In all the coal-rakin' that's been goin on around here lately, somethin' strikes me as glowin' pretty brightly. While 2004 overall voter turnout was up about 11% vs 2000, Kerry scored around 10% better than did Gore 4 years ago, while Bush bettered his own earlier performance by roughly 18%. Compared with Gore's performance, despite increased numbers due to increased turnout, Kerry did less well percentagewise than had Gore in nearly 2/3 of counties, while Bush improved his percentage compared to his 2000 performance - win or lose - in almost 90% of the counties (see the 2cnd and 3rd NYT maps nimh posted
HERE ). Along with that tidbit, there is the roughly 51 - 47 Republican advantage when the 2004 Congressional popular vote is calculated as a whole, a statistically insignificant difference from 2002's 51 - 46 Republican Congressional popular vote advantage.