@squinney,
squinney wrote:That gets most of my initial impressions. I really don't get the selection of her for VP unless McCains realizing he doesn't really have it in him to be president but has to keep going through the motions since it is so late in the game.
I remember hearing a lot of speculation that the Democrats wanted Ferraro on the ticket for the feather in their cap that they did it... and thought, "Why not? We're going to lose anyway." I don't see McCain being the underdog Mondale was; but do see this as a Hail Mary throw.
From the few times I've seen her speak; I like her. She comes off as a very intelligent, capable woman.
Some other thoughts:
1. Biden is an attack dog, and a good one, who I think was tapped in part because of his presumed ability to show up Romney or whomever McCain chose. Not so fast. If he goes after Palin the way he would have Romney; there could be some serious blowback. Obama had to handle Hillary much more delicately than he would have, say, Edwards, and now Biden will have to reign in the macho too.
2. McCain is easy to paint as the Washington insider, despite his occasional deviations from the pack. The Palin pick will make it much harder to paint him this way. His "Maverick credentials" may be back on the table (after a year of backpedaling.)
3. While it is true that McCain's VP pick in some ways nullifies his experience criticism of Obama... at the same time it pretty much guarantees it will be a prominent talking point. Advantage McCain.
3.a) McCain's age goes a very long way towards nullifying that advantage.
4. Despite Palin's almost non-existent
relevant track record; outside of the "cop getting fired" thing, she provides very little history for a Soros or Moore to conflate into something heinous. Vicious unfounded attacks on an attractive small town glass-ceiling breaker, would likely do less damage than the blowback that would follow.
5. If McCain thought Hillary supporters are naive enough to jump at the next woman,
despite her politics; I think he'll be disappointed. There will be some more fools who go that route, but they'll be relatively few and far between. Ultimately; I think there will be more anti-woman-CIC types than there will be bitter Hill-people-crossovers.
Early Conclusion: I think McCain forfeited his biggest advantage. (
Experience was and still is going to be his advantage, so that's not it.) What he's done is provided a disadvantage by way of misogyny that will offset his presumed advantage by way of bigotry. How many people do not feel comfortable with a woman for President? I'm guessing a similar number to those who don't feel comfortable electing a black man.
Early Conclusion II: I think it is flat out ******* cool that these two negatives are both being superseded by other considerations this cycle!