80
   

When will Hillary Clinton give up her candidacy ?

 
 
snood
 
  5  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:14 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

If you had such a good point, there was no need to lie...

And no need to make it personal either. Other posters here, e.g. Edgar and Joe from Chicago are on the same line, as are supposedly millions of Americans out there. This is not about Lash. It's about Clinton's lack of credibility as a reformer; about Sanders being such a unique US politician; about his capacity to attract voters from beyond the Dem party; about Trump and the risk he poses (maybe Clinton doesn't need the votes of a few hardcore Sandersists to win); etc.

OK. It's not about Lash. My post was about the default effects possible from aiding a Trump or Cruz by withholding a Dem vote in the general. Specifically, about the effects a Trump or Cruz presidency would have on the powerless people for whom Lash was expressing concern. I contend that you cannot support a stance that you care about the powerless out of one side of your mouth, while vowing not to vote for the Dem candidate out of the other. I would like someone to respond to that.

While you Bernie-or-busts are deflecting from answering that,
Here are some of the effects of a Trump/Cruz presidency which we could be reasonably sure would occur:

Both of the leading GOP presidential candidates promise to order our troops to commit war crimes in Syria. Both promise to shut down programs like education and the EPA and set up tax systems that every economic expert says will be untenable. Both refuse to consider raising the minimum wage, and one even says American workers are already paid too much. Both want to deregulate businesses, allowing them to pollute and compromise worker and product safety as they please. Both have sworn to burn Obamacare to the ground, and both have sworn to treat our Muslim citizens with utter disrespect.
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/3/30/1507984/-Two-Words-For-The-NeverHillary-Faction
revelette2
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:23 am
@snood,
Excellent points, snood.
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:24 am
@maporsche,
A great deal of Bernie supporters are not in fact from the dem party, and do not feel any obligation toward the dems. That's fine with me -- I despise republican-lites too and think very lowly of Hillary. And I don't expect for one second that the same type of economic and job growth that happened under Bill Clinton will happen under her. But Dems are predictable and predictably conservative, while Trump isn't. He could throw America (and the world) into total chaos, while Hillary won't.
Olivier5
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:32 am
@snood,
The real question is: how big a risk does Trump pose to Hillary? If she has a solid lead over him, there's no need to demand the last Sanderista vote for Hillary.

If on the contrary she is assailable, then she needs the Sanderistas' vote, and therefore she should try and approach them with something a little better than contempt.

Contempt from the Clinton camp for the Sanders challenge has been an issue from day one, including here on A2K. I think it is totally stupid and counter-productive. You can bet that if Sanders was in the lead, he would try to cajole Hillary supporters rather than insult them...
snood
 
  3  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:34 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

The real question is: how big a risk does Trump pose to Hillary? If she has a solid lead over him, there's no need to demand the last Sanderista vote for Hillary.

If on the contrary she is assailable, then she needs the Sandersistas' vote, and therefore she should try and approach them with something a little better than contempt.

Contempt from the Clinton camp for the Sanders challenge has been an issue from day one, including here on A2K. I think it is totally stupid and counter-productive. You can bet that if Sanders was in the lead, he would try to cajole Hillary supporters rather than insult them...

Show me posts insulting Bernie voters.
maporsche
 
  3  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:35 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

A great deal of Bernie supporters are not in fact from the dem party, and do not feel any obligation toward the dems. That's fine with me --


That's all fine with me too. But come November, we're going to be faced with only 2 likely candidates and while neither of them will be perfect or will be everything to everybody, one will be better than the other (using whatever version of 'better' you identify with).

That's simply a fact.

I don't care if Sanders supporters feel obligated to vote for a democratic candidate. I do care if between Trump/Cruz and Clinton, if they most closely align with Clinton (which I believe to be the case for 90% of them), that they will instead choose to protest vote, which will only HELP Trump.

That is harmful to the country (IMO) and indefensible.

Take an idealistic stand during the primaries. Vote for the Green Party in your local elections. Vote Libertarian in the House and Senate races. Whatever. The presidency is NOT where someone should take an idealistic stand IMO.
0 Replies
 
ossobuco
 
  4  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:40 am
@snood,
Michele Goldberg on Slate and her response to Sarandon -

http://www.slate.com/blogs/xx_factor/2016/03/29/susan_sarandon_is_perfect_spokeswoman_for_neverhillary.html

To me she writes wisely about the concepts re revolution that are presently floating around among those paying attention re the U.S. election. I haven't read anyone else who parses the revolution plan quite so decisively.
ehBeth
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:45 am
@ossobuco,
Very good piece by Goldberg.

I've got a lot to say in reaction but I'll stick with being pleased that most of the online people I know who feel as Sarandon does live/vote in states where their votes are irrelevant.
0 Replies
 
maporsche
 
  2  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:50 am
@ossobuco,
Great Article.

I'm going to post the content here, because a lot of people won't click the link.

Quote:
“After Trump, Our Turn!”
By Michelle Goldberg

Let’s be grateful to Susan Sarandon for exposing just how vapid and callous the left-wing #NeverHillary argument is. Speaking to Chris Hayes on MSNBC on Monday night, Sarandon, a Bernie Sanders surrogate, said she was unsure if she could bring herself to vote for Hillary Clinton in a general election. Hayes was shocked, but Sarandon posited that a Trump presidency might be preferable to a Clinton one, because it would hasten the revolution. “Some people feel that Donald Trump will bring the revolution immediately if he gets in, things will really explode,” she said.


It’s unclear how many people Sarandon speaks for. There are lots of posturing radicals on social media who pretend Clinton would be no better than Trump, but my guess is that they are a tiny fraction of Sanders supporters. Sanders himself certainly doesn’t encourage such political nihilism and will surely rally to Clinton’s side if she beats him in the primary. Inasmuch as #NeverHillary is a phenomenon, however, Sarandon, a rich white celebrity with nothing on the line, is a perfect spokeswoman for it.


What Sarandon is voicing is the old Leninist idea of “heightening the contradictions,” which holds that social conditions need to get worse in order to inspire the revolution that will make them better. In this way of thinking, the real enemy of progress is incremental reform that would render the status quo tolerable. That was the position of the German Communists in the early 1930s, who refused to ally with the Social Democrats, proclaiming: “After Hitler, our turn!” A similar—if less deadly—assumption underlay Ralph Nader’s 2000 presidential campaign, for which Sarandon served as co-chair of the national steering committee. George W. Bush, Nader argued then, could serve as a “provocateur,” awakening the power of the left. “If it were a choice between a provocateur and an ‘anesthetizer,’ I'd rather have a provocateur,” said Nader. “It would mobilize us.”


To be fair to Nader, under Bush, the contradictions got pretty high. He left the Middle East in flames, and the economy hasn’t recovered from the financial implosion he presided over. Had Bush not wrecked so many lives, we might never have gotten President Obama and the Affordable Care Act, or, for that matter, a democratic socialist running a credible presidential primary campaign. Yet the Bush example should also make it obvious that the cost of electing a Republican provocateur is human misery on an inconceivable scale, inflicted on people who lack Sarandon’s many resources.


The problems with Sarandon’s position go beyond its tolerance for human sacrifice. There’s also the gormless unreality of her idea of revolution. Does she mean a political revolution, like the one Sanders has proposed? Because the major barrier to such a revolution is not a populace that needs to suffer more in order to reach Sarandon’s superlative level of wokeness. It is the structural obstacles to democracy systematically erected by Republicans and Republican-appointed judges: the widespread erosion of voting rights, the unlimited flood of money into politics unleashed by the Supreme Court, and the epic gerrymandering following the 2010 census that makes it nearly impossible for Democrats to win back the House, even if they win a majority of votes. These things will get worse, not better, in any Republican administration, making the possibility of a peaceful electoral revolution all the more remote.


But maybe that’s not the sort of revolution Sarandon has in mind? Maybe she actually longs for the kind where things “really explode”? If so, one wonders who she thinks is going to fight this revolution. It’s certainly possible that a Trump presidency could lead to violent political conflict. If it comes to that, however, my money is on the side with all the gun fetishists, not subscribers to Jacobin.


The results of a Trump presidency would likely be far less dramatic. They might just include the widespread persecution of undocumented immigrants, the appointment of Supreme Court judges who will jettison Roe v. Wade, the end of any federal action on global warming, and a ramping up of American war crimes. We certainly won’t see any expansion of family leave or early education. Based on what we’ve seen of Trump so far, we can expect him to use the powers of the federal government, including NSA surveillance, to target and humiliate his personal enemies, especially women. One thing, however, is sure. No matter what happens, Susan Sarandon will be just fine.
snood
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 09:58 am
@ossobuco,
Excellent piece, Osso. I have always really liked Michelle Goldberg. She has a powerful way of writing painful truths without fluff.
0 Replies
 
ossobuco
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 10:06 am
@maporsche,
I considered doing that and should have. Sometimes I'll do clips, but I thought the whole article important, and veered from posting the whole thing. I almost missed it since I look at Slate less often now, in the months or maybe year or two since they changed their format. I will be apt to be interested in the articles but the format makes me impatient.

On showing where people tend to slam Bernie Dems, I don't think they mean people who will, if it comes to it, vote for Hillary, but it can sure look like it if you are one of them/us.

Me, I am going back and forth. I want Bernie to do well, even in defeat, to moderate the Hillary stances more to my way of thinking. But I sway towards voting for her in the primary too and getting it over with. And then I sway back to adding my voice in the primary for Bernie.

I read somewhere about his take re the Israel and the Palestinians, and was relieved. No link, but it was in the last few days. Oh, yeah, it started out with his not speaking at an AIPAC thing, going insteads straight to Utah for the Tuesday vote there. He gave what would have been the AIPAC speech in Utah.
maporsche
 
  2  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 10:11 am
@ossobuco,
ossobuco wrote:

Me, I am going back and forth. I want Bernie to do well, even in defeat, to moderate the Hillary stances more to my way of thinking. But I sway towards voting for her in the primary too and getting it over with. And then I sway back to adding my voice in the primary for Bernie.


Just vote for Bernie in the primary then. Honestly, it sounds like that's where you lean the most and I think regardless of your vote at this point, the odds of Bernie winning the primaries are less than 5%. And really, the vast majority of people people who support either Clinton or Sanders would be happy with either candidate. No harm in supporting Bernie if you lean that way naturally.
ossobuco
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 10:26 am
@maporsche,
My swaying - towards getting it over with - is that a resounding primary vote for Hillary could be a handy sucker punch for today's GOP. I do think it is smarter for my primary vote to go to Bernie, both for my sense of true-to-myself-ness re Bernie (I don't agree with everything from him, but he's much closer in sensibility to me) and to whatever possible moderation an added Bernie vote could do to affect Hillary's takes on things.
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 11:55 am
@snood,
I don't know that there are any A2K posts insulting Bernie supporters. I could probably find a few but that's not the point.

My point is that Hillary, her team and most ardent supporters should try to understand Bernie's allure and even try and capture some of it, rather than dismiss it as a freak event, as they tend to do IMO.

Hillary is the most likely winner of the primaries, and as a dem candidate she could use some of Bernie's broad appeal to voters within and beyond the people identifying as democrats.

Bernie mounted a pretty impressive challenge. Apparently he himself is surprised by how far he got. Something important is happening. He needs to find a way to build on that. And Hillary needs to reach out to Bernie at some point, to tap into this energy. So a deal is in the interest of both camps. Will they see it, and find a way to reach it? I hope so but shortsightedness may still prevail.

Or it could be that Hillary comes to the conclusion that she doesn't need the "Bern" and his die-hard supporters to win against Trump. In which case she can take the calculated risk of dismissing them. I would clearly be sad if that was the case, but I'll survive.
maporsche
 
  2  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 12:02 pm
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

My point is that Hillary, her team and most ardent supporters should try to understand Bernie's allure and even try and capture some of it,


I don't know how you can possibly see that. You even have the Bernie supporters here using the fact that Clinton is shifting to the left towards Bernie's positions as evidence of Bernie's revolution/mission/protest candidacy taking over.

Isn't that evidence of Clinton trying to understand Bernie's allure and trying to capture it?
snood
 
  4  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 12:08 pm
@Olivier5,
This is what you wrote...
Quote:
Contempt from the Clinton camp for the Sanders challenge has been an issue from day one, including here on A2K. I think it is totally stupid and counter-productive. You can bet that if Sanders was in the lead, he would try to cajole Hillary supporters rather than insult them...


If you didn't mean there has been "stupid and counter-productive" "contempt" from the "Clinton camp" toward the Sanders challenge "from day one" here on A2K, then maybe you shouldn't have said so.

If you didn't mean Clinton isn't "cajoling" Bernie supporters, but "insult"ing them, perhaps you shouldn't use those words.

If you then want to claim, when challenged, that that is "not the point" you were trying to make, then maybe you should consider just being much more precise in your language - then your "point" would be a lot easier to decipher.
Olivier5
 
  1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 12:08 pm
@ossobuco,
Yes, Goldberg sums it up really well.
0 Replies
 
Olivier5
 
  -1  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 12:18 pm
@snood,
Quote:
If you didn't mean there has been "stupid and counter-productive" "contempt" from the "Clinton camp" toward the Sanders challenge "from day one" here on A2K, then maybe you shouldn't have said so.

I did mean to say that. I find it pretty ridiculous AND counter-productive how some posters are constantly feeling the need to express contempt at Sanders and pro-Sanders posters, as opposed to trying to take them seriously.
maporsche
 
  2  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 12:28 pm
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

Quote:
If you didn't mean there has been "stupid and counter-productive" "contempt" from the "Clinton camp" toward the Sanders challenge "from day one" here on A2K, then maybe you shouldn't have said so.

I did mean to say that. I find it pretty ridiculous AND counter-productive how some posters are constantly feeling the need to express contempt at Sanders and pro-Sanders posters, as opposed to trying to take them seriously.


I don't see really any Clinton supporters expressing contempt at Sanders himself.

His supporters probably are sensing more frustration because of THEIR animosity towards Clinton supporters, but it pales in comparison to the insults they've been slinging at Clinton supporters.

I mean you can clearly see that anti-Clinton candidacy attacks outnumber anti-Bernie candidacy attacks 100-1 right?
Blickers
 
  3  
Wed 30 Mar, 2016 12:28 pm
@Olivier5,
Many of the criticisms the Bernie supporters make of Hillary are hard to take seriously. When the Republicans are talking about putting lots of American boots on the ground back in Iraq and even Syria, and Bernie supporters are saying there's no difference between Hillary and the Republicans, that's hard to take seriously.
 

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