13
   

Monitoring Biden and other Contemporary Events

 
 
blatham
 
  3  
Reply Wed 24 Jan, 2024 05:19 pm
From MAGA racist nutball Charlie Kirk yesterday or day before...
Quote:
“I’m sorry. If I see a Black pilot, I’m going to be like, ‘Boy, I hope he’s qualified.’”


As Ted Lieu points out...
Quote:
Reality: “The Tuskegee Airmen's success in escorting bombers during World War II – having one of the lowest loss records of all the escort fighter groups...- is a record unmatched by any other fighter group.” https://tuskegee.edu/support-tu/tuskegee-airmen/tuskegee-airmen-facts#:~:text=From%201941%2D1946%2C%20some%201%2C000,by%20the%20allied%20bomber%20units.
0 Replies
 
NSFW (view)
hightor
 
  2  
Reply Wed 24 Jan, 2024 06:44 pm
@bobsal u1553115,
bobsal u1553115
 
  1  
Reply Wed 24 Jan, 2024 07:57 pm
@hightor,
Good stuff.
0 Replies
 
bobsal u1553115
 
  1  
Reply Wed 24 Jan, 2024 08:03 pm
@hightor,
blatham
 
  2  
Reply Wed 24 Jan, 2024 09:17 pm
@bobsal u1553115,
You kids and your loud "music".
BillW
 
  1  
Reply Wed 24 Jan, 2024 10:26 pm
@bobsal u1553115,
bobsal u1553115 wrote:

Hey, Bill!

Yes?
0 Replies
 
hightor
 
  5  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 05:13 am
Quote:
The dust is beginning to settle after last night’s New Hampshire primary. Former president Donald Trump won the Republican primary with 54.3% of the vote, netting him 12 delegates to the Republican National Convention. Former South Carolina governor Nikki Haley came in second with 43.3% of the vote, garnering her 9 delegates. Other candidates together took 2.3%, but none of them won any delegates.

There has been a lot of noise today about whether the New Hampshire results spell good news for Trump or bad news. While the result keeps him in the front spot for the Republican nomination, I fall into the category of observers who see bad news: more than 45% of Republican primary voters—those most fervent about the party—chose someone other than Trump.

As David French pointed out in the New York Times today, Trump is running as a virtual incumbent, and any incumbent facing a challenger who can command 43% of the party faithful is in trouble. President Gerald Ford discovered this equation in 1976 when he faced Ronald Reagan’s insurgency; President George H. W. Bush discovered it in 1992 when he faced a similar challenge from right-wing commentator Patrick Buchanan. While both Ford and Bush went on to win the Republican nomination, they lost the general election.

More important than opinions or history to indicate what the primary indicated, though, is Trump’s apparent anger about Haley’s showing. Politico’s Playbook noted that he “rage-posted” about Haley’s speech after her strong finish with posts that lasted far into the night. Ron Filipkowski noted that at 2:19 this morning he was still at it, posting: “NIKKI CAME IN LAST, NOT SECOND!”

In addition to attacking her from the podium, Trump appeared to threaten her when he warned her about “very dishonest people” she would have to fight. He said she was not going to win, “but if she did, she would “be under investigation…in fifteen minutes and I could tell you five reasons why already. Not big reasons, a little stuff that she doesn’t want to talk about, but she will be under investigation within minutes, and so would Ron have been, but he decided to get out.”

The tactics Trump might have been suggesting became clear this afternoon, when the chair of the Arizona Republican Party, Jeff DeWit, resigned after a recording that appeared to show him trying to bribe Arizona Senate candidate and fervent Trump supporter Kari Lake to stay out of the Senate race was leaked to the press. The tape itself was clearly contrived to show Lake as if she were in a campaign ad, defending Trump and America, but it includes DeWit’s pleas for her to stand aside for two years, presumably while the Arizona party regroups with less extremist candidates, and his request that she name her price.

This sordid story reflects a problem in the state Republican parties as MAGA supporters have tried to take over from the party establishment. In Arizona, challenging the 2020 presidential election—remember the “Cyber Ninjas” who audited the Maricopa County vote?—ran the finances of the Arizona party into the ground. Lake has continued to insist, without evidence, that the election was stolen, and she and other MAGA activists have called for purging the party of all but the Trump faithful. The recording positions Lake as a Trump loyalist fighting against party operatives.

In his resignation letter, DeWit claimed the recording had been “taken out of context” and said he had been “set up.” He noted that Lake has “a disturbing tendency to exploit private interactions for personal gain,” calling out “her habit of secretly recording personal and private conversations. This is obviously a concern given how much interaction she has with high profile people including President Trump,” he added. “I believe she orchestrated this entire situation to have control over the state party,” he wrote.

DeWit said he had “received an ultimatum from Lake’s team: resign today or face the release of a new, more damaging recording. I am truly unsure of its contents,” he wrote, “but considering our numerous past open conversations as friends, I have decided not to take the risk. I am resigning as Lake requested.”

It seems clear the Trump team is eager to consolidate power behind him no matter what it takes, especially in the face of what appears to be his weakness. Rising authoritarians depend on the idea they are invincible, so being perceived as vulnerable—or as a loser—hits them much harder than it does a normal political candidate.

Republican National Committee chair Ronna McDaniel—who was recorded on November 17, 2020, pressuring two Republican officials in Michigan not to certify Joe Biden’s electors in a county he won by 68% and promising the officials to “get you attorneys”—has urged Haley to drop out of the race. Traditionally, party chairs stay neutral in primary contests. Tonight, Trump posted a threat to donors: “Nikki ‘Birdbrain’ Haley is very bad for the Republican Party and, indeed, our Country…. Anybody that makes a ‘Contribution’ to Birdbrain, from this moment forth, will be permanently barred from the MAGA camp. We don’t want them and will not accept them.”

For her part, Haley has vowed to stay in the contest. While observers point out that there is very little chance she could actually overtake Trump, it’s also true that either Trump’s obvious mental lapses or his legal troubles could knock him out of the race, in which case she would be the most viable candidate standing.

Curiously, what happened to Trump in New Hampshire was what, before the election, pundits suggested could and maybe should happen to President Joe Biden: a challenger would show that he was weak going into the 2024 election.

Instead, despite dirty-trickster robocalls in a fake Biden voice telling Democratic voters not to show up vote for Biden, he appears to be on track to win 65% of the vote as a write-in candidate—he wasn’t on the ballot—while Representative Dean Phillips and self-help author Marianne Williamson, who were on the ballot, together appear to have garnered just under 25%..

On Monday, Miranda Nazzaro of The Hill reported that the creator of ChatGPT banned a super PAC backing Phillips for misusing AI for political purposes. Billionaire Bill Ackman, who has been in the news lately for his fight against diversity, equity, and inclusion programs, attacks on former Harvard president Claudine Gay, and threats to media outlets that pointed out plagiarism in his wife’s doctoral dissertation, donated $1 million to Phillips’s super PAC.

There was other good news for the Biden camp today, too. Sign-ups for the Affordable Care Act, also known as Obamacare, have surged by 80% under Biden, with a record 21 million people enrolling this year. Trump has promised to get rid of the program, saying that “Obamacare Sucks!!!” and that he will replace it with something better, but neither now nor in his four years in office did he produce a plan.

Biden also received the enthusiastic endorsement today of the United Auto Workers union, whose president, Shawn Fain, had made it clear that any president must earn that endorsement. Biden stood with the union in its negotiations last year with the big three automakers, not only behind the scenes but also in public when he became the first president to join a picket line. “[Trump] went to a nonunion plant, invited by the boss, and trashed our union,” Fain said, “And, here is what Joe Biden did during our stand up strike. He heard the call. And he stood up and he showed up.” “Donald Trump stands against everything we stand for as a society,” Fain told the crowd.

More news dropped today about the damage MAGA Republicans are doing to the United States. A report published today in JAMA Internal Medicine estimates that in the 14 states that outlawed abortion after the Supreme Court’s June 2022 Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization decision, 64,565 women became pregnant after being raped, “but few (if any) obtained in-state abortions legally.”

Finally, Jake Sherman and John Bresnahan of Punchbowl News confirmed this evening that although MAGA Republicans have insisted the border is such a crisis that no aid to Ukraine can pass until it is addressed, Trump is preventing congressional action on the border because he wants to run on the issue of immigration. Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) told a closed meeting of Senate Republicans that “the nominee” wants to run his campaign on immigration, adding, “We don’t want to do anything to undermine him.” “We’re in a quandary,” McConnell said.

Jennifer Bendery and Igor Bobic of HuffPost reported that Trump today reached out to Republican senators to kill the bipartisan border deal being finalized, “because he doesn’t want Biden to have a victory,” one source said. “The rational Republicans want the deal because they want Ukraine and Israel and an actual border solution,” Bendery and Bobic quote the source as saying. “But the others are afraid of Trump, or they’re the chaos caucus who never wants to pass anything.”

“They’re having a little crisis in their conference right now,”

hcr
0 Replies
 
bobsal u1553115
 
  2  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 08:07 am
@blatham,
Loud fast rules, man!
0 Replies
 
glitterbag
 
  3  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 08:15 am
@Lash,
Lash wrote:

Lash wrote:

I’m watching the genocide every day and Germany supports it.

Not complicated.

The US, the UK, France & Germany have voiced support for Israel’s extermination of Palestinians.

Might as well not try to equivocate or mince words around this holocaust.



You should be ashamed of yourself.
Walter Hinteler
 
  4  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 08:38 am
@Lash,
Lash wrote:
The US, the UK, France & Germany have voiced support for Israel’s extermination of Palestinians.

Might as well not try to equivocate or mince words around this holocaust.
Missed that post

The Holocaust was the genocide of European Jews during World War II.
The term Holocaust, derived from a Greek word meaning "burnt offering", is the word used to describe the Nazi extermination of Jews in English, German and most other languages. (In German, Holocaust is used to refer to the persecution of other groups that the Nazis targeted as well.)

Regarding your claim that Germany (et. al.) had voiced support for the extermination of Palestinians: any idea, why H.E. Laith Arafeh, the ambassador of Palestine to Germany, keeps quiet about this? (Resp. the Palestine ambassador to France or the Palestine envoy to the UK)
[I met Dr Khouloud Daibes, the former Palestine ambassador to Germany for many years, in Berlin years ago.]
0 Replies
 
Glennn
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 08:46 am
@glitterbag,
Quote:
You should be ashamed of yourself.

Why? Who has she offended?
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 08:47 am
@Glennn,
Glennn wrote:
Why? Who has she offended?
Every victim of the Holocaust.
Glennn
 
  -1  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 08:48 am
@Walter Hinteler,
How did she do that?
0 Replies
 
hightor
 
  5  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 09:02 am
Shadia Drury wrote:
(...)

A wise leader would have realized that punishing all of Gaza for the crimes of Hamas would make Israel a pariah among nations. A perceptive leader would have admitted that the unqualified support of the Western powers underscores the view of Israel as the last gasp of European colonialism. A discerning leader would have anticipated that Egypt would refuse to be complicit in a second nakba. Most important of all, a decent leader would have put his personal humiliation aside and made the fate of the hostages a priority. He would have negotiated the release of the hostages in exchange for the hundreds of Palestinians who have been in Israeli prisons for years without trial or charge. The Western press refers to them euphemistically as “security detainees.” According to Amnesty International, many of Israel’s Palestinian prisoners, which include teenagers, are subjected to inhuman and degrading treatment and torture. Netanyahu should have released those with no blood on their hands in exchange for the hostages.

Instead, Netanyahu declared that it was beneath his dignity to bargain with Hamas. He refused to swallow his pride; he refused to give priority to the fate of the hostages. For him, the most important thing was restoring his personal reputation by doing something manly and heroic. I suspect that his heart’s desire is to rescue the hostages in a dramatic military operation, while destroying Hamas as a military force. Even if he succeeds, it will not be the redemption he longs for. The hostages might not survive the rescue. A military victory against Gaza is akin to shooting fish in a barrel—it can be neither manly nor heroic. Israel will suffer many casualties of valuable military men who will be fighting against fanatics with nothing to lose. Israel has already sustained casualties that it is desperately keeping secret. When it is over, Hamas will have plenty of new recruits.

(...) more
blatham
 
  3  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 10:00 am
@hightor,
Quote:
Shadia Drury wrote:

I'm delighted to see this Canadian scholar quoted here by someone other than myself. John Dean quoted her work extensively in Conservatives Without Conscience (which is a very good book).
blatham
 
  3  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 10:03 am
We must start urgently talking about the dangers of a second Trump presidency
Margaret Sullivan

With New Hampshire behind, the question isn’t who’s running but whether US democracy will endure

With Trump’s victory in New Hampshire, the battle lines are drawn for November. Unless something very weird happens, we’re looking at a Joe Biden and Donald Trump rematch.

It’s time – past time, really – to sweep away any remaining delusions about the viability of a more moderate Republican challenger or what a second Trump term would bring.

Now the question isn’t who’s running but whether American democracy will endure.

To put it bluntly, not if Trump is elected.

He’s already told us, many times over – and in abundantly clear terms – what he will do with a second term:

He’ll prosecute his perceived enemies with the full power of the government. He’ll call out the military to put down citizen protest. He’ll never allow a fair election again.

“Twelve more years” is no longer just a joke to pander to the raucous and red-capped faithful.

“The serious scholars of fascism are now saying that the ‘F-word’ is merited,” Jeff Sharlet, a Dartmouth professor and author of The Undertow: Scenes from a Slow Civil War, told me in an interview on Wednesday.

Do Americans really want to live in a fascist or authoritarian nation? Some may believe it will work out just fine – that the loss of freedom may hurt others, but not them – but most of us don’t want that. Or we wouldn’t if we were fully aware of the consequences.

I talked with Sharlet about the actions that the mainstream press and regular citizens can take now that we know what we know.

Newsrooms big and small, he believes, need to educate their staffs about the dangers of fascism.

“There needs to be a pause,” he said, in coverage as as usual, and an internal reckoning. Sharlet suggests that media leaders bring in scholars – for example, Yale’s Timothy Snyder, who wrote On Tyranny – to lead newsroom discussions, based on clear historical precedent. Ruth Ben-Ghiat, author of Strongmen: Mussolini to the Present, would be another excellent choice.

After the New York Times wrote that Trump’s New Hampshire win “raises questions” about Nikki Haley’s path forward, Sharlet scoffed, noting that such questions have been settled for some time “but a press built for the horse race keeps touting a path that never existed when it should be retooling itself to cover a rapidly mutating fascism”.

Is such a retooling really possible? Of course it is.

The fact that many newsrooms now have democracy teams or democracy reporters suggests that they understand the problem to some extent. But they need to get much more urgent about it.

That kind of change takes clear leadership from the top.

The New York Times – now more influential than ever, as other news organizations shrink and fade by the day – should set an example. Its top editor, Joseph Kahn, with his background as a foreign correspondent in China, is extremely well positioned to take the lead.

As NYU professor Jay Rosen so memorably put it, coverage must refocus: “Not the odds but the stakes.” We do see “stakes” stories, of course, including on the Times front page, but it’s inarguable that horserace coverage still dominates.

What, exactly, we are racing toward is a question worth asking in every day’s politics coverage.

What about regular citizens?

Perhaps most importantly, they need to stop tuning out. They shouldn’t throw up their hands and decide not to care about politics or the future of the country.

“People need to pay attention to the exhaustion they feel and know that it is a symptom of acquiescence and adaptation,” Sharlet told me.

As Ben-Ghiat told me on my American Crisis podcast, that exhaustion is part of the strongman’s playbook.

Trump creates chaos, and we grow tired of it. Weary of the relentless flow of bad news, the dire warnings, the anxiety, we retreat into our personal lives or our political bubbles.

More advice from Sharlet for citizens: Form a “boring book club” and read – for example – Project 2025 from the Heritage Foundation, the shocking (and nearly 1,000-page) rightwing plan to dismantle the federal government and install political allies after a Trump election.

As the Associated Press wrote: “Trump-era conservatives want to gut the ‘administrative state’ from within, by ousting federal employees they believe are standing in the way of the president’s agenda and replacing them with like-minded officials more eager to fulfill a new executive’s approach to governing.”

Neither politics reporters nor regular citizens need to become full-blown scholars of authoritarianism over the next nine months.

But failing to understand and act upon what’s at stake – either out of ennui or because “we’ve always done it that way” – is dangerous.

Now, with the clarity of the New Hampshire primary behind us, it’s high time to take things seriously.
0 Replies
 
hightor
 
  3  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 11:02 am
@blatham,
Her articles always make me think. Deeply.
hightor
 
  4  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 11:18 am
The Least Objectionable Candidate

There’s a reason Democratic voters are rallying behind Joe Biden.

David Frum wrote:
It was a plausible plan, the political equivalent of stealing a base.

Joe Biden had promised South Carolina Democrats that their state would host the first primary of 2024. The state of New Hampshire declined to step aside. To honor his promise, Biden did not enter the New Hampshire primary.

That decision opened an opportunity for Biden detractors inside and outside the Democratic primary process: If the incumbent president refused to compete, somebody else could enter and appear to win. It would not be much of a victory, but it might be misrepresented to look like one. Maybe it could even force Biden out of the race, as President Lyndon B. Johnson was forced out by a rival’s strong showing in the New Hampshire primary of 1968.

How hard could it be to win a one-dog dog show?

Turns out, harder than it looks. Almost 100,000 people cast ballots in the New Hampshire Democratic primary. Not quite 25,000 chose a Biden alternative. Almost all the rest seem to have written in Biden’s name. (The counting still continued as of 9 a.m. ET.)

A lot of money has been raised and spent this cycle on the hypothesis that a big internal demand among Democrats exists for an alternative to President Biden. The anti-vaccine celebrity Robert F. Kennedy Jr. entered the Democratic contest in March 2023 (then switched to an independent candidacy in October). The gadfly academic Cornel West, seeking to attract Biden voters in the left wing of the Democratic Party, entered as a Green Party candidate before also switching to run as an independent. In the Democratic primary race proper, the spiritualist Marianne Williamson and Representative Dean Phillips of Minnesota have tried their luck.

A prospective No Labels ticket now looms—premised on the assumption that millions of centrist Democrats want to join hands with moderate Republicans in equal rejection of both ex-President Trump and President Biden.

Those who promoted a Biden challenge could cite proof points: the president’s soft approval numbers, apparent disaffection among younger and minority voters, the president’s age and alleged infirmity. The challenge-promoters argued that they had the best interests of the party at heart; they wanted a candidate more certain to defeat Trump.

Yet, when put to the test in New Hampshire, the proposition met a harsh rejection. It was rejected even though Biden did not campaign in the state at all.

That New Hampshire rejection does not necessarily mean the proposition is doomed for all time. Maybe Phillips was the wrong messenger, too obviously driven by ego and pique, too void of a message more powerful than “We need an alternative. I’m an alternative. Therefore we need me.” The No Labels project has not yet named candidates. Perhaps the possibility of a Joe Manchin candidacy for president or vice president could energize dissident Democrats uninspired by Phillips. (Before I joined The Atlantic, I participated on a pro bono basis as a speaker at some No Labels events from 2010 to 2014.)

But maybe the challenge-promoters are also missing something important. Trump has generated a deep personal bond with members of the (shrunken) Republican Party. Biden has not done that. But that is not the nature of the transaction between Biden and his party. Biden typically opens remarks with the phrase “Here’s the deal”—and that’s exactly what Biden offers: a deal, not a cult.

The Democratic Party is a big, sprawling mess, and has long been that way. In the Trump era, it spans the ideological distance from Bernie Sanders to Cindy McCain. There is no one Democratic “base”: Jim Clyburn’s socially conservative voters are part of that base as much as, or more than, Elizabeth Warren’s ultra-progressives are. Democratic coalitions are typically assembled by highly targeted benefits rather than mobilized by big messages as Republicans often are: $35 insulin, defense of abortion rights, student-loan forgiveness, environmental measures. The current coalition includes intense supporters and intense critics of the state of Israel. Altogether, not an easy horse to ride.

The best rider is one who is able to keep reminding each part of the coalition that it needs to get along with the other parts.

James Poniewozik, the television critic for The New York Times, offered a helpful way to think about Republican and Democratic candidacies in his 2019 book, Audience of One. Trump, Poniewozik argued, was not only an avid consumer of cable-TV programming. Trump himself was a cable-TV program: narrowcast to a small but highly enthusiastic audience. To beat him, Poniewozik suggested, opponents would have to revive the broadcast spirit of old-fashioned network television.

Once upon a time, American households contained large numbers of people and a single TV set. At peak viewing times, the whole family would have to agree on a show. Dad might want an action drama, Mom might want an edgy comedy, one of the kids might want something creative, another might want something scary, but everybody liked nature shows. So that’s what the network aired on a Sunday night. Network executives described their task as inventing “the least objectionable program.” As a candidate for president, Biden may be the “least objectionable” since Dwight Eisenhower (who won reelection in 1956 despite a near-fatal heart attack the year before).

You want “the deal”? Here’s the deal:

Most reelections campaigns are a referendum on the incumbent. Four more years, yes or no? More of the same or something new? The 2024 election is different. Trump insists that everything always be a referendum on him. In 2024, Biden and his party are eager to agree. The anti-Trump coalition is bigger than the pro-Trump coalition: roughly 3 million votes bigger in 2016, 7 million votes bigger in 2020, probably somewhere between those two figures in 2024. The Electoral College was slightly tilted in Trump’s direction, but Biden is more appealing than most Democrats in the Trump-favoring swing states of the Midwest.

Yet Biden’s appeal and its limits may be the wrong place to pay attention. This year’s election is a contest between the constitutional and democratic forces in American society and the anticonstitutional and antidemocratic forces. The candidates are only incidentally the story; the fateful national choice, the deep social forces driving that choice—those are the story. Biden is not really the leader of the constitutional and democratic side of this mighty contest. Biden is the instrument of the constitutional and democratic side.

The Bible tells the story of Gideon, a leader of Israel summoned to defeat the Midianite enemy. Gideon assembled an army of 22,000 men. God told Gideon that his army was too big. Gideon reduced the army to 10,000. Still too big. At last, the number was cut to 300. The Bible explains that if Israel had won with a large force, it would have credited its victory to human hands. With 300 only, Israel understood that the credit was God’s.

Maybe the Democratic voters of New Hampshire were expressing a similar idea: Trump is not going to be beaten by some charismatic newcomer, by some artful strategy. Trump’s going to be beaten by the revulsion of American voters. The message of New Hampshire? The nominee who is needed most is the one who gets in the way least. atlantic
blatham
 
  4  
Reply Thu 25 Jan, 2024 11:19 am
@hightor,
Yes. I didn't know of her until I read Dean's book and it was a revelation.
0 Replies
 
 

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