parados wrote:Brandon9000 wrote:DrewDad wrote:Brandon9000 wrote:It's moot. Based on what was known at the moment of invasion, there might have been workable WMD, and we couldn't take the chance.
Brandon proves once again that he does not understand risk management.
Really? Can you support this assertion, or is it just a lot of hot air?
You proved it in your 5 point assessment of the situation.
You failed to address any of the possible downsides of an invasion. That is a pretty common error by people that don't understand risk management. They play up the issues that support their preconceived conclusion while ignoring or playing down anything that doesn't support it.
This statement is your downfall right here.
Quote:4. One single use of one of some weapons of this class could annihilate hundreds or thousands of people.
It is nothing but an emotional appeal. You even highlighted it in red to make it more emotional.
No, it's a practical appeal. I'm stating what the stakes were. We actually don't want a superweapon to annihilate one of our cities, so any non-negligible possibility that an evil dictator might acquire the capability must be treated with the utmost seriousness.
parados wrote:Yes, a single weapon can kill thousands but you have failed to address if he has them or not....
No, I have not failed to address it at all. My point is that based on the history there was some reasonable probability that he was in the process of acquiring them.
parados wrote:...and how he could possibly deliver any such weapon to do damage.
I have addressed exactly this issue over and over again in posts on this board. He could have agents smuggle the components of the weapon into the target city, reassemble the components, and detonate the weapon from inside. Fascinating that you tell me that I have failed to address something that I have addressed numerous times in posts.
parados wrote:Nor have you dealt with any possible countermeasures. The risk of any weapon being used effectively by Saddam is actually quite small and there are many countermeasures that could be undertaken that would cost less and be more effective in the long run.
What countermeasures would you propose against a Saddam Hussein armed with nuclear and/or biological weapons?