem to mean nothing when "at war". Take Napalm for instance - we continue to use it due to its 'legality' in places of war. When you Napalm Falujah - I think your concept of 'enemy combatant' needs to be so wide that you essentially have set a precedent to use it anywhere.

Brandon, it seems that we are making up the legality as we go - I think your concept of illegal is as 'quaint and outdated' as our concepts of 'enemy combatant' definitions were prior to Iraq.

I do not mean this as a personal affront. I mean that your position seems to be inconsistent. You seem to support new measures of attacking 'the war on terror' - but when I bring up our adaptations being dangerous - you resort back to old jargon mostly made obsolete by the very war you are supporting.

Either we are going to stand on the laurels of our founding fathers or we are going to alter them so severely that concepts like habeas corpus and enemy combatant will be things of the past. We are already at that stage - how much is security worth to you?

TTF
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 03:54 pm
Meanwhile, Birmingham UK is being evacuated.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 04:26 pm
Well, not all the 1 million inhabitants are evacuated, but "only" large parts of the city centre.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 04:35 pm
Just out:

Quote:
About 20,000 people have been evacuated from Birmingham city centre amid a security alert.
West Midlands Police asked people to leave Broad Street, the main entertainment hub and two other areas. Some city homes were also evacuated.

No vehicles are being allowed past the inner ring road into the city centre, and there have also been reports of controlled explosions by police.

West Midlands Police said it was in response to intelligence it received.
Source
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 07:10 pm
Brandon,
we've been sticking our stick in the hive long before this war in Iraq. The hive I'm referring to is the Middle East in general. In Iran, we threw out the democratically elected PM and installed a dictatorial monarch, the Shah. Our dictator's rule fomented a revolution there that became explicitly anti-American when we harbored and refused to turn over the exiled Shah. The power vacuum that resulted enabled the religionists there, which were slowly building in power and influence, to assume control of the country.

In Iraq we propped up the dictator there, Saddam Hussein, in his war against Iran. We provided him weapons, which he used against them and later he used against minorities in Iraq itself which were in collusion with Iran.

We continue to back an externally imposed, ethnocetrically motivated country there in the Middle East that was established by the arrogation of land, and the ethnic cleansing of its inhabitants.

The straw that broke the camel's back, as it were, for these fanatical nationalists, which I believe is the impetus of these individuals, nationalism, much more than religion, was the occupation of Middle Eastern nations by our military granted by dictatorial regimes allied with our government. The first terrorist response to this was the 1993 WTC bombing.
0 Replies
 
Brandon9000
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 08:17 pm
thethinkfactory wrote:
Brandon:

Previous behavior is the best indicator of future behavior....

TTF


To review some of our exchange so far:

You said:

"I think it makes sense to downsize our ungodly large weapons that
are outdated and a huge drain to our economy."

I responded:

"I am far less concerned about us disarming than I am about the
fact that more and less stable countries are acquiring WMD every
year. Sooner or later, we are going to have a WMD event in some
population center and hundreds of thousands of people will be
dead."

You responded:

1. "The US is the only one to use WMDs (at least nuclear WMD's)"
2. "Isn't it the same childish response of 'Do as I say not as I
do,' coupled with a big PILE of Hubris to state that WE can be
trusted but no other nation can, because they are unstable....It
just seems so backwards and cocksure to claim that we can have them,
and then we decide who else does?"

I responded:

1. "Bioweapons are illegal altogether."
2. "As for nukes, we're not saying that no one else can have nukes
except us. We're saying that of all the entities who do wish of
will wish to acquire them, there are a few at the extreme evil
dictator end of the spectrum who must be stopped from acquiring
them."
3. "Yes, we are the only country to use nukes in battle, but what
does that have to do with the future?"

You responded:

1. "Previous behavior is the best indicator of future behavior."
2. "Furthermore, we are developing nuclear weapons to explode
underground - we are thinking of more ways to use 'the nuclear
option.'"
3. "...your position seems to be inconsistent. You seem to
support new measures of attacking 'the war on terror' - but when I
bring up our adaptations being dangerous - your resort back to old
jargon mostly made obsolete by the very war you are supporting."

A. Here are some of your errors in reasoning to this point:

1. When I point out the threat of WMD proliferation to more and more countries and unstable countries, you respond by saying that the US is the only country to have used nukes in battle and that past behavior is the best indicator of future behavior.
My response is: Our use of nukes immediately following our invention of them in WW2 in no way mitigates the danger posed to us by the proliferation of WMD to more and more countries which are small, unstable, do not follow risk averse policies, and are run by human monsters like Hussein. In addition, if the country in question is on friendly terms with terrorists, the danger is greater.

2. You stated that we are taking the position that only we can be trusted with WMD.
My response: We are not stating this at all. First of all, we are taking the position that no one on Earth can be trusted with bioweapons. Secondly, regarding nukes, we are saying something quite different from what you accuse us of. We are taking the position that a few countries run by evil dictators or on friendly terms with terrorists cannot have them, not that no one can.

B. Here is something I agree with you about. Any attempt to create "acceptable" nukes, e.g. nuclear bunker busters is the height of folly and should be stopped at once.

C. Please clarify,

"...your position seems to be inconsistent. You seem to
support new measures of attacking 'the war on terror' - but when I
bring up our adaptations being dangerous - your resort back to old
jargon mostly made obsolete by the very war you are supporting."

I don't know what you are referring to.
0 Replies
 
thethinkfactory
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 08:28 pm
Thanks for clarifying. I think we agree on much more of this than we think.

Here is what I mean by 2C above:

In order to get other countries to bend to our will (no terrorists and no bioweapons) we have to break international law (i.e lock up people without charges, ignore habeus corpus, invade countries under questionable intelligence, and so on.

With these laws out of the equation (when it suits us) I cannot, and do not trust an administration to follow rules of 'legality' when it comes to bioterror weapons and WMD's of other sorts for thier own proliferation.

You cannot, as an administration, pursue terrorists by all means necessary (legal and illegal, moral and immoral) and then refer to legality and morality when attempting to argue for why the administration can be trusted.

Now, to be fair, I have put you in the same boat as those who ignore international and national law in the pursuit of safety.

I asked before and I will ask again - what price is security worth to you? The essential liberty we all love and enjoy? This is the real question of 80% these threads on this board lately.

TTF
0 Replies
 
msolga
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 08:33 pm
deleted post.
0 Replies
 
Brandon9000
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 08:38 pm
thethinkfactory wrote:
Thanks for clarifying. I think we agree on much more of this than we think.

Here is what I mean by 2C above:

In order to get other countries to bend to our will (no terrorists and no bioweapons) we have to break international law (i.e lock up people without charges, ignore habeus corpus, invade countries under questionable intelligence, and so on.

With these laws out of the equation (when it suits us) I cannot, and do not trust an administration to follow rules of 'legality' when it comes to bioterror weapons and WMD's of other sorts for thier own proliferation.

You cannot, as an administration, pursue terrorists by all means necessary (legal and illegal, moral and immoral) and then refer to legality and morality when attempting to argue for why the administration can be trusted.

Now, to be fair, I have put you in the same boat as those who ignore international and national law in the pursuit of safety.

I asked before and I will ask again - what price is security worth to you? The essential liberty we all love and enjoy? This is the real question of 80% these threads on this board lately.

TTF

1. You are confusing military prisoners with citizen prisoners suspected of civil crimes.
2. You seem to be disproportionately concerned about the bad side of our attempts to combat people who are trying to kill us compared to the fact that they are trying to kill us. Agreed that there are real dangers in both areas, but you appear only to express concern about the nature of our attempts to save or lives and our culture from people who are actively trying to destroy both. This is particularly odd a day after the reminder in London.
3. What is it worth to you to not have nuclear or biological terrorist attacks which wipe out hundreds of thousands of people in each attack? I really need for you to give me a clear and unequivocal answer to this.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Sat 9 Jul, 2005 10:52 pm
InfraBlue wrote:
Brandon,
we've been sticking our stick in the hive long before this war in Iraq. The hive I'm referring to is the Middle East in general. In Iran, we threw out the democratically elected PM and installed a dictatorial monarch, the Shah. Our dictator's rule fomented a revolution there that became explicitly anti-American when we harbored and refused to turn over the exiled Shah. The power vacuum that resulted enabled the religionists there, which were slowly building in power and influence, to assume control of the country.

In Iraq we propped up the dictator there, Saddam Hussein, in his war against Iran. We provided him weapons, which he used against them and later he used against minorities in Iraq itself which were in collusion with Iran.

We continue to back an externally imposed, ethnocetrically motivated country there in the Middle East that was established by the arrogation of land, and the ethnic cleansing of its inhabitants.

The straw that broke the camel's back, as it were, for these fanatical nationalists, which I believe is the impetus of these individuals, nationalism, much more than religion, was the occupation of Middle Eastern nations by our military granted by dictatorial regimes allied with our government. The first terrorist response to this was the 1993 WTC bombing.


I don't know that it is possible to read this commentary (and similar ones before it) without concluding that the logical extension of the this argument (always unwritten and ever denied) is, at the very least, "...and therefore we brought these attacks upon ourselves." This, of course, is but a stone's throw from "We deserved them."

Accepting that the Western Powers have engaged in some foolhardy and even venal actions over the years, I fail to see how this fact actually serves a useful purpose in the formulation of today's policy to combat today's terrorism.

How does this urge among so many to lecture us all on what self-serving bullies Americans have been from time to time advance the debate on what should be done in the here and now?

What is it that those of you who find this line of discussion so compelling, trying to say -- beyond the obvious criticism?

Since there never seems to be an expressed point to these lectures, I'm afraid I have to speculate on what might be meant:

1) We made our beds, now we are forced to sleep in them
2) We should withdraw from all involvement in the world save for donating copious amounts of aid to the Middle Eastern nations
3) We should realize that our self-interest is best served by being model (the Liberal model of course) global citizens. There are no bad people in the world, only those that have been wronged.
4) The sins of the father render the son morally prohibited from defending himself.
5) Violence only begets violence and so the best response to violence is roll oneself in a ball and hope for the best.

Even if we assume that our government has a long history (and please acknowledge that your lecture encompasses more than the Bush administration, and Democrat as well as Republican governments) of dirty deeds unmitigated by a long history of good ones, do you and I deserve to die at the hands of the people our government has wronged? Do we not have a perfectly unadulterated right to demand that this self same government do what is necessary to protect us and leave the wearing of hair shirts to those inclined to those who revel in a sense of national guilt?

I don't happen to agree with much of what you and those of a like mind are arguing, but even if I bought it all, what do I do with it?
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 01:43 am
Today's terrorism is a result of yesterday's foolhardy and venal actions, Finn.

What should be done in the here and now is to learn from yesterday's foolhardy and venal actions so that we may not continue to commit more foolhardy and venal actions, so that we may not die at the hands of the people our government has wronged, if the cessation of reactionary violence--because that's exactly what the terror being perpetrated against us is-- to our foolhardy and venal actions is really our goal.

Or, we could do like what I previously posted upon which Brandon commented.
0 Replies
 
panzade
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 01:47 am
0 Replies
 
Brandon9000
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 02:00 am
InfraBlue wrote:
Today's terrorism is a result of yesterday's foolhardy and venal actions, Finn.

What should be done in the here and now is to learn from yesterday's foolhardy and venal actions so that we may not continue to commit more foolhardy and venal actions, so that we may not die at the hands of the people our government has wronged, if the cessation of reactionary violence--because that's exactly what the terror being perpetrated against us is-- to our foolhardy and venal actions is really our goal.

Or, we could do like what I previously posted upon which Brandon commented.

The fact that these people intentionally target civilians, including children, rather than combatants, apparently doesn't impress you much. If that is a correct reading of you, in my book that makes you morally bankrupt.

Now, which wronged people are you talking about specifically? Please tell us how our government has wronged them. Just for the record, do you actually believe that the deliberate killing of non-combatants, including minors is justified?
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 02:32 am
Brandon9000 wrote:
The fact that these people intentionally target civilians, including children, rather than combatants, ...


That's what terrorists usually do.

They are cold-blooded killers. Like with the other attacks. USAmericans, Spaniards and Russians certainly will agree, since they had made these experiences within the recent past as well.

The British know by the decades of IRA bombings that acts of terror can't necessarily be prevented, but can be prepared for.
And so this attack came as a shock, but it didn't come as a surprise.

An outfit purporting to be a wing of al-Qaida claims responsibility, but at this stage, who knows? At a later stage we very likely will know.
Quote:
Terrorists born or based in the UK were "almost certainly" behind the London bombs, a former Met police chief says.
Suggesting foreign attackers were to blame was "wishful thinking", ex Police Commissioner Lord Stevens told the News of the World.

Source


(And in Birmingham, it is still nothing officially said about the background[s] of the possible threat which led to the evacuation of the inner city.)
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 02:35 am
Whence does it appear that the fact that these people intentionally target civilians, including children, rather than combatants doesn't impress me much, Brandon?

Re-read my post that you originally commented upon for your answer to your question about whom was wronged and how.

Do I believe that the deliberate killing of non-combatants, including minors is justified? You mean, like the fire bombing of Tokyo, Japan during The Big One, part 2?
0 Replies
 
Brandon9000
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 03:17 am
InfraBlue wrote:
Whence does it appear that the fact that these people intentionally target civilians, including children, rather than combatants doesn't impress me much, Brandon?

From your description of attacks in which civilians, including children were deliberately targetted as being justifed by the alleged wrongs of their governments.

InfraBlue wrote:
Re-read my post that you originally commented upon for your answer to your question about whom was wronged and how.

There are twelve pages of posts here. Give me a hint.

InfraBlue wrote:
Do I believe that the deliberate killing of non-combatants, including minors is justified? You mean, like the fire bombing of Tokyo, Japan during The Big One, part 2?

Yes, like that. Now, answer, please.
0 Replies
 
JTT
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 03:49 am
Brandon9000 wrote:


InfraBlue wrote:
Do I believe that the deliberate killing of non-combatants, including minors is justified? You mean, like the fire bombing of Tokyo, Japan during The Big One, part 2?


Yes, like that. Now, answer, please.


Shocked Confused Shocked Confused
0 Replies
 
thethinkfactory
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 06:07 am
Brandon:

Reply to 1) You seem to be confusing people suspected of civil crimes and those whose rights no longer exist and are imprisoned without council forever.

Reply to 2) I am concerned about certain civil infractions protected by the very conception of our countries philosophies and possible attacks. There has been a few in the last 100 years. As I said, strengthen our borders and stop being naive - not invasions are necessary to help with that.

There are two questions here: Does decreasing our liberty remove the prospect of terrorist attacks to the level you mention above? Ofcourse not - look at the level of security in Isreal - it does not stop Palestinian terror attacks. Does war, or even a war on terror, help or hurt with stopping terror attacks? London has the most camera's per person watching the populace and it did little to stop the attacks of 7/7.

Reply to #3) So given #2 it is worth a lot to stop biological and terror attacks to me - but our methodology cannot be one of limiting civil liberties of citizenry and waging war on nation states associated with terror. It does not remove the prospect of terrorism, it only engenders those in vulnerable places (poor, angry and the like) and solidifies those already commited to terror acts.

You and I want the same things - we are merely talking about methodology.

If we think that a frontal assault on terror will solve it - we merely have to look at the past to see that this model has never worked. We need a new method of dealing with terror. We could have started by loosing our innocence on 9/12. Put locks on the cockpits doors for God sake, strengthen our borders so that we have a better idea as to who is coming in, stop building and researching weapons of mass destruction so that we do not have to worry about bits of that stuff coming back to haunt us (our own Anthrax mailed to our own senators, for instance). But ignoring the constitution in both policy and law is not the answer, that much is clear.

So, I have answered your questions - you have still to answer mine: How much suspension of liberty are you willing to endure in order to address the war on terror?

TTF
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Sun 10 Jul, 2005 12:23 pm
That these people intentionally target civilians, including children, rather than combatants impresses me considerably, Brandon. That is why I write about it.

Whom was wronged and how.

I do not believe that the deliberate killing of non-combatants, including minors is justified.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Mon 11 Jul, 2005 08:12 am
Quote:
A worm's eye view

Andrew Brown
Monday July 11, 2005

There's very little the US can do to help Britain counter the terrorist threat to its cities, says Andrew Brown.
The bombs in London mark a curious and unpleasant milestone, reversing a trend that has continued for almost 100 years.


From 1917 onwards, whenever the US and Britain have fought side by side, the US has contributed more and more to the victory and the British armed forces have become less and less important.

In 1917, and again after 1941, US troops could not have crossed the Atlantic without the Royal Navy, but in the second world war the Navy was dependent on old US destroyers, while our army was equipped with US tanks.

At Suez, we learned that we could not fight a war at all without US permission. In the 60s, we gave up the ambition to have our own atom bombs (the "dual key" system means that the US controls whether they can be fired, as well as building them).

Ever since the days of Bletchley Park, our signals intelligence has been more and more dependent on US computers and satellites.

The process has gone so far that it looks completely inevitable and unstoppable. But what help can the US give us in our struggle against al-Qaida, whatever that may now be? Looking around, the answer seems to be something between none and very little.

This is an answer quite distinct from the argument that we have been targeted as the US's allies in Iraq and Afghanistan. In a political sense we - and the world - would certainly have been helped by a less arrogant and more competent US.

But that's beside the point. The deal Tony Blair, and his predecessors, struck was that we would abide by the results of US elections and serve faithfully whoever was in the White House.

In exchange for this political fealty, we would get practical help and material assistance - but the practical help that can be given to us in our attempts to stop the next bombs seems tiny.

After all, we know what defeats terrorist networks. It's a mixture of intelligence, politics, and very carefully targeted violence. None of these are commodities we can now get from the US.

Our own intelligence services may not know a great deal about the threats against us - or they may know a lot and have stopped lots of plots we haven't heard about. What's very hard to believe is that they should have learnt anything of value from the CIA, whose record of incompetence is by now second to none.

It may be that US surveillance of the internet will be of some practical help. I hope so. But essentially what we need to do here is co-operate with other European security services facing the same sort of problems that we are, and that have had similar experiences of terrorism.

Politically, I think there is very little any US president can now do to diminish the supply of potential bombers of London.

There is a huge list of things a president might do that would make Tony Blair's life easier - but they would all involve a public, graceful renunciation of things George Bush, and those who elected him, believe as facts. So they're not going to happen.

I don't mean there is nothing political that can be done to make future bombings less likely. The essential objective of any British policy in dealing with Islamist terrorism is to keep it foreign.

Democracy, to use the thriller writer Gavin Lyall's phrase, isn't about elections. It's about the sound of millions of people saying "You can't do that!" when some outrage is proposed or perpetrated. This is now the simple, spontaneous reaction of British Muslims when bombs are put on tube trains.

So all the government - and the rest of us - have to do is to nourish this sense of common humanity. That is a highly political task, but it's also purely domestic and, by definition, something the US government couldn't help with.

When it comes to violence, the last, essential component of policy - well, the US army can't hold down Iraq, and really isn't needed to keep order in Britain. None of its magnificent weaponry is much help against a carrier bag full of explosives on a commuter train.

So in this domestic struggle with terrorism, we're on our own - and, to the extent that we're not, we are equal partners with the US for the first time since 1918.

This may have profound political consequences if the worst comes and low-level urban guerrilla warfare continues for another 30 or 40 years.

At the end of that time, we will have been fighting a war in which our chief allies were European, and the Americas were irrelevant. Could anything be more likely to foster a sense of European solidarity and integration?

* Andrew Brown, whose column now appears on Mondays, is the author of The Darwin Wars: The Scientific War for the Soul of Man and In the Beginning Was the Worm: Finding the Secrets of Life in a Tiny Hermaphrodite. He also maintains a weblog, the Helmintholog.

Source: The Wrap, one of Guardian Unlimited's paid-for services.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/wrap
0 Replies
 
 

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