Olivier5
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 03:31 pm
@Walter Hinteler,
Yes, ours is a bit of an hybrid system. I believe the powers of the president have been boosted relative to those of the parliament by the move to a 5 year term under Sarko, and the synchronisation of the legislative elections (also for a 5 year term) right after the presidential one. When the people have voted a president in the Elysée, they tend to elect his party in the House to give him the capacity to do anything. Hence under the new system the newly elected president gets almost automatically a parliamentary majority which he can’t loose for the full length of his 5 year term.
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 03:52 pm
@Brand X,
I think we’re going to get to see what ‘eat the rich’ actually looks like tonight. Knives are out.
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 03:54 pm
@Sturgis,
This should cheer everyone up...


0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 04:06 pm
The knives are out indeed:

Bernie Sanders on Twitter
https://twitter.com/BernieSanders/status/1229526201619951617/photo/1
0 Replies
 
oralloy
 
  0  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 05:02 pm
@blatham,
blatham wrote:
Of course not. Other significant factors must also be in play. Here in Canada, one of the two parties which had held power over more than a century (Progressive Conservatives) dissolved in 2003 following a serious electoral loss. Four years prior, no one saw this coming.

If Sanders is the nominee and looses the election, his loss will not be as large as what happened in Canada but the surrounding circumstances are now very much different. Four more years of Trumpian/modern GOP policies will further every factor pushing towards one-party-rule designed to last into the foreseeable future:

Some of us are better at perceiving things than others are. I could see this coming four years earlier.

I keep telling you, when you try to impress people with your "I think what that guy thinks" game, you'd do well to tell everyone that you think what I think.


February 14, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/309762-5#post-6125874
oralloy wrote:
Robert Gentel wrote:
I don't think even he would be stupid enough to do the things he says on trade. It would destroy the economy. That is something that would legitimately cause a revolution.
Mr. Trump is setting himself up as someone who is going to do what he says, as opposed to a typical politician who will pander and then change their minds.
I think he really does mean to do what he says.
oralloy wrote:
It's going to be worse for the Democrats than for the Republicans. Trump is going to reshape the Republican Party to fit his views, but I'm upping my electoral predictions now to say that the Republicans are guaranteed to win the next five presidential elections.


February 16, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/306611-8#post-6127252
oralloy wrote:
It'll be Trump. Trump in 2020 as well.
2024, 2028, and 2032 will also see Republicans elected president.


February 16, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/309762-6#post-6127450
oralloy wrote:
I'm basing it on logic, not on wishful thinking. My logic may be wrong. I don't claim infallibility. But it is more than wishful thinking.
oralloy wrote:
Let's compare notes after each of the next five elections. Maybe I'll be wrong. It's happened before. But I've also been right before. We'll see.


February 17, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/306611-9#post-6128045
oralloy wrote:
I'm reminded of Asimov's Foundation trilogy, at the points when the remnant of an old order that is about to be swept away is still acting like they have a future.
Poignant.
Oh well. Let's get on with the future.


February 28, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/309762-6#post-6135133
Oralloy wrote:
I do understand that I could be wrong. The odds are pretty good though that I'm completely right.


March 3, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/306611-10#post-6137980
oralloy wrote:
Hawkeye saw Trump coming long before the first votes were cast.
I didn't see it until the New Hampshire primary results were announced, but have consistently predicted ever since that point that Mr. Trump is going to smash the Democrats so hard that they will be out of the White House for a good 20 years.


March 3, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/306611-10#post-6137982
oralloy wrote:
The right are about to shut the Democrats out of the White House for 20 straight years.
There are some old school Reaganites who don't like how Mr. Trump is going to reshape the Republican Party, but once the Democrats have been electorally obliterated I suspect most conservatives will come around to liking Mr. Trump a lot more.


March 4, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/306611-10#post-6138718
oralloy wrote:
My prediction is not in any way based on psychic ability. What I am doing is like saying "If you drop a baseball off a cliff, it will fall and hit the ground at the bottom." No psychic ability is involved. It's just straightforward logic and reason.


March 6, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/164543-156#post-6139510
oralloy wrote:
It's too late. There was only one shot at defeating Mr. Trump, and that was getting behind Mr. Rubio from New Hampshire on.
All this panic from the establishment at this point is just closing the barn door after the horses have already escaped (is that how the saying goes?), and is just doing pointless damage to the party.
Mr. Trump is going to be our next president, and as such he will have the power to reshape the Republican Party to fit his values. The Right might want to start dealing with that, because it's going to happen whether they like it or not.
It'll be much worse for the Left. They are going to be out of power for a good 20 years.


Aug 2, 2016
https://able2know.org/topic/335782-6#post-6238665
oralloy wrote:
We'll see if I'm right. I actually have two predictions now.
First, that the 2013 gun control debacle will sweep the Republican candidate into office.
And second, that if Trump becomes president, he will reform the Republican Party into something that will dominate for 20 years minimum, with the Democrats only eventually winning again when they start nominating "Trump-lite" candidates (sort of like Bill Clinton won by becoming "Reagan-lite").
If my first prediction fails, my second prediction will never be tested. But both predictions look sound to me so far. I remain confident in both.


March 18, 2017
http://able2know.org/topic/375323-2#post-6386201
oralloy wrote:
I'll never understand why people are embarrassed to be wrong. If I'd been wrong I'd simply shrug and post "I guess I was wrong this time."
Perhaps I'd also do a post-mortem of my prediction to try to see where I went wrong, but otherwise I'd move on pretty quickly.
In fact, since my prediction was (and is) that we're at the start of 20 years of Republican rule, there is still plenty of opportunity for me to be wrong. But if my 20 year prediction does turn out to be wrong, no one should be surprised if my only reaction is to shrug and maybe do a post-mortem of my prediction.
0 Replies
 
oralloy
 
  0  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 05:08 pm
@blatham,
blatham wrote:
Sanders is "reinventing US politics" - It would be more accurate to say Trump has done so.

Yes. Although it would have been Sanders had he been elected in 2016.

But as it happens, Trump is the leader who is taking America into the future.
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 05:31 pm
mark
0 Replies
 
Lash
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 07:20 pm
Do you know how many Mutt and Jeff buddy pictures are floating around on the inter web? Bloomberg has left so much opposition fodder all over the internet, he’ll NEVER be able to cast anyone else as more like trump than he is.
0 Replies
 
Brand X
 
  2  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 08:30 pm
Daggers are flying, no one is safe.
0 Replies
 
Brand X
 
  2  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 08:48 pm
Bloomberg is shockingly horrible at this debate thing.
coldjoint
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 09:00 pm
@Brand X,
Quote:
Bloomberg is shockingly horrible at this debate thing.

He doesn't have his box. Laughing Laughing Laughing
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  2  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 09:22 pm
Amazing. The Bernie Bros have an apoplectic fit about Something Liz warren wrote on a law school application 30 years ago. But a lie Bernie tells about his health records - very pertinent for the 80-year-old front runner who just had a heart attack....crickets.

They defend him when he’s wrong just as rapidly as the Trump crazies.
Lash
 
  0  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 10:02 pm
He released his gd health records.
This is like birtherism.
Where’s Obama’s birth certificate again?
0 Replies
 
georgeob1
 
  1  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 10:06 pm
@snood,
How did Biden do vis a vis Bloomberg?
oralloy
 
  0  
Reply Wed 19 Feb, 2020 10:23 pm
@snood,
snood wrote:
But a lie Bernie tells about his health records - very pertinent for the 80-year-old front runner who just had a heart attack....crickets.

I didn't watch the debate.

Just out of curiosity, what was the lie?
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  2  
Reply Thu 20 Feb, 2020 04:22 am
@snood,
Quote:
They defend him when he’s wrong just as rapidly as the Trump crazies.

You mean, all of them Sanders supporters in the US? Like 20 to 30 million people?
snood
 
  0  
Reply Thu 20 Feb, 2020 04:41 am
@Olivier5,
I was referring to the Bernites on this forum.
And you knew that. And rather than just address the issue I raise, you dodge, and deflect, and defend Bernie just as rabidly as the Trump crazies.
Olivier5
 
  1  
Reply Thu 20 Feb, 2020 05:07 am
@snood,
Oh don't start lying now. You are trying to generalize to all Bernie supporters the behavior of one single individual. Even in this last post of yours, you still do it. I'm a Bernite, and I am on this forum, and yet I never said anything about Liz Warren "lies" except that it was a non-issue. As for Sanders' health record, if you need to know, I think he should never have promised to disclose it in full, as this is private.

You have an issue with ONE (1) single Bernite on this site. Deal with her and leave the rest of us alone, will ya?
Brand X
 
  3  
Reply Thu 20 Feb, 2020 05:23 am
@georgeob1,
Bloomberg was so unprepared he made Biden look good even though he was stumbling and bumbling as usual. Biden was like the 9 year old that knew the answer to a question addressed to the class and was squirming in his seat then blurting out the answer in an incoherent, half broken English way.....and not really knowing the answer.
Brand X
 
  2  
Reply Thu 20 Feb, 2020 05:27 am
Aaron Maté
@aaronjmate
·
7h
MSNBC analysts Claire Mcaskill & Nicole Wallace complaining that debate didn’t mention Russiagate leftovers (Stone sentencing, Barr). What a coincidence that when it’s time to convince voters to back them, Dems abandon the top issues that preoccupy cable news personalit
 

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