1
   

Climate Change Politics

 
 
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 09:19 am
@memester,
memester;113257 wrote:
you said the significance of the 12 letters is that the coal industry..blah blah".but is it the problem that the coal industry sent those letters, or requested them sent ? You've not only NOT SHOWN what you claimed, but what you claimed is meaningless, as to AGW "reality or not reality".

It's meaningless"Chicken Little" gabble.

I did answer to "if we see temperature rise"...you need to bring truth, not fictions you make up on the fly.

Much of the original data that could tell us something - entrusted to East Anglia - has been destroyed.

"Isn't the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?"
- Maurice Strong, founder of the UN Environment Programme


David Suzuki has called for political leaders to be thrown in jail for ignoring the science behind climate change.

Are we seeing temperature increases, yes or no?
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 09:22 am
@xris,
xris;113259 wrote:
Are we seeing temperature increases, yes or no?
temperature increases are being seen in my oven right now. The chicken is almost cooked. It's certainly stuffed ... with farce

Stuffing and Dressing History

I take it you are in favour of Strong's statement ?

"Isn't the only hope for the planet that the industrialized civilizations collapse? Isn't it our responsibility to bring that about?"
- Maurice Strong, founder of the UN Environment Programme

what is going to be burned for fuel then ?

What about Suzuki and his organization ? lies and more lies about who is supporting the lies. Pay and you don't get bad press.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 09:50 am
@memester,
We see here a prime example of the deniers mind, unable to argue their point of view , unable to even construct a reasoned objection. Confused , bewildered they resort to abuse and childish humour?

One last time, are we experiencing temperature rises?
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 09:52 am
@xris,
xris;113269 wrote:
We see here a prime example of the deniers mind, unable to argue their point of view , unable to even construct a reasoned objection. Confused , bewildered they resort to abuse and childish humour?

One last time, are we experiencing temperature rises?
Over ten thousand years, over ten years, over a hundred years, or over TEN DAYS ?

and where ? On the equator in summer, or at the north pole in winter ? what are you even talking about ?

It's incoherent.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 10:12 am
@memester,
memester;113270 wrote:
Over ten thousand years, over ten years, over a hundred years, or over TEN DAYS ?

and where ? On the equator in summer, or at the north pole in winter ? what are you even talking about ?

It's incoherent.
Ah its in the detail. You spent a great deal of time arguing that the temperature figures have been rigged, those temperatures, you know, the ones you disputed.
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 10:55 am
@xris,
xris;113274 wrote:
Ah its in the detail. You spent a great deal of time arguing that the temperature figures have been rigged, those temperatures, you know, the ones you disputed.
yes, rigged as to the historical data and projections. That is what has been done. Raw data is now gone. Thanks to The Climate Change Heroes.

so we should throw any politicians - those who dare disobey the Climate Change Heroes' fiat , to offer up 1 or 2 % of world income - in jail.

---------- Post added 12-21-2009 at 12:02 PM ----------

I think we'll all benefit if Jones is jailed for a very long time.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnCLQIYNYgo&feature=player_embedded#
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 11:57 am
@memester,
memester;113284 wrote:
yes, rigged as to the historical data and projections. That is what has been done. Raw data is now gone. Thanks to The Climate Change Heroes.

so we should throw any politicians - those who dare disobey the Climate Change Heroes' fiat , to offer up 1 or 2 % of world income - in jail.

---------- Post added 12-21-2009 at 12:02 PM ----------

I think we'll all benefit if Jones is jailed for a very long time.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnCLQIYNYgo&feature=player_embedded#
You are telling me that the temperatures have not risen. So why are you referring to the temperature having risen in historic terms? You cant have it both ways. If you are telling me temperatures having risen since the last ice age in a contiguous manner, why are you denying the figures indicating increase.

Ice core measurements have never indicated the increase in temperatures over such a short period of time. If you intend disproving the consensus of scientific opinion, you need to be precise in your claims. You need to explain why the ice caps and glaciers are melting at such a rate and why the sea is becoming more acidic? Pulling silly links from your hat of contempt convinces no one.
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 12:22 pm
@xris,
xris;113292 wrote:
You are telling me that the temperatures have not risen. So why are you referring to the temperature having risen in historic terms? You cant have it both ways. If you are telling me temperatures having risen since the last ice age in a contiguous manner, why are you denying the figures indicating increase.

Ice core measurements have never indicated the increase in temperatures over such a short period of time. If you intend disproving the consensus of scientific opinion, you need to be precise in your claims. You need to explain why the ice caps and glaciers are melting at such a rate and why the sea is becoming more acidic? Pulling silly links from your hat of contempt convinces no one.
I'm saying it's obvious that since the last Ice Age, temps have risen. Not in a straight line, but with peaks and valleys. There is no conflict there with what I've said. You've illictly inserted several other words, to add to what I said.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 01:37 pm
@memester,
memester;113296 wrote:
I'm saying it's obvious that since the last Ice Age, temps have risen. Not in a straight line, but with peaks and valleys. There is no conflict there with what I've said. You've illictly inserted several other words, to add to what I said.
How is this not a conflict when you claim that temperatures having been rising but then deny it. Are you now saying they are rising but not as significantly as reported, is it a matter of degree now? Don't put ice ages on the agenda as they are created by global phenomena, long before man made his footprint visible.

Nit picking and questioning every scrap of temperature records is not being sceptical but intentional professional propaganda by invested interests. The middle age weather patterns can be attributed to natural phenomena, the rises we are obviously seeing have no visible natural causes. They are directly linked to emissions and those emissions have been caused by man. We see the deniers changing tack when one attempt at scoffing fails they move to another , ever time we see the same vested interest behind the attempts at denying. Deniergate: Turning the tables on climate sceptics - environment - 14 December 2009 - New Scientist
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 03:00 pm
@xris,
xris;113308 wrote:
How is this not a conflict when you claim that temperatures having been rising but then deny it. Are you now saying they are rising but not as significantly as reported, is it a matter of degree now? Don't put ice ages on the agenda as they are created by global phenomena, long before man made his footprint visible.

Nit picking and questioning every scrap of temperature records is not being sceptical but intentional professional propaganda by invested interests. The middle age weather patterns can be attributed to natural phenomena, the rises we are obviously seeing have no visible natural causes. They are directly linked to emissions and those emissions have been caused by man. We see the deniers changing tack when one attempt at scoffing fails they move to another , ever time we see the same vested interest behind the attempts at denying. Deniergate: Turning the tables on climate sceptics - environment - 14 December 2009 - New Scientist

To make it more clear; I will accept that I said what you said I said, when you use quote boxes to compare what I said to what I said.
These choices you present are not representing what I said; they are your fabrication.
If they are not intended to represent what I said, then what's the point of answering to them - as if whatever you write represents what I said ?

e.g.
Here's what you say
Quote:
You are telling me that the temperatures have not risen.


And so my answer is to say "Show me where I said that".
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 03:11 pm
@memester,
Warming, that has been going on since the last ice age. That was your claim. Your house was under a significant amount of Ice.

Now I dont mind how you answer my question, they are not trick questions. You decide, you can change your mind if you like. The world has being doing what and for how long. Its been constant , changing , you decide. I know what I believe and im prepared to state it.
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 03:37 pm
@xris,
xris;113316 wrote:
Warming, that has been going on since the last ice age. That was your claim. Your house was under a significant amount of Ice.

Now I dont mind how you answer my question, they are not trick questions. You decide, you can change your mind if you like. The world has being doing what and for how long. Its been constant , changing , you decide. I know what I believe and im prepared to state it.
Actually, I'm not sure that it really matters, what you believe.
However, since you want to know what I believe, and since I've already stated it, I would suggest looking at what I said.
that's what I believe.
That a conspiracy has taken place in an attempt to establish only one allowed version, a set of "facts", to be presented to the public and to the UN as the truth, to lie, manipulate, to conceal, to destroy data.

And that the surface of earth would seem, obviously, to be warmer now, than in the last Ice Age.

---------- Post added 12-21-2009 at 04:54 PM ----------

But what to do ?
Well, it would seem to be a great idea to raise standards for gas mileage and for controling pollution.

We know smog is not good. We know we do not want the rivers polluted unnecessarily, as they are now.

There are plenty of things to do that fit right in with some of the solutions and maneuvers proposed anyway.

....but no allowing these crooked Climate groups to handle or direct % of global income or anything like that

Clean Coal is the next step.

Education and hopefully then a drastic reduction in population levels is the best response to allow a longer stay.
xris
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 04:14 pm
@memester,
I think it does bother you what I believe , because i represent the vast majority of intelligent interpretation of available facts. You have constantly avoided to have any real debate on the subject but only blurted out either abuse or pointless rhetoric. I will leave you to your certainty of a world safe in the hands of the self interested power moguls. Continue to select the selective figures or the minor discrepancies that feed your certainty. Avoid the blatant truths of acidic oceans, melting ice caps, rising sea levels, just be happy man, everything is just a big left wing trick to spoil your splendid way of life.
Aedes
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 04:47 pm
@memester,
memester;113319 wrote:
And that the surface of earth would seem, obviously, to be warmer now, than in the last Ice Age.
How about the 1) mean absolute temperatures and 2) rate of temperature change between 1800-1899 as compared with 1900-1999?

That's a specific question for you...
0 Replies
 
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 06:05 pm
@xris,
xris;113328 wrote:
I think it does bother you what I believe , because i represent the vast majority of intelligent interpretation of available facts. You have constantly avoided to have any real debate on the subject but only blurted out either abuse or pointless rhetoric.
can you point out where I offered abuse ? I'd say you have tried to put words in my mouth, and have described me as this and that "type" - whereas I have not done so to you, at all.

Quote:



I will leave you to your certainty of a world safe in the hands of the self interested power moguls.
and that is the kind of thing I am talking about. telling me what I believe and who I believe in to save my world.

Quote:


Continue to select the selective figures or the minor discrepancies that feed your certainty.
yammering on

Quote:
Avoid the blatant truths of acidic oceans, melting ice caps, rising sea levels, just be happy man, everything is just a big left wing trick to spoil your splendid way of life.
Oh, now You are pinning anti left wing rhetoric on me when I haven't said a word about any political bent, left or right, "pro" or "anti".

---------- Post added 12-21-2009 at 07:25 PM ----------

Aedes;113341 wrote:
How about the 1) mean absolute temperatures and 2) rate of temperature change between 1800-1899 as compared with 1900-1999?

That's a specific question for you...
That is not a specific question; "How about...".

Unless the specific kind of answer you are looking for is "Yeah, 1800-1899, really something, eh ?"
Aedes
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 06:46 pm
@memester,
memester;113355 wrote:
That is not a specific question; "How about...".

Unless the specific kind of answer you are looking for is "Yeah, 1800-1899, really something, eh ?"
You're right.

So let me ask you more direct questions that will keep you on track, since you're apparently quite distractable when confronted with the propositional interrogative idiom "how about".

Answer these questions to the best of your ability:

1. Have global temperature readings been higher in the 20th century as compared with the 19th century?

2. Is there evidence that the rate of global mean temperature change has accelerated during the last 100 years?


Even yes / no would be enough, though xris has given you ample opportunity. So without attribution as to anthropogenicity or lack thereof, can you at least confirm your literacy with the above two questions?
Arjuna
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 07:59 pm
@Aedes,
Aedes;113360 wrote:
You're right.

So let me ask you more direct questions that will keep you on track, since you're apparently quite distractable when confronted with the propositional interrogative idiom "how about".

Answer these questions to the best of your ability:

1. Have global temperature readings been higher in the 20th century as compared with the 19th century?

2. Is there evidence that the rate of global mean temperature change has accelerated during the last 100 years?


Even yes / no would be enough, though xris has given you ample opportunity. So without attribution as to anthropogenicity or lack thereof, can you at least confirm your literacy with the above two questions?
I wonder if I could ask something about this. If mean temperatures have been higher in the 20th century, what does that tell us? Is temperature data for the last 100 years, or the last 1000 years sufficient to say something statistically significant about our situation?

Our present climate is understood to be an interglacial period. Just looking at the past cycles of glacial advancement and recession, it looks like we should go into the next glacial period in one to three thousand years from now.

20 years ago scientists were trying to predict how the greenhouse effect will alter that cycle. At that point, an obstacle to making that prediction was lack of understanding concerning the nature of the cycle.

What we know is that the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is unusually high. With supercomputers running day and night packed full of data, it still remains unclear what the earth's climate will do next.

It's not that we know how the greenhouse effect will change human life. We don't know that. It's more that if it turns out to be a disaster, we don't want to look back and see that we were afraid it would, and we did nothing.
0 Replies
 
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 08:31 pm
@Aedes,
Aedes;113360 wrote:
You're right.

So let me ask you more direct questions that will keep you on track, since you're apparently quite distractable when confronted with the propositional interrogative idiom "how about".

Answer these questions to the best of your ability:

1. Have global temperature readings been higher in the 20th century as compared with the 19th century?

2. Is there evidence that the rate of global mean temperature change has accelerated during the last 100 years?


Even yes / no would be enough, though xris has given you ample opportunity. So without attribution as to anthropogenicity or lack thereof, can you at least confirm your literacy with the above two questions?
confirm literacy to whose satisfaction ? Your satisfaction does not particularly interest me. Seemingly you cannot properly state a question for me, so that I could possibly then look for an answer, for you.

I've already stated what I have to say on the matter - you can find fault with that, if you have the itch, I'm sure.
Aedes
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 08:49 pm
@memester,
memester;113378 wrote:
confirm literacy to whose satisfaction ? Your satisfaction does not particularly interest me.
Well, the inability to answer a yes/no question would probably not meet anyone's satisfaction, but I was giving you the benefit of the doubt.

memester;113378 wrote:
Seemingly you cannot properly state a question for me, so that I could possibly then look for an answer, for you.
I asked you the following question:

Is there evidence that the rate of global mean temperature change has accelerated during the last 100 years?

This is a properly stated question. I asked you "Is there evidence of X?" That is grammatically correct. It's a yes/no question about the existence of evidence. If you can't recognize it as such, then no wonder your literacy comes into question.

memester;113378 wrote:
I've already stated what I have to say on the matter - you can find fault with that.
I can't find fault with it because you haven't actually communicated anything. There's nothing to criticize -- simply because there's nothing at all.

Arjuna;113369 wrote:
I wonder if I could ask something about this. If mean temperatures have been higher in the 20th century, what does that tell us? Is temperature data for the last 100 years, or the last 1000 years sufficient to say something statistically significant about our situation?
Well, first, take note that you are misusing the phrase "statistically significant" here. Statistical significance has to do with comparison between groups and determination of how likely it would be that the observed difference is due to chance. In order to speak of statistical significance, then, you need to define your comparators.

So if you take two groups, one is ambient temperature readings in a given location during the 1890s and the other is the same but during the 1990s, you can of course calculate statistical significance.

But statistical significance is not the issue. The issue is about what story the data tell. So put together the data -- at least over the last 120-150 years of temperature readings, there is a marked and accelerating rise in temperatures, with a notable plateau during the 1940s-1960s. There has been a recession of glaciers all over the world, there has been a rise in sea levels, and there have been corresponding ecological changes.

So there is a story being told here that is corroborated by independent observations -- the world is getting warmer and it is getting warmer faster.

That doesn't tell us anything about what is responsible for it. But then when you look at earlier periods and find that there is no comparable situation, you need to ask what is unique. So the question naturally arises as to whether the simultaneous explosion in human populations and their activities has something to do with it, and from this you identify mechanisms that could plausibly be responsible.

So it's a good story, it ties together a lot of observations, it makes sense, and it will ALWAYS be an imperfect story whatever the truth happens to be.

But then the policy issue comes up. It's Pascal's wager. What if they're right that humans are responsible, that behavioral change can reverse the trend -- what does it mean if we do nothing? What if they're wrong -- what if behavioral change can't do anything because it has to do with solar flares or whatever.

Do we dare to be wrong? Isn't there enough other justification to modify behavior (last I checked pollution isn't good for human health either, irrespective of the climate).

QUOTE=Arjuna;113369]It's not that we know how the greenhouse effect will change human life. We don't know that. It's more that if it turns out to be a disaster, we don't want to look back and see that we were afraid it would, and we did nothing.[/QUOTE]Yes, I agree. The question is whether our data are sufficient, given how quickly it would need to be acted upon (and how difficult it is to implement).
memester
 
  1  
Reply Mon 21 Dec, 2009 09:02 pm
@Aedes,
so you're asking if the rate of change of the rate of change has changed ? no, that you want to know if the rate of change has changed upward ?

do you know the answer to this , so that you could assess an answer ?

Do you need me to ask you to supply a yes/no answer to a question, to show how ridiculous your assertion on that yes/no topic is? :sarcastic:
I'd be HAPPY to oblige

Quote:
I can't find fault with it because you haven't actually communicated anything. There's nothing to criticize -- simply because there's nothing at all.
then may I suggest that you have nothing to attack, and you might be quite frustrated by that...but it's not my fault.

---------- Post added 12-21-2009 at 10:16 PM ----------

Aedes;113383 wrote:


Well, first, take note that you are misusing the phrase "statistically significant" here. Statistical significance has to do with comparison between groups and determination of how likely it would be that the observed difference is due to chance. In order to speak of statistical significance, then, you need to define your comparators.

So if you take two groups, one is ambient temperature readings in a given location during the 1890s and the other is the same but during the 1990s, you can of course calculate statistical significance.
OK. One reading is 80 degrees, and the other reading is 50 degrees. Calculate the statistical significance, please ?
 

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