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Bush supporters' aftermath thread

 
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 06:44 am
Walter

I do not pretend to understand that gag.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 07:52 am
A little gift for NIMH
Quote:
Parsing the Polls: A New Fix Feature
Beginning today, The Fix debuts a weekly feature -- Parsing the Polls -- aimed at highlighting a handful of important (or just plain interesting) political surveys over the last week and providing context and commentary about them.


With polling playing an ever-increasing role in the business of politics and policy, it's important to not only understand what the numbers say but also the story behind them. We'll look at national polling as well as surveys conducted in individual House, Senate and gubernatorial races each week in an attempt to give Fix readers a sense of what the mood is not only in your state but also across the country. As with all Fix features, we want your feedback on the polls mentioned (and those we didn't mention but should have). Feel free to either post in the comments section or drop me an e-mail.

To the data!

* CNN/USA Today/Gallup (In the field from Nov. 11-13, testing 1,006 adults with a 3 percent margin of error): This is the most recent in a series of national surveys showing President George W. Bush in freefall -- just 37 percent of respondents approved of the job he is doing compared to 60 percent who expressed disapproval. This mimics the results found in the Washington Post/ABC News poll released earlier this month. (This great chart tracks the president's falling favorability rating as measured by the Post/ABC surveys.)

The CNN poll also shows that Bush seems to have no major issue where he is winning a majority of the public's support. On the handling of terrorism, which has been Bush's strong suit since the Sept. 11 attacks, 48 percent approve while 49 percent disapprove. The numbers are considerably more stark on Bush's handling of the economy (37 percent approve/61 percent disapprove) and Iraq (35 percent approve/63 percent disapprove).

One note of caution: The poll tested "adults" -- the broadest of potential samples. Within the polling business, tests of either registered or likely voters are seen as a better predictor of the mood among those who will vote in future elections.

* Newark Star-Ledger/Eagleton-Rutgers (Nov. 8-11, 444 voters, 4.69 percent margin of error): This poll, taken in the immediate aftermath of Sen. Jon Corzine's gubernatorial victory last Tuesday, provides an interesting window into why voters picked the Democratic senator over Republican businessman Doug Forrester.

The top reason cited was "the candidate's political party" -- a significant advantage for Corzine given that John Kerry won the Garden State by seven points last November. The second most important factor for voters was "Forrester's association with President Bush," which was cited as a motivating factor by 40 percent of the sample.

Issues seemed to play a lesser role in determining which candidate voters chose; Forrester led Corzine as the person more able to lower property taxes and deal with corruption in the state's government -- the two issues 57 percent of those tested said were most important for the next governor to address. Forrester was unable to turn that support into a overall victory in last week's election.

* Siena Research Institute (Nov. 9-11, 622 registered voters, 4 percent margin of error): The latest poll in the 2006 New York Senate race seems to indicate that Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D) is headed for an easy reelection win, a victory that many expect to be the precursor to a 2008 presidential bid.

In a head-to-head matchup with former Westchester County District Attorney Jeanine Pirro, the likely Republican nominee, Clinton held a sizeable 59 percent to 31 percent edge. The 28 percent margin is unchanged from an October survey also done by Siena. Clinton enjoyed strong favorability ratings (60 percent) and a manageable unfavorable rating (34 percent). Nearly six-in-10 voters said they would vote to reelect her compared to just 36 percent who would "prefer someone else."

If her poll numbers continue to stay at this level, you can start breaking out the "Hillary '08" bumper stickers.
link
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 08:46 am
OUCH!

Quote:
About 50 percent of people polled said they disliked Bush, with 6 percent claiming to hate the president.

Bush's overall approval mark matched the 37 percent rating of newly elected President Clinton in June 1993. (Interactive: Second-term slump)

When asked if they trust Bush more than they had Clinton, 48 percent of respondents said they trusted Bush less, while 36 percent said they trusted him more and 15 percent said they trusted Bush the same as Clinton.

For the first time, more than half of the public thinks Bush is not honest and trustworthy -- 52 percent to 46 percent.

A week ago, President Bush campaigned for Virginia gubernatorial candidate Jerry Kilgore, who lost the election a day later to Democratic Lt. Gov. Tim Kaine. (Full story)

In the poll, 56 percent of registered voters said they would be likely to vote against a local candidate supported by Bush, while 34 percent said the opposite.

Only 9 percent said their first choice in next year's elections would be a Republican who supports Bush on almost every major issue.

Forty-six percent said the country would be better off if Congress were controlled by Democrats, while 34 percent backed a GOP majority.

A large majority of Republicans -- 80 percent -- approve of Bush's performance, compared with 28 percent of independents and 7 percent of Democrats. Those results had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.
link
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 08:51 am
Blatham
Blatham, one thing I've noticed over the years is that the percentage of Bush supporters in all poll categories remains fairly stable at prox 35 percent. I assume that these are the loyal republicans who put the interests of their party over that of their country.

BBB
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 09:14 am
November 15, 2005
Floor Statement of Senator Joe Lieberman on Iraq Amendments to the FY06 Defense Authorization Bill

Mr. President, this is one of those quiet moments in the Senate with very few people in the Chamber when, in my opinion, something very important is happening. It is happening in good measure because of the two good men, my colleagues from Virginia and Michigan, who lead the Armed Services Committee, of which I am privileged to be a member. They are two gentlemen, two patriots, two people who have known each other for a long time, who work closely together, respect each other, even seem to like each other and, most important of all, trust each other.

Those qualities of personal trust and personal relationship have been too absent from our nation's consideration of the ongoing war in Iraq among our political leadership. We have, I am convinced, suffered from it.

It is no surprise to my colleagues that I strongly supported the war in Iraq. I was privileged to be the Democratic cosponsor, with the Senator from Virginia, of the authorizing resolution which received overwhelming bipartisan support. As I look back on it and as I follow the debates about prewar intelligence, I have no regrets about having sponsored and supported that resolution because of all the other reasons we had in our national security interest to remove Saddam Hussein from power - a brutal, murdering dictator, an aggressive invader of his neighbors, a supporter of terrorism, a hater of the United States of America. He was, for us, a ticking time bomb that, if we did not remove him, I am convinced would have blown up, metaphorically speaking, in America's face.

I am grateful to the American military for the extraordinary bravery and brilliance of their campaign to remove Saddam Hussein. I know we are safer as a nation, and to say the obvious that the Iraqi people are freer as a people, and the Middle East has a chance for a new day and stability with Saddam Hussein gone.

We will come to another day to debate the past of prewar intelligence. But let me say briefly the questions raised in our time are important. The international intelligence community believed Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction. Probably most significant, and I guess historically puzzling, is that Saddam Hussein acted in a way to send a message that he had a program of weapons of mass destruction. He would not, in response to one of the 17 U.N. Security Council resolutions that he violated, declare he had eliminated the inventory of weapons of mass destruction that he reported to the U.N. after the end of the gulf war in 1991.

I do not want to go off on that issue. I want to say that the debate about the war has become much too partisan in our time. And something is happening here tonight that I believe, I hope, I pray we will look back and say was a turning point and opened the road to Republican and Democratic cooperation, White House and congressional cooperation, to complete the mission. As Senator Levin said, no matter what anyone thinks about why we got into the war and whether we should have been in there, it is hard to find anybody around the Senate - I have not heard anybody - who does not want us to successfully complete our mission there. I feel that deeply.

If we withdraw prematurely from Iraq, there will be civil war, and there is a great probability that others in the neighborhood will come in. The Iranians will be tempted to come in on the side of the Shia Muslims in the south. The Turks will be tempted to come in against the Kurds in the north. The other Sunni nations, such as the Saudis and the Jordanians, will be sorely tempted, if not to come in at least to aggressively support the Sunni Muslim population. There will be instability in the Middle East, and the hope of creating a different model for a better life in the Middle East in this historic center of the Arab world, Iraq, will be gone.

If we successfully complete our mission, we will have left a country that is self-governing with an open economy, with an opportunity for the people of Iraq to do what they clearly want to do, which is to live a better life, to get a job, to have their kids get a decent education, to live a better life. There seems to be broad consensus on that, and yet the partisanship that characterizes our time here gets in the way of realizing those broadly expressed and shared goals.

"Politics must end at the water's edge." That is what Senator Arthur Vandenberg of Michigan said, articulating the important ideal that we seem to have lost too often in our time. I found a fuller statement of Senator Vandenberg's position, the ideal. I found it to be in some ways more complicated and in other ways much more compelling. I want to read from it. Senator Vandenberg said:

"To me ?'bipartisan foreign policy' means a mutual effort, under our indispensable two-party system, to unite our official voice at the water's edge so that America speaks with maximum authority against those who would divide and conquer us and the free world."

That speaks to us today - the threat of Islamist terrorism, the desire they have to divide us and, in that sense, to conquer us in the free world. Senator Vandenberg continued in his definition of what he meant by bipartisanship in foreign policy:

"It does not involve the remotest surrender of free debate in determining our position. On the contrary, frank cooperation and free debate are indispensable to ultimate unity of which I speak."

In a word, it simply seeks national security ahead of partisan advantage.

I felt again in recent days and recent months how far we have strayed down the partisan path from Vandenberg's ideals. The most recent disconcerting evidence of this was the lead story from the Washington Post - it was in papers all over the country - last Saturday, November 12. I read from that story:

"President Bush and leading congressional Democrats lobbed angry charges at each other Friday in an increasingly personal battle over the origins of the Iraq war. Although the two sides have long skirmished over the war, the sharp tenor Friday resembled an election year campaign more than a policy disagreement."

That is from Saturday's Washington Post. Campaign rhetoric over policy debate, and what about? About how we got into the war 2 1/2 years ago, not about how we together can successfully complete our mission in Iraq.

The questions raised about prewar intelligence are not irrelevant, they are not unimportant, but they are nowhere near as important and relevant as how we successfully complete our mission in Iraq and protect the 150,000 men and women in uniform who are fighting for us there.

I go back to Vandenberg's phrase; the question is how Democrats and Republicans can unite our voice "at the water's edge" against those who would divide and conquer us and the free world in Iraq, I add, and beyond.

The danger is that by spending so much attention on the past here, we contribute to a drop in public support among the American people for the war, and that is consequential. Terrorists know they cannot defeat us in Iraq, but they also know they can defeat us in America by breaking the will and steadfast support of the American people for this cause.

There is a wonderful phrase from the Bible that I have quoted before, "If the sound of the trumpet be uncertain, who will follow into battle?" In our time, I am afraid that the trumpet has been replaced by public opinion polls, and if the public opinion polls are uncertain, if support for the war seems to be dropping, who will follow into battle and when will our brave and brilliant men and women in uniform in Iraq begin to wonder whether they have the support of the American people? When will that begin to affect their morale?

I worry the partisanship of our time has begun to get in the way of the successful completion of our mission in Iraq. I urge my colleagues at every moment, when we do anything regarding this war that we consider the ideal and we are confident within ourselves. Not that we are stifling free debate. Free debate, as Vandenberg said, is the necessary precondition to the unity we need to maximize our authority against those who would divide and conquer us. But the point is to make sure we feel in ourselves that the aim of our actions and our words is national security, not partisan advantage.

Now we come to today. After reading that paper on Saturday, I took the original draft amendment submitted by Senator Warner and Senator Frist - it actually wasn't offered, but it was around - and Senator Levin and Senator Reid. I took the amendments back to Connecticut, and last night I looked them over. Neither one expressed fully what I hoped it would, but as I stepped back, I said that these two amendments - one Republican, one Democratic, unfortunate in a way, breaking by parties - are not that far apart.

I like the way in which the Warner amendment recited again the findings that led us to war against Saddam Hussein and, quite explicitly, cited the progress that has been made. I do think Senator Levin's amendment doesn't quite do this part enough, about the progress, particularly among the political leaders of Iraq. They have done something remarkable in a country that lived for 30 years under a dictator who suppressed all political activity, encouraged the increasing division and bitterness among the Shias, the Sunnis, and the Kurds. These people, with our help and encouragement, have begun to negotiate like real political leaders in a democracy. It is not always pretty. What we do here is not always most attractive. That is democracy. Most important of all, eight million Iraqis came out in the face of terrorist threats in January to vote on that interim legislation. Almost ten million came out to vote on a constitution, which is a pretty good document, a historically good document in the context of the Arab world.

What happened when the Sunnis felt they were not getting enough of what they wanted in a referendum? They didn't go to the street, most of them, with arms to start a civil war. They registered to vote. That is a miraculous achievement and a change in attitude and action. They came out to vote in great numbers and they will come out, I predict, again in December in the elections and elect enough Sunnis to have an effect on the Constitution next year. So I wish that some of that had been stated in Senator Levin's amendment.
0 Replies
 
bluesgirl
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 09:14 am
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/thenewswire/archive/ap/bushtoxic2.jpg



http://www.geocities.com/movieartz9/Clueless.jpg
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 09:56 am
bluesgirl wrote:
<snip>


bluesgirl: I realize you are new and all, but kindly recognize that the title of this thread begins "Bush Supporters ...." I know it can be confusing seeing Blatham et al. making all their unsolicited anti-Bush postings, but please don't take that as license for you to follow suit in this thread. It is not appreciated or welcome. I consider it SPAM.

However, that does not mean you aren't welcome to participate and contribute to the thread .... but it does mean that images from the movie "Clueless" posted contiguous to an image of Bush, is off-topic and is not contributing to anything being discussed -- even though you may find it tremendously clever.

I realize you have an urge to display your dislike of Bush. Please feel free to use any of the many anti-Bush threads there are at this site, including any of the many you have started yourself.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:03 am
Quote:
November 16, 2005, 8:38 a.m.
Selective Memories
The Dems remember what they want to about the road to war in Iraq.


The majority of Senate Democrats supported the war that would take down the evil tyrant Saddam Hussein in Iraq, and give his oppressed people a chance at democracy. But you would never know that by listening to many of these fair-weathered war supporters lately. You'd almost think it's a shame poor Saddam Hussein is standing trial later this month. But the second-guessing of the White House's reasons for going into Iraq exposes their own selective memories on prewar matters.

"There is unmistakable evidence that Saddam Hussein is working aggressively to develop nuclear weapons and will likely have nuclear weapons within the next five years."

No that's not a quote from President Bush, who the party line from Democrats in Congress would have you believe is a liar and was determined to get on with his father's unfinished business in Iraq, facts be damned. The quote comes from West Virginia Democrat Sen. Jay Rockefeller.

On Oct. 10, 2002, Rockefeller argued on the Senate floor in favor of going to war with Iraq: "And that may happen sooner if he can obtain access to enriched uranium from foreign sources ?- something that is not that difficult in the current world. We also should remember we have always underestimated the progress Saddam has made in development of weapons of mass destruction."

Yet now, Rockefeller has been more recently seen accusing the White House of lying to get us into a war with Saddam Hussein. And, as Rockefeller's statement made clear, he and others on his side of the aisle were arguing pre-emption. Even if Saddam was only working on weapons, we had to make sure he didn't get them to use against his people, against us and our allies (most predictably Israel).

On Jan. 22, 2003, Mrs. Clinton defended her vote to go into Iraq: "I voted for the Iraqi resolution. I consider the prospect of a nuclear-armed Saddam Hussein who can threaten not only his neighbors, but the stability of the region and the world, a very serious threat to the United States."

So what? You may ask. Politicians are being politicians, you might be thinking. Now Senate Dems want to get Bush and start winning elections again (and get a Senate majority back next November) ?- so they're being selective about their memories as they try to find something that works for them. It's a politics of media convenience, changing with the cable-news-image winds. Big whoop. It's a Washington pastime.

Well, it does matter. It matters to the men and women who are over in Iraq right now ?- the ones that both George Bush and the majority of the Democratic gang sent there. It matters to many families of those who have died serving in the war on terror. (Even if antiwar activist mom Cindy Sheehan gets more press time.)

A lot of the stories you see on the evening news about Iraq are pretty bad. Suicide bombings. Two thousand American soldiers dead. Many of these are completely legitimate news stories, but they are often covered with a lack of a sense and balance. For people who work day in and day out in Iraq, this is a demoralizing injustice and not an argument about who sent them to Iraq.

We have a record in Iraq, imperfect as it is, of progress. The purple-ink stained fingers of Iraqis who voted in for their own constitution last month is not a sidebar story, it's a feature. And a milestone event in the region. For Democrats to want to pretend there was never a good reason for us to go into Iraq, and to claim there is nothing good happening there is a disservice to those who have died there and to every American who continues to serve there. Such manipulation is demoralizing to our guys and gals, to the Iraqis fighting for their future, and to every freedom-loving man and woman living under an oppressor the world over.
0 Replies
 
McTag
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:06 am
The Iraq invasion was supposed to help Israel.
(Although whether this is a likely outcome in the long run is debatable)
And it was designed to do so IMO.
I imaging Senator Lieberman is not declaring all his interest here.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:14 am
Bluegirl
Tico is being all sweet and nice, but his rules for this thread don't prevent him from breaking them on the Democract thread and others. What a hypocrite.
---BBB


Ticomaya wrote:
bluesgirl wrote:
<snip>


bluesgirl: I realize you are new and all, but kindly recognize that the title of this thread begins "Bush Supporters ...." I know it can be confusing seeing Blatham et al. making all their unsolicited anti-Bush postings, but please don't take that as license for you to follow suit in this thread. It is not appreciated or welcome. I consider it SPAM.

However, that does not mean you aren't welcome to participate and contribute to the thread .... but it does mean that images from the movie "Clueless" posted contiguous to an image of Bush, is off-topic and is not contributing to anything being discussed -- even though you may find it tremendously clever.

I realize you have an urge to display your dislike of Bush. Please feel free to use any of the many anti-Bush threads there are at this site, including any of the many you have started yourself.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:14 am
http://img145.imageshack.us/img145/4775/google9gx.jpg
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:26 am
Re: Bluegirl
BumbleBeeBoogie wrote:
Tico is being all sweet and nice, but his rules for this thread don't prevent him from breaking them on the Democract thread and others. What a hypocrite.
---BBB


Ticomaya wrote:
bluesgirl wrote:
<snip>


bluesgirl: I realize you are new and all, but kindly recognize that the title of this thread begins "Bush Supporters ...." I know it can be confusing seeing Blatham et al. making all their unsolicited anti-Bush postings, but please don't take that as license for you to follow suit in this thread. It is not appreciated or welcome. I consider it SPAM.

However, that does not mean you aren't welcome to participate and contribute to the thread .... but it does mean that images from the movie "Clueless" posted contiguous to an image of Bush, is off-topic and is not contributing to anything being discussed -- even though you may find it tremendously clever.

I realize you have an urge to display your dislike of Bush. Please feel free to use any of the many anti-Bush threads there are at this site, including any of the many you have started yourself.


If you can show one instance where Tico has been requested to cease and desist on an intended Democrat or liberal support thread and failed to do so, you might have reason to point out an observation. Otherwise you have just violated TOS with an unfounded and unsupported ad hominem on another member.
0 Replies
 
CoastalRat
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:30 am
blatham wrote:

When asked if they trust Bush more than they had Clinton, 48 percent of respondents said they trusted Bush less, while 36 percent said they trusted him more and 15 percent said they trusted Bush the same as Clinton.

For the first time, more than half of the public thinks Bush is not honest and trustworthy -- 52 percent to 46 percent.



Ok, I gotta comment on this. Where in this quote is the public asked whether or not Bush is honest and trustworthy? The only thing that can be derived from this posting is that more than half the public thinks Bush is at least as trustworthy as Clinton.

Seems to me that is a good thing, not a bad thing as blatham is trying to make it by changing what is being said.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:35 am
McTag wrote:
The Iraq invasion was supposed to help Israel.
(Although whether this is a likely outcome in the long run is debatable)
And it was designed to do so IMO.
I imaging Senator Lieberman is not declaring all his interest here.


I imagine that the fact that his name is on the bill makes it very difficult for him to now reject it.

That said, I don't think the "they did it too" defense is going to very effective for the Republicans in power.
0 Replies
 
FreeDuck
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:37 am
CoastalRat wrote:
blatham wrote:

When asked if they trust Bush more than they had Clinton, 48 percent of respondents said they trusted Bush less, while 36 percent said they trusted him more and 15 percent said they trusted Bush the same as Clinton.

For the first time, more than half of the public thinks Bush is not honest and trustworthy -- 52 percent to 46 percent.



Ok, I gotta comment on this. Where in this quote is the public asked whether or not Bush is honest and trustworthy? The only thing that can be derived from this posting is that more than half the public thinks Bush is at least as trustworthy as Clinton.

Seems to me that is a good thing, not a bad thing as blatham is trying to make it by changing what is being said.


It's not clear to me that the second paragraph is related to the first. More than likely, it's a summary of another poll question. But I'll have a look at the link to be sure.
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:37 am
Foxfyre
Foxfyre Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

Your citing of my post just demonstrates how wild your imagination has become. If you think my post violated the TOS, then report me.

BBB Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes
0 Replies
 
Foxfyre
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:54 am
Re: Foxfyre
BumbleBeeBoogie wrote:
Foxfyre Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

Your citing of my post just demonstrates how wild your imagination has become. If you think my post violated the TOS, then report me.

BBB Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes


My citing of your post is evidence of an ad hominem directed at a specific member, BBB. It also invites you to prove your observation is founded by showing that Tico has been disrespectful or failed to observe a thread starter's request on a Democrat/liberal support thread. I presume that you can do so to show that my imagination is so wild? If not, then how wild could it be?
0 Replies
 
BumbleBeeBoogie
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:56 am
Foxfyre
Foxfyre, so report me.

BBB Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 10:59 am
Re: Bluegirl
BumbleBeeBoogie wrote:
Tico is being all sweet and nice, but his rules for this thread don't prevent him from breaking them on the Democract thread and others. What a hypocrite.
---BBB


Please tell me what I've done on the Democrat Gloat thread that is hypocritical to what I've asked here?

On the contrary, I have not made any gratuitous Pro-Bush postings in the Democrat Gloat thread that were not directly responsive to a prior post. Again, if you feel otherwise, it is respectfully requested that you indicate where. Since you have lodged this accusation, it should not be hard for you to find some substantiation ... right?

I don't expect an apology from you, BBB, but one would be appropriate.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 16 Nov, 2005 11:02 am
You have to cut them some slack, BBB; it must be incredibly frustrating to a Republican, to contrast the joy of last November at this time when you heard words such as 'mandate' thrown around left and right.

Now they have something like 15 GOP members or administration officials under direct investigation, the war isn't getting any better, Bush's numbers are tanked, and '06 looks like it's going to be a rough election...

Hard to stay above snippiness when, for no reason that you can see, your party is throwing itself into the Potomac river.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
 

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