Democrats Appear Short of Votes to Block Bolton on Senate Floor
May 19 (Bloomberg) -- John Bolton's prospects of being confirmed by the Senate as U.S. ambassador to the United Nations appear strong at this time with at least four Democrats saying they might support him and only one Republican saying he'll vote against.
Republican George Voinovich of Ohio, whose opposition cost Bolton the recommendation of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, said he'll vote no. Democrats Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut, Ben Nelson of Nebraska and Mark Pryor of Arkansas are all considering voting for Bolton, according to aides.
Republicans outnumber Democrats in the Senate, 55-44, with one independent. Four Democratic votes would give Bolton a strong majority, although it's not clear when a vote will be held and whether minds might change as a result of the parties' bitter dispute over President George W. Bush's judicial nominees and Democrats' option to filibuster.
If Republicans change the rules on confirming judges, ``the Bolton nomination will get caught up in the muck of the filibuster- judges battle and will sit,'' said Steven Clemons, a senior fellow at the New America Foundation, a Washington public policy institute founded in 1999.
Clemons, who has written articles against the Bolton nomination, said the longer it sits, the better chance Democrats have of winning senators to their side. ``There are too many senators who want to be with Voinovich,'' he said. ``Time kills the White House's plan.''
Stalling Senate Business
Democrats have said they might respond to a change in the filibuster rule by trying to slow passage of legislation on the White House agenda, employing procedural tactics such as insisting on the full reading of bills.
Republicans also have predicted deadlock. Senator John McCain, the Arizona Republican, said on Sunday that the fight over filibusters could stall ``a number of other compelling issues, whether it be deficit reduction or the war on terrorism, Iraq, many other legislative items.''
The fight could drag into next week, possibly pushing a vote on Bolton until after the Memorial Day recess and allowing Democrats more time to try to press their case against Bolton with Republicans.
Committee Report
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee released a summation of its hearings on the Bolton nomination yesterday. It includes one new allegation: that Bolton considered asking former CIA Director George Tenet to reassign a government intelligence officer who objected to a draft of testimony Bolton delivered on Cuba's weapons capabilities. The report says it's not known whether Bolton actually sent a letter to Tenet asking for the removal of the officer.
The panel's 337-page report offers sharply contrasting views of President George W. Bush's candidate.
The majority view, written by Indiana Republican Richard Lugar, who chairs the panel, says that an extensive probe produced ``no evidence to support the most serious charge, that Secretary Bolton sought to manipulate intelligence.''
The Democrats sum up why they believe Bolton, 56, currently undersecretary of state for arms control, is a poor choice for the UN role and they recommend that senators vote against him on the Senate floor.
They describe ``four distinct patters of conduct'' which they say disqualify Bolton for the post of UN ambassador -- that he repeatedly sought the removal of intelligence analysts who disagreed with him, that he tried to stretch intelligence to fit his views, that he exhibited abusive behavior in his relations with subordinates and colleagues, and that he made misleading statements to the committee.
Confirmed Four Times
Bolton and his supporters dispute the allegations and say he would strongly defend U.S. interests and implement needed reforms at the UN. He has won Senate confirmation four times before.
So far no Republicans except Voinovich have said they will vote against Bolton and several Democrats are considering supporting him.
``Senator Lieberman remains undecided about Mr. Bolton's nomination,'' said spokesman Matt Gobush. ``As a general rule, he believes the president should have the latitude to choose his own Cabinet, except in the most extraordinary cases. The senator is studying the issues raised by the committee to determine whether this is one of those cases.''
Lieberman voted for Bolton at his previous confirmation hearing in 2001.
Pryor, Landrieu, Nelson
Spokesmen for Pryor and Landrieu said the senators had not decided. Nelson ``is undecided,'' but is ``leaning in favor of the nomination,'' said spokesman David DiMartino.
Democratic opponents of Bolton hoped to persuade Republicans such as Maine Senators Olympia Snowe and Susan Collins to join Voinovich in opposition to Bolton.
Snowe ``hasn't expressed any reservations or said she would vote no'' on Bolton, spokesman Preston Hartman said. ``She has said nothing bad about John Bolton.''
Collins plans to vote in favor of Bolton, spokeswoman Elissa Davison said.
Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska plans to support Bolton on the floor, spokesman Mike Buttry said. So does Lincoln Chafee of Rhode Island, according to spokesman Steve Hourahan. Both senators were early Republican critics of Bolton on the foreign relations panel.
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