80
   

When will Hillary Clinton give up her candidacy ?

 
 
georgeob1
 
  0  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 09:47 pm
@snood,
Some questions don't merit answers. Obama has demonstrated somewhat different standards for police behavior in cases where the prsumed offender was Black, compared to other like situations. He has been very outspoken in cases in which Black men have been injured or killed by police but strangely silent when police officers were assasinated without apparent provocastion by black men. Intolerance works both ways.

Demanding the definition of a common word used in an utterly unambiguous way is an attempt at rhetorical bullying, that simply doesn't merit a response from a serious person.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  5  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 09:56 pm
@georgeob1,
Quote:
You are not the judge of that. Perhaps you are too accustomed to dealing with easily intimidated people.

I have no intention of trying to intimidate you or anyone. I am trying to get you to follow a standard intellectual protocol - defining the terms you use so that discussion can be profitable and thinking made clear.

I have taken a considerable amount of time and care on this thread to define that term and to differentiate it from other similar terms (marketing, public relations). I've described how it carried certain benign meanings before world war two and how it gained new and more negative connotations after the war. I wrote about the important role of Edward Bernays in this story. He was Freud's nephew and one of the most influential persons in the history of American marketing (and whose book "Propaganda" was found in Goebbels' library).

You've accused me, a number of times now, of propagandizing. I've not made this charge against you. Because I don't think you are guilty of it.
blatham
 
  2  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 09:59 pm
@McGentrix,
Quote:
But, you and your party misunderestimated him and the American voter

My error was in thinking he wouldn't do as well as he did in a general. And I certainly didn't think the SC would act as it did. And I did not perceive that Cheney would take the reigns. But on the rest of it, no, I did not underestimate him.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  2  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 10:23 pm
@blatham,
I'm generally careful to label my (frequently expressed) opinions and beliefs as such, leaving their merit and weight to whatever the reader may think of them, all while recognizing that many won't agree. The resulting disagreement is generally OK with me, as my opinions are my own. Moreover every now and then the disagreement induces me to learn something new.

Sprinkling one's expression of opinions with references to carefully selected other authors (of generally like minds) and the lot of name dropping that often goes with it can be a rhetorical device for deception, particularly involving the selection of the authors and opinions one uses. That can be a form of propaganda in that it dresses opinion up with the mask of authority it often doesn't merit, and does so to suit a particular purpose. I believe you do that a great deal.

If you would balance you rhetoric with equally supported alternate perspectives and make an effort to objectively evaluate the differences, that would be another matter. I find that a bit tedious so I simply state my opinions as such, sometimes indicating the general basis for my beliefs but leaving it to the reader to judge. These opinions are often rejected, but that is the reader's right, so I pass it by.

I can't think of an occasion in which I have used the phrase "intellectual protocol". I sounds a bit pretentious to me.

blatham
 
  1  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 10:31 pm
Oh, this one is wonderful...
While promoting his book “The Art of the Deal,” [Trump] made sure to note that “the Bible blows it away. There’s nothing like the Bible.” http://bit.ly/1KolFqy
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 10:41 pm
@georgeob1,
Quote:
If you would balance you rhetoric with equally supported alternate perspectives

In fact, over the last two weeks, I have quoted and linked to the National Review and the Weekly Standard. Multiple times. I have posted links to youtube videos of William Buckley with Woody Allen and also to a Firing Line show with Buckley, Hitchens and a conservative paper editor. My commentary attending those videos was positive.

Have you brought into these discussions quotes and links from Salon? From Talking Points Memo? From Media Matters?

I do bring in a lot of pieces written by others who are way smarter than me and who know much more about a range of political matters in the US. I'm not here to have pissing contests. I'm here to share information and to learn. When I bring in a piece, it is because I find the content to be important or know the author to have integrity. Predominantly, that will be voices I agree with. That's not propaganda. That is forwarding opinion and doing so with background material.
Blickers
 
  2  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 11:22 pm
@cicerone imposter,
Quote cicerone imposter:
Quote:
He [Jerry Falwell] graduated from Brookville High School in Lynchburg, and from the then- unaccredited Baptist Bible College in Springfield, Missouri in 1956.

That would be Jerry Fallwell Sr., who passed away some years ago. That Baptist Bible College is now accredited. Besides, the percentage of people who graduated high school in the early fifties who went onto college was very low-he probably went farther than most of the people he grew up with.

His son, Jerry Falwell Jr, who made the statement about Trump being like his father, was born in 1962, went to Liberty University which his father founded, and graduated from the University of Virginia Law School.
0 Replies
 
Blickers
 
  1  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 11:29 pm
@cicerone imposter,
Quote cicerone imposter, about an Italian student remembering foreign leaders:
Quote:
Why Rob Ford of Toronto?


You remember Mayor Rob Ford of Toronto. He was the fellow who admitted being drunk at a party and doing cocaine. When the city council asked him to remove himself because of drug use, he told them no, he was elected and he's staying. One thing I have to hand to him is that he had a refreshingly direct manner. In response to an allegation of making an inappropriate remark to a female, he had this to say to reporters:
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Mon 18 Jan, 2016 11:44 pm
@blatham,
blatham wrote:

Quote:
I recognize that it's axiomatic for many here to believe that in the absence of a government managed program for anything, there is nothing available.

False. I doubt there is anyone at all here who thinks that is so. As I've noted before, all the economies of the western industrialized world are mixed economies, including the US. All redistribute wealth and all have progressive taxation. All, or certainly most, have social programs more generous than the US. Etc.

But let me put this challenge to you. Please identify a broadly successful and relatively free nation that exists anywhere now or that existed in the past which matches your notion of an optimal governmental arrangement. If you cannot do that, then explain how/why you imagine such a think will work.


A serious question here and I will attempt to answer it.

In the first place countries/nationas are not interchangeable and comparisons that require that other unrelated factors be equal are almost never met. For example Norway, Canadam Australia and Venezuela are nations with abundant natural resources relative to their populations. As long as those extraction industries provide sufficient export income relative to their populations, generous social welfare programs are sustainable. History teaches us that in the long run this can be a dangerous policy, depending on the cultural norms of the country doing it. It hasn't worked very well for Venezuela - even the extraction industries that have fed them have fallen victim to low productivity (in addition to falling prices).

The historical and cultural norms of countries vary in ways that affect economic productivity. The work ethic of Germans (say) is a bit different from that of (say) the native population of French Polynesia (or those of contemporary Greece). These differences are likely the result of many factors ranging from the challenges posed by the natural environment to other more complex cultural ones. Nonetheless thaey make some things that are possible in one place quite impossible in another.

Countries vary in their adaptabiulity and willingness to accept immigrants and allow their ambition and energy to create new economic activity. Demographic differences in countries have obvious profound effects on economic life and the viability of the very social welfare systems you tout so often. In this vein it is worth noting that given the demographic trends already evident among developed nations it is already evident that the norms for Western European social welfare systems are no longer sustainable. Indeed combined with the cultural and population pressures from nearby, densely populated and younger nations it is evident that Europe now faces a threat it is not able to contain without severe dislocation of its economic and political systems.

I could go on, but I hope you get the point here. Most of the political disputes that go on here hardly scratch even the obvious surface elements of the problems they presume to examine with such unfounded and often ponderous pretension.
Blickers
 
  2  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 12:11 am
@georgeob1,
Quote georgeob1:
Quote:
In this vein it is worth noting that given the demographic trends already evident among developed nations it is already evident that the norms for Western European social welfare systems are no longer sustainable. Indeed combined with the cultural and population pressures from nearby, densely populated and younger nations it is evident that Europe now faces a threat it is not able to contain without severe dislocation of its economic and political systems.


Still on that, huh? The long term problems you insist that Europe has, they don't really have. Their inflation adjusted GDP per capita rate was doing quite nicely until 2008, and they haven't recovered yet. They are now taking steps to recover, and once they do there is no good reason to think they cannot go on like before.
http://cdn.tradingeconomics.com/charts/euro-area-gdp-per-capita.png?s=emunygdppcapkd&v=201601121645m&d1=19160101&d2=20161231
blatham
 
  2  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 04:53 am
What follows here is the first four graphs from conservative columnist David Brooks today...
Quote:
Members of the Republican governing class are like cowering freshmen at halftime of a high school football game. Some are part of the Surrender Caucus, sitting sullenly on their stools resigned to the likelihood that their team is going to get crushed. Some are thinking of jumping ship to the Trump campaign with an alacrity that would make rats admire and applaud.

Rarely has a party so passively accepted its own self-destruction. Sure, Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are now riding high in some meaningless head-to-head polls against Hillary Clinton, but the odds are the nomination of either would lead to a party-decimating general election.

The Tea Party, Ted Cruz’s natural vehicle, has 17 percent popular support,
according to Gallup. The idea that most women, independents or mainstream order-craving suburbanites would back a guy who declares his admiration for Vladimir Putin is a mirage. The idea that the G.O.P. can march into the 21st century intentionally alienating every person of color is borderline insane.

Worse is the prospect that one of them might somehow win. Very few presidents are so terrible that they genuinely endanger their own nation, but Trump and Cruz would go there and beyond. Trump is a solipsistic branding genius whose “policies” have no contact with Planet Earth and who would be incapable of organizing a coalition, domestic or foreign.


And then there is this...
Quote:
As the political scientist Matthew MacWilliams has found, the key trait that identifies Trump followers is authoritarianism.
http://nyti.ms/1PCSK3D
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 04:59 am
@georgeob1,
Powerful point about the slippery shape of this particular, prevalent form of propaganda. Seems to be blooming profusely on these pages lately.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 05:40 am
And from another conservative this morning, Michael Gerson...
Quote:
For the good of the Republican party, both Trump and Cruz must lose

...We are already seeing the disturbing normalization of policies and arguments that recently seemed unacceptable, even unsayable. Trump proposes the forced expulsion of 11 million people, or a ban on Muslim immigration, and there are a few days of outrage from responsible Republican leaders. But the proposals still lie on the table, eventually seeming regular and acceptable.

But they are not acceptable. They are not normal. They are extreme, and obscene and immoral. The Republican nominee — for the sake of his party and his conscience — must draw these boundaries clearly.

Ted Cruz is particularly ill-equipped to play this role. He is actually more of a demagogue than an ideologue. So he has changed his views on immigration to compete with Trump — and raised the ante by promising that none of the deported 11 million will ever be allowed back in the country. Instead of demonstrating the humane instincts of his Christian faith — a faith that motivated abolition and the struggle for civil rights — Cruz is presenting the crueler version of a pipe dream.
http://wapo.st/1RxwSwF
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  2  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 06:20 am
Quote:
The Secrets of Charles Koch’s Political Ascent
Two new documents reveal the political blueprint the billionaire developed 40 years ago, heavily influenced by the ultraconservative John Birch Society.
By Jane Mayer
1/18/2016
http://politi.co/1RxASxk
I'm just reading this now. Here's one passage...
Quote:
Around the same time, an obscure conference subsidized by Charles Koch laid out much of the road map for the Kochs’ future attempted takeover of American politics. In 1976, with a contribution of some $65,000 from Charles Koch, the Center for Libertarian Studies in New York City was launched and soon held a conference featuring several leading lights of the libertarian movement. Among those delivering papers on how the fringe movement could obtain genuine power was Charles Koch. The papers are striking in their radicalism, their disdain for the public and their belief in the
necessity of political subterfuge
.


And the final graph...
Quote:
Reading the papers from 40 years ago, it’s not hard to recognize the Koch political movement we see today—a vast and complex network of donors, think tanks and academic programs largely cloaked in secrecy and presented as philanthropy, leaving almost no money trail that the public can trace. And it’s these techniques Charles first championed decades ago that helped build his political faction—one so powerful that it turned fringe ideas William F. Buckley once dismissed as “Anarcho-Totalitarianism” into a private political machine that grew to rival the Republican Party itself.


This is a MUST READ.



0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 06:46 am
From Bloomburg...
Quote:
Republican Operatives Are Trying to Help Bernie Sanders
http://bloom.bg/1U9cwaM

Well, duh. No kidding.
blatham
 
  3  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 08:13 am
@georgeob1,
Quote:
A serious question here and I will attempt to answer it.


But you really haven't, george. I asked...
Quote:
Please identify a broadly successful and relatively free nation that exists anywhere now or that existed in the past which matches your notion of an optimal governmental arrangement.

And then offered up an option if reflection provided you with no exemplar..

Quote:
If you cannot do that, then explain how/why you imagine such a think will work.

On this, you've said nothing. What you have written is a sort of explanation of why you couldn't field those two questions as they were asked.

You insist, again, that European economies are failing. You said that a decade ago. But they have not. This claim is a commonplace in right wing media and ideology. It continues to hold sway not merely because it is repeated but because it MUST be so. A key element of modern conservatism's ideology is invalidated if nations with progressive systems succeed.

You say, correctly of course, that nations are different in values and culture and circumstance. Nations with resources are more fortunate and can afford their citizens with more. Nations with a culture that values work or prudence are more fortunate because those systems will be more productive and gain greater overall wealth. Yes. Nations that experience immigration, of certain sorts, can be advantaged or disadvantaged depending on the nature of that immigration. Sure. All of these factors and others reveal the complexity of any modern state, you say. Indeed.

But none of that answers my questions to you. Implicit in the way you've tried to talk about this is a notion or notions about how the US is unique. I suspect you're suggesting that the "libertarian" tendencies in US culture make acceptance of progressive policies less broadly agreeable than perhaps any other nation. That might be so. Conservatives have said that to me before and usually the attending meaning or claim being, "We love liberty more than anybody else". But that is a very narrow and question-begging definition or perception of "liberty". And also of "democracy". What if the majority of citizens evolve a social contract that accepts and desires progressive policies? Is that necessarily an illegitimate outcome? Is that where democracy must be curtailed or be seen to fail?

I have asked those two questions to conservatives before. The only time I got a direct answer was from on chap at NRO who insisted that there was a clear example of a nation and time where the correct political system was in place - the US before the great depression. I brought up the widespread poverty, children working in factories, pollution, incredibly unsafe working conditions (Triangle Shirtwaist Building fire), great inequalities in wealth and power, the physical repression (including thousands of beatings and murders) or workers trying to organize, etc etc. He was unmoved, not least because he really didn't know much if anything about the period he was lauding.

As you know, I'm very fond of you personally. I think you a good guy with a good heart. But we somehow don't manage, in this area, to speak using the same language. I think I really have no option but to behead you with garden tools.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  -1  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 09:19 am
@Blickers,
You have a remarkable ability to misinterpret the data on the charts you present here and to fail also to consider their values relative to others.

In an earlier riposte you gave us a chart of Japan's real GDP history, but failed utterly to note the abrupt change in the slope of the rise that occurred in 1991. This was an event much noted and written about in the world press and it indicated what has widely been termed a stagnation in their economic growth. Japan has an economy heavily propped up by government spending, accompanied by very high levels of public debt, a fast ageing population, and an unwillingness to accept immigrants. In their favor they have a very cohesive national culture and the fact that most of their public debt is held by the Japanese people themselves - they are less exposed to foreign bondholders than most indebted countries. For the past 25 years their economic growth has been very low. Some advances have been made in the last few years by the current government but much more is needed.

Now in the most recent chart you have again failed to note the very tepid recovery from the 2007 crash that has occurred throughout most of Europe. This is quite evident in the chart you presented, though you failed to note it. (Our recovery has been very slow compared to our historical norms, but theirs has been far slower.) You may have read about the chronic problems of slow growth and high levels of public debt that have plagued the economies of Greece, Spain, Portugual, Italy over the past few years. It is not an imaginary phenomenon, and several of these nations face grave economic problems. Moreover in many areas of Europe there is a high level of public dissatisfaction and resistence to much needed measures to stimulate economic growth and reduce public expenditures thay often shows up in terms of various national initiatives in defiance of various EU mandates. All of this is exacerbated now by the population, cultural and political pressures currently being inflicted on Europe by the turmoil among their neighbors to the south.

Your ability to look up and extract charts from various web sites is commendable, but your understanding of what you find and present here appears to be deficient.
georgeob1
 
  0  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 09:47 am
@blatham,
Blatham,
You and I share many common interests, but we have different tastes in our reading and information sources. I don't frequent any of the political commentary web sites you listed and I spend relatively little time watching TV news sources . Frankly I find them repetitive,and laced with hyperbole. I do read the WSJ daily and occasionally the NYT for my news. I generally read a great deal but that is mostly focused on history, which is a particular interest, and a collection of topics that interest me, ranging from (lately) geology (I have a bunch of geologists who work for me and got tired of their arcane jargon and decided to learn something about it.) to some topics in physics in areas in which I have found lately that my memory of understanding has become better than the fact of it.

I'll acknowledge I didn't attempt to address some of the very particular questions you put to me, seeing them as an attempt to unilaterally direct our dialogue, but I did seriously address what I believe is the essential area of our disagreement here.
ehBeth
 
  2  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 10:38 am
@blatham,
we see that very thing happening on this board

it would be fascinating if it wasn't so troubling
Blickers
 
  6  
Tue 19 Jan, 2016 10:38 am
@georgeob1,
Quote georgeob1:
Quote:
Japan and Europe have been in the grip of economic stagnation for decades - I wouldn't bet a lot on their futures.


Quote georgeob1:
Quote:
In an earlier riposte you gave us a chart of Japan's real GDP history, but failed utterly to note the abrupt change in the slope of the rise that occurred in 1991. This was an event much noted and written about in the world press and it indicated what has widely been termed a stagnation in their economic growth.

Stagnation means growth has essentially stopped. As this inflation-adjusted GDP per capita chart indicated, growth in Japan slowed somewhat since 1991 but didn't come anywhere near stopping. It is irrelevant what was "widely reported" as stagnation, after 1991 stagnation did not occur, as the chart indicates.

http://cdn.tradingeconomics.com/charts/japan-gdp-per-capita.png?s=jpnnygdppcapkd&v=201601121629m&d1=19160101&d2=20161231

Now to re-post the chart of Europe.
http://cdn.tradingeconomics.com/charts/euro-area-gdp-per-capita.png?s=emunygdppcapkd&v=201601121645m&d1=19160101&d2=20161231

Quote georgeob1:
Quote:
Now in the most recent chart you have again failed to note the very tepid recovery from the 2007 crash that has occurred throughout most of Europe.

Whoa! What happened to the decades long stagnation you claimed Europe was in? Now you've switched to saying it was failure to recover from the 2007 crash. Quite a switch there, George.

Fact is, both Japan and Europe were doing fine until the 2008 crash, a fact which I noted in my original post here: http://able2know.org/topic/275175-165#post-6109684
Quote Blickers:
Quote:
All in all, it would appear these two areas' biggest problem is that they haven't recovered from the recession as well as we have-they seemed to be doing okay before that.


George, you have a talent for stating something entirely wrong, then when visual proof is supplied that your statements were wrong, you post analyses which assume your original statements are true even though the proof of their inaccuracy is staring the reader in the face.

I say let the reader decide. Do these charts indicate that growth had stopped in Japan and Europe for several decades? If the answer is yes, then congratulate George on his analysis. If the answer is no, then you can realize George is wrong, along with all the analyses he has posted based on his wrong assumptions.



0 Replies
 
 

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