ican711nm wrote:Cycloptichorn wrote:Make sure you add 144 billion dollars, the prices of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
No point in ignoring the costs of that, is there? They go on the books either way.
Cycloptichorn
Federal Budget Deficits in the years 2006 & 2007; page 2, Table 1:
October 2005 to September 2006 = $248.2 Billion
October 2006 to June 2007 = $121.0 Billion
From page 3, Table 2: estimate for full fiscal year,
October 2006 to September 2007 = $204.7 Billion
Yes, and make sure you, as I said, add anywhere from 130-150 billion for the cost of the war. You can't just ignore those costs, as you seem to want to.
Cycloptichorn
Cyclo et al, Haven't you noticed? Even Bush doesn't mention the cost of this war, because he wants to "stay the course," and he'll get more negative performance ratings for telling the truth. On second thought, some people like ican who still support this war would rather spend it on killing and maiming rather than promote universal health care for all of our citizens - the population with the shortest life span and highest infant mortality rate of all the developed countries... Bush and ican can make sure our life span shortens even more with this war that has spread to many parts around the world.
ican, If the Iraq and Afghanistan wars are costing upwards of 2.8 billion every week, the total federal deficit ain't gonna be what you posted. You should know by now how our government produces numbers that has so many twists and turns to them, nobody in their right mind will be able to interpret them.
On second thought, you may be quite capable.
Bush's budget: government by fraud and lies
By Patrick Martin
9 February 2005
...
Al Qaeda's Strength 'Undiminished' in Iraq
Despite U.S. Assertions, Terrorists Thriving in Iraq, Senior Military Official Says
By JONATHAN KARL
July 12, 2007 ?-
A military intelligence report that concludes al Qaeda has largely restored itself to pre- 9/11 strength will be the focus of a meeting at the White House today. The meeting was called to discuss a pending National Intelligence Estimate.
While the military has maintained that al Qaeda is on the run in Iraq, by any number of measures the terror group and its affiliates are as strong as ever, and June was the most violent month since the start of the war, a senior U.S. military official told ABC News.
"Despite our successes in taking out leaders and infrastructure," said the official, "al Qaeda's operational capability appears to be undiminished."
Asked about the al Qaeda comeback, Homeland Security Chief Michael Chertoff said today on "Good Morning America," "It reflects the fact that just as we improve our defenses, the enemy tries to improve its defenses and rebuild itself."
Al Qaeda operations are marked by the use of suicide bombers, and the latest intelligence assessment shows that suicide attacks were near an all-time high in May and June. According to the report, al Qaeda in Iraq is responsible for 15 percent of the attacks in the country, often the most deadly. Sunni insurgents are blamed for 70 percent of attacks, and Shiite militias 15 percent. Shiite attacks, however, have sharply increased and are now probably higher than 15 percent.
ABC News has learned the most recent military intelligence assessment of Iraq also shows that the overall level of violence in the country -- measured as the number of "violent incidents" -- hit its highest level in June since the war began.
According to the assessment, an average of 178 attacks a day were carried out in June. By comparison, there were only 94 attacks a day in March 2006, the month after the attack on the Golden Dome mosque in Samarra touched off a wave of sectarian violence.
The record level of violence comes despite significant progress in a few key areas. Anbar Province, for example, was once the most dangerous area in Iraq and has experienced a turnaround a senior military official calls "miraculous." Attacks on civilians are also down significantly. But in other areas, the trends are moving in the wrong direction:
The number of attacks on U.S. soldiers is way up, now accounting for 70 percent of all attacks in Iraq.
While violence has dropped dramatically in Anbar Province, the number of attacks has risen sharply in four other provinces: Baghdad, Salahaddin, Diyala and Basra.
In June, there were a record 55 attacks with Iranian-made roadside bombs -- called explosively formed penetrators. This is the deadliest form of roadside bomb seen in Iraq.
Mortar attacks on the Green Zone have dramatically increased.
The increase in violence can be attributed to a sharp rise in attacks on U.S. forces, including a record number of attacks with Iranian-made explosives in June, as well as a sharp increase in attacks on Baghdad's Green Zone, 90 percent of which are fired from Shiite neighborhoods.
Copyright © 2007 ABC News Internet Ventures
GOP Sen. Gordon Smith calls war in Iraq 'insane' David Edwards and Muriel Kane
Published: Tuesday July 10, 2007
Fox News, reporting Tuesday on the increasing number of Republicans in Congress criticizing the Iraq War, interviewed Senator Gordon Smith (R-OR), cosponsor of a resolution for withdrawal.
Smith is known for a speech last December in which he stated, "I, for one, am at the end of my rope when it comes to supporting a policy that has our soldiers patrolling the same streets in the same way, being blown up by the same bombs day after day. That is absurd. It may even be criminal."
Smith told Fox, "If I could do anything over, I would - in that speech I gave - I would replace the word 'criminal' with the word 'insane.'" He suggested that the "surge" might have had a chance of working four years ago, but said, "On my numerous visits to Iraq ... each time I go, the government seems more and more dysfunctional. And all we're doing is depending on them to step up and govern."
Smith went on to explain the legislation he is sponsoring, saying, "There's nothing in this amendment that says we withdraw from the war on terror." When Fox host Shepard Smith pressed him on whether there might be a civil war in Iraq that is indistinguishable from the war on terror, the senator denied both points. "It may become a full-blown civil war," he acknowledged, "but the point is, it's not ours, it's theirs. It's not something we can win. ... I'm just tired of American kids dying for that."
Iraq police colluded in Kerbala attack
USA Today
Thu 12 Jul 2007 8:15:51 BST
WASHINGTON, July 12 (Reuters) - A U.S. Army investigation has concluded that Iraqi police assisted insurgents in an assault in the Shi'ite holy city of Kerbala in January that killed five U.S. soldiers, USA Today reported on Thursday.
USA Today said the information was contained in an investigative file made available to the newspaper and authenticated by the Army.
During the attack, guerrillas posing as Americans entered a government compound in Kerbala, killed a U.S. soldier and drove away with four others whom they shot and killed later.
"(The American) defense hinged on a level of trust that ... early warning and defense would be provided by the Kerbala Iraq police. This trust was violated," said the army report, dated Feb. 27.
The paper said the attack had attracted special scrutiny by Pentagon officials because of the unprecedented breach of security and the tactics used by the insurgents.
Among details included in the investigation were that Iraqi police vanished from the government compound before the attack, that gunmen knew exactly where to find and abduct U.S. officers and that a back gate was left unlocked and unguarded.
Some U.S. soldiers who survived the assault told investigators they believed some attackers were allowed to blend in among Iraqi police inside the compound in the hours before the attack, the report said.
It added that soldiers also told investigators they saw an Iraqi police commander in the compound talking on a cell phone and laughing as the assault ended.
Cycloptichorn wrote:ican711nm wrote:Cycloptichorn wrote:Make sure you add 144 billion dollars, the prices of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.
No point in ignoring the costs of that, is there? They go on the books either way.
Cycloptichorn
Federal Budget Deficits in the years 2006 & 2007; page 2, Table 1:
October 2005 to September 2006 = $248.2 Billion
October 2006 to June 2007 = $121.0 Billion
From page 3, Table 2: estimate for full fiscal year,
October 2006 to September 2007 = $204.7 Billion
Yes, and make sure you, as I said, add anywhere from 130-150 billion for the cost of the war. You can't just ignore those costs, as you seem to want to.
Cycloptichorn
Please provide us the evidence that the costs of the war are not included in the federal budget deficit data I provided.
Then please provide the evidence for what those costs October 2005 to September 2006 and October 2006 to June 2007 actually were.
Then please provide the evidence for the estimated war costs for October 2006 to September 2007.
Estimating the budget deficit has become more difficult in recent years because the White House has funded much of the war through emergency supplemental bills, which are not included in the federal budget. According to a Congressional Research Service report, it is a practice that other administrations have employed since the Korean War. This year, the White House is expected to ask for another $100 billion in supplemental war funds, but Representative Spratt says he would like to get the war back on the budget since it can be argued the war is no longer an emergency.
"Calling it an emergency means the spending does not get the scrutiny," he adds, because then the spending is reviewed by only one committee - House Appropriations. In addition, he says, emergency spending is exempt from caps on discretionary spending. This has prompted the military to include in the bill items that are not directly related to the war. Making the spending a part of the budget would end the practice of some members placing pet projects on a bill that must be passed, he says.
You Call That Progress?
The outrageous White House report on Iraq.
By Fred Kaplan
Posted Thursday, July 12, 2007, at 5:47 PM ET
The White House report released today, on how far Iraq has progressed toward 18 political and military benchmarks, is a sham.
According to the report, which was required by Congress, progress has been "satisfactory" on eight of the benchmarks, "unsatisfactory" on another eight, and mixed on two. At his press conference this morning, President Bush, seeing the glass half full, pronounced the report "a cause for optimism"?-and for staying on course.
Yet a close look at the 25-page report reveals a far more dismal picture and a deliberately distorted assessment. The eight instances of "satisfactory" progress are not at all satisfactory by any reasonable measure?-or, in some cases, they indicate a purely procedural advance. The eight "unsatisfactory" categories concern the central issues of Iraqi politics?-the disputes that must be resolved if Iraq is to be a viable state and if the U.S. mission is to have the slightest chance of success.
Here are the benchmarks at which, even the White House acknowledges, the Iraqi government has not made satisfactory progress:
* Legislation on de-Baathification reform
* Legislation to ensure equitable distribution of oil revenue without regard to sect or ethnicity
* Setting up provincial elections
* Establishing a strong militia-disarmament program
* Allowing Iraqi commanders to pursue militias without political interference
* Ensuring that the Iraqi army and police enforce the law evenhandedly
* Increasing the number of Iraqi security forces capable of operating independently (here, the number has actually gone down)
* Ensuring that Iraq's political authorities are not undermining or making false accusations against members of Iraqi security forces
The status of former Baathists, distribution of oil revenue, local elections, disarming militias, sectarianism within the police, the legitimacy of the national army?-these are the main issues grinding the parliament to a standstill, aggravating ethnic conflict, and forcing millions of Iraqis to flee the country. These are the issues that the Iraqi political leaders are supposed to be resolving while American troops fight and die to make Baghdad secure.
Yet the White House is admitting that the Iraqis have made no real progress on any of these fronts.
In its legislation requiring this report, Congress stated, "The United States strategy in Iraq, hereafter, shall be conditioned on the Iraqi government meeting [these 18] benchmarks." Yet even on the eight benchmarks that it admits are not met, the White House report explicitly denies the need to change strategy.
The report's account of the eight supposedly successful benchmarks is, on inspection, no less dismaying.
Take Benchmark No. 1: "Forming a Constitutional Review Committee and then completing the constitutional review." The report admits that Iraq's "political blocs still need to reach an accommodation on these difficult political issues." (The report neglects to point out that many of the Sunni blocs are boycotting the parliament.) And yet it declares that the Iraqi government has made "satisfactory progress" because the constitutional review is "now underway."
Or Benchmark No. 9: "Providing three trained and ready Iraqi brigades to support Baghdad operations." The report admits, "Manning levels for deploying units continues to be of concern." The report doesn't explain what this means?-namely, that Iraq's brigades have only 50 percent to 75 percent of their soldiers. And yet it concludes that the Iraqi government has made "satisfactory progress" because it "has provided" the brigades.
Then there's Benchmark No. 12: "Ensuring that the Baghdad security plan will not provide a safe haven for any outlaws, regardless of sectarian or political affiliation." The report admits this task "remains a significant challenge" in "some parts of Baghdad." However, it claims "satisfactory progress" because U.S. commanders report "overall satisfaction with their ability to target any and all extremist groups" and because U.S. diplomats, in their talks with Iraqi officials, "continue to stress the importance" of the topic.
The good mark for Benchmark No. 17 is particularly dubious: "Allocating and spending $10 billion in Iraqi revenues for reconstruction projects, including delivery of essential services, on an equitable basis." The report admits that the Iraqi government has spent only 22 percent of its capital budget, that "it remains unclear" whether the oil ministry has "made any real effort" to spend its share of the funds, that it's hard to track the budget, and that the effects of new spending are felt "unevenly." Still, it claims "satisfactory progress" because some of the revenue is dribbling into the economy.
The other four "satisfactory" grades concern purely procedural matters. They assess legislation on "procedures to form semi-autonomous regions" (not on whether the regions have been formed); "establishing political, media, economic, and service committees in support of the Baghdad Security Plan" (not whether their support has been effective); "establishing joint security stations in neighborhoods across Baghdad" (not whether they're effective, either); and "ensuring that the rights of minority political parties in the Iraqi legislature are protected" (not in Iraqi society).
The report card was rigged from the outset by how the White House defined "satisfactory."
The legislation required the president to submit a report "declaring, in his judgment, whether satisfactory progress toward meeting these benchmarks is, or is not, being achieved."
The White House report states, "In order to make this judgment we asked the following question: As measured from a January 2007 baseline, do we assess that present trend data demonstrates a positive trajectory, which is tracking toward satisfactory accomplishment in the near term? If the answer is yes, we have provided a 'Satisfactory' assessment; if the answer is no, the assessment is 'Unsatisfactory.' "
Subtle but pernicious wordplay is going on here. "Satisfactory progress" toward a benchmark is very different from "a positive trajectory toward satisfactory accomplishment." The congressional language requires a satisfactory degree of progress. The White House interpretation allows high marks for the slightest bit of progress?-the "positive trajectory" could be an angstrom, as long as it's "tracking toward" the goal; the degree of progress doesn't need to be addressed.
Yet even by this extraordinarily lenient standard, the White House authors could not bring themselves to give a passing grade to the Iraqi government on half of the benchmarks?-and the most important benchmarks, at that.
This is no academic matter. As President Bush and Gen. David Petraeus have said many times, the point of the surge and its strategy is to make Baghdad secure, so that Iraq's political leaders have the "breathing room" to resolve their disputes. Yet if they are incapable of resolving their disputes?-if they have made no measurable progress on the major issues and if the Iraqi military hasn't advanced much either?-then the surge may be a hopeless cause. Certainly, members of Congress are right to question the strategy, and Bush is deceptive in dismissing their challenges out of hand.
Fred Kaplan writes the "War Stories" column for Slate. He can be reached at [email protected].
Article URL: http://www.slate.com/id/2170303/
cicerone imposter wrote:Bush's budget: government by fraud and lies
By Patrick Martin
9 February 2005
...
What is it about Martin that warrants anyone believing what he writes to be the truth?
The issue we were discussing is whether or not the budget deficit is decreasing or increasing.
Let D = the budget deficit absent war spending.
Let W = war spending.
The question then is whether,
D2006 + W2006 is greater or less than D2007 + W2007.
Not only do I not know whether Martin is competent to discuss this subject, I don't know what is his answer to that question.
Okay, first off, I've said this before and will say it again. Those of us who think Iraq is a disaster - the majority of the American people, thank you - do not think everything is going to be okay after we leave. Quite the contrary. We're screwed, Iraq is screwed, and once we pull out all hell is likely going to break loose. But Iraq, my dear neo-con editorial page editor Mr. Hiatt, is Terri Schiavo. All the king's horses and all the king's men aren't going to be able to put Humpty Dumpty back to together again. Schiavo's life was over. Iraq is a goner. Pulling the plug sucks, we get that. But sometimes pulling the plug is the only option left.
Bush and the WH lied yesterday about Iraq. Big time. An objective look at th actual situation doesn't show a 'mixed bag,' as the Prez. presented, but a failure.
Quote:You Call That Progress?
The outrageous White House report on Iraq.
By Fred Kaplan
Posted Thursday, July 12, 2007, at 5:47 PM ET
...
/
Just another set of lies by a group who can't bring themselves to tell the truth.
Maybe that's why so many Americans, Ican, can't get on board with the Iraq fiasco - b/c they know that every time Bush moves his lips, he lies. He's been caught in so many lies, false statements, and half-truths, there's just no reason to believe him when he talks about the importance of the war.
Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn wrote:Bush and the WH lied yesterday about Iraq. Big time. An objective look at th actual situation doesn't show a 'mixed bag,' as the Prez. presented, but a failure.
Quote:You Call That Progress?
The outrageous White House report on Iraq.
By Fred Kaplan
Posted Thursday, July 12, 2007, at 5:47 PM ET
...
/
Just another set of lies by a group who can't bring themselves to tell the truth.
Maybe that's why so many Americans, Ican, can't get on board with the Iraq fiasco - b/c they know that every time Bush moves his lips, he lies. He's been caught in so many lies, false statements, and half-truths, there's just no reason to believe him when he talks about the importance of the war.
Cycloptichorn
Fred Kaplan is not a reliable source of information about what is happening in Iraq, and neither are you.
John Aravsois at Americablog.org sums up the way that many of us feel about Iraq:
Quote:Okay, first off, I've said this before and will say it again. Those of us who think Iraq is a disaster - the majority of the American people, thank you - do not think everything is going to be okay after we leave. Quite the contrary. We're screwed, Iraq is screwed, and once we pull out all hell is likely going to break loose. But Iraq, my dear neo-con editorial page editor Mr. Hiatt, is Terri Schiavo. All the king's horses and all the king's men aren't going to be able to put Humpty Dumpty back to together again. Schiavo's life was over. Iraq is a goner. Pulling the plug sucks, we get that. But sometimes pulling the plug is the only option left.
Cycloptichorn
...
He [Fred Kaplan] can read a report issued by the Administration as well as anyone else can. If you had actually read the piece, you would see that he draws upon the Admin's own report as his source of information.
Nice try at character assassination, but you failed to address the topic: that the administration's own report completely contradicts Bush's 'mixed bag' assessment.
Cycloptichorn
