Well, I should have specified that I was referring to a specific strings of posts, namely those immediately following Thomas's, here ("but frankly, you don't live here"), here ("She has a point. Come live with the people and do it for a long time and then state an opinion. The value of statistics only goes so far. Since none of us can live everywhere, it would be a good idea to consider the experience of those people who do live in whichever region is being discussed") and here ("To argue from familiarity and experiential knowledge is not a logical fallacy. To deny such is. And our intuitions suggest this to us. [..] And cyclo's manner was not of an insulting sort.")
Yes. Currently, while watching your argument with george and timber, I am assuming as a refutable conjecture that you, having spent most of your life with fanatic Christians, observed that all of them are Republicans. Meanwhile, george and Timber, having spent much of their lifes in the Republican party, observed that few Republicans are fanatic Christians. Both sets of observations are consistent -- unless you falsely conclude that because fanatic Christians are Republicans, most Republicans must be fanatic Christians. As I said, this conjecture is open to refutation, but I expect it to be refuted before I change my mind.
Lola wrote:What I'm saying is that the stats above are not enough to conclude, as you have, that there's more racial discrimination or racism in the Southern States vs. the Northern ones.
What I actually said was "Surprisingly, the South is less segregated, not more segregated than the North these days." And that is empirical data from two credible, independent, non-partisan sources, not a conclusion on my part.
Lola wrote:So are you suggesting that there's less racial prejudice in the red states as opposed to the blue ones?
To be honest, I'm not quite sure what to think, and I'm not suggesting anything at this point. But when I see something that conflicts with my preconceptions, I conclude that my preconceptions are probably wrong. In this case, I saw credible data that Northerners avoid living on the same block as someone of a different race to a much higher degree than Southerners do, and I conclude that my preconceptions of Southerners as racist conservatives and Northerners as openminded liberals was probably wrong.
and a few other possibilites not mentioned here Thomas, Is the "liberal northeast" more residentially stabile (less movement either into or out of multi-generational neighborhoods vs higher mobility in the south due to jobs seach/economic factors. Industrial/service industries (north) vs agricultural occupations (small businesses) in the south as a traditional base. (and the recent advance of non-union manufactioring into the south requiring relocation) Something you might want to look into would be integration of churches north-south rather than integration of residential areas (indicative of social vs legal inspired integration) Actually I don't know the answers to any of these questions other than personal experiences like when I drove (last spring) though what I think of as the old south and heard, repeatedly, the issue of the confederate flag being flown.
Except for the whole slavery thing they didn't want to give up, and the long and difficult struggle to get minorities recognized as people afterwards, yaknow, all that good stuff.
We have a holiday here in Texas called Juneteenth that is a celebration of the day slaves found out they were free. It's called so because they can't pin down an actual day, or month; a lot of plantation managers in Texas convienently forgot to tell their slaves that the South lost the civil war...
Cycloptichorn
This is what I like about you, Thomas......when making conjectures you acknowledge when one of them may be refutable. Thanks for asking.
If you look back, or just see what's happened on this thread, you'll notice that no matter what I post on this subject, there is little or no reference to the substance of what I'm writing. My most recent (very small) effort is on page 49 of this thread. What I posted there was not commented on by anyone. It was totally ignored.
I post so and so.......and the response is, "well, yeh (no reference to what is posted) but you probably don't know what you're talking about."
If an expert.......someone with lots of training and experience in a certain field, let's say a doctor, walks up to you and says, "you know, that mole on your cheek is melanoma, it should be removed as soon as possible." Do you say, "ah......you're just over reacting?"
Perhaps I'm not good at observing myself........few of us are. But I think I speak logically enough most of the time to engender the idea that, at least, I may know something about what I'm talking about. Have I really impressed you as so logically impaired that you would conclude the above, refutable or not?
"One of them"? "May be"? I'm not sure if you're being sarcastic here, and maybe this is just my vanity aching. But I do believe that admitting I'm wrong when somebody confronts me with good evidence is one of my stronger sides. I think I have proven willing and able to be refuted on any point -- not just the ones where I explicitly acknowledge it.
I don't know if you correctly describe what happend in other threads, and I can't speak for any of the others. But here is the reason why I personally didn't react to the article you linked to on page 49, though I did respond to your point about the founding fathers. The reason is that it is an opinion piece in which all factual statements are alleged, without offering the reader any means of checking them. Yet you treated it as if it was evidence supporting your opinion, which it wasn't. The only thing this article was evidence for is that Sydney Schanberg and you have the same political opinions. In Germany, we have a saying: "The worm has to be tasty for the fish, not the fisher". By the same logic, factual evidence has to be persuasive to the doubter, not to the already convinced. The article you posted is in the latter category.
[Foxfire wrote:]
Quote:
A couple or three decades ago, the Christian Coalition headed up by folks like Jerry Falwell and Pat Robertson et al were strongly activist and experienced such an overwhelming negative backlash that they stay pretty quiet these days. We saw nothing comparable in the last several campaigns.
After all the "overwhelming negative backlash" of the 80s, Ralph Reed and Karl Rove all but shut down the Christian Coalition since the CC was the primary force that helped Clinton get elected. The political action of the CC is now conducted by the Family Research Council. The FRC is much more careful about the way it involves itself in political action.
http://www.frc.org/get.cfm?c=ABOUT_FRC
There is no mention on their site, that I can find, of the present board of directors or of the founding BOD. So I've sent an email to FRC requesting this information. However, when I check for other information, I find this:
From PAW's Right Wing Watch:
http://www.pfaw.org/pfaw/general/default.aspx?oid=4211#3
Quote:
I think it's probably good politics, the Republicans have been most successful when they can mobilize the Christian right in ways that aren't visible to the general public.
Does anyone want to claim now that there's less religious right political action now than there was in the 1980s?
If I had serious doubts about the guy claiming to be a doctor, I'd probably ask: "Hypothetically, if you were wrong and it was really just a mole, what would the evidence be? How would the mole be different?" You can usually tell by the reaction to this kind of question whether someone is for real. In our example, if George and Timber were right, and if the fundamentalists really were just another minority within the Republicans, what would the evidence be? How would our observations of the Republican party be different?
I'm quite willing to take your word for it. On the other hand, I am not sure -- one way or another -- if you know a lot about Republicans who happen not to be fundamentalist Christians.
I hope this post wasn't too ad hominem, but you appeared to be asking for feedback about the way you make arguments, so I thought I'd give you some.
Yes, I know lots of Republicans who are not fundamentalist Christians. The only problem I have with them is that they are standing by, a letting the fundamentalists take over. They've made a bargain with the devil but most of them either don't understand what's happened or they don't want to admit it because, with the strength of this minority of Fundamentalists, they're getting what they want and they don't think it's all that dangerous. .
you base your disagreement largely on personal experiential reference in addition to academic study. My own reasoning is quite similar in structure, but of different perspective and conclusion. I'm just not able to get there with you. I figure you're barkin' at a cave that ain't got no bear in it.
I do believe you fail to make a needed distinction between people who are practicing Christians, or who just have sympathy for the Christian values and traditions of their youths, and the rather virulent types you seem to have in mind. There are lots of tolerant, fair-minded people out there who oppose or just regret what they see as the excesses of an increasingly coarse and intrusive secularism, which to many seems intent on driving odut all of the symbols, traditions, and even some of the institutions of religion from public (as opposed to just government) life.
I don't deny there is AN influence of The Christian Right; what I do not accept is the notion it is anywhere near so significant, or sinister, an influence as you perceive it to be. A Taliban, even a Bible-thumpin' one, just ain't gonna sell in these parts.
I don't now (and never did) have a problem with Ashcroft. I think history will compare his record rather favorably to that of, say, Janet Reno.
Who, besides Jose Padilla, has been illegally incarcerated? And even that isn't without controversy.
No tanks have rolled up to my house and none of my neighbors' children have been seized and burned at the stake.
The Patriot Act isn't the most thrilling reading...but how many have actually read it? It's only about 150 pages. Not scary at all
<Let the clobbering begin>
July 2004--Evangelical leader, sociology professor, and Baptist minister Tony Campolo made headlines in the 1990s when he agreed to be a spiritual counselor to President Bill Clinton. A self-described Bible-believing Christian, he has drawn fire from his fellow evangelicals for his stance on contemporary issues like homosexuality. He talked with Beliefnet recently about his new book, Speaking My Mind.
Well, there's a difference between evangelical and being a part of the Religious Right. A significant proportion of the evangelical community is part of the Religious Right. My purpose in writing the book was to communicate loud and clear that I felt that evangelical Christianity had been hijacked.
When did it become anti-feminist? When did evangelical Christianity become anti-gay? When did it become supportive of capital punishment? Pro-war? When did it become so negative towards other religious groups?
Are the majority of evangelicals in America leaning conservative because they see their leaders on TV that way? Or is there a contingent out there that we don't hear about in the press that is more progressive on the issues you just talked about?
The latest statistics that I have seen on evangelicals indicate that something like 83 percent of them are going to vote for George Bush and are Republicans. And there's nothing wrong with that. It's just that Christians need to be considering other issues beside abortion and homosexuality.
Dear Friends of People For the American Way,
Together we came so far, and accomplished so much, that the brutal disappointments of Election Day feel all the more crushing. I'm a firm believer that action is an antidote to despair, and I want to let you know how we're building on the work we've done together and preparing for the immense struggles to come.
With your help, People For the American Way Foundation and the rest of the nonpartisan Election Protection coalition pulled off an astonishingly successful voter protection mobilization, the largest in the nation's history. More than 25,000 volunteers - many of them traveling far from their homes - helped voters overcome obstacles at the polling places, prevented some voter suppression activities by their visible presence, and, importantly, documented the many ways our election system is still failing voters.
Election Protection is continuing to document and investigate reports of voting irregularities and voter suppression efforts. People For the American Way Foundation is supporting the impounding of voting machines or obtaining backup data from them in various counties in Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, and New Mexico, and is participating in public hearings and pursuing litigation in several states. In the months ahead we will be working on national and state-by-state plans to build the political will to fix our broken election system and hold public officials accountable.
Another fight is just ahead of us, a fight for the future of our freedom, a fight that will define the kind of country we live in for the next generation or more. This president is likely to have the opportunity to name two, three, or even four new justices. And given the well-publicized health problems of Chief Justice Rehnquist, President Bush may announce a nomination even before he is sworn in for his second term.
If the President nominates someone who shares the extremist judicial philosophy of Antonin Scalia and Clarence Thomas - as he has repeatedly said he would do - he will make a mockery of his professed desire to earn all Americans' trust and support. And if he is successful in naming far-right justices to the Supreme Court, Americans will pay the price for decades to come. You will soon be hearing more from People For the American Way about our campaign plan to defend the Constitution and the Supreme Court. We will need to mobilize every resource and every willing activist at our disposal. We will need your help - and you'll be hearing more from us in the coming days.
As you know, we are going to have challenges on many fronts. We are facing in many ways our worst nightmare - an administration emboldened for more intensive assaults on our values and liberties, a Senate and House more firmly in the grip of the far right, a Supreme Court ripe for multiple vacancies and an entire federal judiciary vulnerable to ideological domination by extremists who are eager to redefine the Constitution and reverse decades of social justice progress.
In addition, we must challenge the triumphalist rhetoric of Religious Right leaders. It is true that turnout efforts targeting millions of conservative Christians contributed to the victories of President Bush, hard-right members of Congress, and anti-gay ballot initiatives. But it is wrong to view the election outcome as a sign that a majority of Americans accept the Right's claims that "values" equates to a right-wing social and economic agenda. Polls show that most Americans do not embrace the Religious Right's agenda, and that war and terrorism concerns led many voters to support the President even though they disagree with much of his agenda.
In fact, I believe millions of Christians are offended by Jerry Falwell's assertions that "voting Christian" means supporting right-wing economic policies, anti-gay discrimination, and judges who will reverse decades of social justice progress. And people of all faiths should be offended by the newly aggressive claims of the "Christian nation" crowd.
People For the American Way and People For the American Way Foundation are especially well qualified to expose the real agenda behind that rhetoric and help mainstream and progressive Americans take back the discourse on values.
Widely shared values will be at stake in a wide range of public policy debates: whether or not judges will provide access to justice for individuals harmed by government or corporate actions; whether our tax policies will make it impossible to meet basic human needs; whether the White House should be able to use excessive secrecy to avoid public accountability for actions that deprive people of basic liberties; whether the coercive power of government will be harnessed to promote particular religious beliefs.
In his victory speech, President Bush said he would "reach out to the whole nation" and earn the trust and support of Americans who didn't vote for him. It would be welcome if President Bush chose to govern as a president for all the people. But it would be a surprise. It is not how he has governed for the past four years and it is not how he ran for reelection. He has governed as a fierce partisan with no tolerance for dissent and a willingness to abuse his power and undermine the Constitution to get his way. He waged a divisive campaign that relied on pitting the fears of some Americans against the rights of others.
People For the American Way will be more than willing to work with the administration if it seeks the path of genuine bipartisanship and compromise to resolve the many crucial issues facing our nation. But we are prepared for more of the divisive partisanship and brute-force policy making that has been the hallmark of this administration and its political allies.
Together we have urgent responsibilities - both immediate and long term. I know we can count on you in the days and long years ahead. Count on hearing from us soon about how you can stay involved in the struggle for the heart, soul, and future of America.
Sincerely,
Ralph G. Neas
President, People For the American Way
No, Thomas I was not being sarcastic at all. I thought I was making it clear that I value this strength in you. Sorry if my language threw you off.
The problem with your answer is that you're referring to the wrong post. That one is on page 50. The one I meant is on page 49. It was in direct response to Foxfire. Foxfire has yet to respond. Since it's not easy to just turn back to page 49, I'll re-post the relevant part of it here:
on page 57, I posted, on page 58, an copy of an email sent to me from the FRC. I won't re-post it here because it's easier to go back to page 58 from this page than it is to go back to page 49. This is also an opinion piece, however this time I posted it in order to demonstrate the sort of political activity in which the FRC is engaging, the level of sophistication they've developed and the nature of the organization and it's present director. This is fact, rather than opinion (the fact being that this is what they send out to their contributors.)
These are excellent questions. They are the very ones I am offering to answer. But I'm not going to do it anymore unless I think there's someone out there interested enough to pay attention. If you like, I will supply you with links to the two threads I've started for you to read, if you want to evaluate my competence further. But I'll have to do this later. Right now, I want to go to the movies.