OCCOM BILL wrote:Cycloptichorn wrote: If you look closely, you can actually see visions of post-war Japan and Germany dancing in their eyes.
Good on you to reasonably sum up PNAC. Most of your "lies" are in fact foolish political shortcomings, but not lies. Exaggeration is standard in politics and I would agree it's a pity that Bush oversold with such vigor... but I can't agree that his mistakes added up to lies, let alone treason. I further disagree that the American people wouldn't have bought it without the overselling. Post 9-11, the general public's mindset shifted as much as the President's. I think we all re-assessed our threat tolerance and a majority could easily have been convinced pulling the plug on Iraq's decade of defiance was the prudent thing to do. We'll never know, but you are just as wrong to assume they wouldn't as I am to assume they would have. There is room to reasonably disagree here.
There is also room to reasonably disagree on what post-war Iraq will look like. "Japan and Germany"? I believe eventually this is possible. It's a tougher row to hoe but I don't think the people are any less deserving nor will I ever believe they are incapable of embracing self-determination. Should this opinion ever be proven correct; the United States of America will have given Iraqis the greatest gift of all. Life. A real one.
Thanks for the balanced response, O'Bill.
You surely understand that while I, and others like me, believe that the future that you outline for Iraq is
possible, it is hardly
probable. There are many, many factors working against the Iraqi people right now, including other Iraqi people, but our biggest problem is that
we simply don't trust the leadership that led us into this mess.
We can all agree that no matter what the validity of the Iraq war was or was not, the handling of the post-war/occupation has not been top notch. Depending on who you ask, we either have too many or not enough troops there; there seem to be major problems with money (tens of billions missing or wasted); Prisoner abuses and scandals such as Abu Ghraib just make things worse. We can't even trust our own Iraqi Shiite allies, who are so sectarian that they are pretty much as bad as the Sunnis who are supposed to be the bad guys.
We seem to have problems making headway in the war.
Which is to be expected, really; fighting insurgents is like punching a pillow. Doesn't get you anywhere unless you are willing to break the whole pillow open, and we would hope for the Iraqi civilians' sake that it doesn't come to this.
We are dismayed, becuase noone seems to have been focused on catching OBL and stopping Al Qaeda for a long time now.
We are dismayed, because the time/money/lives/effort we've spent in Iraq could have been spent elsewhere. We aren't a
single step closer to defeating Al Qaeda then we were three years ago. That's the goal, right? Not to make Democracies, but to defeat Al Qaeda and stop terrorism.
We are dismayed, becuase so many on the Right side of the political fence appear to be living in a world where dead Iraqi civilians just don't matter at all. Their deaths are
neccessary. We find this to be an abhorrent worldview, and while we understand the neccessities and horrors that war brings around, it continually reminds us that we were essentially lied into this war; we are not so naive to believe that smoke doesn't indicate fire.
...
I can't speak for others, but I believe - based upon many years of study of the region, and what has been going on - that Iraq will
never look like Japan and Germany. Never. The situations are completely different.
Iraq has no downtime. They can't relax and rebuild. They didn't have their armies crushed in a titanic battle with forces they opposed. They are surrounded by enemies; every one of their sects has problems with one of the neighbors of Iraq or another. Also, at no point was the 'national will' of Iraq broken in the way that it was in Japan and Germany.
I am forcibly reminded of military training: break down, build up. We broke Japan and Germany down, built them back up in our image, and turned them into allies. We turned their
highly industrialized and united society to a different course, one more to our liking. And why not? We did defeat the
aggressors. Now, we are the aggressors.
Iraq is different; instead of being united in defeat, they are splintered into factions. Instead of working together to rebuild, they work against each other. This is diametrically opposed to post-war experiences we had in other countries.
Iraq is not a country with a long and proud history to draw back upon. As Set pointed out, they merely exist as a country at all because the last group of Anglos messed around in the area to lump people who didn't belong, or wish, to be part of the same nation, together. Harsh rulers kept the whole thing in check for a long time.
Now, unless we are willing to be the harsh ruler, things are going to balance themselves out naturally.
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Maybe you understand why I/We get so upset on the issue. The bet that Iraq will stabilize anytime soon is a 100/1 shot. Those who initiated the war clearly didn't know what they were getting into, and they have bet America's time, money, and youth on fighting a war they didn't understand. Hardly something to cheer about. We will be paying for this one for a long time, one way or the other; and I don't subscibe to a single one of the 'scare' scenarios about how we would all be dead if we hadn't attacked Iraq, because of some tenuous link to terrorism. F*ck that brand of fearmongering.
Cycloptichorn