@kennethamy,
kennethamy;107843 wrote:I would, except I don't know what it is I am supposed not to know that is relevant to whether we should take draconian measures.
The measures needed taken depend on the scale of the threat.
To understand the scale of the threat you have to understand what it is about emitting carbon gasses that leads to global warming, and what the carbon cycle is and why we shouldn't upset it.
Then a sensible debate as to the scale and the measures can be begun.
Until then ill-informed punditry is all that can be expressed.
From both sides of the debate.
I think I said this before.
Quote: I mean that we have been told that we are on the edge of disaster (either cooling or warming, they cannot make up their minds) for the last 30 years.
A scientist in the 1970s discovered a cooling trend.
This trend - it is postulated - is a metatrend that will lead to a cooler period in the future of the Earth - thousands of years from now.
The popular press - not scientific journals - leapt on this and you saw headlines like "there's a new ice age on the way!" in Time magazine and so on.
As is so often the case - the perception the popular press created about the science was at odds with reality.
The meta trend is still plausable science - there is likely to be - one day - a cooler earth. These things happen in cycles.
However, all climatologists agree the earth is currently in a state of warming. The evidence points to this trend (within a metatrend, if you like).
There is still some disagreement on what is causing the warming, those skeptics of man made warming are outweighed to an exponential degree by proponents of the idea.
The "Oh my god we're all going to freeze!" panic of the 1970s was a popular press notion - not a scientific one.
"They cannot make up their minds" is a fallacy. A lie.
"They" aren't obliged to agree, for a start, even so they pretty much all agree - we are seeing an abberant rise in temperature which is probably avoidable or could be mitigated if we take action.
This rise is perhaps apart from normal cycles of heating and cooling that will effect the Earth until the sun goes nova.
One of which looks likely to be an ice age thousands of years in the future, which our man made rise of the now will not prevent.
But we could prevent/slow down/restrict the current rise - so why not do so and stop a lot of human suffering?
Quote: And here we are. You do know the tale of the boy who cried "wolf", I suppose, and, of course, "The Emperor's New Clothes". Don't forget that one.
So the science is irrelevent.
But fairytales aren't?
In your opinion maybe.
That's the standard of debate you seem to want - remember the Emperor's New Clothes - but let's not discuss what actually seems to be happening here - because that's irrelevent.
kennethamy;107902 wrote:Like buying carbon credits. It would be funny if not so pathetic.
Carbon offsets are unlikely to provide a long term solution.
But as a transitional tool they are useful.
When you panicked earlier about a return to Victorian Living Standards you were summoning up a fictional worst case scenario.
But there is no doubt that trying to run an industrial nation on green energy tomorrow would be impossible to acheive without an energy crisis, people having to go without energy and a possible breakdown in central authority.
And developing people can hardly be expected to sit idly by whilst developed people have all the fun at their expense (though no one is seriously contemplating a return to the stone age - you can't 'forget' technological advances like that).
What's needed is to buy time.
Which is what Carbon offsetting does - the richer nations buy time in order to develop and implement green technologies.
The developing world inhibits it's own industrialisation and deforestation - for which it is compensated with money - allowing it to trade with the developed world and further support their efforts to innovate and implement green technology.
There is of course a human cost to this - but it is seen as the lesser of two evils.
In the end hopefully all nations will develop less energy hungry lifestyles and energy sources - and the time needed to do so will have been provided with carbon offsetting and the damage done in the meantime will be decreased.
Psychological benefits, such as avoiding guilt, are just a fringe benefit.
jeeprs;107929 wrote:kleptocracy
To be fair, it's not been a kleptocracy since 2004, I think.
The kleptarch and his kleptocrats were still in charge - I suppose - but with the will of the voters.
And he's gone now - thank the fates.