10
   

Tokyo 2020(1) Fantasy Olympics

 
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Jul, 2021 12:00 pm
@engineer,
Biles' issue is mental - taking it day-to-day moving forward.
0 Replies
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Jul, 2021 12:05 pm
We have a new leader. tgordon92 has edged past George:

Code:2021 Standings
1 tgordon92 257 911.50
2 George 256 909.00
3 McGentrix 239 911.00
4 Ticomaya 237 911.50
5 markr 232 911.00
6 Skin Rip 224 910.00
7 Ecartmill 223 911.50
8 wheel158 221 911.50
9 Oralloy 209 911.50
10 fbaezer 203 911.50
11 ehBeth 195 907.00
12 lmur 192 911.50
0 Replies
 
lmur
 
  1  
Reply Tue 27 Jul, 2021 12:22 pm
@markr,
Thankfully that...nemmind.
0 Replies
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 11:51 am
tgordon92 has distanced himself from the field.

Code:2021 Standings
1 tgordon92 351 911.50
2 McGentrix 322 911.00
3 George 313 909.00
4 markr 311 911.00
5 Ecartmill 310 911.50
6 wheel158 305 911.50
7 Skin Rip 291 910.00
8 Ticomaya 291 911.50
9 Oralloy 286 911.50
10 fbaezer 278 911.50
11 ehBeth 258 907.00
12 lmur 250 911.50
ehBeth
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 02:50 pm
Go Penny !
tgordon92
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 03:38 pm
@markr,
We'll see if my lead holds up without the USA (or Kenya, or Ethiopia, or Jamaica) on my team when Athletics starts.
George
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 04:16 pm
@ehBeth,
ehBeth wrote:
Go Penny !
A Penny still valued in Canada!
0 Replies
 
fbaezer
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 05:13 pm
@markr,
markr wrote:

tgordon92 has distanced himself from the field.



As usual.
McGentrix
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 05:16 pm
@fbaezer,
It is not that big of a lead...
0 Replies
 
wheel158
 
  1  
Reply Wed 28 Jul, 2021 10:05 pm
@tgordon92,
USA is having a great night. Your lead has started to shrink...

You have an amazing number of Bronze medals too!
0 Replies
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Thu 29 Jul, 2021 12:07 pm
tgordon92 maintains his lead.

Code:2021 Standings
1 tgordon92 404 911.50
2 wheel158 373 911.50
3 Ecartmill 369 911.50
4 McGentrix 363 911.00
5 markr 360 911.00
6 George 356 909.00
7 Ticomaya 355 911.50
8 fbaezer 338 911.50
9 Skin Rip 332 910.00
10 Oralloy 324 911.50
11 ehBeth 307 907.00
12 lmur 301 911.50
0 Replies
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Fri 30 Jul, 2021 12:11 pm
tgordon92 widens his lead a bit. The race for second is tight - only 16 points separate 2nd from 6th.
Code:2021 Standings
1 tgordon92 469 911.50
2 George 430 909.00
3 wheel158 426 911.50
4 markr 425 911.00
5 McGentrix 424 911.00
6 Ecartmill 414 911.50
7 Ticomaya 393 911.50
8 Skin Rip 392 910.00
9 fbaezer 392 911.50
10 Oralloy 381 911.50
11 ehBeth 354 907.00
12 lmur 347 911.50
0 Replies
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 02:13 am
I was going to go with the team that I'm calling #bs (Best Sports), but I ended up blending it with the team called #ap (Associated Press). I wish I had gone with #bs. I think I'll use Best Sports as the "expert" next time.
tgordon92
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 04:38 am
@markr,
I guess I can be glad that I didn't find the AP predictions when I was figuring out my team, so they haven't dragged me down (so far)!

Quote:
I was going to go with the team that I'm calling #bs (Best Sports), but I ended up blending it with the team called #ap (Associated Press). I wish I had gone with #bs. I think I'll use Best Sports as the "expert" next time.
markr
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 12:31 pm
@tgordon92,
My first pass was to manually pick the teams that BS predicted would outperform the costs. That team looked a lot like yours, so I figured you were taking the same approach. I then created an optimal (with respect to our costs) team (#bs) that assumed that BS got it completely right - again, similar to yours. Then, I found the AP predictions and figured the folks that cover this stuff year-round probably know what they're talking about, so I created an optimal team (#ap) based on a blending of their predictions. I didn't expect #gn (Gracenote) to do well since it is the optimal team based on predictions from April.
markr
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 12:37 pm
tgordon92's lead has shrunk, and (ineligible) team #bs has the top score (not posted here) for, I think, the first time.

Code:2021 Standings
1 tgordon92 514 911.50
2 markr 499 911.00
3 McGentrix 495 911.00
4 wheel158 481 911.50
5 George 475 909.00
6 Skin Rip 451 910.00
7 Ticomaya 449 911.50
8 Ecartmill 448 911.50
9 fbaezer 436 911.50
10 Oralloy 435 911.50
11 lmur 404 911.50
12 ehBeth 400 907.00
0 Replies
 
lmur
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 01:46 pm
@markr,
markr wrote:

My first pass was to manually pick the teams that BS predicted would outperform the costs. That team looked a lot like yours, so I figured you were taking the same approach. I then created an optimal (with respect to our costs) team (#bs) that assumed that BS got it completely right - again, similar to yours. Then, I found the AP predictions and figured the folks that cover this stuff year-round probably know what they're talking about, so I created an optimal team (#ap) based on a blending of their predictions. I didn't expect #gn (Gracenote) to do well since it is the optimal team based on predictions from April.


Wait. What? Some people knew what they were doing?
oralloy
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 03:46 pm
@markr,
markr wrote:
My first pass was to manually pick the teams that BS predicted would outperform the costs. That team looked a lot like yours, so I figured you were taking the same approach. I then created an optimal (with respect to our costs) team (#bs) that assumed that BS got it completely right - again, similar to yours. Then, I found the AP predictions and figured the folks that cover this stuff year-round probably know what they're talking about, so I created an optimal team (#ap) based on a blending of their predictions. I didn't expect #gn (Gracenote) to do well since it is the optimal team based on predictions from April.

I've never heard of Best Sports. I didn't know that AP was predicting winners. I knew about Gracenote only because it was linked earlier in this thread. (I'm not much of a sports person.)

I looked Gracenote over and their arguments seemed sound enough to me where they explained them, so I based nearly all of my picks on what Gracenote predicted to outperform the costs. The only exception was the .05 team Tunisia.

So if you want to see how Gracenote ends up doing, just look at my team (or my team minus Tunisia).
markr
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 06:13 pm
@lmur,
Quote:
Wait. What? Some people knew what they were doing?

Certainly not I. I was counting on Best Sports and AP to know what they were doing.
0 Replies
 
markr
 
  1  
Reply Sat 31 Jul, 2021 06:17 pm
@oralloy,
Quote:
I looked Gracenote over and their arguments seemed sound enough to me where they explained them, so I based nearly all of my picks on what Gracenote predicted to outperform the costs. The only exception was the .05 team Tunisia.


Were you using data from Gracenote that was newer than April? I never found anything newer than that. That's why I didn't use them as the "expert." Well, that and the fact that they never posted a complete set of data. They only showed the top 30.
 

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