Hillary Ahead By 14 Points. Trump In A Tailspin.

I've often wondered why some men think such lewd symbols are useful. As a woman, I do know what healthy women who love healthy minded men think of such stunts. Do you suppose these poor souls think it makes them sound rugged or bad boyish? Ha, they will impress the sad sack gals who fawn over vulgar humps because the think that's all they deserve, so I suppose there is a lid for every pot.

"Jackass".

I have noticed that posters that have generally been pleasant to talk to, debate with have shifted into posting much more racists and misogynistic comments. Maybe they've always held those views, but their support for Trump has not made them better people IMO.

Slight change in today's BBC poll, Clinton remains on 49% but Trump moves up a point to 41%,

Since the day after the first debate, which was held on Sept 26, Hillary has gone up and all the others have gone down. The debate was the turning point where Hillary began to put Trump away. Check the chart:



Johnson, the Libertarian, supposedly was taking votes away from Trump. If that was true, when Johnson went down, Trump would go up. Instead, Johnson is headed down and so is Trump. Looks like both Johnson and Stein were taking votes from Hillary.

Another change in the BBC poll. Trump remains on 41% but Clinton climbs up to 51%.

That's an important climb. Generally, especially late in the race, if a candidate is going to move up he/she will do so among uncommitted voters. Getting voters who have already committed to one candidate to change to the other is something that is very very hard to do. That's why, late in the race, going over 50% in the polls is considered a milestone.

In any election, over here the Tories won with 36.9% of the vote.

You have a multi party presence over there. In 1992, Bill Conton won with 43% of the popular vote because Ross Perot took 19% of the popular vote. To this day Republicans try to claim that Ross Perot got almost all his 19% from George Bush, but that's provably false. The Republicans still believe it, though.

We do, but it's still just one of two parties that gets to run the country.

As I recall, there was a Liberal Democrat candidate not so many elections ago that made an impressive showing. Not enough to win, but a pretty big chunk of the votes. I think he was in the 20s for a percentage. Gordon Brown became Prime Minister in that election.

http://www.npr.org/2016/10/18/496926243/from-the-economy-to-race-see-where-the-candidates-stand-on-the-big-issues



follow the link for details on platform details

Individual candidates don't make an impression, it's a party thing. The only people who voted for Nick Clegg were his constituents.

Siding with the Tories came back to bite them on the arse, they went into meltdown last election. The effective 3rd party now is the Scottish Nationalists.

I followed the link, thanks ehBeth. Trump says he wants to keep Social Security and Medicare benefits, but I heard him say something else where he started agreeing with the Republican idea that you should only get these things if you have a low income. The link you gave apparently never heard that speech.

Moreover, there is pressure to cut benefits on both Social Security and Medicare, so even if Trump didn't mention that, he has a history of not delivering to people when it is expected. Can't trust Social Security or Medicare to somebody like that, he'll sell both programs out as soon as its politically convenient.

Another slight movement on the BBC poll. Clinton stays on 51% but Trump moves up a point to 42%.

Jaws Drop After Shocking Poll Shows Texas Is Now A Tossup State For Hillary Clinton
Source: politicususa






Jaws Drop After Shocking Poll Shows Texas Is Now A Tossup State For Hillary Clinton

By Jason Easley on Tue, Oct 18th, 2016 at 1:31 pm

A SurveyMonkey/Washington Post poll of 15 battleground states has some stunning news for Republicans. Hillary Clinton is within 2 points of Donald Trump as Texas has become a tossup.
Jaws Drop After Shocking Poll Shows Texas Is Now A Tossup State For Hillary Clinton

................




Republicans are not only losing Georgia, but they are also in danger of losing deep red Texas. If Republicans lose Texas, it will represent a total Trump led collapse for the GOP. This is the second poll in four days to reveal that Hillary Clinton is within striking distance of turning Texas blue.

The overall pattern of the map is clear...........................

Read more: http://www.politicususa.com/2016/10/18/jaws-drop-shocking-poll-shows-texas-tossup-state-hillary-clinton.html

Irish bookies already paying out $1M to people who bet Hillary Clinton would win
Source: CBC News

One of the world's biggest bookies is so sure that Hillary Clinton will win next month's U.S. presidential contest that it has already started paying bettors.

Paddy Power said Tuesday it will begin to pay out more than $1 million US to people with bets on its books in favour of Clinton, whose odds of winning have risen so high that a bettor would have to put up $11 just to win $2. In decimal terms, that implies the wife of former president Bill Clinton has better than an 84 per cent chance of victory.

That's in keeping with some recent polls, with Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight.com currently predicting an 85 per cent chance of victory for the Democrats, based on a compendium of different polls.

"With national polls showing a healthy lead for the Democratic candidate and Donald Trump's campaign running into scandal after scandal, Paddy Power believes it's a done deal and that Hillary is a nailed-on certainty to occupy the Oval Office," Paddy Power, based in Ireland, said about the Republican nominee.

Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/paddy-power-presidential-betting-1.3810006

Clinton holds clear advantage in new battleground polls
Source: Washington Post

Based on the results from the 15 state surveys, along with assumptions of the likely outcomes in other states that have consistently voted for one party or the other, Clinton, the Democratic nominee, holds leads of four percentage points or more among likely voters in states that add up to 304 electoral votes.

Trump, the GOP nominee, has the advantage in states with an estimated electoral vote total of 138. Arizona, Florida, Ohio and Texas, which account for 96 electoral votes, remain as toss-ups. All results in the 15 state surveys are based on ballot tests that include Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein.

The results underscore the importance for Trump of Wednesday’s final presidential debate, in Las Vegas. National polls have moved in Clinton’s direction since the exchanges began in late September. Her current average margin is seven points in polling averages from the Huffington Post Pollster and RealClearPolitics. The most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll put her national lead over Trump at four points.

The effect of the shift toward Clinton in national polls is evident in the new 15-state study. In late August, The Post, using SurveyMonkey’s online methodology, conducted individual polls in all 50 states among registered voters. At that time, Clinton led in states that added up to 244 electoral votes, while Trump led in states accounting for 126. Toss-up states equaled 168 electoral votes.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/clinton-holds-clear-advantage-in-new-battleground-polls/2016/10/18/2885e3a0-94a6-11e6-bc79-af1cd3d2984b_story.html?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_poll-1240pm%3Ahomepage%2Fstory

Oh, my...

from today's Guardian re what happens this Thursday:

clip
While the debates have been marked by a bitterness bordering on contempt, Clinton and Trump will meet again at a decidedly more low-key venue on Thursday.

Both candidates are scheduled to attend the Alfred E Smith dinner, an annual fundraiser for Catholic charities in New York, less than 24 hours after they share the debate stage. The two will sit on either side of Cardinal Timothy Dolan at the white tie gala.
End/clip

I'm trying to picture it..

Yes, they have that every election. It's no big deal.

I'm a little surprised that the candidates manage to take time out from the campaign to attend, but they do.