Brandon9000 wrote: you have at most argued plausibility
kelticwizard wrote:Yes, in the same sense that we are merely talking "plausibility" when we see a woman who, after taking her boyfriend back after the restraining order expires, walks into work with a black eye twice in six months.
Brandon9000 wrote: Not so. It seems to me that in her case it is more likely that her black eyes are due to a beating at her roommate's hands....
Yes, about a 99% likelihood.
Brandon9000 wrote:....than that the mere fact of stumbling a few times indicates drunkeness on the part of the president.
A "mere" fact of stumbling-resulting in a gash on the face twice in one year?
Are you retreating into unreality here, Brandon? It would appear so.
Once again, I quote the good doctor.
Dr. Michael Reynaud, MD, et al wrote:Indeed, patients admitted to emergency services for other reasons often prove to have alcohol problems (e.g., ill-defined episodes of malaise, falls at home, or accidents at work).
Source
Fact is, Brandon, it is almost impossible for a person, in the home, to fall in such a way that their face gets a gash unless
A) they are on a ladder or fixing something in an awkward position, or
B) unless their reflexes are inhibited by alcohol or drugs.
We can eliminate A) because he has staff to get on ladders and fix things. That leaves B), reflexes inhibited by alcohol or drugs. Because the reflexes automatically protect the head and face when somebody accidentally falls.
Even the elderly, whose reflexes have been slowed by age, do not routinely walk around with facial gashes. It is unusual even for them. Yet, here is Bush, who brags about his workout routine, who was an (intramural) athlete of sorts in college and advertises how fit he has kept since, walking around with two gashes on the face, as a result of "incidents" in the White House, his first year.
Oh yes, and nobody happened to be around to see the "incidents" occur.