@puzzledperson,
puzzledperson wrote:Suppose this to be the case. Is the public at large fighting the Syrian civil war, or are militant rebel groups? Are the militant rebel groups mostly secular or mostly religious? Are the most numerous, experienced, well-equipped and militarily successful militant rebel groups religiously moderate and supportive of western liberal values, or dedicated to the establishment of an Islamic theocracy?
After we destroy Islamic State,
we will be the military in charge of the Sunni areas of Iraq and Syria.
I expect that the Sunnis will want a fair bit of religion in their government. It might even count as an Islamic theocracy.
I expect that their government will
not be composed of out of control nutcases that cut off everyone's heads and conduct terrorist attacks against the Western world.
puzzledperson wrote:Again, where will the legal authority for the carving of sovereign governments come from?
It will come from our universal right of self defense.
puzzledperson wrote:Will the Shiite government of Iraq and the Iranians go along with this in the long-term?
I don't care what they think about it.
puzzledperson wrote:Will this imposed balkanization remain stable, or will militant groups eager to see their vision ("free" or "Islamic" depending) resume the hostilities we interrupted, as they did after we left Iraq?
I'm hoping for stability. The Sunnis were willing to be part of a multicultural Iraq after we left. They only turned to Islamic State for protection when the Iraqi Shia started killing them for fun.
puzzledperson wrote:How many times do western governments and publics have to invade, establish "democratic" governing bodies, withdraw after bloody and prolonged conflict, watch as the process repeats itself, and commit themselves to the same failed strategies yet again? I'll hold the football and you kick it, Charlie Brown. I blame the jingoistic television media for failing to provide institutional memory and for reflexively forgetting caution after the latest terrorist outrage to occur. Over and over again.
I'm hoping that this will be the last time.
But.... try, try again. Learn from your previous mistakes and try to do better next time around. Eventually you get it right.