If Trump's Climate Change Withdrawal Pushes UK to Labour, can the UK un-Brexit?

Does this mean, she is weakened for the negotiations?

What could be the potential fall out from that?

centrox wrote:

If any of either party's MPs die, resign, go to jail, etc, that working majority (of three) will shrink.

Or has a different opinion to that of the majority (which is quite possible due to the various 'fractions' within the Conservatives and the, well, very conservative DUP.

Remember the DUP are a Northern Ireland party, with deep concerns about maintaining a "frictionless" border with the Republic of Ireland, which could complicate the ultimate deal, possibly dragging the government into a deal which could arouse the ire of Conservative Brexiteers, if it did not ditch the European Court of Justice, or if it involved unacceptable payments to the EU in return for market access.

The other aggravating factor about the DUP is its coldly transactional approach.

Of course they have a policy agenda - but they also want what the Americans call "pork". Extra funding for all things Northern Ireland, more powers for the NI Executive - if it can be reconstituted - localised tax concessions, you name it. And some of these things would have to come at the expense of English constituencies.

It is worth remembering that the last time a UK government was sustained by Northern Irish votes, it didn't end well.

James Callaghan's minority Labour government of the mid 1970s survived, hand to mouth, for years until Callaghan could no longer stomach the endless deal-making. He might have survived the famous 1979 Commons no confidence debate, if he'd been prepared to fund a gas pipeline to Northern Ireland, but he'd had enough.

or if it involved unacceptable payments to the EU in return for market access.

the inter-conservative quarrels have already started: the Scottish Conservatives seem to have strong objections towards DUP

I'd always thought that the DUP is a nearly extremist party, similar Sinn Fein on the other side.

Ruth Davidson has been told by the prime minister that any Conservative deal with the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) will not affect LGBTI rights.
The Scottish Conservative leader, who is gay, plans to marry her partner in the near future.
The DUP opposes same-sex marriage, with Northern Ireland the only part of the UK where it is not legal.
Ms Davidson said she had been given an assurance that gay rights would not be eroded in return for DUP support.
In a tweet sent on Friday afternoon, Ms Davidson highlighted a speech she made in Belfast about the importance of equal marriage.

Ruth Davidson

Cabinet ministers and a string of Conservative MPs are demanding that Theresa May sacks one or both of her closest advisers if she wants them to support her minority government, propped up by the Democratic Unionist party.


Several politicians told the Guardian that Fiona Hill and Nick Timothy, who act as the prime minister’s joint chiefs of staff in Downing Street, must take responsibility for the poor result, which saw the Tories lose their majority.

The pair were at the centre of recriminations flying back and forth between MPs on WhatsApp groups and even resulted in one cabinet minister branding the pair as “monsters who propped her up and sunk our party”.

It came as the prime minister met the chair of the Tories’ backbench 1922 committee, Graham Brady. She will address her party’s MPs next week, amid strong feelings about the poor showing in the election campaign.

Much of the anger centred on a manifesto policy on social care, drawn up by Timothy, along with Ben Gummer – the Cabinet Office minister who lost his seat – and policy chief John Godfrey, which resulted in a humiliating U-turn that tightened the polls.

When asked whether she was planning any personnel changes, May said she was focusing on forming a government but said those matters were for another day.

Nick Timothy and Fiona Hill, Theresa May's closest advisers, have resigned in the wake of the Conservatives' failure to win the general election.
The PM had been warned she faced a leadership challenge on Monday unless she sacked the pair, the BBC understands.
Mr Timothy said he accepted responsibility for his role in the Tory manifesto, criticised by many MPs.
He said he regretted not including a pledge to cap total social care costs.
The BBC's assistant political editor Norman Smith said the pair's departure bought the PM some "breathing space" following 24 hours of recriminations after the Conservatives lost their overall majority.
Mr Timothy and Ms Hill both stepped down amid mounting pressure on Mrs May to overhaul the way No 10 worked and broaden her circle of advisers.
Announcing his resignation on the Conservative Home website, Mr Timothy urged Tory MPs to "get behind" Mrs May but said nothing should be allowed to get in the way of the process of forming a government and beginning Brexit talks.
He said the Conservatives' failure to win was down to an "unexpected surge" of support for Labour and he conceded his party had failed to communicate a sufficiently "positive" message to voters and address their "frustrations" over years of austerity and inter-generational divisions, including over Brexit.
While defending the party's manifesto, he added: "I take responsibility for my part in this election campaign, which was the oversight of our policy programme.
"In particular, I regret the decision not to include in the manifesto a ceiling as well as a floor in our proposal to help meet the increasing cost of social care."
Labour has urged Mrs May to "make way" for it to form a government and she also faces criticism over the DUP deal.

The leader of the Scottish Conservatives, Ruth Davidson, tweeted a link to a speech she had made about same-sex marriage - something the DUP opposes.
A number of high-profile government figures have already confirmed they are keeping their jobs in the wake of an election that saw the Tories lose 13 seats.
Philip Hammond will stay as chancellor, Boris Johnson will remain as foreign secretary and Amber Rudd - narrowly re-elected as an MP after a recount - will continue as home secretary.
David Davis will also stay on as Brexit secretary and Sir Michael Fallon will keep his role as defence secretary.
There could be changes elsewhere in the cabinet while nine middle-ranking and junior ministers, including Ben Gummer and Jane Ellison, lost their seats at the general election and will need to be replaced.
But BBC assistant political editor Norman Smith said the prime minister had been facing calls from MPs to remove her joint chiefs of staff, who have been blamed for the failure to win the election - and adopt a "very different approach and style of leadership".
Mrs May's director of communications until the election was announced, Katie Perrior, called the campaign "pretty dysfunctional", telling the BBC she "needed to broaden her circle of advisers and have a few grey hairs in there who been around a bit and could say 'don't do that'".
Norman Smith said he understood that senior Conservatives had warned the PM they would instigate a leadership contest at a meeting of Conservative backbenchers early next week if the pair did not leave, and were confident they could get the required 48 signatures to trigger a contest.