@McGentrix,
McGentrix wrote:
Attacks in Iran would only be in response to further hostilities from Iran. We would have no allies? You mean Europe? Pretty sure Britain would be an ally as would Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Israel and a couple other ME countries.
I doubt we would be leveling Iran, just the military might. We support freedom for Iranians as there is still a pretty good sized population opposed to the Iranian govt.
Pretty much all the problems in the Mideast are religion related, Sunni vs Shiite. Regardless of our intent, an attack on Iran will be considered an attack on Shiite Islam. Iraq is also predominantly Shiite. We are already seeing protests in Iraq and demands that US troops leave Iraq in their legislature. Europe is not going to step into that. Like usual, Israel and Saudi Arabia will cheer us on but provide minimal support. Russia will of course move in to support both Iraq and Iran like they did Syria, the other Shiite stronghold. Much the way the US supported Afghanistan in the 80's to stymie the USSR, Russia can support Shiites to thwart the US.
You can doubt that we will be leveling Iraq, but the US military will absolutely be using the Serbia model - destroy all bridges, power plants, roadways, oil production etc. Unlike in Serbia, Iran has a religious mandate to never surrender. We will bomb and bomb and there will be no one to negotiate with. China also relies on Iranian oil and will not take kindly to our disrupting it.
Not that I think that this will happen. The Iranians will likely continue their campaign of disruptive actions that cause inconvenience especially in Iraq, the US will likely continue to sabre rattle but not actually do something stupid. In this, Trump's inclination to leave open options is great. I think he realizes (a lot more than the rest of his administration) that there is no negotiating after a strike on Iran.
But for the topic of the thread, I agree with you that there will be no draft because there will be no need.