47
   

Two weeks into Occupy Wall Street protests, movement is at a crossroads

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 12:57 pm
I believe that those who think these protests are nothing more than hippies and college kids are badly mistaken.

http://img404.imageshack.us/img404/8210/owsl.jpg

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
High Seas
 
  2  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 12:59 pm
@hawkeye10,
If you're old enough to go to college and borrow for that purpose (recall, these aren't loans that can be discharged in bankruptcy) then you're old enough to look up the GAO investigations on deceptive and illegal practices. You can find that link on your own, I guess, so here's an excerpt from the GAO report:
Quote:
Undercover tests at 15 for-profit colleges found that 4 colleges encouraged fraudulent practices and that all 15 made deceptive or otherwise questionable statements to GAO's undercover applicants. Four undercover applicants were encouraged by college personnel to falsify their financial aid forms to qualify for federal aid--for example, one admissions representative told an applicant to fraudulently remove $250,000 in savings. Other college representatives exaggerated undercover applicants' potential salary after graduation and failed to provide clear information about the college's program duration, costs, or graduation rate despite federal regulations requiring them to do so. For example, staff commonly told GAO's applicants they would attend classes for 12 months a year, but stated the annual cost of attendance for 9 months of classes, misleading applicants about the total cost of tuition. Admissions staff used other deceptive practices, such as pressuring applicants to sign a contract for enrollment before allowing them to speak to a financial advisor about program cost and financing options.
0 Replies
 
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 01:26 pm
@hawkeye10,
Don't be silly, I am advocating context and nuance, not appeals to such extremes. I do not think that if it is not pitch black it must be white, that is the very kind of thinking I decry.
0 Replies
 
Finn dAbuzz
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 01:28 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:


There's a large difference here, in that banks and investment houses have a wide variety of options available for making money. They were not forced to take ever-increasing risks in order to continue their business. For many who attend college, however, there is no other option than to take loans out.

Not as large as you would have it.

You're right, the firms that responded to governmental pressure and incentives to try and find a way to make money on bad risks and survive the downside, did not have to do so. They could have resisted the pressure and ignored the incentives. They would have seen their profits decrease significantly and subjected themselves to takeover efforts or shareholder suits, but they could have continued to exist as businesses. The choice was not flatly existential

The choice for students wasn't either. Certainly their lives would have continued if they withdrew from school rather than taking out loans, and not at all necessarily in a ruined sense. They even could have continued their education in an unconventional but still substantive way.

Neither group had their decisions forced upon them, and it's not fair to suggest that the motives for making these decisions were on the one hand solely motivated by greed and on the other solely motivated by personal growth and development.

For all we know, the young woman who took out the loans that are now crushing her did so not because she was committed to continuing her education and obtaining her degree, but because she very much enjoyed the social life at college and didn't want it to end, or her boyfriend was also taking out a loan to remain enrolled, or she would have been too embarrassed to tell her friends back home that wasn't able to stick it out.


I think BOTH groups should be held responsible for their decisions, regardless of the motivations or logic that lead to their earlier decisions. The girl who took out loans should pay them back, and the bankers investors who took giant risks in the name of profits should be held responsible for the destruction that has been brought about by their doing so - something which certainly hasn't happened.

We very much agree in principle but I think we might not agree on what "held responsible" precisely means.

To re-focus on the overall point of the thread,

The protestors should begin to winnow their concerns down to something very easy to understand and repeat: Privatized profits and Socialized losses cannot continue to exist. It benefits society in no way for such a situation to exist - only a tiny segment of people benefit from this. In order to keep this from happening in the future, the structure of the banking and investment system in our country must be changed, so that businesses who fail, fail - without destroying our markets and country in the process.

The devil is always in the detail, but again we very much agree in principle

As for the personal, anti-wealthy attitude that many of them seem caught up on, those concerns should be narrowed as well; removal of the foolish rules which allow the wealthiest to pay almost nothing in taxes whatsoever. This would affect only a handful of people, but restore a sense of fairness to an essentially screwed tax system.

To the extent that there are a handful of extremely wealthy people paying almost nothing in taxes, we again agree, but I suspect that there is a whole lot of room for disagreement within this subject.

I don't know what it says or means, but it's interesting that we can at least appear to be in such close agreement on these matters. Of course, sooner or later, my delusion of divine right or your egg shell fragile ego will split us asunder once more.
Cycloptichorn

Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 01:42 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
There's a large difference here, in that banks and investment houses have a wide variety of options available for making money. They were not forced to take ever-increasing risks in order to continue their business.


Well lets not forget about what the government did to the market to make this happen. They may not have been forced to take such risks but were most certainly incentivized to do so by government policy.

70% of the sub-prime mortgages were held by companies that the government required to have increasing quotas of loans going to sub-average income homes. The government was very aggressively promoting home ownership to poor people, and even companies that were not required to do this were operating in this marketplace and having to compete with them.

Make no mistake, the sub-prime craze was started by the government thinking that home ownership for the poor was something that they needed to increase, and this opinion did not change in the face of the subsequent decrease in the affordability of the homes.

Wall Street Journal wrote:
From: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB122212948811465427.html

Beginning in 1992, the government required Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to direct a substantial portion of their mortgage financing to borrowers who were at or below the median income in their communities. The original legislative quota was 30%. But the Department of Housing and Urban Development was given authority to adjust it, and through the Bill Clinton and George W. Bush administrations HUD raised the quota to 50% by 2000 and 55% by 2007.

It is certainly possible to find prime borrowers among people with incomes below the median. But when more than half of the mortgages Fannie and Freddie were required to buy were required to have that characteristic, these two government-sponsored enterprises had to significantly reduce their underwriting standards.

Fannie and Freddie were not the only government-backed or government-controlled organizations that were enlisted in this process. The Federal Housing Administration was competing with Fannie and Freddie for the same mortgages. And thanks to rules adopted in 1995 under the Community Reinvestment Act, regulated banks as well as savings and loan associations had to make a certain number of loans to borrowers who were at or below 80% of the median income in the areas they served.

Research by Edward Pinto, a former chief credit officer of Fannie Mae (now a colleague of mine at the American Enterprise Institute) has shown that 27 million loans—half of all mortgages in the U.S.—were subprime or otherwise weak by 2008. That is, the loans were made to borrowers with blemished credit, or were loans with no or low down payments, no documentation, or required only interest payments.

Of these, over 70% were held or guaranteed by Fannie and Freddie or some other government agency or government-regulated institution. Thus it is clear where the demand for these deficient mortgages came from.

The huge government investment in subprime mortgages achieved its purpose. Home ownership in the U.S. increased to 69% from 65% (where it had been for 30 years). But it also led to the biggest housing bubble in American history. This bubble, which lasted from 1997 to 2007, also created a huge private market for mortgage-backed securities (MBS) based on pools of subprime loans.


Not only did these government policies most contribute towards creating the housing bubble but these government enterprises (Fannie, Freddie) also pretty much created the MBS market too. In 1995 the government gave them tax incentives to buy MBS that included loans to low-income buyers. And let's not stop there, the government also pursued a variety of other financial policies (low interest rates etc) that made real estate one of the only attractive outlets for speculation.

Now again, my point isn't that it's all the government's fault and that they bear no responsibility for their mistakes, but that the governments actions dramatically incentivized their behavior and that if you criticize them for not exploring other ways of making money that you should at least acknowledge the government's role in motivating them to take increasing risks to increase the "Ownership Society" they were pushing.

Quote:
For many who attend college, however, there is no other option than to take loans out.


I personally find that to be a generally bad idea but I am biased. I have no formal education and consequently no debt for it. Most of those I know who are struggling with their education debt do not seem to have extracted corresponding value out of their degrees. This is actually something I think is a big systemic problem that needs to be addressed. Higher education needs to be much more accessible in America, right now it seems to be a losing value proposition.

But I am not the one criticizing their decisions either, what my point was is that just as you can't take that person's situation and remove the appropriate market context it doesn't make sense to act like the other side of it also happened in a vacuum, without the market context.


Quote:
I think BOTH groups should be held responsible for their decisions, regardless of the motivations or logic that lead to their earlier decisions. The girl who took out loans should pay them back, and the bankers investors who took giant risks in the name of profits should be held responsible for the destruction that has been brought about by their doing so - something which certainly hasn't happened.


We aren't in disagreement here, but we differ in accessing responsibility with the appropriate nuance and detail. I think the vilification of the rich is letting a large amount of responsibility (namely the systemic failure of our government in their role to regulate this, and the financial policies they pursued that incentivized it) off the hook.


Quote:
To re-focus on the overall point of the thread,

The protestors should begin to winnow their concerns down to something very easy to understand and repeat: Privatized profits and Socialized losses cannot continue to exist. It benefits society in no way for such a situation to exist - only a tiny segment of people benefit from this. In order to keep this from happening in the future, the structure of the banking and investment system in our country must be changed, so that businesses who fail, fail - without destroying our markets and country in the process.


I disagree with the core policy you are advocating here. To take it from where you have stated it elsewhere and summarize it: you want them to be allowed to fail, and if too big to fail you want them broken up.

I disagree with this policy, I do not think allowing the banks to fail would have been a good economic idea (in fact I think just letting the first one happen was one of the biggest mistakes as the crisis unfolded, it is what set off the panic part of the crisis). I also disagree that breaking up the banks is the right solution.

I propose a solution that I think addresses the core of your problem though: socialized losses. If the public needs to bail out a bank, the public should take full control over it in the process. The bank should then not be privatized except when it is in the interests of the public.

The big problem was that the bailouts came with very little in way of strings, and very little in way of leverage for the public. The bailouts just need to come with real strings and conditions, and privatization is an easy way to codify this.

Quote:
As for the personal, anti-wealthy attitude that many of them seem caught up on, those concerns should be narrowed as well; removal of the foolish rules which allow the wealthiest to pay almost nothing in taxes whatsoever. This would affect only a handful of people, but restore a sense of fairness to an essentially screwed tax system.


I think that definitely makes a lot of sense for their cause. But then again, the government has plenty of money being wasted on war, why not use some of that for their goals? Targeting a reduction in war spending has the added benefits of both not raising taxes during a recession as well as the whole not killing other people thing.

Insofar as my goals are concerned, that's a twofer.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 02:00 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Well, I think the WSJ is the least trustworthy source on this issue you could possibly link to. I strongly suggest that you check out the piece I posted in response to George, wherein the Dallas Fed looked at this very question and came to a very different conclusion than the WSJ. The WSJ conveniently fails to mention that a huge percentage of the 'toxic' loans that were handed out came from mortgage brokers like Countrywide - who were bound by none of the regulations that the WSJ talks about at all.

Quote:
I propose a solution that I think addresses the core of your problem though: socialized losses. If the public needs to bail out a bank, the public should take full control over it in the process. The bank should then not be privatized except when it is in the interests of the public.

The big problem was that the bailouts came with very little in way of strings, and very little in way of leverage for the public. The bailouts just need to come with real strings and conditions, and privatization is an easy way to codify this.


Gasp! Socialism!

Not that I disagree with you, but you'd have a more difficult time selling this solution in the current political environment than one in which banks were simply broken into pieces, and then allowed to continue doing business as normal.

Cycloptichorn

Robert Gentel
 
  2  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 02:25 pm
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Well, I think the WSJ is the least trustworthy source on this issue you could possibly link to..


If that is so, you should be able to dispute the message and not focus on the messenger. Dispute my claims, not my sources.

Quote:
I strongly suggest that you check out the piece I posted in response to George, wherein the Dallas Fed looked at this very question and came to a very different conclusion than the WSJ.


What specific claims do you dispute. I don't doubt that the WSJ is not your favorite publication but this is just an illogical ad hominem where you shoot the messenger instead of addressing any specific qualm with the message.

Quote:
The WSJ conveniently fails to mention that a huge percentage of the 'toxic' loans that were handed out came from mortgage brokers like Countrywide - who were bound by none of the regulations that the WSJ talks about at all.


So what? That does nothing at all to address the claim. The claim is that the government hugely incentivized this behavior through requirements that ever-increasing quotas of mortgages go to people with low-income and by giving tax breaks when they purchased mortgage-backed securities that included such loans to low-income homes.

You just don't like the focus on this, the tone. But you can't dispute this central claim because it is true, regardless of who the messenger is.

Quote:
Gasp! Socialism!


That's dumb. Both the parody and what you are trying to parody. Nobody bothered to really push for this this, just claiming that it was a non-starter.

The timidity of Democrats needs to stop using the intransigence of their political opponents as their incessant excuse for their do-nothing, stand-for-nothing political cowardice.

Quote:
Not that I disagree with you, but you'd have a more difficult time selling this solution in the current political environment than one in which banks were simply broken into pieces, and then allowed to continue doing business as normal.


I think that breaking them up would be just as politically controversial. It is to not only take control over them in a hugely fundamental way but then to break them and make the sum of the parts less valuable than the whole, you will inevitably be destroying value as well as taking the control that I advocate.

Honestly, privatizing banks is just not all that polemic and the degree to which it is claimed it would be in America is hugely exaggerated. In any case, it isn't even on the same scale as the polemic nature of bailing them out without enough strings attacked.

The politicians should stop making excuses about being obstructionist. The people should stop letting them manipulate them. And one of the big ways the people are being manipulated is to direct all this anger at the villains (the rich, the other party), instead of the politicians who make the very policies that need to change.

Quit being such an apologist for your party. The political system is in worse shape than the financial system and is responsible for much of its ills. You can't keep just explaining away their incessant failures on their opponents. The Democratic party has been an abject failure the last ten years, at least the Republican party uses its political success to achieve some of their goals (and man have they swung for the fences in the last decade). The Democrats only use their bully pulpits to explain to their constituents that the reason they can't get anything done is because of those evil Republicans. It's high time the Democrats made their party dispense with this bullshit. As unpopular as Republicans are to them, as easy a villain as they make, the systemic failure of the party is the fault of their own political timidity.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 03:14 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Hey, I'm not excusing the Dem party. Though many members of the party are on the right side of these issues, far too many of them are just as much in the pockets of big business as the GOP is. When I say 'the current political environment,' that's what I'm referring to. I blame Reid as much for the problems we're facing as I do the GOP, not through his bad intentions, but through his lack of willingness to stop the obstructionism that has defined the last several years (which he could have done with meaningful changes to the filibuster at the beginning of the session).

Cycloptichorn

0 Replies
 
Foofie
 
  1  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 03:56 pm
Why do the protesters not also complain that many of the colleges they went to had no compunction to take students, give degrees, knowing that there would not be jobs for them upon graduation?

Rather than talk about the military, industrial complex, should academia be included (military, industrial, academic complex)? In fact, parents that believed falsely in the "American Dream" (college=good job) should be included for their naivete (military, industrial, academic, parental complex).

And, let's not forget the mental health community that has been proselytizing the right to happiness for all (military, industrial, academic, parental, mental health complex)

Wait! I almost forgot the media for bombarding us daily with the lives of the wealthy, so we believe that is our entitlement (military, industrial, academic, parental, mental health, media complex).

In effect, only the true paranoid can discern the depth of the problem.
Thomas
 
  2  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 09:10 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:
If that is so, you should be able to dispute the message and not focus on the messenger. Dispute my claims, not my sources.

"That which can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence" (Christopher Hitchens). The Wall Street Journal's opinion page is not a source of evidence. As its name says, it's a source of opinion---from the same conglomerate that brought you the opinions of Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, and Glenn Beck. Why wouldn't Cycloptichorn reasonably dismiss it out of hand?
Robert Gentel
 
  0  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 10:04 pm
@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:
"That which can be asserted without evidence, can be dismissed without evidence" (Christopher Hitchens). The Wall Street Journal's opinion page is not a source of evidence.


Yeah? Then why don't you point out what was wrong with the claim, instead of just dismissing it out of hand because of the source?

Quote:
As its name says, it's a source of opinion---from the same conglomerate that brought you the opinions of Sean Hannity, Bill O'Reilly, and Glenn Beck. Why wouldn't Cycloptichorn reasonably dismiss it out of hand?


Because I was not citing them for their opinions and to dismiss my arguments out of hand on the basis of what newspaper I used to cite a simple fact in my argument is an intellectually bankrupt ad hominem. In short, you should not do so because it is intellectually dishonest to do so. You should be able to challenge the claim in some way, and not just dismiss it on the basis of the source. It is intellectually lazy to do so.

So if you guys have any specific claim to dispute, have at it. But I'm calling this "shoot the messenger" approach what it is, a lazy ad hominem argument. It's lazy when it's an argument dismissed out of hand because it comes from Noam Chomsky and it's lazy when it's an ideologue from the right too.

If you allege their bias makes it the information unreliable, then show how.
Thomas
 
  2  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 10:25 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:
Yeah? Then why don't you point out what was wrong with the claim, instead of just dismissing it out of hand because of the source?

Because churning out unsupported assertions and demanding that your correspondents refute them works out as a denial-of-service attack on everybody who gives a **** about evidence. It's what creationists on this forum do all the time, and as a rule I'm not bothering with them either. To be sure, in your case I trust that it's an accident, not a strategy. Still, I'm not playing this game, sorry. Provide evidence from independent sources for your claim, and I'll look at it. But somebody's say-so in an opinion piece does not rise to the level of evidence.
Finn dAbuzz
 
  3  
Reply Sat 15 Oct, 2011 11:52 pm
@Foofie,
Excellent question Foofie.

Corporations exist to achieve adequate returns on shareholder investments.

The products and services they produce are the means; not the end.

A great deal of time, focus and resources are devoted by corporations to the development of a Mission Statement. A great deal of time, focus, and resources could be saved if all of Corporate America adopted the second line of this post as its Mission Statement. That they do not is because the purpose of these documents has very little if anything to do with achieving the corporation's mission.

I haven't actually checked it out, but it's a safe bet that the Mission Statement of a pharmaceutical company contains phrases like

Contributing to the wellness...

Enhancing the lives....

Promoting the health of...


It probably also contains ones like

Expanding the horizons of scientific...

Through innovative or cutting-edge technologies...


Depending upon whether the creation of the Statement is primarily the task of the Marketing or Corporate Communications divisions or whether executives from the Sales and Finance divisions have been included you may find phrases like

To enhance the interests of all of our stakeholders...

Increasing the value of shareholder investments


The bottom line though is making money.

The thousands of employees who show up for work every day may have thousands of different reasons why they stay employed by the company and thousands of different expectations of what they company will provide to them, but the reason they all are getting paid is to enable the company to make more money than they and all other expenses cost.

No profit and no pharmaceuticals, no annual reports, no shipping bays, no company newsletter, no sales plans, no golf balls with the company logo, no product brochures and no jobs.

So why the Mission Statement that goes beyond "...to achieve adequate returns on shareholder investments?"

Because the company is expected by the public, by its customers, by its employees, by its shareholders and by the government to appear like it cares for more than just money.

Of course this is ridiculous, because in order to achieve its real mission of making money, it must therefore care about product quality, R&D successes, customer satisfaction, public image, governmental compliance et al. If it becomes careless about all of these various important functions, it will not accomplish its mission.

Just caring about making money though is almost universally viewed as shallow, greedy, amoral (if not immoral), heartless, and inhuman, so the company has to show that it cares about all the things that enable it to make money, and keep the primary mission off to the side.

Ironically though, the public, in general, believes that all the company actually cares about is making money.

So when the company considers outsourcing one of its operational functions to another country in order to reduce expenses and increase or maintain the rate of return on shareholders' investments it comes under fire by consumer groups, the media, politicians and movements like OWS. Even if such a move is ultimately beneficial to the all of the remaining employees, the company is seen in a bad light.

On the other hand, what is the Mission Statement of a University?

Well here is Harvard's

Probably what you would expect to find and very similar to the hundreds of others you can easily find on the Web, but you'll notice there is not one word about making money. it's the same for all university Mission Statements. Nothing about the University making money or the ability of the students to make money.

That's why most of the students attending Harvard are there though...to enable themselves to make a lot of money, and that's why the University (which happens to be the oldest corporation in the Western Hemisphere!)charges the students high fees for tuition, room and board, books and supplies, parking et al.

And Harvard makes money in other ways as well:

The Harvard Shop

Harvard University Press

Not to mention other revenue sources such as sponsored research which all told brings in about $2.5 billion per year. Add to this private donations and federal grants of about $1 billion per year and you can see that Harvard makes a hell of a lot of money. But that's not all...it brings in about $7 billion a year on investment returns.

And Harvard's a "non-profit" so it's all tax free!

Just imagine how much money Harvard spends to employ people to increase, collect and account for all of its money.

Still, nothing in the Mission Statement about making money. Because advancement of arts, literature and education is the end, while making money is simply the means? Yet even Big Pharma companies feel compelled to address their means in their Mission Statement.

And yet no one among OWS is complaining about Harvard or any other university from what I can tell. Not for the fact that they haven't reduced admissions due to the unemployment situation or that they don't pay their fair share of taxes.

This isn't a plea for pity for Corporate America. It certainly doesn't need that. But it is a suggestion that if you find yourself riding the Crush Capitalism Express or if you consider all or most corporations to be shallow, greedy, amoral, heartless and inhuman you may want to challenge some of your assumptions or at least check out some of the insitutions that you thinks American corporations should emulate.

Source I

Source II
0 Replies
 
Robert Gentel
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 12:27 am
@Thomas,
Thomas wrote:
Because churning out unsupported assertions and demanding that your correspondents refute them works out as a denial-of-service attack on everybody who gives a **** about evidence.


Oh don't be silly. Just point one of them out then that you feel is unsupported and we'll go from there. If I'm "churning" them out it doesn't mean you have to address them all and it should make it even easier to just pick one. But I think you are being disingenuous, and don't have a single one in mind and that this "denial-of-service attack" excuse is a fairly transparent deflection to not have to come up with an actual example of these unsupported assertions you claim I am churning out.

Quote:
It's what creationists on this forum do all the time, and as a rule I'm not bothering with them either. To be sure, in your case I trust that it's an accident, not a strategy. Still, I'm not playing this game, sorry. Provide evidence from independent sources for your claim, and I'll look at it.


I am willing to try to substantiate any claim I made in that post through multiple sources and make clear that this is just a intellectually lazy dismissal of it. You don't even have to refute it in any way, all you have to do is point out a single one of them (which should be easy given the volume of them you claim) and I will take it from there. It would have taken less time and effort than this excuse for why you refuse to do so.

Quote:
But somebody's say-so in an opinion piece does not rise to the level of evidence.


Well the offer stands and if there is any claim I made that you would like to challenge feel free to point it out. Or you can just vaguely criticize my intellectual honesty but refuse to come up with a single example, whatever floats your boat, I guess. But do you not find it at least a bit ironic that you are lecturing me about evidence when you refuse to provide any in your claims about me?
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 07:32 am
@Robert Gentel,
Robert Gentel wrote:
Just point one of them out then that you feel is unsupported and we'll go from there.

Well, let's start with the first one:

Earlier, Robert Gentel wrote:
70% of the sub-prime mortgages were held by companies that the government required to have increasing quotas of loans going to sub-average income homes.

Adequate support for this would be a time series, from a competent and independent source, running over the last decade, showing which institutions owned how much equity in sub-prime mortages and when. My current belief is that such a graph would show Fannie and Freddie holding a lot of them in the end, but that they weren't significant players in that market while the housing bubble inflated. But I'm willing to change my belief on the basis of your time series.
reasoning logic
 
  -1  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 07:48 am
@Thomas,
People are being arrested for closing their bank accounts?



0 Replies
 
reasoning logic
 
  0  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 08:14 am
Please do not watch this if you do not want to see reality!


0 Replies
 
parados
 
  -1  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 02:16 pm
@Robert Gentel,
Let's start with some issues here Robert. Your article from the WSJ was written by 2 members of the American Enterprise Institute. While that doesn't make them wrong, it does make their statements suspect.

Yes, the goal of Fannie and Freddie was to purchase 50% of mortgages to at or below median income levels. But we can't assume that everyone below median income is poor or does not have good credit. First of all, it doesn't require that 50% of mortgages written by banks be of that level. Nor does it require that people with bad credit or no income be given mortgages. It only sets a level of 50% of mortgages Fannie and Freddie buy be below the median income.
It isn't unreasonable to assume that 40-50% of all mortgages written would be for persons below median income based simply on the meaning of median.

The most interesting thing about the realities of those loans Robert is they were NOT for people with bad credit.
A study by the St Louis Fed in 2006, prior to the implosion, found the majority of the loans were for people taking cash out when refinancing. The vast majority of those loans were considered A- in risk. Over 60% of sub prime loans were to people with credit scores above 600.
PDF of study
The FED makes this conclusion about the subprime market in 2006.
Quote:
Furthermore, the sub-
prime market had reduced its risk exposure by
limiting the loan amount of higher-risk loans and
imposing prepayment penalties on the majority
of ARMs and low credit-score loans.


If you want to point fingers after the fact, then you better look at who was saying what before then. Fannie and Freddie weren't the cause. Nor were they acting in a fashion that created the problems.

Quote:
70% of the sub-prime mortgages were held by companies that the government required to have increasing quotas of loans going to sub-average income homes.
That statement is completely unsupported.While Fannie and Freddie had a less than median requirement of 50%, no one else did. This was about companies trying to make as much money as possible. The majority of companies making sub prime loans had no quotas they had to meet. It appears banks specifically set up separate entities exempt from the community reinvestment act to make sub prime loans
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/26/AR2009092602706.html
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 02:30 pm
@Thomas,
Quote:
70% of the sub-prime mortgages were held by companies that the government required to have increasing quotas of loans going to sub-average income homes.

That statement certainly doesn't apply to Fannie and Freddie.
Quote:
The GSEs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
accounted for a more substantial 40% of MBSs issued in 2006.
....

The remaining 56% of MBSs issued in
2006 were packaged by private sector
financial institutions. Most of these MBSs
included securities backed by high-
quality (prime) loans, subprime loans,
or “Alt-A” loans.

The Role of Securitization in Mortgage Lending
0 Replies
 
parados
 
  1  
Reply Sun 16 Oct, 2011 02:41 pm
This is from a paper by the San Fran Fed, in it's conclusion..

First a definition -
Quote:
Nonagency
securitizations, or private-label securitizations, are issued by entities other than the GSEs,

Quote:
Given the finding that private-label securitization are associated with the funding of riskier
mortgages
, and given the disastrous loan performance of California mortgages towards the end of the
2000s, one obvious question is whether the growth of private-label securitization somehow eroded
underwriting standards,
perhaps by exacerbating the many potential agency problems endemic to
mortgage loan production.


I think I'll trust the Fed on this issue before I trust American Heritage and it's members.
 

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