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THE US, THE UN AND IRAQ, TENTH THREAD.

 
 
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Sun 9 Apr, 2006 02:03 pm
http://www.registerguard.com/news/2006/04/09/ed.edit.libbybush.0409.p1.php?section=opinion

"...Even if nothing here is illegal, plenty of it is shabby. Intelligence information was used for political purposes. The administration enlisted the press to do its dirty work. The safety of a CIA agent and her informants was subordinated to the goal of getting back at a critic. The pious pronouncements by the president and others about the case were made with cynicism of comprehensive proportions. As Fitzgerald closed in, Libby was invited to play the role of the fall guy - a role he now appears to have declined.

All this is part of a dismaying pattern. In the run-up to the war in Iraq and continuing to this day, the Bush administration has relied on cherry-picked evidence, wishful thinking, self-righteous certitude, slippery assertions and shifting rationales, while vigorously discrediting and intimidating critics. In the Plame affair, these dishonorable methods are coming into full view."
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Sun 9 Apr, 2006 02:04 pm
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ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Sun 9 Apr, 2006 06:33 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
The president's argument sums up to 'information is declassified, when I say it is declassified.'

And that is true to an extent.
That is true, period!

No, it isn't.

Yes, it is.
As we both know there are three separate branches of the government:
Legislative;
Executive; and,
Judicial.

As head of the executive branch, the President has the authority to execute the powers of the executive branch. One of those powers is classifying and declassifying information for the purpose of, respectively, increasing or reducing access to that information in the national interest as he judges it.

As head of the legislative branch, a majority of Congress can order an override of an executive branch's classification, but if vetoed by the president, and that veto not overriden by a two-thirds majority of both houses of Congress, the President can ignore such Congressional order.

As head of the judicial branch, a majority of the Supreme Court can order an override of an executive branch's classification, if a plaintiff were to appeal to the court for that classification to be overriden. If the President were to decide not to comply, a majority of the House and two-thirds of the Senate would be required to impeach, convict and remove the President from office.

No one or more members of the President's cabinet or his other appointees has the power to override Presidential declassification orders.

So far, neither the Congress or the Supreme Court has decided to attempt to override the President's declassification of Plame's status and/or actions.


Witness the fact that the WH staff was 'working to declassify' the information for an additional ten days after the president had already 'declassified' the information.

What were they working on? Was the information officially declassified, or not? If Bush has the power to declassify with a wave of a hand, then there would be no need for further work; his word is, as you would have it be, law, if the truth is that That is true, period!

At the President's order, they were merely formalizing and subsequently disseminating the declassification decision the President had already made.

So there is some question of what the procedure is for declassification. I reject your assertion that the president merely has to wave his hand for a document to be officially declassified.
Waving his hand is insufficient. The President must order the declassification.

I have no doubt that he sits at the top of the procedure; that he can order it done at any time; but there exists no evidence that Bush followed existing WH procedures, procedures he had used often in the past to declassify information, in order to declassify. This is his perogative, you may argue; but it certainly speaks to the concept of a concerted, co-ordinated and secret effort to pass NIE information to reporters, under false pretense of being a 'former hill staffer,' in order to politically attack Joe Wilson. During this process, his wife, Valerie Plame, and her company, Brewster Jennings and Associates, were revealed to be a CIA front.
You are making a valid point. You are not questioning the President's power to order declassification of information about Plame's status and actions; rather you are questioning his judgment in giving that order.

I too question the President's judgment in ordering declassification of information about Plame's status and actions. I question his judgment for the same reasons you do plus a few more!


This is a point that isn't discussed very often; Brewster-Jennings had how many NOC agents (Which Plame was in the past, though not neccessarily at the time of the revealing of her identity; we will see about that one) working for them in the last several years? How many people were revealed as having been working for the CIA, when the 'bad guys' didn't know before? We don't know. The damage done could have been large. And an effort to discredit a political attacker by the upper levels of the White House, directly or indirectly, has lead to this.

I agree that the President's order was unjustified.

Phrases like "some evidence" and "pretty much none" are a bit ambiguous, don't you think?

Sorry. There is evidence that Plame did work overseas:

First, direct statements from Larry Johnson

Second, logical inferrence; the CIA and DoJ certainly have given some evidence that they believe Plame to have been covert, or other associates of hers at Brewster Jennings & assoc. This can been seen both in Fitzgerald's statements, and in the fact that the case is being pursued in the first place.

There is zero documented evidence that Plame did not serve overseas in the last five years before 2003. Do you have such evidence which I am unaware of? Present it, please. Otherwise, the preponderance of evidence would seem to indicate that she had done covert work overseas in the previous five years.
I cannot produce such evidence! I base my claim on what I remember hearing on several TV news reports all claiming the same thing. Even if my memory were perfect in this regard, I still could not produce evidence to support the truth of those claims.


You left out the "some evidence" that what Wilson reported orally to the CIA after his African trip contradicted what he wrote in his published article: that is, in Wilson's oral report, Saddam sought yellow cake; in Wilson's written article, Saddam did not seek yellow cake.

Where is this evidence, in writing? Link please.
Here again I am relying on TV news reports that all said the same thing, but that I cannot independently verify. By the way, several recent TV news reports have referred to captured Saddam files that they claim say that Saddam sought yellow cake. I cannot produce evidence to support the truth of those claims, either.

Here's a link from a 2005 Bloomberg article examining whether or not Wilson's claims have held up:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000103&sid=a8dab8rni_Do&refer=us

I agree that the administration probably chose to reveal Plame's relationship with Wilson to combat what Wilson claimed in his article.

Essentially, Bush authorized a leak of sensitive information in order to attack a poltical rival who was exposing their manipulation of evidence presented to the public Re: WMD. The Bush WH entered into a concerted effort to do so, and this effot lead in one fashion or another to the revealing of CIA counter-proliferation assets, both Plame and her associates at Brewster Jennings. This is certainly worth investigation, as I'm sure you agree, and during the course of the investigation the WH has told some conflicting stories (lies) about the course of events. Information shows that Bush&Cheney&Rove may not have told the truth on the issue of a secret effort - conspiracy - to attack wilson, defend completely false Iraq war intelligence, and then cover the fact up afterwards.

Also, please remem ...

Immaterial to the discussion at hand, and frankly nothing more than another attempt by you to change the subject.
No, I was not interested in changing the subject. I was interested in influencing your perspective on the context of this discussion. That is, regardless of Bush's judgment, behavior or motives since the Iraq invasion, there is a preponderance of evidence that shows that Wilson's allegations together with the whole Plame episode, are irrelevant to the question about whether we should or shouldn't have invaded Iraq.
Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Sun 9 Apr, 2006 07:26 pm
There is a procedure that is supposed to be followed in which Bush signed.

Quote:
EXECUTIVE ORDER 13292

- - - - - - -

FURTHER AMENDMENT TO EXECUTIVE ORDER 12958, AS AMENDED,
CLASSIFIED NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION

(4) Each delegation of original classification authority shall be in writing and the authority shall not be redelegated except as provided in this order. Each delegation shall identify the official by name or position title.

... Sec. 6.3. Effective Date. This order is effective immediately, except for section 1.6, which shall become effective 180 days from the date of this order.

GEORGE W. BUSH

THE WHITE HOUSE,
March 25, 2003.

http://www.democrats.com/bush-authorized-nie-leak#comment-54702

http://www.fas.org/sgp/bush/eoamend.html

From media matters

Quote:
Presidents Reagan, Clinton, and George W. Bush all signed executive orders pertaining to the declassification of national security information. At least one legal analyst -- Fox News senior judicial analyst Andrew P. Napolitano, a former New Jersey state judge -- has argued that Bush "would be violating his own order" if he declassified parts of the NIE without following certain procedures.

From the April 6 edition of Fox News' The Big Story with John Gibson:

GIBSON (host): All right. So, then, what does this story mean, that President Bush revealed classified information? He is the president. Can he unilaterally declassify something and release it?

NAPOLITANO: Yes. He can unilaterally declassify what he has ordered to be classified. He has to go through certain steps in order to do that. He can't say, "Hey, Dick, tell Lew he can tell this to Judy." He has got to sign certain documents. It's got to go through a procedure, a procedure set up by President Clinton and reinforced by President Bush. The president does not commit a crime if he says, "Hey, Dick, tell Lew he can talk to Judy." He would be violating his own order


http://mediamatters.org/items/200604070012
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 05:21 am
Thank you, revel. The media has been full of references to "procedures", but I have not seen, nor heard, the specific procedures spelled out in clear detail and logic. It is like making a statement as fact without siting any reference.
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snood
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 05:26 am
Lost in this discussion, especially from the right, are any references to what is simply right and wrong. Who disputes the wrongness, regardless of its legality, of leaking information for the specific purpose of political retaliation?
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revel
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 05:51 am
snood, I think it's only the remaining 38% hardcore Bush supporters who disputes the wrongness of leaking information just for political gain.
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 05:52 am
I certainly don't dispute that assertion, and a good one it is, made by John Kerry on Meet the Press yesterday.

ANd more food as fodder:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/04/09/AR2006040900890.html?referrer=email&referrer=email

"Military Plays Up Role of Zarqawi
Jordanian Painted As Foreign Threat To Iraq's Stability

By Thomas E. Ricks
Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, April 10, 2006; Page A01

The U.S. military is conducting a propaganda campaign to magnify the role of the leader of al-Qaeda in Iraq, according to internal military documents and officers familiar with the program. The effort has raised his profile in a way that some military intelligence officials believe may have overstated his importance and helped the Bush administration tie the war to the organization responsible for the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks."
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 06:02 am
What will undoubtedly be claimed is that no where in the Executive Order referring to 'procedure for declassification' is there any mention of allowable purposes or circumstance of said declassification.

Typical lawyer-like analysis.
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Setanta
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 06:11 am
The reference to Zarqawi is disingenuous in another regard. Zarqawi had no prior link to or involvement in al Qaeda. After the invasion, and well after the invasion, Zarqawi took a small group of radicals in Iraq, and dubbed his group "al Qaeda in Iraq." This is roughly the equivalent of privately employed thugs who allege they are members of the United States armed forces simply because their company has a security contract.

Zarqawi is no member of al Qaeda, and "al Qaeda in Iraq" is just a flashy title with which he hoped (and it appears he has been disappointed in this regard) to swell his ranks to a significant degree.
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 11:38 am
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 12:53 pm
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McTag
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 01:10 pm
Poor morale, who can blame them, and a lot of young officers are leaving the military....not just time-served generals.

An immoral rush to a dishonourable war has that effect.
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ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Mon 10 Apr, 2006 07:56 pm
Setanta wrote:

...
Zarqawi had no prior link to or involvement in al Qaeda. After the invasion, and well after the invasion, Zarqawi took a small group of radicals in Iraq, and dubbed his group "al Qaeda in Iraq."
...
Zarqawi is no member of al Qaeda, and "al Qaeda in Iraq" is just a flashy title with which he hoped (and it appears he has been disappointed in this regard) to swell his ranks to a significant degree.

Shocked

emphasis added in the following by ican

www.9-11commission.gov/report/index.htm
9-11 Commission, 9/20/2004 wrote:
2.4 BUILDING AN ORGANIZATION, DECLARING WAR ON THE UNITED STATES (1992-1996)
...
Bin Ladin had in fact been sponsoring anti-Saddam Islamists in Iraqi Kurdistan, and sought to attract them into his Islamic army.53

... Bin Ladin ... continued to aid a group of Islamist extremists operating in part of Iraq (Kurdistan) ... . In the late 1990s, these extremist groups suffered major defeats by Kurdish forces. In 2001, with Bin Ladin's help they re-formed into an organization called Ansar al Islam. There are indications that by then the Iraqi regime tolerated and may even have helped Ansar al Islam against the common Kurdish enemy.54

General Tommy Franks, in [u]American Soldier[/u], in Chapter12 A CAMPAIGN UNLIKE ANY OTHER, on page 483, 7/1/2004 wrote:

...
[At] two ridges and a steep valley in far northeastern Iraq, right on the border of Iran ... were the camps of the Ansar al-Islam terrorists, where al-Qaeda leader Abu Musab Zarqawi had trained disciples ... [American] Special Forces and Special Mission Operators, leading Kurdish Peshmerga fighters invaded these al-Qaeda camps, collecting evidence, taking prisoners, and killing all those who resisted.
...


www.dni.gov/release_letter_101105.html
al-Zawahiri in a letter to al-Zarqawi, July 9, 2005 wrote:

The war in Iraq is central to al Qa'ida's global jihad.

The war will not end with an American departure.

Their strategic vision is one of inevitable conflict with a call by al-Zawahiri for political action equal to military action.

Popular support must be maintained at least until jihadist rule has been established.

More than half the struggle is taking place "in the battlefield of the media."
...
Letter in English at:
www.dni.gov/letter_in_english.pdf
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sumac
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Apr, 2006 04:28 am
I wish I could place any credence on the US intelligence efforts back then, or with Tommy Franks, with regard to Zarqawri, or anything else.
0 Replies
 
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Apr, 2006 04:31 am
Instead, we have copious evidence of the present administration distorting reality to attempt to attain a goal. They are desperate to shore-up support for our involvment in Iraq. What better way then to build up al-Qaeda's presence, and strength, there?
0 Replies
 
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Apr, 2006 06:10 am
http://www.nytimes.com/2006/04/11/washington/11leak.html?th&emc=th

"...Mr. Fitzgerald's filing talks not of an effort to level with Americans but of "a plan to discredit, punish or seek revenge against Mr. Wilson." It concludes, "It is hard to conceive of what evidence there could be that would disprove the existence of White House efforts to 'punish Wilson.' "...

...But administration officials insist that Mr. Bush played a somewhat passive role and did so without selecting Mr. Libby, or anyone else, to tell the story piecemeal to a small number of reporters.

But in one of those odd twists in the unpredictable world of news leaks, neither of the reporters Mr. Libby met, Bob Woodward of The Washington Post or Judith Miller, then of The New York Times, reported a word of it under their own bylines. In fact, other reporters working on the story were talking to senior officials who were warning that the uranium information in the intelligence estimate was dubious at best.

Mr. Fitzgerald did not identify who took part in the White House effort to argue otherwise, but the evidence he has cited so far shows that Mr. Cheney's office was the epicenter of concern about Mr. Wilson, the former ambassador sent to Niger by the C.I.A. to determine what deal, if any, Mr. Hussein had struck there....

....Mr. Wilson's article, Mr. Fitzgerald said in the filing, "was viewed in the Office of the Vice President as a direct attack on the credibility of the vice president (and the president) on a matter of signal importance: the rationale for the war in Iraq."

Mr. Fitzgerald suggested that the White House effort was a "plan" to undermine Mr. Wilson.

"Disclosing the belief that Mr. Wilson's wife sent him on the Niger trip was one way for defendant to contradict the assertion that the vice president had done so, while at the same time undercutting Mr. Wilson's credibility if Mr. Wilson were perceived to have received the assignment on account of nepotism," Mr. Fitzgerald's filing said. "
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revel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Apr, 2006 07:11 am
'Losing our country' - Baghdad blogger

Quote:
Three years after US forces symbolically toppled a statue of Saddam Hussein in the Iraqi capital, 'Baghdad blogger' Salam Pax says things look bleaker than ever for his country.

"One of the tragedies of this ongoing war is that no one knows how many Iraqi lives have been lost.

"And those of us who have survived so far now risk losing our country," he told BBC Newsnight.

Baghdad resident Mr Pax came to prominence documenting the Iraq war from an Iraqi perspective on his weblog.

In taking stock of the situation three years on from the symbolic felling of the statue, Mr Pax says he is "more negative about the future than ever".

Bad experiences

Even in the immediate aftermath of the war, he says, hope and excitement was tinged with fear.

"A lot was going on and it was amazing how quickly things were changing. For the first time everyone had access to satellite dishes, almost a 150 new newspapers and magazines and about a 100 new political parties suddenly appeared out of nowhere."
"But at the same time many Iraqis were having bad experiences with the occupying forces."

After the capture of Saddam Hussein, he says, "Saddam's supporters had joined ranks with the Islamist insurgency", and it was no longer just the occupying forces civilians had to fear.

Iraqi identity

Mr Pax says the country has become so deeply divided that any sense of national identity has been eroded.
"I have a Sunni name from my father but my mother is a Shia and we are all Arabs.

"If I want to visit the Shia south I feel safer when using my mother's name. I am not very welcome in the Kurdish north because I'm Arab; in fact I need a permit just to go there.

"All these are labels and all I want to be is an Iraqi - but there doesn't seem to be such a thing any more."

Huge mistake

Stopping short of describing the rising number of Iraqi deaths at the hands of insurgents as a civil war, he says the coalition's stated aims of providing democracy and freedom stand on the brink of complete failure.

"With the prospect of internal conflict looming ever larger it looks like this has been one huge mistake.
"What kind of democracy can we have when our politicians are still unable to agree on a government four months after the elections?

"And as far as freedom is concerned, when mothers are too afraid to send their kids to school, all these big ideas fly out of the window."

Sectarian tensions

Quality of life in Iraq has, he says, fallen sharply in the last three years, to the extent that many have to improvise to get around a lack of basic facilities.


"Fuel shortages have become the norm and we all have given up on depending on the government's electricity grid. We buy electricity from the guy who has a big generator at the end of the street."
Salam Pax also says sectarian tensions have eroded personal freedoms, citing one example of a group of musicians unable to play due to threats of violence from Islamist parties.

There has also been a lack of progress on women's rights and rising youth unemployment, he says.

The picture Mr Pax paints of everyday life for Iraqis is of constant fear and dwindling hope.

"Today many people have felt forced to leave Iraq altogether because of the fear and insecurity that has become part of our daily lives."

But for all the problems and despite his growing international renown, Baghdad's blogger remains a resident of the Iraqi capital despite his fears for the future.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 11 Apr, 2006 04:51 pm
sumac wrote:
I wish I could place any credence on the US intelligence efforts back then, or with Tommy Franks, with regard to Zarqawri, or anything else.

Perhaps in the following I infer far more from your post, Sumac, than you intended. I sincerely hope so.

I infer that You judge all information provided by the Bush administration to possess zero credence unless supported by some separate and independent source. Generally, the independent sources you trust are limited to those that support your perception that all information provided by the Bush administration possesses zero credence unless supported by some separate and independent source.

That seems to me like you are in a "catch 22" of your own design. If my inference is correct, your position amounts to your mind is made up and is not open to the possibility, much less the probability, that what you think are the facts are not the facts.

As I perceive our invasion and current situation in Iraq, much of what is published and/or believed by many about it, is completely irrelevent to the question of whether or not we should have invaded Iraq. The true answer to the question of whether or not we should have invaded Iraq rests not on what the Bush administration did and/or said or failed to do and/or say. The true answer to that question rests only on whether or not al-Qaeda in particular, and terrorist malignancy in general, intended and intends to use Iraq as a base from which they can escalate their war on Americans, and in deed, on almost all of humanity.

Correctly answering this question regardless of who is president could easily be necessary to the survival of our country. Al-Qaeda in particular, has demonstrated that 19 (plus one spare) suicidal terrorists can, though armed with simple weapons like boxcutters, can seize control of systems in our country and then turn those systems into deadly weapons that murder almost 3,000 civilians. As they get better at it, 20 new suicidal terrorists could easily do far worse, and 2,000 of them could easily do a 100 times worse than that.

To paraphrase an old Oldsmobile advertisement: This ain't your father's war!

Bush or no Bush, I perceive an American failure in Iraq would be a disaster rivaling the consequences of multiple earthquakes at least 8.0 on the Richter scale. You, I infer, see the only disaster we face has already occurred as a consequence of our invasion of Iraq. I'd be happy if you were right. But before I will take the chance of coming to the same conclusion as I infer you have, I intend to examine as many facts and alleged facts as I can. If you are wrong, yet America acts as if you are right, too many of us will be deadmeat way before our time.
0 Replies
 
sumac
 
  1  
Reply Wed 12 Apr, 2006 04:54 am
ican wrote:

Quote:
If my inference is correct, your position amounts to your mind is made up and is not open to the possibility, much less the probability, that what you think are the facts are not the facts.


It certainly appeared that way, from my use of such all-inclusive modifiers as "all" or "anything else" in that passage of mine that you quoted. That was certainly an over-statement on my part, and a reflection more of my deep disappointment, distrust, disgust; and a bunch more of dis's, with the Bush administration.

Facts are hard to come by from this administration, from the military, and even from our mainstream media. Or the media of other countries. Blogs from within country are limited in their scope and subject to various personal biases and subjective interpretations.

But my mind is never made up - about virtually any subject matter. You could use the old adage "I come from Missouri - show me", the fact that I was trained as a scientist and want empirical evidence, or that I have a high tolerance for not knowing, or just ambiguity.

It doesn't matter. In fact, I change my mind so often, in response to additional data and/or insight, that at times I have little confidence in my own mind - because I am aware of how changeable it has been in the past.

I started out in this mess in deep conflict, but more or less supporting the notion of taking out Hussein. Gradually, over some time, I came to question the wisdom of our actions; most particularly in response to the spectacular crap and disinformation coming out of Washington. Not to mention the horrific results to the people of Iraq and our own troops.

Having gotten there, it would compound the damage we have caused to the country and region if we were to leave it immediately "as is". We have painted ourselve, and all others, into a "no-win" situation. Not a "win-win" situation as Bush would rather us believe. Or more properly, perceive, as the administration is all about perception.

We have no hard knowledge that any terrorist group, tightly organized or loosely, had any intentions of using Iraq as a basis of operations.

We entered Iraq for a host of reasons, very little, or none of which, have anything to do with bringing democracy to a country; or most of all the other rationalizations that Bush's 'talking heads' have spouted over the last 4-5 years.

I am not a conspirarist, but have come to believe in a great deal that has been put forth to explain the whys and wherefores of our being in Iraq. I think that there is both evidence and logic, to these positions. And very little of either to argue against them.
0 Replies
 
 

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