@spendius,
spendius wrote:
SH might have been gambling on 1441 not getting through the UN. Without Blair it might not have done. And there was some stuff about paying for oil in Euros rather than dollars.
Plenty of other regimes have WMDs. The US has the most. I think.
The upshot is large bases in the ME and even in ex-Soviet territory, control of a vast oil resevoir and a warning to the Saudis.
He was a gambler alright, but his personal streak of luck had to run out sooner or later. That he lastest as long as he did is pretty remarkable.
It's a bit ironic that in a region that has become known for fanatical suicide bombers the way the American West became known for cowboys, so many of the despots there gained and maintained their power not through the strength of zealots willing to give up their lives for them, but by their own unflinching willingness to kill anyone (often times by their own hands) and the reliability of their opponents quite natural fear of being killed.
I wonder just how rare the suicide bomber as a commodity actually is. There's seems to be an endless supply of them but by no means a glut.
"Control" of Iraqi oil resources is overstating the reality and the goal. The US exerts a significant "influence" over these resources and that is a good thing for US interests and allies, but its not our oil to do with as we please.
Bases in the region and warnings to Saudi Arabia and other countries as well were part of the longer term strategic plan to establish a beachfront in the region. Whether it was intended to be a beachfront for democracy, western capitalism, secularism or American imperialism is not unimportant, although personal perspective plays a big role, but it was a reason for the invasion and could have and should have been communicated more clearly and forcfully by the US government --- with the emphasis being on democracy, of course.
A lot of countries do have WMDs and the US probably the most, but with an exception for the far trailing secondary concern of proliferation, the questions concerning a given nation's stash, that we or anyone else are concerned about, are how they will be used and upon whom?