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Bush supporters' aftermath thread

 
 
nimh
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Aug, 2005 03:46 pm
JustWonders wrote:
<Carter polled at 39% approval in 1980>

Looks like Bush is getting awfully close...

Doing worse than he ever did.

Despite it not being the economic crisis time of the late seventies

Makes ya wonder
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Mon 1 Aug, 2005 05:00 pm
Carter had a 28% approval rating (59% Disapproval) in Gallup's June 29-July2, 1979 poll.

Bush has a ways to go.



<In case you were wondering>
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Aug, 2005 10:35 am
Quote:
The Dems' obsession
David Limbaugh (archive)

August 2, 2005

The Democrats and the Old Media are getting as much mileage as they can out of President Bush's reportedly low approval ratings. But the smart money says they ought to be more concerned about their own problems.

While they preoccupy themselves with trashing President Bush and obstructing his agenda, he remains undeterred and presses forward. While they brag at their success in blocking Social Security and other reforms, he amasses legislative victories, including CAFTA, bankruptcy and class-action.

While they anxiously pant in anticipation of his inevitable irrelevance, they further secure their own irrelevance. Indeed, while they prepare to gloat over his "imminent" lame-duck status when he will have little political capital left to spend, he is busy spending his political capital as if it springs from an unlimited reservoir.

Consider his congressional arm-twisting on CAFTA, his persistence on Social Security reform despite the obvious short-term political downsides, his recess appointment of John Bolton and his unflinching commitment to the burgeoning Iraqi republic.

Ah, yes, Iraq. This is where it gets interesting. The Dems think it's the Republican's Achilles' heel, but it may well be theirs. For the Democratic Party and the press, all roads lead to Iraq. To them, President Bush's "duplicitous" scheme to drag us into war there subsumes every other issue.

So complete is their obsession they apparently don't see the need to develop an agenda of their own. They have no plan on Social Security, which they labeled a crisis as recently as Bill Clinton's presidency. They have no coherent tax policy -- other than to oppose Bush's plan. They don't even have a clue about Iraq -- whether we should stay or leave and how we should accomplish either non-goal.

When discussing Iraq, they talk nostalgically about Vietnam, the Mother of all Quagmires, fervently hoping Iraq will end up being just as bad and the vast quicksand that finally drowns the Bush presidency and GOP dominance.

But again, the profound irony is that while they see Iraq as Bush's quagmire, it has become their own. Just as their self-made myths about Republicans stealing the election in 2000 drove them to a Norman Bates-esque frenzy, their delusional "Bush-lied" ravings have driven them to a blinding monomania.

If you doubt their collective neurosis, do a Nexis search and you'll discover their ingenuity at tying every issue -- John Bolton, Social Security, Wilson/Plame, Judge Roberts -- to Iraq. To them, almost everything the administration does is either to compensate for or divert attention from Iraq.

Columnist Arianna Huffington seems upset that even some of her fellow libs are not in sufficient lockstep on the antiwar message. In a column she takes to task jailed New York Times reporter Judy Miller for virtually conspiring with the Bush administration to exaggerate the case for Iraqi WMD in order to support his decision to attack Iraq.

According to Huffington, the real scandal behind Wilson/Plame is not even Karl Rove. No, it's the reprobates who sent us to war against Iraq. She quotes approvingly from flaming lib NYT columnist Frank Rich. "The real culprit," writes Rich, "is not Mr. Rove but the gang that sent American sons and daughters to war on trumped up grounds … That's why the stakes are so high: this scandal is about the unmasking of an ill-conceived war."

Amy Goodman, host of "Democracy Now," is even more hysterical. On MSNBC's "Hardball," she said Sen. Frist's decision to buck President Bush on embryonic stem cells was all about Iraq, which understandably left guest John Fund rolling his eyes in disbelief.

Goodman said, "I really do think this is much more connected to Iraq than Sen. Frist having a change of heart … Because, I think, right now the Republicans are trying to separate themselves at this point of this lame-duck presidency from the Bush administration's views on Iraq."

The Minneapolis Star Tribune and others have opposed John Bolton's U.N. ambassadorship not just because he was a meanie, but because he "sought to intimidate intelligence analysts who objected to conclusions about Iraq's WMD." Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid obviously agrees, saying in a floor statement, "you can see why we believe it is no small matter for us to learn whether Mr. Bolton was a party to other efforts to hype intelligence."

The Palm Beach Post asks, "Is [the president's] concentration on Social Security meant to divert attention from real crises in this country, such as … the mess in Iraq?"

The examples are endless, but suffice it to say that if Democrats don't wean themselves off their Iraq-only diet soon, even Hillary won't be able to pull their chestnuts out of the fire by 2008.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Aug, 2005 10:13 pm
nimh wrote:
JustWonders wrote:
<Carter polled at 39% approval in 1980>

Looks like Bush is getting awfully close...

Doing worse than he ever did.

Despite it not being the economic crisis time of the late seventies

Makes ya wonder


Makes "ya" wonder what?

We have a Republican president with a Republican controlled congress exercising power in a country that is roughly 50% Republican.

From a purely political standpoint what do the approval polls mean?

There is strength and weakness flowing from the fact that he will not run again. Strength in the sense that he need not curry favor with voting blocs as he makes decisions through 2008. Weakness in the sense that his political clout will be all but eliminated once he leaves office, and so to defy him now doesn't carry the same risks as it did in 2003.

Bush remains a favorite of the sort of Republicans who will vote in the 2008 primaries, and, by all signs, it is unlikely that this will change before 2008. Woe betide those Republican candidates who garner a reputation of being disloyal to him. Look to McCain -- somewhat weak in his Conservative bonafides he has, quite deliberately, become a strong supporter of a man with whom he has every reason to have a personal grudge.

There may be one or two candidates who attempt to take a path to the right of W, but they have virtually no chance of success.

Frist, in attempting to win some measure of moderate support (stem cell position reversal) has, through an unnecessarily hamfisted way, alienated the constituency he must have in the primaries. There will be but one McCain, and even if the senator from Arizona doesn't run, it will not be Frist.

Consider:

McCain has established a position with moderates (the legitimacy of which is a subject for another thread) and can be expected to quietly and subtly court the Right that is needed to win a nomination.

Frist has established a position with Conservatives, and seems to now be moving, albeit slowly, to the middle. Many a horse loses the Kentucky Derby by breaking too soon. Hillary Clinton may have the sort of lock with her side of the spectrum that enables her to court moderates before the primaries, but Frist, most certainly, does not.

So, returning to the main point, Bush maintains political power that transcends opinion polls. Of course this could change drastically in the off year 2006 elections. If the Democrats are able to win back congress, breaking with Bush will be seen as a political assist. However, if they do not---Bush will gather even greater political strength.

The interesting thing, to me, about these polls is how the desire to interpret them to the advantage of one's ideology seems to easily trump common sense.

How many times have we heard that polls which indicate that a "majority" of Americans are unhappy with the direction of the country are an absolute indicate of a lack of support for Bush?

I know quite a few people who are diehard supporters of Bush and yet still believe that the country (Thanks to the influence of the Left) is on the wrong track.

In the same vein, there may very well be quite a few Republicans who do not approve of W as president, but who would never vote for Hillary, or any other Liberal, for president.

Because Bush is a tenacious and combative chief executive, he is likely to hold on to his presidential power beyond what might be expected.

It is a mistake, which I hope all Liberals will make, to assume that Bush must become a Lame Duck, and to hope that it will be sooner than later.

These approval polls mean very little in a second term. And let's be honest...if we believed the president was making the right decisions (whether they be categorized as Left or Right) would we really care what the polls say? Would we not even be that little bit more proud of the guy because he bucked the polls?

The sort of back and forth on 2005 polls on A2K seems to have as much relevancy as arguments based on who is leading the American League East in June.
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Tue 2 Aug, 2005 11:37 pm
Finn, quick aside; do you really think Hillary has a shot at winning a nomination? I say no way. She'd no doubt have Bill in her corner and he'd no doubt do such an outstanding job of speaking on her behalf that no one would remember a word she said. While I've never been a Clinton fan, quite the opposite as you know, his incredible charisma would certainly leave her seeming ordinary, at best, to the uninformed masses that actually make such decisions. 2004 proved beyond a reasonable doubt that "I'm not Bush" doesn't get it done. That's before you even open the well stocked closet of skeletons the Clintons have left behind. Bill's surreal popularity (post-office) gave the likes of Kerry/Edwards a pass on that closet's damaging implications. Hillary could enjoy no such pass. I believe nominating Hillary would have the net effect of guaranteeing a republican successor. I believe the Dems next good shot will come with Obama or an embracing of Arnold with a crossover. Not being the Bush fan you are; I believe the Dems just proved they have no viable candidates. Of course that's just my opinion... I could be wrong.
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 03:32 am
The reason the Democrats seem to have no viable candidates is that the AM airwaves are filled with talk radio, which philosophically is an extension of the Republican National Committee.

While you personally might not listen to tak radio, the fact is these shows are basically instruction lectures on the political position of the conservatives. The listeners, filled with factoids to support conservative positons, go forth into the workplace and serve to frame the issues the Republicans' way. In many cases, the "issue" turns out to be a Republican attack on the Democratic nominee.

American politics used to be pretty well balanced, and a shift of a few percentage points yields large gains interms of House seats, Senate seats, and the Presidency. That is pretty much what happened.

Almost the entire AM radio band is filled up with Republican talk, and has been for years. Most towns have several stations broadcasting it. You are surprised the Republicans are doing well?

Democrats talk about Rove being such a genius, but I wonder. Anybody can formulate an attack on an opponent, but the trick is-can you make it stick? With the entire AM band devoted to motormuths repeating the attack over and over, it seems to me that Rove is not so much a genius as he is someone who has things working for him the Democrats do not have.

Unless something is done to change the situation, the Democrats will seemingly not have any viable candidates owing to the fact that their viability will be destroyed somewhere along the way by Republican attacks, echoed and amplified by a whole host of AM radio stations broadcasting the Republican view 24/7 in virtually every community.
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 06:52 am
Interesting, KW. Perhaps you'd like to expound on why Air America Talk Radio has tanked big time. Even in markets such as New York City and Boston, the ratings are a disaster.

Maybe the average person doesn't want to listen to a bunch of angry lefties basing Bush 24/7? That appears to be the only message they have.
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 07:15 am
Perhaps when the GOP wins 2/3 of both houses and the White House (very likely at some point in the future IMO) the Dems will wake up. Or not.


Quote:
Democrats need to hit the trifecta

Monday, August 01, 2005


COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Democrats gathered here last week to begin the hunt for three things vital to success in next year's congressional elections and the 2008 presidency -- party unity, a coherent message for middle America and a viable presidential candidate. It's a tough trifecta, they learned.

About the only thing Democrats here seemed united on was a deep dislike for President Bush. But that won't be enough, they were told by Al From, founder of the centrist Democratic Leadership Council, which organized this "national conversation."

Employing statistics from the national census and the 2004 presidential election, From hit his audience, including some 300 elected Democratic officials, with this grim picture of why he believes Democrats need a new act:

For every two Americans who say they're liberals, three are conservatives. Democrats lost 97 of the 100 fastest-growing counties in the country last year. Small cities and most suburbs buried the Democratic ticket. Ditto married couples with children. The Democratic vote among the Hispanic population fell 40 percent from 2000. And it collapsed among voters earning more than $40,000 a year.

Noting that Sen. John Kerry got a bigger vote among Democrats in losing than Bill Clinton did in winning, From declared that "the Democratic base is not big enough to win. The country is more conservative." Which is why GOP strategist Karl Rove prefers highly divisive elections emphasizing morally and socially sensitive wedge issues, he added.

How can Democrats win? With a tougher, pro-military stance on security, From said, and a platform that makes sense to both "the working class (labor) and the learning class (information workers and academia). Globalization of work is going to be a big issue over the next 10 years." And to capitalize on dissatisfaction with Washington -- and Bush -- Democrats, From said, must be the party of reform.

"Democrats must change," he said.

But change could put party unity to a severe test. That was apparent here in the angry reaction of several black participants to the heavy emphasis cultivating the Hispanic vote.

For decades Democrats have built their national campaigns around an electoral base that included a heavy black vote. But Hispanics, now the nation's largest minority, are seen increasingly by both parties as a key to electoral success. As From discovered, some blacks see the Hispanic rise as a zero-sum game -- the more Democrats court the Latino vote, the less they're likely to court African-Americans.

Mary Flowers, an African-American state representative from Illinois, delivered an impassioned speech warning Democrats they risk losing black voters to Republicans busy courting the black church vote. Still another black speaker complained that African-Americans, despite their long support for Democrats, "always get the short end of the stick." Of the DLC focus on Latinos, she said, "I'm offended."

Some liberals and a few black leaders, notably the Rev. Jesse Jackson, have long been critical of the DLC because of its closeness to corporate America -- the source of much of its money -- and its message that beating up on business is no way to create jobs. For example, Democratic National chairman Howard Dean, a darling of the party's vocal liberals, was a conspicuous absentee. He was invited, From said, but declined. A prior commitment, no doubt.

Even as the DLC was stressing Democratic unity here, a couple hundred miles away in Chicago unity was suffering a body blow. The giant AFL-CIO, a major labor supplier of money and manpower for Democratic candidates and causes, was breaking up. Some of the federation's largest and richest unions, including the Teamsters and the growing Service Employees union, pulled out over how the AFL-CIO uses its cash. The breakaway unions want more money devoted to signing up new members and less to direct politics -- which presumably means less labor cash for Democratic campaigns.

Then there's the quest for a winning presidential candidate which, considering the thin Democratic bench, is asking a lot. The usual suspects were on hand here -- Govs. Tom Vilsack of Iowa, the new DLC chairman, and Mark Warner of Virginia and U.S. Sens. Evan Bayh of Indiana and Hillary Clinton of New York. Vilsack, a low-keyed Midwesterner popular at home with a wonderful life story (he was an orphan), was impressive. But Hillary, as expected, stole the show, a potential downer for Democrats.

She's smart as any political figure in America. Her aborted drive for national health insurance a decade ago looks far-seeing today as corporations struggle to shed health care costs in the new global economy. But her public image as an over-the-top liberal, however inaccurate (she's a born-again moderate, even supporting Bush's war), is political poison. Democrats don't have a natural presidential candidate for one reason -- their loss of so many big state governorships over the last decade. California, Texas, New York and Florida, the megastates that might produce a national leader, all are led by Republican governors.

Unity, a message that makes sense, and a charismatic candidate -- it's a stretch.

Source
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 07:22 am
JW writes
Quote:
Interesting, KW. Perhaps you'd like to expound on why Air America Talk Radio has tanked big time. Even in markets such as New York City and Boston, the ratings are a disaster.

Maybe the average person doesn't want to listen to a bunch of angry lefties basing Bush 24/7? That appears to be the only message they have.


IMO, conservative talk radio sells because, apart from a very few newspapers with limited coverage, it is essentially the ONLY consistent media outlet that is not hostile to conservatives. Fox News Network has been successful because it is the ONLY television outlet that is not blatantly anti-conservative (thus it is damned as pro-Republican by lefties.) The lefties have NPR, AP, Reuters, most of the international media, most of the big city newspapers, and all of the alphabet channels to get plenty of anti-Republican, anti-Bush inference if not overt rhetoric.

IMO, that is why Bush's ratings are not better than they are. Considering how the deck is stacked against him, it is pretty amazing that he maintains as good an image as he does.

JW is right that mainstream America is not interested in daily angry, condemning, pessimistic diatribes. And so long as that is the Democrats' stock in trade, I think those engaging in it won't be winning a lot of elections in the foreseeable tuture.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 07:32 am
A question aside:

do a lot still listen to AM broadcasts?
(Here, since decades, it's all on FM and nowadays on digital radio.)
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 07:57 am
I listen to AM exclusively except for one easy listening and one classical music station that are on FM. I can't speak for anybody else here though.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 08:17 am
When I listen to the radio, I listen to AM (usually talk). Occasionally I'll listen to a classic rock station on FM (... most often when the one liberal talk show is on AM. )
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 08:21 am
Walter Hinteler wrote:
A question aside:

do a lot still listen to AM broadcasts?
(Here, since decades, it's all on FM and nowadays on digital radio.)


Not sure. I think some of the talk shows are on FM now, but I only listened a bit in the run up to the election, and those stations were on AM.

Personally, I think only hardcore political junkie-types listen to talk radio on a regular basis.

If I'm stuck in traffic, I prefer something soothing in the way of a CD and if I'm speeding down the highway (most always above the limit) I generally have a favorite fast-paced CD blaring. Same thing if I'm at home...I select music to suit my mood or sometimes to change my mood Smile
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 08:24 am
Thanks for your responses.

As a child - more than 40 years back - I listened the last time to AM. (You get most AM stations on FM as well ... or on digital radio, which I prefer.)
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 08:31 am
JustWonders wrote:
Interesting, KW. Perhaps you'd like to expound on why Air America Talk Radio has tanked big time. Even in markets such as New York City and Boston, the ratings are a disaster.

And Rush Limbaugh got his start in what-the early eighties? Mixing satire, humor, politics and focusing on a target-first Kennedy, then Clinton-Limbugh had well over a decade to refine his style.

Air America has just started. It takes time to refine one's style, and that is what is happening now. Whether it will be a success or not is open to question-it is possible that the radio format might favor conservatives.

Conservatives tend to have more authoritarian personalities, and react better when being talked at, (as opposed to having things discussed and a consensus emerging). Rush Limbaugh, for instance, audibly pounds the table when trying to make his points. This translates well into radio, where only sound is projected. Notice how badly conservative talk radio hosts do when they are given TV shows. Rush Limbaugh tanked twice. Dr. Laura burst onto the scene with much fanfare, and within months was relegated to the 3 AM time slot.

Her style, which seemed tough and no nonesense on radio, came across as shrill and insufferable once her face and body motions were added to the voice.

I frankly do not know if liberal talk radio will ever do as well as conservative talk radio, for conservatives and liberals frequently do have different personalities. At any rate, you cannot say after a just a couple of years whether it will or it won't. It takes time to build an audience.

If liberals cannot do better on radio, then if they want to bridge the gap, they have to find alternatives, such as cyberspace. Hence the war going on between conservative and liberal blogs.

The point is, and I repeat it, is that the conservatives have the upper hand in the mass media right now. The Democrats have to run a truly superior candidate-as Clinton was clearly superior to both Bush I and Dole-to overcome that edge the conservatives enjoy there. The Republican advantage in the popular media cannot guarantee a victory for the conservative candidate-only an edge the Democrat has to overcome. But when applied to 435 House seats adn 100 Senate seats over the course of years, that translated into a shift of power.
0 Replies
 
JustWonders
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 09:17 am
Air America Hires Dan Rather as Scandal Spokesman
by Scott Ott

(2005-08-03) -- Air America, the unabashedly liberal radio network plagued by allegations of high-level fraud and embezzlement of money meant to benefit children and Alzheimer's patients, today hired former CBS news anchor Dan Rather as the public relations 'point man' to serve as a spokesman for the network.

Al Franken, the former comedian who has become the voice of Air America, said the veteran CBS newsman brings "the appearance of credibility to an organization still struggling to establish its own facade of integrity with the American public."

Mr. Rather said he looks forward to "telling the true story" about the Air America executive who borrowed $800,000 from a Bronx, New York, agency which normally helps children and Alzheimer's patients.

"On the surface, I'll grant you, these charges look bad," said Mr. Rather. "But is there really that much difference between helping little children and helping the staff of Air America? And is it really malfeasance to take money intended for people who can't remember anything, and give it to a liberal radio network?"

Despite his employment agreement with Air America, Mr. Rather said, "If there has been any wrongdoing here, I want to break that story."

Network officials said Mr. Rather's six-figure Air America salary is funded by a loan from a nonprofit organization that grants wishes to dying children.

www.scrappleface.com

:wink:
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 09:21 am
Nice going, JW. When in doubt, press Favorites and go to Scrappleface.

Now that that is over, do you have any of your own thouights you care to relate, as opposed to the prepackaged satire you just fed us?
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 09:29 am
kelticwizard wrote:
Nice going, JW. When in doubt, press Favorites and go to Scrappleface.

Now that that is over, do you have any of your own thouights you care to relate, as opposed to the prepackaged satire you just fed us?


I take it you don't find it funny, KW? If you're having troubles, just jump over to a different thread with your sourpuss. Humor is normally allowed here ...

http://img185.exs.cx/img185/9153/setupz4gj.gif
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 09:31 am
It was rather clever and to the point satire too I thought.
0 Replies
 
kelticwizard
 
  1  
Reply Wed 3 Aug, 2005 09:35 am
Foxfyre wrote:
IMO, conservative talk radio sells because, apart from a very few newspapers with limited coverage, it is essentially the ONLY consistent media outlet that is not hostile to conservatives..... The lefties have NPR, AP, Reuters, most of the international media, most of the big city newspapers, and all of the alphabet channels to get plenty of anti-Republican, anti-Bush inference if not overt rhetoric.


What baloney. What happened during the buildup of the Iraq war?

The major media outlets did almost no skeptical reporting. They just lay down while the Administration and it's supporters did it's best to convince the nation that we were just weeks away from clouds of Saddam Husseins's poison gas enveloping whole states at a time. I have never seen such a servile period in American journalism in my life, as I saw in the buildup to Iraq. Unbelievable.

And why we are at it, exactly why is the major media giving Jeff Gannon/Guckert such a free ride? Here is a guy from a phony online newspaper who is not only admitted to White House press conferences to ask sympathetic questions to the president, he's also an admitted $300 an hour internet hooker who has an everyday pass to the White House. Even legit reporters from the AP and other established news organizations never get such a pass, even if they have been reporting for years and their credentials are impeccable.

Funny, you don't hear much about that-a $300 male prostitute with authorization to roam the White House at will. Who's he there for? Why does he have authorization to go places even legit people don't?

If that happened under a Democratic administration, the press whould be all over it. But under a Republican administration, it's "Oh well, it's just one of those things".
0 Replies
 
 

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