kelticwizard wrote:Now, I have another question.
The Quinnipiac poll shows the Republican nominee as getting only 4 percent of the voters.
My question is: do you SERIOUSLY expect the Republican nominee to get less than 20 percent of the vote? If so, please show me a state where the Republican challenger ever got so low a vote
And if he does get 20 percent, what happens to Lieberman's numbers?
Well, you're from there and I'm not, but from my outside vantage point there is no way on earth Schlesinger is going to get 20%.
He's a political nobody with a scandal hanging round his shoulders - in a district where the Republicans have a unique shot at simultaneously embarassing the Dems, getting an Independent voted in who will side with them on war & peace issues (err, scratch "peace"), and whose win will jeopardise the Dems' long shot in getting a Senate majority.
What on earth is there to win for them by voting Schlesinger?
I dunno. I dont know the state as well as you do, but CT doesnt seem like the kind of place where you'd have many yellow-dog Republicans (or whatever the Republican equivalent of yellow-dog Democrats would be): people who'd vote for a yellow dog rather than a non-Republican.
President Bush has refused to endorse Schlesinger; asked point blank, he refused to be drawn out on whom he supports. The NRSC will not stick out a finger to support Schlesinger.
You ask whether there's been any Republican getting as low as 4%; getting much lower than 20%. But the thing is, there's really little precedent for this race. When's the last time, you can think of, that a race revolved around a Democrat facing an Independent, an Independent liked by the Republicans, with the Republican leadership refusing to take sides and conservative opinion-makers rallying for the Independent in question?
No, I cant think of a race in which the Republican just got 4%, but then I cant think of any recent race
like this.