9
   

THE US, THE UN AND IRAQ, ELEVENTH THREAD

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 12:50 pm
Shrug. I don't even know how to begin arguing against a position which is grounded in your intuition.

I will say that there's every likelyhood that Zawahiri and Bin Laden are located in reasonably close proximity to one another; do you feel it is worth trying to catch Zawahiri?

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 02:40 pm
On some things, it seems the Iraqi government does work.



Iraq to end contractor 'immunity'
Bodyguards from Blackwater escorting a diplomatic convoy
Blackwater has the contract to guard US diplomats in Iraq
The Iraqi interior ministry has said it has drafted legislation regulating private security companies following a shooting allegedly involving a US firm.

The new code would require contractors to be subject to Iraqi law and to be monitored by the Iraqi government.

The draft is being considered by the consultative State Shura Council before being passed to parliament for debate.

The circumstances of the shooting two weeks ago, in which 11 Iraqis died, are being investigated by a US-Iraqi panel.

The contractor under suspicion, Blackwater USA, has said its guards reacted lawfully to an attack on a US diplomatic convoy.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 05:00 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Shrug. I don't even know how to begin arguing against a position which is grounded in your intuition.

I will say that there's every likelyhood that Zawahiri and Bin Laden are located in reasonably close proximity to one another; do you feel it is worth trying to catch Zawahiri?

Cycloptichorn

I meant it when I said your argument was a solid argument. Therefore there is no need for you to provide additional arguement against my intuition. The argument you provided was sufficient.

Because I don't really have a basis for estimating the cost in American life and treasure both before and after capturing Zawahiri and/or bin Laden, and I don't really know the value of capturing them, I'm at a loss to offer a counter argument to yours.

Assuming capturing/executing them will actually lead to a rapid world-wide shut down of al-Qaeda, I think the effort would be worth it, if the cost of invading Pakistan to accomplish that were to be less than the future cost of eliminating al-Qaeda from Iraq and Afghanistan using our current methods.

For me it is a difficult call. Convince me otherwise.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 05:09 pm
The capture and/or death of bin Ladin will not stop al Qaeda, but it will help in the long run to slow down the recruitment of new members. How much slower is anybody's guess; it's only an assumption.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 25 Sep, 2007 05:11 pm
ican711nm wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Shrug. I don't even know how to begin arguing against a position which is grounded in your intuition.

I will say that there's every likelyhood that Zawahiri and Bin Laden are located in reasonably close proximity to one another; do you feel it is worth trying to catch Zawahiri?

Cycloptichorn

I meant it when I said your argument was a solid argument. Therefore there is no need for you to provide additional arguement against my intuition. The argument you provided was sufficient.

Because I don't really have a basis for estimating the cost in American life and treasure both before and after capturing Zawahiri and/or bin Laden, and I don't really know the value of capturing them, I'm at a loss to offer a counter argument to yours.

Assuming capturing/executing them will actually lead to a rapid world-wide shut down of al-Qaeda, I think the effort would be worth it, if the cost of invading Pakistan to accomplish that were to be less than the future cost of eliminating al-Qaeda from Iraq and Afghanistan using our current methods.

For me it is a difficult call. Convince me otherwise.


From a logical standpoint,

The only difference that we can see between Al Qadea and other terrorist organizations is that: AQ has had some pretty good leadership and planning, while other terrorists have not; they have been successful in their attacks, where others have not. They have been successful at eluding capture for the most part, where others have not. What should we attribute this to? I think two factors:

1, competent leadership. OBL is competent when it comes to planning. It is plainly obvious that they planned for the post-9/11 period, at least somewhat.

2, financing and support - primarily from Saudi Arabia, who has no shortage of money or shortage of hate for America.

Without attacking the source of the problem, we will not defeat AQ. We can kill their pawns all day, and they will just wait until we run out of money or patience. We should attack the source of the problems, if we intend to do anything about them.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Sep, 2007 07:56 am
The differences in the Pentegon report and Petraeus report on the casualities in Iraq.

http://thinkprogress.org/wp-content/uploads/2007/09/casualties.JPG

Security developments in Iraq, Sept 25

Sept 25 (Reuters) - Following are security developments in Iraq at 1200
Quote:
GMT on Tuesday.

* denotes new or updated item.



* DIYALA - A U.S. soldier was killed in Diyala province when an explosion hit his vehicle, U.S. forces said.

* KHALDIYA - A policeman was killed in Khalidiya, 80 km (50 miles) west of Baghdad, in a bomb attack targeting his police patrol.

* BAGHDAD - Iraqi special forces detained on Monday the leader of a militant cell who allegedly participated in bombings which destroyed several U.S. army vehicles and was linked to 10 rocket attacks on the Green Zone in Baghdad.

BAGHDAD - Two car bombs killed six people and wounded 20 in the Zayouna district of eastern Baghdad, police and hospital sources said.

HAWIJA - Hussein Ali Saleh, head of Hawija City Council, was wounded when a suicide car bomber targeted his convoy on a road near the town of Hawija, 70 km (40 miles) southwest of the city of Kirkuk, police said. Two of his guards were wounded.

MOSUL - A suicide bomber wearing an explosives belt blew himself up near a police colonel, wounding the officer and nine others in Mosul, 390 km (240 miles) north of Baghdad, police said.

BAGHDAD - The Iraqi army killed four insurgents and arrested 31 during the last 24 hours in different parts of Iraq, the Defence Ministry said.

FALLUJA - A roadside bomb targeting a police patrol killed one policeman and wounded another in Falluja, 50 km (30 miles) west of Baghdad, police said.

BAGHDAD - U.S. forces captured a suspected militant believed to have ties to the Qods force of Iran's Revolutionary Guard and detained six others during operations in Baghdad, the U.S. military said. The main militant was involved in weapons transfers throughout Iraq, the military said.

BASRA - A suicide car bomb killed three people in an attack targeting a police station in the southern Shi'ite city of Basra, police and a health official said. Up to 20 people were wounded. Basra lies 550 km (340 miles) southeast of Baghdad.

BAGHDAD - Twelve bodies were found in different parts of Baghdad on Monday, police said.

BAQUBA - Police put the final death toll at 28 from a suicide bombing on Monday at a mosque where local Shi'ite and Sunni Arab leaders were holding reconciliation talks in the city of Baquba, 65 km (40 miles) north of Baghdad. The city's police chief was among those killed. Police said 50 people were wounded.

BAGHDAD - A roadside bomb killed one person and wounded four in eastern Baghdad, police said.

BAGHDAD - A roadside bomb near a police station wounded seven people, including a policeman, in the Karrada district of central Baghdad, police said.

KIRKUK - Police said they found a body, shot and burned, in Kirkuk, 250 km (155 miles) north of Baghdad, police said.

KIRKUK - A roadside bomb wounded two people in southern Kirkuk, police said.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Sep, 2007 08:07 am
IMO the capture of Bin Laden would be a severe blow to the morale of AQ. I don't think it would stop AQ but it would be a big blow and it would enforce the idea that even someone like Bin Laden can be caught and might negate the idea of Bin Laden has God (Allah) on his side and so is protected from being captured or killed.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Sep, 2007 11:17 am
http://www.editorandpublisher.com/eandp/news/article_display.jsp?vnu_content_id=1003646639

.
Quote:
NEW YORK El Pais, the highest-circulation daily in Spain, today published what it said was the transcript of a private talk between President George W. Bush and Spanish Prime Minister Jose Maria Aznar on February 22, 2003, concerning the coming U.S. invasion of Iraq. It took place at the ranch in Crawford, Texas.

The conversation took place on the President's ranch in Crawford, Texas. The confidential transcript was prepared by Spain's ambassador to the United States, Javier Ruperez, the paper said.

Bush purportedly said he planned to invade Iraq inf March "if there was a United Nations Security Council resolution or not....We have to get rid of Saddam. We will be in Baghdad at the end of March."

He said the U.S. takeover would happen without widespread destruction. He observed that he was willing to play bad cop to British Prime Minister Tony Blair's good cop.

Aznar pleaded for patience and replied that it was vital to get a U.N. resolution, noting that public opinion in Spain was strongly against the war.


This gives the lie to the 'Saddam wouldn't cooperate' idea. Bush had set his mind on war long before.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Sep, 2007 11:27 am
Quote:
Mercenaries vs. Counterinsurgency
Blackwater could be a worse problem than you think.


http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=N2E0MWNhMjMxZjVhM2JmMjA0Yzg0ODNmNzVjMTk5ZDc=

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Sep, 2007 12:41 pm
Gates to investigate contractors in Iraq

By ROBERT BURNS, AP Military Writer 14 minutes ago

WASHINGTON - Unhappy with the Pentagon's oversight of its private contractors in Iraq, Defense Secretary Robert Gates has dispatched a fact-finding team to probe further into the problem, officials said Wednesday.
ADVERTISEMENT

The Pentagon also disclosed that for several months it has been developing additional guidance for American commanders and other senior defense officials on how the Uniform Code of Military Justice can be used to discipline contractors. Prior to October 2006 the code did not apply to contractors.
0 Replies
 
Ramafuchs
 
  1  
Reply Wed 26 Sep, 2007 03:07 pm
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 07:38 am
In reply to both the Spain/Bush conversation and the contractor situation in Iraq. I am ashamed to be associated with our president and this war; it is just dishonorable all the way around. Whats worse; I am not sure how anyone following will be able to undo it all or if it is possible. Lets say we leave; will that help anything other than our pocketbooks? If we stay will that help anything in Iraq? I think it is no to both questions.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 09:37 am
revel wrote:
In reply to both the Spain/Bush conversation and the contractor situation in Iraq. I am ashamed to be associated with our president and this war; it is just dishonorable all the way around. Whats worse; I am not sure how anyone following will be able to undo it all or if it is possible. Lets say we leave; will that help anything other than our pocketbooks? If we stay will that help anything in Iraq? I think it is no to both questions.


revel, I agree; the only choices are lose-lose. There never was a win-win in Iraq, but Bush had to start his war to help his buddies with the oil contracts.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 01:04 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:

...

ican711nm wrote:
... For me it is a difficult call. Convince me otherwise.


From a logical standpoint,

The only difference that we can see between Al Qadea and other terrorist organizations is that: AQ has had some pretty good leadership and planning, while other terrorists have not; they have been successful in their attacks, where others have not. They have been successful at eluding capture for the most part, where others have not. What should we attribute this to? I think two factors:

1, competent leadership. OBL is competent when it comes to planning. It is plainly obvious that they planned for the post-9/11 period, at least somewhat.

2, financing and support - primarily from Saudi Arabia, who has no shortage of money or shortage of hate for America.

Without attacking the source of the problem, we will not defeat AQ. We can kill their pawns all day, and they will just wait until we run out of money or patience. We should attack the source of the problems, if we intend to do anything about them.

Cycloptichorn

I wish we had some way of determining the actual locations of bin Laden, Zawahiri, and the rest of the al-Qaeda top leadership. Then we could make commando type invasions of just those sites, and capture or kill them with no need to remain any longer than necessary to complete those missions.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 01:43 pm
A REMINDER

ican711nm wrote:
We are fighting a war. These are the reasons why:

(1) We Americans probably face a sizeable risk of being murdered by Terrorist Malignancy, if we decide to limit the defense of ourselves against Terrorist Malignancy to only here in America;
http://www.mideastweb.org/osambinladen1.htm

(2) The state of Afghanistan harbored (i.e., allowed sanctuary to) al-Qaeda Terrorist Malignancy from May 1996 to October 2001, when the USA invaded Afghanistan seeking to end their sanctuary in Afghanistan;
www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm

(3) The state of Iraq harbored (i.e., allowed sanctuary to) al-Qaeda Terrorist Malignancy from December 2001 to March 2003, when the USA invaded Iraq to end their sanctuary in Iraq;
www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm


Quote:
(4) Tuesday night, September 11, 2001, the President broadcast to the nation:
www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
We will make no distinction between the terrorists who committed these acts and those who harbor them.


Congress wrote:
(5) Friday, September 14, 2001
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/military/terroristattack/joint-resolution_9-14.html
The President is authorized to use all necessary and appropriate force against those nations, organizations, or persons he determines planned, authorized, committed, or aided the terrorist attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, or harbored such organizations or persons, in order to prevent any future acts of international terrorism against the United States by such nations, organizations or persons.


Quote:
(6) Thursday, September 20, 2001, President Bush addressed the nation before a joint session of Congress:
www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
Tonight we are a country awakened to danger. Our enemy is a radical network of terrorists, and every government that supports them.


Quote:
(7) Wednesday, October 16, 2002, Congress passed a joint resolution to authorize the use of United States Armed Forces against Iraq and gave two primary and sufficient reasons for doing so, that were subsequently verified by the USA military:

www.c-span.org/resources/pdf/hjres114.pdf
Whereas members of al Qaida, an organization bearing responsibility for attacks on the United States, its citizens, and interests, including the attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, are known to be in Iraq;

Whereas Iraq continues to aid and harbor other international terrorist organizations, including organizations that threaten the lives and safety of United States citizens;
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 01:46 pm
A reminder of what, exactly?

In re: your last post,

http://thinkprogress.org/2007/09/27/bl-tora-bora/

It appears that we missed capturing a top AQ member in Tora Bora; probably b/c we don't have enough forces of the type you describe.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 02:03 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
A reminder of what, exactly?

...

Cycloptichorn

This:
Quote:
A REMINDER

We are fighting a war. These are the reasons why:
...

was in response to cice"s post:
Quote:
... Bush had to start his war to help his buddies with the oil contracts.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 02:16 pm
Quote:
Sherif Mansour
Anti-al Qaeda base envisioned
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 02:34 pm
Ican,

What a great article. Talk about a guy who completely gets it. I couldn't agree more with his idea.

A whole division of our counter-terrorism operation; a group whose job it is to make the lives of moderate muslims better, to extend the helping hand, to help them choose how to move forward into the next century.

There are some who say I am hopelessly idealistic for suggesting such a thing; but it doesn't have to be the only method we have at our disposal, and we will be, at our worse, attempting to use positive methods of reinforcement of our message as well as negative ones. An eminently prudent move on our part.

You know I've said before: Our culture is our cannon. Our ideas are like bullets and bombs in the minds of people all over the world. Hollywood is like a sniper; it's undeniable that our media is almost as popular around he world as it is here, and it acts as a liberalizing force for the places that need it the most; minds of young people in other countries.

Cycloptichorn

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 27 Sep, 2007 02:36 pm
I agree with the previous two posts.
0 Replies
 
 

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