timberlandko wrote:Consider this; which scenario makes more sense?
1) Saddam saw advantage to be gained by inducing the US to destroy his regime by pretending to have and conceal WMDs, and continuing to fail to comply with the UNSCR requirements that he provide proof he had divested himself of known inventory and capability
or
2) Saddam had something to hide.
Heh. If Craven were here I'm sure he'd be able to point out the logical fallacy in your choice (like setting up a choice in which only one option can ever be right).
Thing is - all we know is:
a) we suspected he might still have had some WMD - the US government had proudly proclaimed, just a few years ago, that in the years since the Gulf War 80% of Saddam's WMD had been destroyed - but still, 20% is 20%, and what had happened to it?
b) Saddam was extremely reluctant to allow any more foreign troops or inspectors go through his country and turning stones
c) UN weapon inspectors couldnt find anything
d) the war lasted much shorter than we expected, and considering the chaos that became apparent in Saddam's military strategy very soon, that would have left the Iraq regime with very little opportunity to fully dismantle, destroy and/or hide complex WMD programs (UN inspectors have testified that even past WMD programs leave traces that can be found back and identified, after all, let alone hastily dismantled ones).
e) none of the different inspection teams the US occupation force set up after its occupation of the country, when it had full access to all Iraq's territory, found anything that proved anything.
c), d) and e) all strongly suggest that Saddam didnt
have anymore WMD, which is what I had vaguely suspected. But then why b)? Why wasnt he eager to show all the world so, and thus prove himself 'innocent'? Thats the big question, and though I have no links available, I've seen a range of hypothesis about them, which your option 1) hardly reflects.
For example, to pick just the one: North-Korea has, unlike Iraq,
not been attacked. One obvious reason is that about North-Korea we know for
sure that it has WMD, of the kind that destroy a whole lot more than any of the ones Saddam was accused of having could.
Perhaps Saddam thought it actually advantageous to have its enemies - whether it be the US with its war threats or Israel, which bombed Iraq before - thinking that it still
had WMD, even when they were already destroyed? As a deterrance?
If so, he was badly mistaken, but yeh, well possible, just one of the possibilities. So you might want to rephrase those options and make 'em less like mere political rhetorics.