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THE US, THE UN AND IRAQ, ELEVENTH THREAD

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 12:49 pm
Quote:
I believe we must transfer full responsibility to the Iraqis for their own protection, before we can exterminate al-Qaeda in Iraq.


But, there simply is no group called 'the Iraqis.' It's a myth. There is no unified presence there for us to transfer authority to.

Also, the IArmy has no ability whatsoever to defend anything. Their battalions and units are unreliable in the extreme; they have no artillery, no tanks and no airpower, the last of which being critical for the kind of fighting that we engage in. There's credible evidence that both the IA and the police force are riddled with insurgents and Shiite militas of various stripes.

It's a lose-lose situation, man...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 01:24 pm
Wow - Reid has announced that they will challenge the Republicans to actually Fillibuster the Warner-Levin amendment. Tuesday night, they will stay all night until the bill is allowed to go forward.

Reid is signaling an end to Republican obstructionism in the Senate. The Republicans have forced a cloture vote on every piece of legislation in order to block as many things from reaching the Prez. as possible.

We'll see how much nuts they really have now! Reid has said that there will be no August break if the bills can't move forward to a vote...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 01:29 pm
I'll believe it when I see it. ****About time!
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 01:47 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
I believe we must transfer full responsibility to the Iraqis for their own protection, before we can exterminate al-Qaeda in Iraq.


But, there simply is no group called 'the Iraqis.' It's a myth. There is no unified presence there for us to transfer authority to.

Also, the IArmy has no ability whatsoever to defend anything. Their battalions and units are unreliable in the extreme; they have no artillery, no tanks and no airpower, the last of which being critical for the kind of fighting that we engage in. There's credible evidence that both the IA and the police force are riddled with insurgents and Shiite militas of various stripes.

It's a lose-lose situation, man...

Cycloptichorn

Let's test your thesis and compel another election to be held in Iraq.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 01:58 pm
ican711nm wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
I believe we must transfer full responsibility to the Iraqis for their own protection, before we can exterminate al-Qaeda in Iraq.


But, there simply is no group called 'the Iraqis.' It's a myth. There is no unified presence there for us to transfer authority to.

Also, the IArmy has no ability whatsoever to defend anything. Their battalions and units are unreliable in the extreme; they have no artillery, no tanks and no airpower, the last of which being critical for the kind of fighting that we engage in. There's credible evidence that both the IA and the police force are riddled with insurgents and Shiite militas of various stripes.

It's a lose-lose situation, man...

Cycloptichorn

Let's test your thesis and compel another election to be held in Iraq.


I agree 100%. Would you like to place a bet on this happening this fall? I think you can guess which side of the bet I would like to take.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 02:39 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
I believe we must transfer full responsibility to the Iraqis for their own protection, before we can exterminate al-Qaeda in Iraq.


But, there simply is no group called 'the Iraqis.' It's a myth. There is no unified presence there for us to transfer authority to.

Also, the IArmy has no ability whatsoever to defend anything. Their battalions and units are unreliable in the extreme; they have no artillery, no tanks and no airpower, the last of which being critical for the kind of fighting that we engage in. There's credible evidence that both the IA and the police force are riddled with insurgents and Shiite militas of various stripes.

It's a lose-lose situation, man...

Cycloptichorn

Let's test your thesis and compel another election to be held in Iraq.


I agree 100%. Would you like to place a bet on this happening this fall? I think you can guess which side of the bet I would like to take.

Cycloptichorn

No!

Yes!

I would like such an election to be held before July 2008. Elections in the coming fall, winter, spring, or even early summer would make me happy.

However, unfortunately I expect such an election will not occurr before 2009.

By the way, would calling the non-murderers residing in Iraq MOSULBAGHDADBASTRAis? be consistent with your thesis? Confused
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 02:42 pm
ican711nm wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:
I believe we must transfer full responsibility to the Iraqis for their own protection, before we can exterminate al-Qaeda in Iraq.


But, there simply is no group called 'the Iraqis.' It's a myth. There is no unified presence there for us to transfer authority to.

Also, the IArmy has no ability whatsoever to defend anything. Their battalions and units are unreliable in the extreme; they have no artillery, no tanks and no airpower, the last of which being critical for the kind of fighting that we engage in. There's credible evidence that both the IA and the police force are riddled with insurgents and Shiite militas of various stripes.

It's a lose-lose situation, man...

Cycloptichorn

Let's test your thesis and compel another election to be held in Iraq.


I agree 100%. Would you like to place a bet on this happening this fall? I think you can guess which side of the bet I would like to take.

Cycloptichorn

No!

Yes!

I would like such an election to be held before July 2008. Elections in the coming fall, winter, spring, or even early summer would make me happy.

However, unfortunately I expect such an election will not occurr before 2009.

By the way, would calling the non-murderers residing in Iraq MOSULBAGHDADBASTRAis? be consistent with your thesis? Confused


I don't know why you insist on inventing crazy acronyms. They don't affect the conversation one way or the other.

If there's no elections in 2008, then there won't be any in 2009, because we will be gone and their government will have fallen - guaranteed.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 04:25 pm
Hamilton worries about prospects in Iraq

By CALVIN WOODWARD, Associated Press Writer
1 hour, 43 minutes ago



WASHINGTON - Former Rep. Lee Hamilton, co-chairman of the Iraq Study Group, said Monday he's "extremely doubtful" that Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki will be able to secure the country and allow American forces to leave any time soon. President Bush, however, reaffirmed his strong support for al-Maliki.


And in what has become a drumbeat from the region, yet another military commander said Monday it would be a mistake to draw down U.S. troops just as the buildup is making its best progress.

"There is no chance that the Iraqi forces could take over at any time, or certainly by the first of the year," Hamilton said in a nationally broadcast interview. "All of the support efforts, logistical and medical and so forth, they are not close to being able to meet," Hamilton said.

British Army Lt. Gen. Graeme Lamb, deputy commander of international forces in Iraq, said that Iraqis also have a way to go to cleanse a police force infiltrated by Shiite militiamen. Officials have removed some 11,000 police suspected of sectarian bias, Lamb told Pentagon reporters, but he added that the problem won't be "solved overnight."
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 05:09 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:

ican711nm wrote:

...
By the way, would calling the non-murderers residing in Iraq MOSULBAGHDADBASTRAis? be consistent with your thesis? Confused


I don't know why you insist on inventing crazy acronyms. They don't affect the conversation one way or the other.

If there's no elections in 2008, then there won't be any in 2009, because we will be gone and their government will have fallen - guaranteed.

Cycloptichorn

I don't know why you cannot tell the difference between an acronym and a compound term.

The compound term was selected to mock your malarkey that "there simply is no group called 'the Iraqis.'"

They may not be a completely organized group, but they are a group.

Well, we have two more theses from you:
(1) "If there's no elections in 2008, then there won't be any in 2009;"
(2) "If there is no election in 2008, we will be gone and their government will have fallen.

Quote:
SO WHICH SHALL IT BE AND WHY DO YOU THINK SO?

Shall we stay in Iraq until we succeed and risk never succeeding,

OR,

Shall we leave Iraq and risk a large part of our population being mass murdered or maimed?
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 05:32 pm
False dichotomy. There is no evidence that leaving Iraq will lead to our population being endangered in any fashion.

You posit that leaving Iraq = doing nothing about terrorism or AQ or even the AQ in Iraq. This is a false position; no one has suggested that the right answer is to do nothing about the problem.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 06:36 pm
Quote:
ยป

Gen. David Petraeus, the top U.S. commander in Iraq, has repeatedly said that the United States must wait until September to assess the success of the President's escalation policy in Iraq. Last month, Petraeus said it was "premature right now" to discuss the way forward in Iraq.

But yesterday on C-SPAN, Sen. Jack Reed (D-RI), who recently returned from a trip to Iraq, suggested that those comments aren't Petraeus's real views. Rather, he is shilling for the administration. "I got the impression from Gen. Petraeus that he wasn't waiting" until September to reassess the Iraq policy. "Now he might be overruled by people in the White House and, you know, wait until September. But he seemed very eager to come forward as quickly as possible with a new direction and policy." Watch it:


Yes, do: http://thinkprogress.org/2007/07/16/petraeus-reed/

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 07:10 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
False dichotomy. There is no evidence that leaving Iraq will lead to our population being endangered in any fashion.

You posit that leaving Iraq = doing nothing about terrorism or AQ or even the AQ in Iraq. This is a false position; no one has suggested that the right answer is to do nothing about the problem.

Cycloptichorn

There is a preponderance of evidence that leaving Iraq will lead to our population being seriously endangered. I among others have already provided you that evidence.

I did not "posit leaving Iraq = doing nothing about terrorism or AQ or even the AQ in Iraq."

I posited that we have exactly two choices:

Quote:
Shall we stay in Iraq until we succeed and risk never succeeding,

OR,

Shall we leave Iraq and risk a large part of our population being mass murdered or maimed?


In other words, if we were to leave Iraq before we succeed there, we take a huge risk that there will be nothing we can do short of becoming Muslims (as al-Qaeda defines it) that will prevent a large part of our population being mass murdered or maimed?
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 07:50 pm
Quote:

In other words, if we were to leave Iraq before we succeed there, we take a huge risk that there will be nothing we can do short of becoming Muslims (as al-Qaeda defines it) that will prevent a large part of our population being mass murdered or maimed?


Baseless assertion. 'Huge risk?' You just make stuff up.

How did you calculate that after we leave Iraq, AQ will have increased capability to attack us here at home?

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 08:18 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Quote:

In other words, if we were to leave Iraq before we succeed there, we take a huge risk that there will be nothing we can do short of becoming Muslims (as al-Qaeda defines it) that will prevent a large part of our population being mass murdered or maimed?


Baseless assertion. 'Huge risk?' You just make stuff up.

How did you calculate that after we leave Iraq, AQ will have increased capability to attack us here at home?

Cycloptichorn

It's you that just makes stuff up. All you do is state your theses and then assume they are valid without providing evidence to support them.

I among others here have already posted a preponderance of evidence that if we were to leave Iraq before we succeed there, we take a huge risk that there will be nothing we can do short of becoming Muslims (as al-Qaeda defines that) that will prevent a large part of our population being mass murdered or maimed?

I did not calculate that AQ will have increased capability to attack us here at home. In a previous post here, I calculated that about 340 suicidal mass murderers per year, each killing on average 150 American non-murderers, were required to suicidally mass murder 51,000 American non-murderers per year? Al-Qaeda already has at least that 340 in and/or outside America. I also explained how a replacement 340 could be recruited, trained, brought to America, and equipped here each year to kill that average of 150 each.

You'll recall that less than 20 killed almost 3,000 American non-murderers on 9/11/2001 in less than 3 hours.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Mon 16 Jul, 2007 08:26 pm
You seem to only have a passing acquaintance with statistics, Ican. You simple can't extrapolate information like that from such a limited base of original knowledge.

If there are at least 340 killers here now, why would leaving Iraq increase the chances that they would attack - why haven't they already attacked?

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Jul, 2007 07:12 am
Since the so called Al Qaeda in Iraq are interested in keeping the Shiites from controlling Iraq, I don't see why they would follow us home if we leave.


Click here

For proof you need go no further than to follow who has been targeted by the so called Al Qaeda in Iraq, the Shiites and the US troops. Take today for instance:

Quote:
BAGHDAD - Dozens of Shiite villagers in the north were massacred by Sunni extremists, two officials said Tuesday, while a car bomb exploded across the street from the Iranian Embassy in the heart of Baghdad and killed four civilians.

Meanwhile, Shiite legislators loyal to anti-U.S. cleric Muqtada al-Sadr decided to end their five-week boycott of parliament, one of their leaders said. The Shiite protest along with a separate Sunni boycott had blocked work on key benchmark legislation demanded by the U.S.

Police Col. Ragheb Radhi al-Omairi said 29 members of a Shiite tribe were massacred overnight in Diyala province when dozens of suspected Sunni gunmen raided their village near Muqdadiyah, about 60 miles northeast of Baghdad. The dead included four women, al-Omairi said.

Al-Omairi said he had not seen the bodies and it was unclear whether they had been retrieved.

An Iraqi army officer, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he was not supposed to release the information, said the attack occurred in the village of Diwailiya and that at least 10 bodies were mutilated in the hour-long raid.

The village is in the same province as Baqouba, where fighting escalated Tuesday. U.S. and Iraqi troops regained control of western Baqouba last month, but al-Qaida and other Sunni insurgent elements remain active in the rest of the city. The al-Qaida front Islamic State of Iraq had declared Baqouba its capital.

In Baghdad, the deadliest bombing occurred when a suicide driver detonated his vehicle near an Iraqi army patrol in Zayouna, a mostly Shiite area of eastern Baghdad, killing 10 people, including six civilians, police said.

Police said 11 people, including seven civilians, were wounded.

The blast near the Iranian Embassy occurred in late morning a few hundred yards north of the U.S.-controlled Green Zone, sending a huge cloud of black smoke over the city. Three civilians also were wounded, said police.

All the Baghdad police officers spoke on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to release information.

Also Tuesday, the bodies of two security guards were found in the western Baghdad neighborhood of Mansour, two days after they were kidnapped from the office of a cell phone company where they worked, police said.

U.S. forces have launched offensives around the Iraqi capital to try to halt the flow of bombs and fighters into the city. The latest strike began Monday southwest of the city in an area where al-Qaida and other groups have been active for years.

The U.S. command said American soldiers had killed about a dozen insurgents during a three-hour gunfight Monday in the Fadhil district, a Sunni enclave in the center of the city. The battle began when paratroopers from the 82nd Airborne Division came under fire from the Islamic Bank building, the military said.

One U.S. trooper was slightly wounded, the U.S. said.

U.S. Marines also have started a new offensive to establish a presence in towns along the Euphrates River long used as insurgent sanctuaries.

Operation Mawtini, begun Sunday, includes more than 9,000 U.S. and Iraqi troops and aims to establish control in remote areas of western Anbar province, the U.S. said.

The leader of the 30-member Sadrist bloc in parliament, Nasser al-Rubaie, said the decision to end the boycott was taken after the government agreed to rebuild a Shiite mosque in Samarra which was destroyed in two bombings and to secure the highway from Baghdad and the shrine.

Pressure is now expected to mount on the Sunnis to end their boycott, which began over the ouster of the Sunni speaker of parliament last month. Sunni leaders say agreement is near on ending the protest.

Both protests have paralyzed work in Iraq's fractious, 275-member assembly as pressure is growing in the United States to bring an end to the U.S. military role here.

However, the Sadrists also oppose a number of bills sought by the government, including legislation to regulate the oil industry. That could make it tougher for key benchmark legislation to win approval.

Meanwhile, a group in Switzerland said nearly 2.2 million Iraqis are living in a precarious state of displacement inside Iraq, struggling to access regular food supplies or adequate shelter and health care.

About 60,000 additional Iraqis are being uprooted from their homes each month, spurred by sectarian violence, military operations and general lawlessness, said Jemini Pandya, a spokeswoman for the International Organization for Migration.

The 120-nation migration body has been distributing aid to hundreds of thousands of displaced and vulnerable Iraqis since the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq in 2003.

Pandya said it has become increasingly difficult to guarantee assistance for those most in need in Iraq, largely because of the insecurity in the country and limited resources for aid groups.

Also Tuesday, commercial air service resumed at Basra's international airport after rocket or mortar fire damaged the runway a day earlier, a British spokesman said.

The attack caused minor damage and a one-day suspension of commercial air service, but no casualties, said Maj. Matthew Bird, a British spokesman.

Basra's airport is controlled by British troops who come under almost daily attacks from Shiite militiamen in the southern oil-producing region. Al-Sadr's Mahdi Army militia and other Shiite factions are competing for control of the area.

In Kirkuk, families collected the bodies of relatives from hospitals a day after a triple bombing killed about 80 people. Others were searching debris still left on the street, hoping for clues about what happened to friends and relatives whose bodies have not been identified.

All but one of the victims died when a massive truck bomb exploded near the Kirkuk Castle and the headquarters of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, the party of President Jalal Talabani.

It was the deadliest attack in Kirkuk, 180 miles north of Baghdad, where Arabs, Turkomen and Kurds are competing for control of the city at the heart of the northern oil region.

Voters in the city are to decide whether to join the Kurdish self-ruled region in a referendum by year's end.

With three ethnic groups competing for control, violence in Kirkuk has been frequent. But Monday's blasts were on a far bigger scale than most attacks.

U.S. and Iraqi officials have said Sunni Arab insurgents are moving farther north to carry out attacks, fleeing U.S. offensives in and around Baghdad.


source

So what you have here is the Shiites trying to gain control of Iraq and the Sunni insurgents (self styled Al Qaeda) plus foreign (135 out of 5,000 to 10,000) Al Qaeda trying to keep the Shiites from succeeding. Plus now the Turks and Kurds and fighting for the same reason. The whole thing is tribal wars and nothing to do with the fight we have with the war on terror with Al Qaeda proper who was behind the attack on 9/11. The insurgents and Al Qaeda in Iraq have entirely different goals than Bin Laden's Al Qaeda. Therefore, there is no reason to assume that if we leave those Al Qaeda fighters in Iraq will follow us home. More than likely they will continue on with the fight they are fighting now in Iraq.
0 Replies
 
xingu
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Jul, 2007 07:16 am
[quote]INTERVIEW-Iraq inspired failed London attacks-Bruguiere
16 Jul 2007
Source: Reuters

PARIS, July 16 (Reuters) - Attempted car bombings in England and Scotland show militant Islamists are trying to punish Britain for its role in Iraq, one of Europe's top anti-terrorism investigators said in an interview.

French judge Jean-Louis Bruguiere said Britain's role as the main U.S. ally in Iraq made it a special target -- something the British government rejects -- and its focus for decades on Northern Irish militants had caused it to neglect the threat from Islamists until the last few years.

Last month's failed London car bombs, and an attempt to ram a jeep laden with gas and petrol canisters into Glasgow airport in Scotland, showed radicals were increasingly self-reliant, and therefore harder to detect before they strike, he said.

"Subject to further information, it would appear that the two operations planned for London were not the work of amateurs," said Bruguiere, who has strong ties with law enforcement agencies in Britain and the United States.

"The desire to inflict the maximum number of victims is obvious. The reference to the murderous methods used in Iraq must be noted," he said in an interview with Reuters.

"Glasgow was technically different, but the same desire existed to kill and demonstrate the ability of these groups to act simultaneously in several places in the United Kingdom."

Bruguiere said the increased radicalisation of loose-knit Islamic networks had led to a reduction in the time between an individual being recruited and launching operations.

"Several factors are involved. But without question, the main one is Iraq. Iraq is today the motor of jihad (Holy War).

"Britain is the ally of the Americans. It is present in Iraq and for this reason is being targeted in particular. Above all it is considered by the radical lslamist movement as Washington's main support," he added.

ISLAMIC THREAT OVERLOOKED
Unlike the Irish Republican Army (IRA), which Britain fought for years in Northern Ireland, the new Islamist groups were unstructured, with no centralised command centre, he said.

"Their ability to form and dissolve themselves, as well as melt into the environment in which they live, makes it very difficult to detect them," said Bruguiere.

"The same is true of anticipating the threat, unless these networks are deeply penetrated."

A focus on Northern Ireland meant Britain failed to anticipate the threat posed by Islamist radicals, he said.

British officials say decades of fighting the IRA enabled it to put in place highly effective counter-terrorism structures, but acknowledge that Islamist militants pose a very different threat -- for example their willingness to die for their cause.

Bruguiere said: "The British authorities had to concentrate their efforts on IRA activity and neglected over the last decade the potential dangers of the Islamist structures settled on their soil.

"The latter have, however, played a major role in developing the terrorist activities of the GIA (Algerian Armed Islamic Group) in France and, above all, the sending of European mujahideen to Afghanistan via Pakistan up to 2001."

Chronic instability in both countries has allowed the Afghan-Pakistan border to become a training ground for militants, including those recruited in the West, he said.

French intelligence service chiefs have expressed concern about the prospect of their battle-hardened nationals returning with orders to set up cells on home soil. Nationals from other EU states have undergone training there and their EU passports means they can travel around Europe relatively unnoticed.

"I am not an out and out optimist, I'm not an absolute pessimist," Bruguiere said. "But we are in rather a complicated period. The difficulties are ahead of us, not behind us."
[/quote]
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L16730862.htm
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Jul, 2007 08:35 am
Isn't it funny that the "fear" tactics Bush uses to scare Americans in thinking if we don't fight them there, we'll have to fight them here, is the very reason why al Qaeda has been growing - our occupation of Iraq.

The praternal actions of Bush to manage and control the Iraqi government is the biggest problem seen by all the insurgents and sectarian divisions. Added to all that our blind support of Israel, and we have a problem that Bush will never understand. Bush has accomplished the impossible; increasing terrorism around the world all by himself.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Jul, 2007 08:46 am
Now that the red alerts have worn off after it's use too often, the administration have "released" information on al Qaeda attacks in the US.


Report says al-Qaida seeks to attack U.S.


By KATHERINE SHRADER and ANNE FLAHERTY, Associated Press Writers
6 minutes ago



WASHINGTON - The terrorist network Al-Qaida will likely leverage its contacts and capabilities in Iraq to mount an attack on U.S. soil, according to a new National Intelligence Estimate on threats to the United States.

The declassified key findings, to be released publicly on Tuesday, were obtained in advance by The Associated Press.
Perspective: It's more likely that any American is exposed to getting killed in their car than by any threat by al Qaeda, but fear works.
0 Replies
 
hamburger
 
  1  
Reply Tue 17 Jul, 2007 09:00 am
i think politicians of all stripes have known for centures (millenia ?) that a good way of keeping the population under control is to throw some scares at them .
the list of such scares is a long one : socialists , the yellow peril , communists , the red scare , the soviets and now a-q ... i'm sure if this scare doesn't evidence itself , politicians will have no trouble finding others - just my OPINION - NOT BASED ON ANY MATHEMATICAL CALCULATIONS Shocked .
hbg

(in the germany i grew up in , capitalists were presented as the BIG EVIL !)
0 Replies
 
 

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