0
   

Iran Air Strikes Growing in Probability

 
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 01:04 pm
You doubt that, ragman?
0 Replies
 
freedom4free
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 02:15 pm
ragman(orig) wrote:
..and of course, "Freedom" knows it first hand because he's seen them.


Dont be stupid. Start reading...

Mordechai Vanunu: The Sunday Times articles

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article6558.htm

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article13963.htm

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,1-1081668,00.html

http://www.msnbc.com/news/wld/graphics/strategic_israel_dw.htm
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 03:40 pm
ragman(orig) wrote:
..and of course, "Freedom" knows it first hand because he's seen them.


I really hate to argue with anyone who quotes Woody.

Have you personally seen an American nuke? How did you recognize it? Perhaps no one really has them after all.
0 Replies
 
Asherman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 04:24 pm
Can any of you, liberal or conservative, cite any hard evidence that Israel has a nuclear arsenal? Show me.

I, like many others, believe its possible that Israel has nuclear weapons, but there isn't a shred of evidence for it. No atomic tests, no capacity to refine weapons grade materials, not even a whisper regarding where the nuclear materials were obtained, so in the end all we have is wide-spread agreement that Israel has nuclear weapons. Israel will neither confirm nor deny their possession of nuclear arms, and the belief in those weapons has been just as good a deterrent as if they were real.

The evidence for an Iraqi nuclear program was greater, and there is no doubt whatsoever that Iran and the DPRK have nuclear programs. About Israel ... who can say for sure. Of course, perhaps I've been out of the loop too long, and maybe there is evidence for an Israeli weapon that I'm unaware of.
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 04:39 pm
I have to agree with asherman. I have heard for many years about Israel's nukes, but don't know any hard evidence.
0 Replies
 
Ragman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 04:51 pm
edgarblythe wrote:
I have to agree with asherman. I have heard for many years about Israel's nukes, but don't know any hard evidence.


Agreed edgar and asherman. My point exactly.

Some people here sure love to through insults around. Such incivility. No wonder the world situation seems so hopeless.
0 Replies
 
Asherman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 04:54 pm
My last post was written before reading F4F's citations.

I'm not so sure how much credence should be given to Vanunu's story, though both the Times and MSNBC sites are at least mainstream sources. Vanunu doesn't appear to be a very reliable fellow even if some nuclear scientists believed his story. Single sources, especially when they have an apparent ax to grind, aren't usually very impressive. It's hard to believe that Israel could have a secret program fitting Vanunu's description without there being other tip-offs in more objective data. Of course, if you believe that the U.S. government is concealing aliens at Area 51, its easy to accept one disloyal informant's publicity efforts.

This brings me back to my basic statement, no body knows for sure if Israel has a nuclear arsenal, though we all have been led to believe that they do. There have been no Israeli nuclear tests, so what all we have is suspicion. As I said before, there was more evidence for an Iraqi nuclear program than there is of an Israeli bomb.

Thank you F4F for the citations, do you know of anything with greater credibility?
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 04:56 pm
http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/israel/nuke/farr.htm

Here is a history of Israel's nuke program. Y'all be the judges.
0 Replies
 
Ragman
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 05:06 pm
blatham wrote:


Have you personally seen an American nuke? How did you recognize it? Perhaps no one really has them after all.


Absurdist argument.

Yes, I've seen an American nuke as I'm a veteran of USAF and have viewed one at an Air Force base at which I was stationed. I've also seen the results of US military's nuclear testing in Nevada as well as having seen first -hand the nuclear site at Hanford in Washington State. Also, reading universally reported facts, Nagasaki and Hiroshima weren't destroyed by conventional bombing, considering the type of injuries and deaths that resulted.

However, without being able to see the results of a single one of Israel's nuke testing, no reports of signs of uranium enrichment program, I feel unable to state to a certainty that it exists.
0 Replies
 
freedom4free
 
  1  
Reply Sun 6 Aug, 2006 05:19 pm
Asherman wrote:


Thank you F4F for the citations, do you know of anything with greater credibility?


Yes, i have many credible sources. I will keep posting a few, until you are satisfied, please let me know your reasons for dismissing them. Try this :

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/892941.stm

http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/world/israel/nuke-stockpile.htm

http://www.cdi.org/issues/nukef&f/database/isnukes.html

http://www.cdi.org/issues/nukef&f/database/nukearsenals.cfm

http://cns.miis.edu/research/wmdme/israel.htm

http://img3.freeimagehosting.net/uploads/ccb2b263c8.jpg

Israel's nuclear arsenal.
0 Replies
 
BernardR
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 12:09 am
I am amazed that the left continues to believe in absurdities for which they have no proof.

There is no proof that Israel has nuclear devices

There is no proof that 9/11 was caused by the US government

There is no proof that Valerie Plame was OUTED by anyone

But, like all good fanatics, the left wing will continue to flail away because of their pure hate for President Bush.

Perhaps they can be partially consoled by the fact that he will not win the next election for President!!!
0 Replies
 
edgarblythe
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 04:54 am
There is no proof that bernard is actually a human being typing messages.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 05:09 am
Quote:
Absurdist argument.

True. I thought it might fit into an absurd discussion. Let's call it "Fun with Epistemology while humans are being blown to ****."
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 06:30 am
Asherman wrote:
Can any of you, liberal or conservative, cite any hard evidence that Israel has a nuclear arsenal? Show me.
I'm not going to show you but you can buy the rest of this article if you want

From the NewStatesman magazine

Britain's dirty secret
13th March 2006
Exculsive - Secret papers show how Britain helped Israel make the A-bomb in the 1960s, supplying tons of vital chemicals including plutonium and uranium. And it looks as though Harold Wilson and his ministers knew nothing about it. By Meirion Jones

no actually got the original hard copy here so out of the kindness of my heart

Quote:
Britain had bought the heavy water from Norsk Hydro in Norway for its nuclear weapons programm, but found it was surplus to requirements and decided to sell. An arrangement was indeed made witha Norwegian company Noratom, but crucially the papers show that Noraton was not the true buyer; the firm agreed to broker a deal with Israel in return for a 2 percent commission. Israel paid the top price £1m to avoid having to give guarantees that the material would not be used to make nuclear weapons, but the papers leave no doubt that Britain knew all along that Israel wanted the heavy water "to produce plutonium". Kelly discovered tha a charade was played out with with British and Israeli delegations sitting in adjacent rooms while Noraton ferried contracts between them to maintain the fiction that Britain had not done the deal with Israel.

The transaction was signed off for the Foreign Office by Donald Cape, whose job it was to make sure we (i.e. Britain) didnt export materials that would help other countries get the atom bomb. He felt it would be "overzealous" to demand safeguards to prevent Israel using the chemical in weapons production..(March 1959 letter shows)...that the Foreign office knew Israel had pulled out of a deal to buy uranium from South Africa when Pretoria asked for safeguards to prevent it being used for making nuclear weapons. It also knew the CIA was warning that "the Israelis must be expected to try and establish a nuclear weapons progammee". Just three weeks later however, Britain started shipping heavy water directt to Israel; the first shipment left in June 1959 and the second in June 1960.


article goes on to show how Britain hoodwinked the USA about what it was doing..


Clear enough for you Ash?
0 Replies
 
freedom4free
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 07:36 am
Who need's WMD, when you've got 'The Holocaust Card'

"I don't want to play the Holocaust card, but it is clear that the 'Jewish state' is viewed as a
sort of guarantee against the recurrence of
the Holocaust"

Ira Sharkansky, political science professor, Hebrew University
0 Replies
 
Asherman
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 10:04 am
Thank you Steve and F4F for the citations. I can see that back in 1959 that it is quite possible that Britain closed its eyes while doing a deal that put many of the resources needed for plutonium production into the hands of Israel. The Israeli nuclear power plant is capable of producing plutonium, though whether the spent rods can and have been enriched into weapons grade material isn't shown. Israel has on at least one occasion openly said that it does have a nuclear option, though they could be lying. Vanunu's story is suspect, but could be true. Estimates of the size and power of an Israeli arsenal appear to me to be entirely educated guesswork. There have been no Israeli tests, nor aside from Vanunu has anyone ever claimed to have participated in an Israeli bomb program. There is reason to believe that Israel does have enough nuclear weapons on hand to virtually destroy any middle eastern enemy if it so chose.

It may seem that I personally didn't believe that Israel has a nuclear arsenal, that isn't quite true. I've long believed that Israel very well might have such weapons, but that they present almost no danger to the region. The thing is, many on the left insist that the Bush Administration "lied" about Saddam's nuclear interests. The same people argue on less evidence that Israel is planning a nuclear strike on its Arab neighbors. The world was wrong, it seems, about the Iraqi program and so we should wonder if Israel has been playing the same shell game. The DPRK says it has nuclear warheads, and we believe it even though they haven't tested any nuclear devices. Does the DPRK have a nuclear arsenal, or is it too playing on the world's fears? I believe that the DPRK and Israel have nuclear warheads. One uses their shadow nukes for blackmail and threats, and the other never threatens.

I want to say again how much I appreciate F4F's real effort to provide citations that come from credible sources, rather than the fringe conspiracy opinions of the fringes.
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 11:27 am
Britain not only supplied heavy water (the moderator of choice for plutonium production) but small amounts of plutonium itself which saved the Israelis months if not years work once it came to plutonium separation from "spent" fuel rods.

Israel has not of course tested a bomb in Israel. But they probably did with South African help in 1979, google "vela incident".

More recently super fast computers can simulate the mechanics of nuclear detonation to aid the design of reliable warheads without the need for full scale testing.

Israel has nuclear weapons all right and has consistently lied about them. Israel is not a signatory to the NPT but is encouraging the unites States to attack Iran who is a signatory. Moreover whatever the perception of the Iranian nuclear industry is in the US, the simple fact is that the Iranians have been scrupulous in staying within the letter of the NPT.
0 Replies
 
Ticomaya
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 11:41 am
Steve 41oo wrote:
.... Moreover whatever the perception of the Iranian nuclear industry is in the US, the simple fact is that the Iranians have been scrupulous in staying within the letter of the NPT.


You might be interested to read these remarks from John Stern Wolf, Assistant Secretary of the Bureau of Nonproliferation with the US State Department:

Quote:
Take the case of Iran. Iran is an NPT party. It has a safeguards agreement in force. It has signed the Additional Protocol, but continues to delay the early ratification to which it committed last fall. It claimed it would act as if the Protocol were in force, pending ratification, although the March 30, 2004 IAEA Note indicates that Iran continues to try to circumscribe access. It remains for the IAEA to say whether Iran's performance has improved since - we are doubtful.

It is clear now that for 18 years, while portraying itself as in full compliance with the NPT, Iran violated safeguards, engaged in deception and denial, and conducted undeclared, clandestine experiments in all sensitive aspects of the nuclear fuel cycle. Iran's pattern of deception and denial continued even after the commencement of investigations by the IAEA; we believe it continues to this day. Iran grudgingly admits to facets of its sprawling secret nuclear program only when confronted with evidence that disproves its previous denials. In at least one instance, it delayed an inspection until it could "sanitize" the facility in order to conceal evidence of its unsafeguarded enrichment activities from the IAEA.

Last year I spoke based on U.S. information. This year the IAEA has confirmed these facts. The conclusion is inescapable: Iran is continuing to dissemble and deceive. In the two years since Iran's clandestine program first came to light, and six months after the IAEA Director General confirmed Iran's "breaches of its obligations to comply" with its safeguards agreement, cooperation only comes grudgingly and in response to having been caught. As the IAEA has confirmed, many troubling questions about Iran's nuclear activities remain unanswered.

Legitimate peaceful nuclear activities do not require denial and deception. The NPT regime contemplates the possibility of providing nuclear assistance to those who abide by their Treaty commitments and seek assistance for genuinely peaceful purposes. No country with peaceful nuclear intentions needs to engage in the duplicity and dishonesty that characterize Iran's relationship with the IAEA. Iran still claims that it has no interest in nuclear weapons. At the Second Preparatory Committee, in 2003, we heard several statements from Iranian representatives that Iran's nuclear program is only for peaceful purposes. Evidently, we were to believe that Iran's covert, nuclear program was peaceful - contrary to ample evidence of military involvement and weapons intentions. The United States believes that the facts, taken as a whole, show that Iran intended to develop nuclear weapons, and that this intent coupled with the clandestine activities reported by the IAEA lead to the conclusion that Iran has violated Article II as well as Article III of the Treaty. How long will the international community accept Iran's dissembling and deceit regarding these violations of core obligations?


LINK

You may want to reconsider your belief that "the simple fact is that the Iranians have been scrupulous in staying within the letter of the NPT."
0 Replies
 
Steve 41oo
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 11:55 am
You might suspect Iran is up to no good. I might suspect Iran is up to no good. But calling someone a liar when they say they are behaving honorably does not constitute proof that they are indeed up to no good. The simple fact is there is no evidence, no proof at all that Iran has a clandestine weapons programme, and I can say that with certainty because if there was, you can be sure the United States and Israel would be shouting it from the highest mountain top.

The United States is playing a familiar game here. They have no evidence and so demand proof of a negative which of course cannot be provided. Let me see now where have I heard similar arguments in relation to weapons of mass destruction...in a country in the middle east, begins with I...neighbouring Iran....
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Mon 7 Aug, 2006 12:09 pm
Steve 41oo wrote:
You might suspect Iran is up to no good. I might suspect Iran is up to no good. But calling someone a liar when they say they are behaving honorably does not constitute proof that they are indeed up to no good. The simple fact is there is no evidence, no proof at all that Iran has a clandestine weapons programme, and I can say that with certainty because if there was, you can be sure the United States and Israel would be shouting it from the highest mountain top.

The United States is playing a familiar game here. They have no evidence and so demand proof of a negative which of course cannot be provided. Let me see now where have I heard similar arguments in relation to weapons of mass destruction...in a country in the middle east, begins with I...neighbouring Iran....


Then you agree that Israel probably does not have nuclear wepons. That's awful good on ya Steve.
0 Replies
 
 

Related Topics

Obama '08? - Discussion by sozobe
Let's get rid of the Electoral College - Discussion by Robert Gentel
McCain's VP: - Discussion by Cycloptichorn
Food Stamp Turkeys - Discussion by H2O MAN
The 2008 Democrat Convention - Discussion by Lash
McCain is blowing his election chances. - Discussion by McGentrix
Snowdon is a dummy - Discussion by cicerone imposter
TEA PARTY TO AMERICA: NOW WHAT?! - Discussion by farmerman
 
Copyright © 2025 MadLab, LLC :: Terms of Service :: Privacy Policy :: Page generated in 0.04 seconds on 01/10/2025 at 12:30:12