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Bush supporters' aftermath thread II

 
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:34 am
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
I don't trust corporations to act in the best interests of the American public, even less than I trust the gov't to do so; they have never shown any particular interest in doing so, why would they start now?

That's your opinion; you're entitled to it, and the Republican's partial privatization would have let you act on it and leave your money in the system. Likewise, I believe I'm entitled to my opinion -- but the status quo, which the Democrats are defending, does not let people like me act on their opinion by putting our money in accounts of our own. Your antipathy to corporations can decide where you put your money; it shouldn decide where I can put my money.


Sure it should. Because I would be paying for your privledge to take your monies out of the system.

And you know as well as I do that this 'small percentage' crap is just a foot in the door.

Remember that SS helps to finance other people's lives as well as one's own life; it's a pool, a way of working together, not a system to get the maximum return on your investment.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
jpinMilwaukee
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:37 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Sorry, I don't trust privatization to make things better; at all. Why would it? Even if it is mostly computers handling the thing (it takes people to run the computers, btw, and analysts, and investment advisors) there still has to be a rake off of the top; and that's just money wasted.


Cyc,

Do you partake in a 401(k) investment plan? I'm not sure what kind of widespread corruption could happen if a privatized SS plan would work like a 401(k).

A set amount of dollars taken out pre-tax and placed in an account that you manage. There really isn't anyone else that has access to your money but you... and even then not until the set retirement age.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:40 am
SOMEONE takes a rake off of the top, if privatization is involved. It is the only way for the company to make money. There is no incentive otherwise.

I also think that this is in part a plan to put vast sums into the stock market, which is not nearly as stable as people like to pretend...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:41 am
Foxfyre, quoting Brian Wesbury on RealClearPolitics, wrote:
This week's economic data is going to be hard for the pessimists to explain. Second quarter real GDP growth will be revised upwardly, consumption data will reflect 3.5% to 4.0% real growth in the third quarter, purchasing managers survey's will reflect continued expansion, and the August employment report is highly likely to accelerate from recent months. In the face of this data, denying a continued recovery will be harder than ever.

Reality check, courtesy of the New York Times:

Quote:
WASHINGTON (AP) -- The economy grew at a 2.9 percent annual rate in the spring -- better than first estimated but nowhere near the brisk pace logged in the winter, another sign of slowing business growth. Inflation marched higher.

The latest snapshot of economic activity, released by the Commerce Department Wednesday, showed that gross domestic product in the April-to-June quarter increased slightly more than the 2.5 percent pace first reported a month ago. That upgrade mostly reflected an improvement in the country's trade picture and stronger inventory building by businesses. [...]

Consumer spending increased at a rate of 2.6 percent, a tad better than first estimated for the second quarter but a steep deceleration from the first quarter's 4.8 percent pace.

So yes, GDP growth has been revised upward slightly, but in consumer spending, there's a gaping hole between the 3.5-4 percent Wesbury so confidently predicts and the 2.6 percent that actually materialized. The perils of faith-based economics ...
0 Replies
 
jpinMilwaukee
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:44 am
Someone is already taking their skim off of the top with absolutely NO accountabilty and NO return on our investment at all. I just don't see why you see this as a good enough.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:46 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
SOMEONE takes a rake off of the top, if privatization is involved. It is the only way for the company to make money. There is no incentive otherwise.

... and what, in your opinion, was the incentive for Congress producing and conserving the status quo? Altruism?

Cycloptichorn wrote:
I also think that this is in part a plan to put vast sums into the stock market, which is not nearly as stable as people like to pretend...

That's a fair point. But if it's true, maybe current returns on assets aren't as excessive as you were implying. Maybe they're a well-deserved risk premium.
0 Replies
 
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:50 am
Remember when this this thread was for those that supported Bush as a place to post uplifting reminders?

Ah, the good ol' days...
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 09:51 am
jpinMilwaukee wrote:
Someone is already taking their skim off of the top with absolutely NO accountabilty and NO return on our investment at all. I just don't see why you see this as a good enough.


Well, the systems of accountability are in place, we just don't make enforcing them a priority; so the American people really have noone to blame but themselves on this issue. Lack of education on the problem combined with generations of politicians telling them that it's okay to steal monies from the SS fund to run the gov't.

Thomas wrote:
Quote:

... and what, in your opinion, was the incentive for Congress conserving the status quo? Altruism?


No, just the simple fact that the program works, has worked for many years, and will continue to work for many more. Forever? Probably not, but hey, nothing works forever. If we don't get our finances and debts in order, we will run out of money to run the gov't long before we run out of money to pay out SS.

Noone responds to the obvious fact that the 'small percentage' would increase over time. This is nothing but a several-step plan for getting rid of Social Security, and there is a reason why it has been rejected by the electorate in such strong fashion; people like the idea of social security.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
jpinMilwaukee
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:00 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Well, the systems of accountability are in place, we just don't make enforcing them a priority; so the American people really have noone to blame but themselves on this issue. Lack of education on the problem combined with generations of politicians telling them that it's okay to steal monies from the SS fund to run the gov't.


I'm failing to see how that makes it an attractive option...



Cycloptichorn wrote:
Noone responds to the obvious fact that the 'small percentage' would increase over time. This is nothing but a several-step plan for getting rid of Social Security, and there is a reason why it has been rejected by the electorate in such strong fashion; people like the idea of social security.


I'm all for getting rid of social security. I don't think it will be around for my benefit and am planning accordingly. If I am wrong in that assumption then I'll be better off for it, but in the mean time the government stealing my money is making it more difficult for me right NOW. If we wait until SS does fail (nothing lasts forever) it is going to do a lot more harm than doing something to fix it now... while there is still some money left in there.

As far as the small percentage thing... I'm losing more than that now. I'd gladly give up some of my money in order to keep the rest of it.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:01 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Sure it should. Because I would be paying for your privledge to take your monies out of the system.

More precisely, my right not to put it in there in the first place. And it's not like I'm ripping you off -- in return, I would relieve you from the duty of paying for my retirement (assuming you're younger than I.) It's my money, I worked for it, you don't have title to it. So why should you and your anti-corporation attitude have any say in where it goes?

Cycloptichorn wrote:
And you know as well as I do that this 'small percentage' crap is just a foot in the door.

Yes. And I consider this a good thing: A gradual approach doesn't put people's whole retirement at risk. But it allows them to observe if privatization works for the fraction of the taxes they invest for themselves. Depending on what happens, they can then vote for further privatization -- or not. If you are right and privatization fails, reform stops here. If I am right, reform will continue until privatization is complete.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
Remember that SS helps to finance other people's lives as well as one's own life;

So does a voluntary arrangement in which I put money in a bank and the bank sells annuities to customers who want it. How, in your opinion, is Social Security superior to that?

But I admit that now we're are approaching the heart of the matter: My main problem with Social Security is that I don't want other people to finance my life; nor do I want to finance the lives of other people.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:08 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
No, just the simple fact that the program works, has worked for many years, and will continue to work for many more.

It isn't working for me. If Social Security didn't exist, I would invest my retirement savings in some fund and get much better terms.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:09 am
Quote:

But I admit that now we're are approaching the heart of the matter: My main problem with Social Security is that I don't want other people to finance my life; nor do I want to finance the lives of other people.


Yeah, that's what I figure is the underlying argument for anti-SS advocates.

Fortunately, the vast majority of Americans disagree with that sentiment. You see, it makes me feel pretty good to know that the money that I pay in SS taxes (which, by the way, isn't bankrupting me or anything like that) not only helps my grandparents, but also the nice ladies next door to them, and the blind man who lives next to them. And someday, others will help pay for me.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:12 am
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
No, just the simple fact that the program works, has worked for many years, and will continue to work for many more.

It isn't working for me. If Social Security didn't exist, I would invest my retirement savings in some fund and get much better terms.


Unless we have a huge market crash, in which case you have no idea what your returns would be like. Not exactly a 'safety blanket.'

Or, what if your fund is heavily invested in a couple of Neo-Enrons? You could lose everything. Sure, you say 'I'm smart, I wouldn't do that' but others aren't so smart. The point of SS is to keep old people from starving, not to garner the maximum possible return.

Cycloptichorn

ps. Social Security isn't your retirement savings. You aren't thinking about it the right way.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:13 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
You see, it makes me feel pretty good to know that the money that I pay in SS taxes (which, by the way, isn't bankrupting me or anything like that) not only helps my grandparents, but also the nice ladies next door to them, and the blind man who lives next to them. And someday, others will help pay for me

I'm glad you're comfortable entrusting your retirement income to a Ponzi Scheme like this, and I wish I could have your comfort level in this matter. Good luck!
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:33 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Or, what if your fund is heavily invested in a couple of Neo-Enrons?

It wouldn't be: Because I'd have the liberty to avoid such funds, I could -- and would choose a well-hedged fund. For example, my current retirement savings are invested in broad-based, exchange-traded index funds. Specifically, I invested half of the money in the Euro Corporate Bond Index and the other half in the EuroStoxx index (Europe's Dow, basically). Both funds hold assets of about 50 corporations, and chances are there's an Enron or two among them. So what? 48-49 companies will still survive. Risks like these are easy to hedge by choosing the right fund.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
ps. Social Security isn't your retirement savings. You aren't thinking about it the right way.

So you said several times, but repetition doesn't necessarily make it true. Indeed, it reminds me of a scene I read in Barbara Ehrenreich's interesting book "Nickeled and Dimed". In that book Ehrenreich assumes the role of a minimum wage worker and reports about her experiences with colleagues and employers. One chapter deals with her application for a cleaning job as a fake freelancer. The interviewer tells her a very complicated work schedule she is expected to keep, along with an equally complicated payment schedule. Ehrenreich starts thinking, calculating in her head that the job amounts to $4.95 per hour. The interviewer takes notice and interrupts: "nonono -- this is not the way we think about it here!"

If you're comfortable in the role of this interviewer, be my guest. Smile
0 Replies
 
Advocate
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:41 am
Thomas, many of you conservatives should, but probably are not, be thankful to social security for providing a basic income to their parents that relieved the children from having to support them.

SS is not a great investment, but it does provide a safety net. What is the alternative for many millions who are not astute investors -- is it poorhouses?
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:42 am
Advocate wrote:
Thomas, many of you conservatives should, but probably are not, be thankful to social security for providing a basic income to their parents that relieved the children from having to support them.

Thankful? Why? None of my parents and grandparents got their money's worth on the taxes they paid into the system.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:47 am
Thomas wrote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
Or, what if your fund is heavily invested in a couple of Neo-Enrons?

It wouldn't be: Because I'd have the liberty to avoid such funds, I could -- and would choose a well-hedged fund. For example, my current retirement savings are invested in broad-based, exchange-traded index funds. Specifically, I invested half of the money in the Euro Corporate Bond Index and the other half in the EuroStoxx index (Europe's Dow, basically). Both funds hold assets of about 50 corporations, and chances are there's an Enron or two among them. So what? 48-49 companies will still survive. Risks like these are easy to hedge by choosing the right fund.


You didn't fully quote me. I said,
Quote:

Or, what if your fund is heavily invested in a couple of Neo-Enrons? You could lose everything. Sure, you say 'I'm smart, I wouldn't do that' but others aren't so smart. The point of SS is to keep old people from starving, not to garner the maximum possible return.


Unfortunately, a large percentage of our population is either unintelligent or poorly educated or both. Yet, when these people are old, they need to eat as well. That is what social security is for; to keep people from starving to death. This is seen as a good goal for society (even if it is not a profitable enterprise) because it removes a lot of the pressure that builds up from starvation and extreme poverty amongst old folks. It also allows the American model of single-generation housing to continue in the fashion which it has.

Quote:
Cycloptichorn wrote:
ps. Social Security isn't your retirement savings. You aren't thinking about it the right way.

So you said several times, but repetition doesn't necessarily make it true. Indeed, it reminds me of a scene I read in Barbara Ehrenreich's interesting book "Nickeled and Dimed". In that book Ehrenreich assumes the role of a minimum wage worker and reports about her experiences with colleagues and employers. One chapter deals with her application for a cleaning job as a fake freelancer. The interviewer tells her a very complicated work schedule she is expected to keep, along with an equally complicated payment schedule. Ehrenreich starts thinking, calculating in her head that the job amounts to $4.95 per hour. The interviewer takes notice and interrupts: "nonono -- this is not the way we think about it here!"

If you're comfortable in the role of this interviewer, be my guest. Smile


You shouldn't think of retiring on SS at all. I don't. It isn't a retirement fund. It is a 'you won't starve to death when you are old' fund.

Thomas, you could lose all your money in a crash, you could have a strange brain stroke and invest poorly, you could have a child with Leukemia and spend every penny you have trying to save his life, you could have your home be washed away in a flood, you could have a bank or fund act in an evil fashion and steal/mis-manage/defraud you of your money, anything, and Social Security would still be there for you. That's why it isn't an investment.

Hopefully you will never have to worry about seeing a return on your SS money at all. If you do your retirement financing correctly, you won't need it. But if you do, it is there. That is why SS will continue as an American institution for the known future. That, and the fact that the unintelligent don't just starve to death quietly. They make problems for everyone else...

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
jpinMilwaukee
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 10:56 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:

You shouldn't think of retiring on SS at all. I don't. It isn't a retirement fund. It is a 'you won't starve to death when you are old' fund.


Cyc,

You keep saying this but the fact is, is that many people are using it as a retirement fund. Had that money been invested from the very beginning, or at least allowed to collect interest (at a modest rate), they would be able to eat all they wanted and retire quite comfortably on it. There would even be enough money to help your old fiends down the street and thier blind neighbor. Right now it is forcing people to choose between eating or buying medicine (Isn't that one of the favorite stories peope like to throw out when talking about the poor?).

Right now, every dollar you put into social security is losing it's purchasing power by the rate of infaltion and then being split up a million different ways for everyone collecting SS.
0 Replies
 
Thomas
 
  1  
Reply Wed 30 Aug, 2006 11:06 am
Cycloptichorn wrote:
You didn't fully quote me. I said,
Quote:
Or, what if your fund is heavily invested in a couple of Neo-Enrons? You could lose everything. Sure, you say 'I'm smart, I wouldn't do that' but others aren't so smart. The point of SS is to keep old people from starving, not to garner the maximum possible return.

Unfortunately, a large percentage of our population is either unintelligent or poorly educated or both.

Most people are educated and smart enough to buy adequate cars and housing for themselves. I'm sure there are many among them whom you would consider too dumb or ignorant to invest money. But putting money on a bank isn't rocket science. Almost everyone is smart and educated enough to read "A Random Walk down Wall Street", understand it, and act on it. Everyone else can get advice from people they trust.

cycloptichorn wrote:
Thomas, you could lose all your money in a crash, you could have a strange brain stroke and invest poorly, you could have a child with Leukemia and spend every penny you have trying to save his life, you could have your home be washed away in a flood, you could have a bank or fund act in an evil fashion and steal/mis-manage/defraud you of your money, anything, and Social Security would still be there for you. That's why it isn't an investment.

... this hasn't been the experience of my grandparents; In their lifetime, Germany had a hyperinflation, two world wars, and two currency reforms, each of which erased practically all the money the system managed for them. What survived was the stocks they owned. Your government got lucky with these things so far, but as they say in the prospects, past performance does not necessarily predict future returns.

Cycloptichorn wrote:
If you do your retirement financing correctly, you won't need it. But if you do, it is there. That is why SS will continue as an American institution for the known future. That, and the fact that the unintelligent don't just starve to death quietly. They make problems for everyone else...

The unintelligent aren't starving, they are currently running your federal government. That makes problems for everyone else.
0 Replies
 
 

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