slkshock7 wrote:Cyclo,
I partially agree with you...but the prospect you laid out of centuries of stability required for the socio-economic solution is not encouraging.
Where we part ways, is that you conclude only those two options...centuries of social and economic stability or genocide.
I think squashing of those aberrant muslim extremist teachings, is another option that could be conducted and completed within decades, certainly. The US however, can't do this entirely out of the barrel of a gun. This requires a certain degree of stability that should be established with US help, the responsiblity and mechanisms for that stability turned over to the Iraqi government, and then the US should leave. Coupled with strong muslim clerical leadership and widespread muslim disgust at their tactics, the extremist position will then wither relatively quickly.
My contention, though, is that the muslim teachings are just an excuse for the populace to express their dissatisfaction with their socioeconomic situaiton. I don't think we can 'squash' the muslim jihadi teachings at all, no more than people could come in with guns and make regular Americans deny their Christian leanings; the harder you try to do that, the more it convinces people that the extremists are right.
I am not optimistic towards the Iraqi gov't being able to do anything, really. They seem to be rather, um, fractured at the moment, without a great deal of control over sectors of their society which must be kept in control in order to have stability for the common man; and the sectarian division of resources is going to be a contentious bone as well, and the Kurd problem around Turkey and Iran is going to be a big problem as well. The fact that many of the gov't figures are supporters of various militias doesn't help either, and without the US support, it's hard to see a stable region evolving anytime soon. Of course, our current presence adds to the instability as well... so we're in a real bind here.
Cycloptichorn