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Hillery, Obama, Edwards and the Democrates

 
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Thu 13 Dec, 2007 10:26 pm
Never watched the National Geographic special to which you referred.

Since Bush isn't running for office this administration will be history no matter who wins.

I don't think the world will be much better (or worse) either way.

Surely you don't think we have done as much harm to the peace of the world as have (say) the Russian, Soviet, French, English, Dutch, Spanish, or German empires?
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Thu 13 Dec, 2007 11:08 pm
Quote:
Never watched the National Geographic special to which you referred.

Well, no excuse for that.

Quote:
Since Bush isn't running for office this administration will be history no matter who wins.

Mussolini. Historical figure.

Quote:
I don't think the world will be much better (or worse) either way.

Surely you don't think we have done as much harm to the peace of the world as have (say) the Russian, Soviet, French, English, Dutch, Spanish, or German empires?

Which makes everything the Russians or the Iranians or the Israelis may now do completely excuseable.
0 Replies
 
mysteryman
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 04:42 am
Here is an interesting article for those on here who lean towards the dems.


http://www.alternet.org/story/70201/?page=1

Why the Democrats Could Lose in 2008

Quote:
But the smug Democratic hierarchy may be inviting defeat, again, by ignoring the fact that many Americans want leadership that appeals to them on the higher plane of principle. Instead, Democrats often treat Americans more like consumers than citizens, selling them new social programs rather than articulating an uplifting national cause.


Quote:
"We can talk all we want about freedom and opportunity, about life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness, but what does all that mean to a mother or father who can't take a sick child to the doctor?"


Perhaps a different question might be: why would a presidential candidate see the founding principles of the United States as somehow at odds with the desire of parents to want health care for their children


I wont post the entire article, its to long.
But it does raise some interesting points about the dems and how they are campaigning, while at the same time it takes some shots at Bush.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 06:55 am
mysteryman wrote:
Here is an interesting article for those on here who lean towards the dems.

http://www.alternet.org/story/70201/?page=1

Why the Democrats Could Lose in 2008

Quote:
But the smug Democratic hierarchy may be inviting defeat, again, by ignoring the fact that many Americans want leadership that appeals to them on the higher plane of principle. Instead, Democrats often treat Americans more like consumers than citizens, selling them new social programs rather than articulating an uplifting national cause.

And what uplifting national causes have the Republican candidates articulated this campaign?

I dont really go for the abstract inspiring stuff myself, but Obama is a master at it, and I dont see any Republican contender having done anything remotely comparable in terms of articulating an uplifting national cause as Obama has done.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 07:04 am
georgeob1 wrote:
Since neither of you guys can vote here why are you so concerned?[..]

I don't think the world will be much better (or worse) either way.

We're probably concerned because we dont agree that who becomes US president wont really make the world much better or worse a place. The USA is the overwhelmingly dominant world power, and pretty much everything it does has reverberations in any of our countries, whether we're from the UK, Poland, Slovakia or Mexico.

The Bush administration, as Blatham says, has been a prime example of that. The Clinton admin may have been mostly harmless, not effecting much either for the worse or for the better, but Bush - and before him, the likes Reagan, Nixon, Johnson, Eisenhower and FDR - have demonstrated the huge impact the US can have on lives around the world, for better or worse.

georgeob1 wrote:
Surely you don't think we have done as much harm to the peace of the world as have (say) the Russian, Soviet, French, English, Dutch, Spanish, or German empires?

Well thats just dandy then. If it wont be as bad as the Soviets were, why break into any sweat?

Quite the standard you have there...
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nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 07:14 am
blatham wrote:
nimh wrote:
I'm not surprised at all. Obama appears to be every conservative's favourite Democrat nowadays. :wink:


And isn't that interesting? Why would that be so?

He's unthreatening, and goes out of his way to appear so.

That's great in terms of cross-over appeal of course. But you have to wonder what it means in terms of his power to act once he is in office. Will he then feel obligated to take a course of action that remains non-threatening to even conservative voters as well? Will he emerge as a strong progressive President anyway, even when it starts involving the food fights with entrenched conservative positions that this must unavoidably involve, and then face a backlash from those more conservative voters who feel betrayed? Or will he sail past those rocks on sheer charm?
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 07:22 am
Waitaminute...

Unthreatening in what way? Not scary black man... yes. Unthreatening in general... at least debatable, I'd say.

He has a history of being able to connect with unlikely people, and I don't think "unthreatening" is the best way to encapsulate that. "Sincere," maybe (I see a lot of people saying that in terms of positives -- "sincere," "believes what he says," that kind of thing).
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 07:26 am
georgeob1 wrote:
Since neither of you guys can vote here why are you so concerned?


This was a petty and backbiting comment I made at the end of a long day of rather hard fought meetings (I'm back on the East Coast at work). I retract it and apologize for the affront.
0 Replies
 
sozobe
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 07:32 am
Random example from the debate -- wouldn't say this is entirely unthreatening:

Quote:
But in order for this to happen, we've got to be courageous enough to not just talk about it in front of the Sierra Club or organizations that are already sympathetic to us. When I announced my proposal to increase fuel efficiency standards on cars, I went to Detroit in front of the automakers and said they had to change their ways. I have to say the room was quiet and nobody clapped, but that's okay. Part of what the next president has to do is not just tell the American people what they want to hear, has to tell them what they need to hear.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 08:02 am
nimh wrote:

georgeob1 wrote:
Surely you don't think we have done as much harm to the peace of the world as have (say) the Russian, Soviet, French, English, Dutch, Spanish, or German empires?

Well thats just dandy then. If it wont be as bad as the Soviets were, why break into any sweat?

Quite the standard you have there...


Actually I said it hasn't been as bad as ANY ONE of the examples I offered.

It is an eminently reasonable standard - one based on reality and what has actually happened in this world of ours. I doubt that you can offer a better or more realistic one.

While Europe blissfully degenerates into demographic oblivion (female fertility continues to decline at an alarming rate - oddly though not in France), I suppose our (often inept) attempts to grapple with the facts of the world as it is may appear coarse and perhaps a bit uncivil. However, my opinion is that, in this matter, it is the European viewpoint that is unrealistic and wrong.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 12:41 pm
georgeob1 wrote:
georgeob1 wrote:
Since neither of you guys can vote here why are you so concerned?


This was a petty and backbiting comment I made at the end of a long day of rather hard fought meetings (I'm back on the East Coast at work). I retract it and apologize for the affront.


Padding across the stone floor in my purple slippers, I place my (ringed hand, or sword, or anything that comes to mind, you can choose) on your bowed shoulder, and give absolution. At which point, a door across the large echoing hall opens and the dobermans are released.
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georgeob1
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 12:48 pm
But the dogs are Catholic and have a Jesuit trainer -- I am safe.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 03:32 pm
sozobe wrote:
Waitaminute...

Unthreatening in what way? Not scary black man... yes. Unthreatening in general... at least debatable, I'd say.

He has a history of being able to connect with unlikely people, and I don't think "unthreatening" is the best way to encapsulate that. "Sincere," maybe

Unthreatening as in how he keeps going out of his way to perpetually insist how he will bring all Americans together, he will work with everyone, there's good republicans too, there'll be no more red states and blue states, just united states under him, etc.

I think this foresight of Edwards' is a bit more realistic:

"I believe we have to demand change in this country ... and I think we have to fight for that change. ... I'm talking about the president of the United States fighting against the powerful interests that stand between you and all of the things that America needs."

It's nice that Obama appeals to unlikely people, like Mysteryman here, but what I'm thinking is that if he goes out of his way to stress how he'll be everyone's president, he'll have a dilemma once he's in office. Either he sticks to a Bloomberg-type centrist course once he's in office and keep most people happy for the moment. Or he'll be the strong progressive president his core supporters expect, in which case there will definitely be red states and blue states re the contentions that automatically follow, and any conservatives that vote for him based on his inclusive rhetoric will feel cheated...
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nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 04:10 pm
Quote:
How Some of Us Got the Debate Wrong

[..] Talking to other journalists after the debate, I got the impression that they weren't so excited about Edwards's performance. (That was true of me and Mike, too.) So a lot of us were surprised to hear the cable networks' focus groups proclaim him the winner. But this may be one of those instances of political journalists being a horrible proxy for ordinary voters.

It's not that we in the media thought Edwards was lousy--to the contrary, most thought he was as crisp as ever. It's just that all the material was pretty familiar. If, on the other hand, you were tuning in for the first time today, you could easily have been impressed with his coherence and forcefulness. The man is just a damn good trial lawyer. And the kinds of people he used to persuade in courtrooms are precisely the kinds of people who'll decide the outcome of the caucuses. [..]

--Noam Scheiber

This also from Scheiber:

Quote:
The one thing I will say is that when I first heard the new version of the Clinton pitch Mike mentioned--"Some people believe you get [change] by demanding it. Some people believe you get it by hoping for it. I believe you get it by working hard for change"--I thought it was a winning distillation of the Clinton message.

But, having just come back from an Edwards event in Indianola, I'm beginning to rethink that a bit. Edwards basically turned the line around on her--arguing that the only way to get change is to demand it. "I believe we have to demand change in this country," he said. "And I think we have to fight for that change. I don't think it's going to come on its own. ... I'm talking about the president of the United States fighting against the powerful interests that stand between you and all of the things that America needs."

It sounded like a pretty effective comeback. And, though I didn't make it to Obama's events today in Eastern Iowa, it wouldn't shock me if he turned Hillary's line around in a similar way. [..] I can almost hear him using Hillary as a foil [..] -- e.g., Senator Clinton doesn't want you to hope. She doesn't want you to dream. Well, I'm hear to tell you that you should hope, you should dream. Etc.
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nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 04:52 pm
Chris Cilizza's take on the Democratic debate on the WaPo's blog:

Quote:
WINNERS

Joe Biden: Biden was extraordinary today. Not only did he speak specifically and with authority on issues both foreign and domestic, he was able to tie all of his arguments together under the umbrella of taking action and setting priorities. [..] Biden also beat back the toughest question [when] Ashburn asked him whether his past verbal gaffes in relation to race reflected a level of discomfort [..]. "I got involved in politics because of the civil rights movement," Biden said with real emotion [..]. [A]ll of his rivals offered a "huzzah" for his answer.

Barack Obama: Obama will never be the best debater of the bunch but today he showed how much he has improved. He used almost every answer to make his case that real change in politics is only possible if he is the nominee, and to broaden the argument from one about specific issues to one about the tenor and tone of political discourse. "We need leadership from the White House that restores that sense we are all in this together and are not in this on our own," Obama said. [..]

John Edwards [..]: Edwards is, without question, one of the most gifted (if not the most gifted) debater on any stage. And, for the first 45 minutes of the debate his populist "us versus them" message really hit home. [..] As the debate wore on, however, Edwards' riff on the "people versus the powerful" started to grate on us a bit [..]. The Edwards team was quick to point out that the Fox News Channel focus group gave their candidate a smashing victory in the debate. We can see why but felt he faded out a bit as the debate wore on.

Hillary Clinton [..]: At the start of the debate, Clinton seemed content to offer a series of talking points on issues like balancing the budget and fixing Social Security [..]. Starting with her "free statement" about halfway through the debate, however, Clinton kicked it into a higher gear. In 30 seconds or so, she summed up her campaign's message [..] : "Everybody on this stage has an idea about how to get change. Some believe you get change by demanding it, some believe you get it by hoping for it. I believe you get it by working hard for change." [..]

LOSERS

Bill Richardson: Unlike past debates [..], today he was awarded ample time to make his case to Iowa voters. And, while he didn't fail, he also didn't succeed. [..] Richardson always seems to be trying to put too much into his answers; he was the only one of the candidates on stage who repeatedly violated the time restrictions, forcing the moderator to interrupt him. Richardson had his moments [..] but there weren't enough of them [..].

The Republican Field: For those spartan few of us who watched both debates, one thing was crystal clear: the Democratic field was far deeper and more impressive. That's not to say it is and will always be so. But today the Democrats on stage engaged in a civil but edifying debate on issues that each candidate seemed well versed on and ready to talk about. It was a stark contrast to the Republican gathering, which was largely hijacked by former Ambassador Alan Keyes.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  1  
Fri 14 Dec, 2007 10:55 pm
Georgeob1 has argued here a couple of times that the Democrats face clear, internal ideological divisions in the presidential race just as much as the Republican field does.

But when I read this summary of what the Democratic candidates said in the last debate in answer to the question what they would do in their first year in office, what struck me how completely in sinc they are, policy-wise:

Quote:
WHAT WOULD YOU DO IN THE FIRST YEAR?

Obama: reverse executive orders that have undermined our civil liberties, work on health care.

Biden: abandon policies on torture, prisoners, create emergency health care funds on path to universal health care, invest in preschool education.

Richardson: energy strategy to reduce foreign oil imports, bring back habeas corpus, stop using torture, restore ourselves as a nation.

Dodd: appeal to unity, give back Constitution, robust diplomacy in the Middle East, a week after the election get people together to talk about energy and health care.

Edwards: end the war, close Guantanamo, begin process on universal health care and global warming.

Clinton: begin to end war in Iraq and bring troops home, rescind executive orders that take away liberties, end Bush's war on science.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Sat 15 Dec, 2007 09:20 am
georgeob1 wrote:
But the dogs are Catholic and have a Jesuit trainer -- I am safe.


There's a wonderful new film coming out soon set in a small Jesuit school near Nantucket. It's title is "The Choirboy Whisperer".

Dobermans are Protestant, obviously. For a Catholic breed, there's really just the Masstif.
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Sat 15 Dec, 2007 02:41 pm
nimh wrote:
Georgeob1 has argued here a couple of times that the Democrats face clear, internal ideological divisions in the presidential race just as much as the Republican field does.

But when I read this summary of what the Democratic candidates said in the last debate in answer to the question what they would do in their first year in office, what struck me how completely in sinc they are, policy-wise:

Quote:
WHAT WOULD YOU DO IN THE FIRST YEAR?

Obama: reverse executive orders that have undermined our civil liberties, work on health care.

Biden: abandon policies on torture, prisoners, create emergency health care funds on path to universal health care, invest in preschool education.

Richardson: energy strategy to reduce foreign oil imports, bring back habeas corpus, stop using torture, restore ourselves as a nation.

Dodd: appeal to unity, give back Constitution, robust diplomacy in the Middle East, a week after the election get people together to talk about energy and health care.

Edwards: end the war, close Guantanamo, begin process on universal health care and global warming.

Clinton: begin to end war in Iraq and bring troops home, rescind executive orders that take away liberties, end Bush's war on science.


But the summary you provided Nimh addresses only rather trivial (but emotionally laden) issues on which all can (1) Agree without penalty; (2) enable them to promise the relief of contemporary preoccupations without (to that audience at least) having to deal with the consequences or side effects; (3) create the impression that they will deliver profound changwithout having to deal with the specifics.

It was all merely penalty & consequence free political rhetoric. The very absence of substance in it, is what enabled them to avoid the appearance of substantial disagreement. With the possible exception of Edwards, none of them is campaigning for anything - they are instead campaigning against the current adnministration. In such circumstances it is a bit of a stretch to suggest that this means they are truly united in the approach they offer for the issues that will confront the country in the years ahead.

The truth is we don't know (and perhaps they don't either) what they will propose or do if elected.
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  1  
Sat 15 Dec, 2007 03:51 pm
I'm sure that by now, everyone has heard what Bill said about a Hillary win in Iowa being "a miracle" in an interview with Charlie Rose.

Why do you think he said this? Since he's undoubtedly media-savvy, he will have considered the possible reactions from all quarters. Do you think he actually believes that, and is reflecting some doubt that has been created in the Hillary camp? Or is it some shifty maneuvering, seeking to gain some subtle advantage yet unseen?

(and excuse me if this has already been discussed and I missed where0
0 Replies
 
okie
 
  1  
Sat 15 Dec, 2007 04:28 pm
Snood, I think it is just an indication they think they will lose, and are now wanting to make it sound like this was never a surprise that they would lose. This also lays the groundwork for making her look resilient and like the comeback kid, as her husband was characterized, if she wins in other states following. In other words, if she is going to lose in Iowa, they don't want it to look like she is fading and not meeting expectations. And if by some turn of events, she happens to win, then she looks like the rising star she claims to be, instead of the tired old Hillary that can't even beat Obama or Edwards.
0 Replies
 
 

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