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THE US, THE UN AND IRAQ, TENTH THREAD.

 
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Dec, 2006 10:21 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
Bush taking more time to craft Iraq plan
By DEB RIECHMANN, Associated Press Writer
22 minutes ago

CRAWFORD, Texas - President Bush worked nearly three hours at his Texas ranch on Thursday to design a new U.S. policy in Iraq, then emerged to say that he and his advisers need more time to craft the plan he'll announce in the new year.
...
"As I think about this plan, I always have our troops in mind," Bush said.

How about those almost 3,000 already dead, and about 25,000 with injuries - with no real plan that doesn't address the worsening situation in Iraq?

OK! You have finally convinced me that Bush is also a pseudologist. A pseudologist is a person who states falsities or who lies. While all lies are falsities, not all falsities are lies.

Now that that is settled among us, how about debating the probable consequences of the US pulling out before the Iraq government can defend the Iraq people against mass murder, versus the US pulling out after the Iraq government can defend the Iraqi people against mass murder. One could argue that:
(1) the Iraq government will never be able to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder and therefore we should pull out immediately;
(2) a particular US strategy will enable the Iraq government to eventually defend the Iraqi people against mass murder;
(3) enabling the Iraq government to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder is not the responsibility of the US government;
(4) the purpose of enabling the Iraq government to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder is to prevent Iraq from harboring al-Qaeda training camps;
(5) the US could better prevent Iraq from harboring al-Qaeda training camps by invading such camps whenever they reappear;
(6) al-Qaeda is a threat easily controlled domestically by the US criminal justice system;
(7) et cetera.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Dec, 2006 10:23 pm
12/28/06 - Washington
Bush's Season of Discontent

The commander in chief, known for a shoot-from-the-hip style of leadership, is in the midst of an uncharacteristic and very public advice-taking tour about Iraq. (Photo courtesy ABCNews.com)

by Jessica Yellin, ABC News White House Correspondent

On his first full day at his Crawford, Texas, retreat, President Bush hit the bike trails hard -- pushing against high winds and speeding over wet trails for almost an hour and a half. When his fellow riders went off to recover from the workout, an invigorated president headed out to clear brush.

Bush has said that escaping into the rural landscape of his Crawford estate helps him clear his mind. No doubt he could use it.

Thursday, his full attention will once again be drawn to the looming decisions ahead -- should he increase the number of U.S. troops in Iraq? If so, by how much? And what can be done to rescue his presidency in the eyes of the American public?

Bush currently has the lowest approval ratings of any president since Harry Truman. The public discontent stems largely from a widely held view that the president has mishandled the Iraq war.

The plan that's been floated as his most likely "fix" for the problems in Iraq -- a surge of 10,000 to 30,000 U.S. soldiers in Iraq -- is unpopular with the American public. Only 17 percent would support such a troop increase.

Though Bush frequently says he's doesn't lead based on polls, he has made it clear that the devastating election losses his party suffered in November sent him a message.

"The election created tremendous pressure for the president to make a significant change in Iraq and in his presidency. He needs to change to show that he's responding to the deep discontent in the nation," said Sidney Milkis, chair of the department of politics at the University of Virginia.

Now, the president seems to be on a campaign to show he can and will change -- both in style and substance. The commander in chief, known for a shoot-from-the-hip style of leadership, is in the midst of an uncharacteristic and very public advice-taking tour about Iraq.

Bush says he's gathering input from advisors and even critics to form a new strategy for curbing the violence there. And the same president who has been accused by critics of rushing into war says he will not be rushed into a decision.

"The president wants to make sure that he's taking the appropriate amount of time and giving the appropriate consideration to all of the options before making an announcement," said Scott Stanzel, a White House spokesman, at a Crawford news conference.

The build-up to the January announcement of Bush's "new way forward" speech has created a sense of suspense around every presidential appearance. Veteran presidential advisor David Gergen told The Associated Press that the hype could mean expectations are too high for Bush to deliver. "He has built up expectations. People are saying, 'OK if you've spent all this time and effort on it, you better have a pretty darn good plan.'"

Milkis said Bush should hurry up and announce his new strategy, the sooner the better. "He has to stop putting off this address and speak to the American people. They're waiting for him to say something that shows he has a good sense of what's gone wrong in the past, and how to make things go better in the future.

"He has to show that he can provide leadership in the face of what he called an election year thumping," Milkis said.

The president seems undaunted. In a recent press conference, he declared, "We've got a robust agenda moving forward with the Congress...I'm going to work hard...I'm going to sprint to the finish."

And political observers say the president could reclaim some public support by working effectively with the Democrats when they take control of Congress in early January. The White House has already indicated the president is eager to work with them on immigration reform and energy initiatives -- two themes that could appear in his State of the Union address.

Bush is also likely to make another pitch for Social Security reform. Democrats -- eager to demonstrate effective leadership during the run-up to the 2008 election -- have their own reasons for passing bipartisan legislation with the president's party.

Still, given the years of rancor between Democrats and this White House, it may be hard to imagine a placid relationship. And the spirit of bipartisanship could sour once the Democrats launch promised hearings into the war, government contracts and some of the national security measures implemented since Sept. 11.

For those who believe it all comes down to Iraq, the president demonstrated his commitment to finding a solution by publicly announcing his national security powwow taking place at the ranch today.

Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Secretary of Defense Robert Gates were scheduled to arrive Wednesday. Vice President Dick Cheney, Peter Pace, chairman of the Joint Chiefs, and national security advisors Stephen Hadley and J.D. Crouch will join them this morning for a meeting that could run many hours. The president is expected to make comments to reporters at some point during the day.

Milkis said the president still has time to recover, but not much. "These are extremely important years for President Bush, even though he's a lame duck. The next two years will determine if he goes down as one of the worst presidents in our history...or if he's remembered like a Truman, who was very unpopular in office but is now a highly respected president."

In the meantime, after his Iraq meeting, the president will have a few days left to bike at his Crawford ranch. Then it's time to show Americans how he's going to win them over. He's due to return to Washington on Jan. 1.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Thu 28 Dec, 2006 10:33 pm
(1) the Iraq government will never be able to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder and therefore we should pull out immediately;
This is true: we cannot control a civil war that gets worse by the month.

(2) a particular US strategy will enable the Iraq government to
eventually defend the Iraqi people against mass murder;
No, the Iraqi people must decide to stop killing their own country men/women and children.


(3) enabling the Iraq government to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder is not the responsibility of the US government;
A permanent crutch never works. They must learn to walk by themselves.

(4) the purpose of enabling the Iraq government to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder is to prevent Iraq from harboring al-Qaeda training camps;
No, it's not al Qaida that is a danger to Iraq. It's the influence of Iran and Saudi Arabia which has influence both politically and with arms.

(5) the US could better prevent Iraq from harboring al-Qaeda training camps by invading such camps whenever they reappear;
No, that's the job for the Iraqis.


(6) al-Qaeda is a threat easily controlled domestically by the US criminal justice system;
Al Qaida cannot easily transport men or weapons into our country. It's up to our federal government to make sure al Qaida members do not pass through our borders illegally. Unfortunately, thousands still cross our borders illegally.

(7) et cetera.
et cetera.
0 Replies
 
xingu
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 06:17 am
Quote:
The US and the Kurds correctly reasoned that unless Saddam's regime were removed, al-Qaeda would come back a 3rd time after the US left Iraq.

This is nonsense and speculation. That small camp was set up on the Iranian border, not because of Saddam Hussein but of it safe location; in the mountains, away from Saddam and easy escape if attacked. Al Qaeda love international borders. Check out Afghanistan if you don't believe me.

If Saddam Hussein loved Al Qaeda as much as you believe he does they could have safely set up their camp anywhere outside of the Kurdish terrority under the umbrella of Saddam's military.

They did't though. They didn't because Saddam was not a friend of Al Qaeda. Religious fanatics don't readily make friends with secular dictators.

Al Qaeda had nothing to do with our invasion of Iraq. It was strictly ideological. If Al Qaeda was the principal reason for our military forces to make war then we would have stayed in Afghanistan and poured into it all the resource we have put into Iraq to find and destroy Osama bin laden, his organization and rebuild the country so it would have a strong stable government and not fall back to the Teliban. Instead, at the first chance, Bush turns his back on Al Qaeda and invades a country that was not a threat to us or anyone else. In the process of doing so he has allowed Al Qaeda to recover, grow stronger and destabilized Pakistan to the point it has given the province of Waziristan to the Teliban and Al Qaeda.

Quote:
In recent weeks, Pakistani intelligence officials said the number of foreign fighters in the tribal areas was far higher than the official estimate of 500, perhaps as high as 2,000 today.

These fighters include Afghans and seasoned Taliban leaders, Uzbek and other Central Asian militants, and what intelligence officials estimate to be 80 to 90 Arab terrorist operatives and fugitives, possibly including the Qaeda leaders Osama bin Laden and his second in command, Ayman al-Zawahri.

The tightening web of alliances among these groups in a remote, mountainous area increasingly beyond state authority is potentially disastrous for efforts to combat terrorism as far away as Europe and the United States, intelligence officials warn.

http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/12/11/asia/web.1211pakistan.php

Do you know, so far as we know, who are still alive and well in Pakistan?

Osama bin Laden and his second in command, Ayman al-Zawahri.

If you wanted to destroy Al Qaeda you go after them, not invade a country that has a small band on the Iranian border. They weren't much of a threat to the Kurds, let alone the nation of Iraq or the the world. They were a pimple on a qnat's ass. And your telling me Bush let the head and heart of Al Qaeda go so he could pop a pimple?

No, Bush turned his back on Al Qaeda so he could do what was on the neo-cons agenda before the 2000 election ever took place. That was regime change. To replace Saddam Hussein with a government that would be friendly with Israel and America. Once that was done Iran was to follow. The conservative idiots of this country are so fascinated with our power that they felt we could intimidate, invade or destroy anyone who defied us.

Iraq showed them the difference between conservative wet dreams and reality. We can destroy conventional forces at will but we can't make the population submit to us unless we become a Saddam Hussein.

Question for you ican. You said we should kill the bad guys; destroy them. Well a recent poll shows that 61% of the population of Iraq support attacks on American soldiers. If so do you think we should kill that 61%? Anyone who supports killing American soldiers can't be a good guy, right? How much of the population of Iraq are you willing to destroy in order to bring about stability?

How much of a Saddam Hussein are you?

Quote:
- Support for attacks against US-led forces has increased sharply to 61 percent (27% strongly, 34% somewhat). This represents a 14-point increase from January 2006, when only 47 percent of Iraqis supported attacks.

http://thinkprogress.org/2006/09/27/iraqis-poll/
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 08:00 am
A good reasoned post, xingu, unfortunately I doubt it will resonate with the one you are responding to.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 10:30 am
cicerone imposter wrote:
(1) the Iraq government will never be able to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder and therefore we should pull out immediately;
This is true: we cannot control a civil war that gets worse by the month.

Is there any way we can help stop the civil war from getting worse by the month? If there were such a way, should we implement it?

(2) a particular US strategy will enable the Iraq government to
eventually defend the Iraqi people against mass murder;
No, the Iraqi people must decide to stop killing their own country men/women and children.

Will any group of Iraqi people eventually decide to stop killing their own country men/women and children without outside help from the Coalition, or Syria, or Iran, or Saudi Arabia, or Turkey? Will Americans eventually pay an unacceptable price if the Iraqi people do not eventually decide to stop killing their own country men/women and children.

(3) enabling the Iraq government to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder is not the responsibility of the US government;
A permanent crutch never works. They must learn to walk by themselves.

Don't temporary crutches work and aren't they often necessities for the disabled to eventually walk by themselves?

(4) the purpose of enabling the Iraq government to defend the Iraqi people against mass murder is to prevent Iraq from harboring al-Qaeda training camps;
No, it's not al Qaida that is a danger to Iraq. It's the influence of Iran and Saudi Arabia which has influence both politically and with arms.

Is al-Qaeda a major cause of the Iraqi people continuing to not stop killing their own country men/women and children? Will al-Qaeda be more effective in training and emigrating murderers to America and Europe if the Iraqi people continue to kill their own country men/women and children?

(5) the US could better prevent Iraq from harboring al-Qaeda training camps by invading such camps whenever they reappear;
No, that's the job for the Iraqis.

Why should the Iraqis take on that responsibility? How will taking on that responsibility benefit them?

(6) al-Qaeda is a threat easily controlled domestically by the US criminal justice system;
Al Qaida cannot easily transport men or weapons into our country. It's up to our federal government to make sure al Qaida members do not pass through our borders illegally. Unfortunately, thousands still cross our borders illegally.

Can the US government ever be successful in stopping al-Qaeda from intermixing with other US immigrants, subsequently shopping at Home Depots, and then subsequently murdering American men/women and children? If so, how can the US government accomplish that?

(7) et cetera.
et cetera.

Smile and so on.


Here's another:
(8) Al-Qaeda is best controlled by completely ignoring them, and attributing all domestic killings and destructions to nothing more than the unorganized, typical behavior of criminal suicides.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 11:03 am
ican, Your number (8) is pathetic; Bush is responsible for the growth of al Qaida all around the world. He hasn't stopped or decreased the influence of al Qaida, but grew it by leaps and bounds. That's all part and parcel of Bush's mismanagement and incompetence.
0 Replies
 
xingu
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 11:04 am
It won't resonate at all. The Bushites and warmongers think of their superiority and look upon the Muslims as beneath us. They think killing a bunch of people will make them cower before us. Remember "shock and awe"? Didn't make much of an impression, did it?

Now our over-patriotic couch warriors want to start dropping nukes. I guess they think that will make them beg for our mercy. If some killing doesn't help lets do more. That's why I think Bush will send in more troops. He doesn't know what to do except more of the same. He won't negotiate because, in the couch warriors mind, our enemies are beneath us. It would be insulting to honor them with our presence on equal terms. The Romans thought that way about the barbarians. To withdraw would be to admit defeat, like Vietnam. There's nothing else to do but surge; to keep throwing more American lives and more money into a bad deal.

That's what Bush has done for America. He put us on a runaway train. We can't do anything until it crashes.

In the meantime we are being drained economically and our soldiers are dying to make terrorism stronger (Al Qaeda and the Teliban are not getting weaker by any means).
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 11:08 am
"Shock and awe" actually removed any semblance of ethics and humanity for our country to the world. It was the first act of Bush Jr that showed the world we don't care about innocent lives.

The Bush apologists keep supporting this antisocial drunk who's croc tears are false and demeaning to our soldiers and their families. If this psycho has the ability to kill by the thousands, what makes them think Bush cares about one soldier?
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 11:39 am
ican wrote:
Bush's regime was able to enter that Kurdish area without being requested to do so by any Kurds.


When did "Bush's regime" enter that Kurdish area prior to 2003? Seeing as how the Kurds were, and are closely allied with the US administration, it would be merely a matter of formality for the Kurds to "request the US administration to enter the area of Iraq under the control of the Kurds. The same cannot be said of the relationship between the Kurds and Saddam.

Quote:
Even though the Kurds were in control of the area within which "al-Qaeda in Iraq" operated, the Kurds themselves were unable and/or unwilling without US help to enter that area and remove al-Qaeda.


This is false! The Kurds were able, willing and ready to strike at "al-Qaeda in Iraq" in the area that they operated. It was the US who put a halt to those plans, because it was about to invade and occupy Iraq.
Quote:

So what does that word control truly mean in the context of entry of northeastern Iraq? It cannot mean unable to enter! Both Saddam's regime and Bush's regime were able to enter that Kurdish area. Clearly, that word control in the context of entry of northeastern Iraq, means governed and not able to enter.


It is true, the word 'control' does not necessarily mean 'able to enter'. However, you are confounding the issue yet again, as is your want, by comparing the US' ability to enter that Kurdish area with Saddam's ability to enter said area. The US administration is a close ally of the Kurdish leadership in Iraq. Saddam was an enemy of the Kurdish leadership in Iraq. One faction of Kurds the KDP, were so desperate in their conflict with another faction of Kurds, the PUK, that they went so far as to solicit the assistance of their hated enemy, Saddam Hussein, in their bid to wrest control of the Kurdish town of Irbil.

But, to go back to the original point made, all of these details and reality make the statement, "surely, that US solicitation was sufficient for Saddam to enter the Kurdish autonomous zone: an area 'outside Saddam Hussein's controlled Iraq'" anything but "sure." It makes this statement a mere conjecture.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 12:02 pm
xingu wrote:
Quote:
The US and the Kurds correctly reasoned that unless Saddam's regime were removed, al-Qaeda would come back a 3rd time after the US left Iraq.

This is nonsense and speculation. That small camp was set up on the Iranian border, not because of Saddam Hussein but of it safe location; in the mountains, away from Saddam and easy escape if attacked. Al Qaeda love international borders. Check out Afghanistan if you don't believe me.

Speculative nonsense Exclamation Question

That initially small camp was set up by al-Qaeda in Iraq, in December 2001, on the Iranian border, because both Saddam Hussein and the Kurds were expected to tolerate it there and thereby allow it to become a safe location.

That initially small camp was set up by al-Qaeda, in May 1996, in Afghanistan on the Pakistan border (and elsewhere in Afghanistan), because the Taliban were expected to tolerate it there and thereby allow it to become a safe location.


If Saddam Hussein loved Al Qaeda as much as you believe he does they could have safely set up their camp anywhere outside of the Kurdish terrority under the umbrella of Saddam's military.

Rolling Eyes There you go again distorting my allegations. I have never written/said Saddam Hussein loved al-Qaeda. I have repeatedly written/said that Saddam Hussein tolerated/allowed al-Qaeda sanctuary in Iraq--in particular northeastern Iraq.

They did't though. They didn't because Saddam was not a friend of Al Qaeda. Religious fanatics don't readily make friends with secular dictators.

Al Qaeda had nothing to do with our invasion of Iraq. It was strictly ideological.

On the contrary:
Quote:

www.c-span.org/resources/pdf/hjres114.pdf
Public Law 107-243 107th Congress Joint Resolution Oct. 16, 2002 (H.J. Res. 114) To authorize the use of United States Armed Forces against Iraq.
Whereas members of al Qaida, an organization bearing responsibility for attacks on the United States, its citizens, and interests, including the attacks that occurred on September 11, 2001, are known to be in Iraq
Whereas Iraq continues to aid and harbor other international terrorist organizations, including organizations that threaten the lives and safety of United States citizens



If Al Qaeda was the principal reason for our military forces to make war then we would have stayed in Afghanistan and poured into it all the resource we have put into Iraq to find and destroy Osama bin laden, his organization and rebuild the country so it would have a strong stable government and not fall back to the Teliban. Instead, at the first chance, Bush turns his back on Al Qaeda and invades a country that was not a threat to us or anyone else. In the process of doing so he has allowed Al Qaeda to recover, grow stronger and destabilized Pakistan to the point it has given the province of Waziristan to the Teliban and Al Qaeda.

Yes, Bush screwed up in Afghanistan! He should never have allowed al-Qaeda people to escape Afghanistan and set up their operations in Iraq. But he did screw up! So he attempted to cure that screw up by also invading Iraq, removing its government and replacing its government with one less likely to tolerate/allow al-Qaeda sanctuary in Iraq after the Coalition left Iraq. But he screwed up again. He failed to adequately help the Iraqi people replace their former governent with one less likely to tolerate/allow al-Qaeda sanctuary in Iraq after the Coalition left Iraq. So now Bush is contemplating how to cure the consequences of his last screw up. Let's hope and pray he doesn't screw up again.

Quote:
In recent weeks, Pakistani intelligence officials said the number of foreign fighters in the tribal areas was far higher than the official estimate of 500, perhaps as high as 2,000 today.

These fighters include Afghans and seasoned Taliban leaders, Uzbek and other Central Asian militants, and what intelligence officials estimate to be 80 to 90 Arab terrorist operatives and fugitives, possibly including the Qaeda leaders Osama bin Laden and his second in command, Ayman al-Zawahri.

The tightening web of alliances among these groups in a remote, mountainous area increasingly beyond state authority is potentially disastrous for efforts to combat terrorism as far away as Europe and the United States, intelligence officials warn.
http://www.iht.com/articles/2006/12/11/asia/web.1211pakistan.php


Do you know, so far as we know, who are still alive and well in Pakistan?

Osama bin Laden and his second in command, Ayman al-Zawahri.

If you wanted to destroy Al Qaeda you go after them, not invade a country that has a small band on the Iranian border.

It was a "small band" in December 2001. By March 2003, it had grown to be a large band in control of a dozen villages.

They weren't much of a threat to the Kurds, let alone the nation of Iraq or the the world. They were a pimple on a qnat's ass. And your telling me Bush let the head and heart of Al Qaeda go so he could pop a pimple?

That "pimple" in December 2001 became multiple boils by March 2003. In another few years it promised to grow like the boils in Afghanistan had grown from May 19, 1996 to September 11, 2001.

No, Bush turned his back on Al Qaeda so he could do what was on the neo-cons agenda before the 2000 election ever took place. That was regime change. To replace Saddam Hussein with a government that would be friendly with Israel and America. Once that was done Iran was to follow. The conservative idiots of this country are so fascinated with our power that they felt we could intimidate, invade or destroy anyone who defied us.

Iraq showed them the difference between conservative wet dreams and reality. We can destroy conventional forces at will but we can't make the population submit to us unless we become a Saddam Hussein.

Yes, Bush screwed up "big time."

Question for you ican. You said we should kill the bad guys; destroy them. Well a recent poll shows that 61% of the population of Iraq support attacks on American soldiers. If so do you think we should kill that 61%?

Quote:
Support for attacks against US-led forces has increased sharply to 61 percent (27% strongly, 34% somewhat). This represents a 14-point increase from January 2006, when only 47 percent of Iraqis supported attacks.
http://thinkprogress.org/2006/09/27/iraqis-poll/


NO!

Anyone who supports killing American soldiers can't be a good guy, right?

WRONG!

How much of the population of Iraq are you willing to destroy in order to bring about stability?

ZERO!

How much of a Saddam Hussein are you?

ZERO!


xingu, you continue to distort what I advocate.

I advocate killing the deliberate killers (i.e., murders) of non-killers at the risk of killing some non-killers.

For those vision-impaired:

I advocate killing the deliberate killers (i.e., murderers) of non-killers at the risk of killing some non-killers.

I advocate this because I, unlike you, have learned from the history of winning 20th century wars that many lives must be risked to successfully save many more lives.

That is a terrible human reality! But it is nonetheless a human reality. To not face that reality squarely is not merely humanly irresponsible, it is humanly immoral.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 12:19 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
ican, Your number (8) is pathetic; Bush is responsible for the growth of al Qaida all around the world. He hasn't stopped or decreased the influence of al Qaida, but grew it by leaps and bounds. That's all part and parcel of Bush's mismanagement and incompetence.

I agree! My number (8) is pathetic! But it has been advocated by a few on this very thread, so I felt that on that account, it appropriate to mention it.

OK, we agree that Bush's screw ups are "responsible for the growth of al Qaida all around the world" since the Clinton administration.

Do we also agree that Clinton's screw ups are "responsible for the growth of al Qaida all around the world" up to and including 9/11?

But whatthehell, forget that! Let's agree to blame it all on George W. Bush. My compassion for your feelings compels me to ignore Clinton's role.

Feel better?
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 12:35 pm
You guys always fall back on Clinton as the blame for everything Bush screwed up. After six years in office, that just doesn't wash. If Bush had prior knowledge about al Qaida during Clinton's tenure, Bush should have "taken greater care" in controlling its growth. Which he failed to do. Who you gonna blame next, Bush Sr?
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 12:47 pm
Quote:
That initially small camp was set up by al-Qaeda in Iraq, in December 2001, on the Iranian border, because both Saddam Hussein and the Kurds were expected to tolerate it there and thereby allow it to become a safe location.


To be specific, and counter the simplism of the quote above, that camp was set up by Ansar al-Islam, a group of Islamist Kurds who's objectives were all local and centered around Kurdish Iraq. Ansar established a relationship with Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi and his group, and provided them refuge in their camp in northern Iraq. Both Ansar and Zarqawi had relationships with Osama bin Laden, the founder of al-Qaeda.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 12:50 pm
InfraBlue wrote:
ican wrote:
Bush's regime was able to enter that Kurdish area without being requested to do so by any Kurds.


When did "Bush's regime" enter that Kurdish area prior to 2003?

I don't think it did.

Seeing as how the Kurds were, and are closely allied with the US administration, it would be merely a matter of formality for the Kurds to "request the US administration to enter the area of Iraq under the control of the Kurds. The same cannot be said of the relationship between the Kurds and Saddam.

Why not? The Kurds had previously invited Saddam to enter the area of Iraq under the control of the Kurds in 1996.

Quote:
Even though the Kurds were in control of the area within which "al-Qaeda in Iraq" operated, the Kurds themselves were unable and/or unwilling without US help to enter that area and remove al-Qaeda.


This is false! The Kurds were able, willing and ready to strike at "al-Qaeda in Iraq" in the area that they operated. It was the US who put a halt to those plans, because it was about to invade and occupy Iraq.

Without evidence, that allegation of yours appears to merely be more of your pseudology.
Quote:

So what does that word control truly mean in the context of entry of northeastern Iraq? It cannot mean unable to enter! Both Saddam's regime and Bush's regime were able to enter that Kurdish area. Clearly, that word control in the context of entry of northeastern Iraq, means governed and not able to enter.


It is true, the word 'control' does not necessarily mean 'able to enter'. However, you are confounding the issue yet again, as is your want, by comparing the US' ability to enter that Kurdish area with Saddam's ability to enter said area. The US administration is a close ally of the Kurdish leadership in Iraq. Saddam was an enemy of the Kurdish leadership in Iraq. One faction of Kurds the KDP, were so desperate in their conflict with another faction of Kurds, the PUK, that they went so far as to solicit the assistance of their hated enemy, Saddam Hussein, in their bid to wrest control of the Kurdish town of Irbil.

That is a twist: "One faction of Kurds the KDP, were so desperate in their conflict with another faction of Kurds, the PUK, that they went so far as to solicit the assistance of their hated enemy, Saddam Hussein, in their bid to wrest control of the Kurdish town of Irbil." But they did in fact solicit the assistance of their alleged hated enemy, Saddam Hussein. Clearly a hatred of convenience. Laughing They again needed assistance with permanently removing al-Qaeda from northeastern Iraq, when they were assisted by US special forces to try and accomplish permanently removing al-Qaeda from northeastern Iraq.

But, to go back to the original point made, all of these details and reality make the statement, "surely, that US solicitation was sufficient for Saddam to enter the Kurdish autonomous zone: an area 'outside Saddam Hussein's controlled Iraq'" anything but "sure." It makes this statement a mere conjecture.

This statement of yours without evidence to rebut my evidence to the contrary, is merely your conjecture.


I have provided you evidence "that US solicitation was [probably] sufficient for Saddam to enter the Kurdish autonomous zone: an area 'outside Saddam Hussein's controlled Iraq." The fact that my evidence does not make that certain proves nothing for certain, because probably we cannot know anything for certain including this statement of mine.

One more time for the visually impaired: US solicitation was [probably] sufficient for Saddam to enter the Kurdish autonomous zone: an area 'outside Saddam Hussein's controlled Iraq.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 01:11 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
You guys always fall back on Clinton as the blame for everything Bush screwed up.

Who are these persons "You guys?" I am not one of those who "always fall back on Clinton as the blame for everything Bush screwed up."

I posted (emphasis added):


Quote:
OK, we agree that Bush's screw ups are "responsible for the growth of al Qaida all around the world" since the Clinton administration.

Do we also agree that Clinton's screw ups are "responsible for the growth of al Qaida all around the world" up to and including 9/11?

But whatthehell, forget that! Let's agree to blame it all on George W. Bush. My compassion for your feelings compels me to ignore Clinton's role.



After six years in office, that just doesn't wash. If Bush had prior knowledge about al Qaida during Clinton's tenure, Bush should have "taken greater care" in controlling its growth. Which he failed to do. Who you gonna blame next, Bush Sr?

I agree! Bush screwed up. I admit it! He has no one to blame but himself! Bush is solely to blame for the consequences of his screw ups.

Now it is your turn to admit Clinton also screwed up.

Such admission by you would not and could not relieve Bush of his responsibility for the consequences of his screw ups. But such admission by you would relieve you of the truth of the accusation of you always falling back on blaming Bush for the consequences of every screw up by Clinton.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 01:21 pm
InfraBlue wrote:
Quote:
That initially small camp was set up by al-Qaeda in Iraq, in December 2001, on the Iranian border, because both Saddam Hussein and the Kurds were expected to tolerate it there and thereby allow it to become a safe location.


To be specific, and counter the simplism of the quote above, that camp was set up by Ansar al-Islam, a group of Islamist Kurds who's objectives were all local and centered around Kurdish Iraq. Ansar established a relationship with Abu Mus'ab al-Zarqawi and his group, and provided them refuge in their camp in northern Iraq. Both Ansar and Zarqawi had relationships with Osama bin Laden, the founder of al-Qaeda.


That camp was set up with the aid of al-Qaeda (i.e., with the assistance of bin Laden). It was set up by persons some of whom were members of al-Qaeda in Afghanistan.

Next time excerpt from your reference all that is relevant about that camp's set up.
0 Replies
 
cicerone imposter
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 01:37 pm
ican, You want it both ways; blame Bush and Clinton. Your inability to keep it on target, mainly Bush, is your problem, not ours. Why even mention Clinton? It's only diversionary to the topic at hand.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 02:27 pm
cicerone imposter wrote:
ican, You want it both ways; blame Bush and Clinton. Your inability to keep it on target, mainly Bush, is your problem, not ours. Why even mention Clinton? It's only diversionary to the topic at hand.


No, I don't want it either way.

I claim the real worthy target is neither Bush or Clinton. I claim the real worthy target is the worthy pursuit of the solution to best solve the escalating problem of the mass murder of non-killers.

Because you and the rest of your like thinking colleagues cling desperately to diverting the attention of this thread to blaming Bush rather than to the worthy pursuit of the solution to best solve the escalating problem of the mass murder of non-killers, I feel obliged to point out that blaming this or that president for causing the problem contributes zero to solving the problem.

It would be far more productive if we focused on what rather than who constituted the screw ups and what constitutes the characteristics of a likely solution to the problem.

So I say, whatthehell, let's all agree: Carter screwed up, Reagan screwed up, Bush41 screwed up, Clinton screwed up, and Bush43 screwed up.

Now if that is agreed, please let us discuss what rather than who constituted these screw ups and what probably constitutes the characteristics of a likely solution to the escalating problem of the mass murder of non-killers.
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Fri 29 Dec, 2006 03:18 pm
KNOWING THE ENEMY
by GEORGE PACKER
Can social scientists redefine the "war on terror"?
New Yorker
Issue of 2006-12-18
Posted 2006-12-11

In 1993, a young captain in the Australian Army named David Kilcullen was living among villagers in West Java, as part of an immersion program in the Indonesian language. One day, he visited a local military museum that contained a display about Indonesia's war, during the nineteen-fifties and sixties, against a separatist Muslim insurgency movement called Darul Islam. "I had never heard of this conflict," Kilcullen told me recently. "It's hardly known in the West. The Indonesian government won, hands down. And I was fascinated by how it managed to pull off such a successful counterinsurgency campaign."

Kilcullen, the son of two left-leaning academics, had studied counterinsurgency as a cadet at Duntroon, the Australian West Point, and he decided to pursue a doctorate in political anthropology at the University of New South Wales. He chose as his dissertation subject the Darul Islam conflict, conducting research over tea with former guerrillas while continuing to serve in the Australian Army. The rebel movement, he said, was bigger than the Malayan Emergency--the twelve-year Communist revolt against British rule, which was finally put down in 1960, and which has become a major point of reference in the military doctrine of counterinsurgency. During the years that Kilcullen worked on his dissertation, two events in Indonesia deeply affected his thinking. The first was the rise--in the same region that had given birth to Darul Islam, and among some of the same families--of a more extreme Islamist movement called Jemaah Islamiya, which became a Southeast Asian affiliate of Al Qaeda. The second was East Timor's successful struggle for independence from Indonesia. Kilcullen witnessed the former as he was carrying out his field work; he participated in the latter as an infantry-company commander in a United Nations intervention force. The experiences shaped the conclusions about counter-insurgency in his dissertation, which he finished in 2001, just as a new war was about to begin.

"I saw extremely similar behavior and extremely similar problems in an Islamic insurgency in West Java and a Christian-separatist insurgency in East Timor," he said. "After 9/11, when a lot of people were saying, 'The problem is Islam,' I was thinking, It's something deeper than that. It's about human social networks and the way that they operate." In West Java, elements of the failed Darul Islam insurgency--a local separatist movement with mystical leanings--had resumed fighting as Jemaah Islamiya, whose outlook was Salafist and global. Kilcullen said, "What that told me about Jemaah Islamiya is that it's not about theology." He went on, "There are elements in human psychological and social makeup that drive what's happening. The Islamic bit is secondary. This is human behavior in an Islamic setting. This is not 'Islamic behavior.' " Paraphrasing the American political scientist Roger D. Petersen, he said, "People don't get pushed into rebellion by their ideology. They get pulled in by their social networks." He noted that all fifteen Saudi hijackers in the September 11th plot had trouble with their fathers. Although radical ideas prepare the way for disaffected young men to become violent jihadists, the reasons they convert, Kilcullen said, are more mundane and familiar: family, friends, associates.


MORE TO COME
0 Replies
 
 

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