Results! Election night'04 ... your armchair expert analysis

nimh wrote:

I think of the girl who was abused by her father, who ran away or perhaps through some close friend got help, she goes to have an abortion, and they've first got to call her dad?

Those are the cases where a judge could override the law, and not tell the parents. But what of the girl, who is not abused at home who is scared to death that her folks would throw her out, or otherwise traumatize her? That sort of anxiety could elicit very dangerous behavior on the part of the girl.

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nimh - If you're interested in Florida - this guy is giving results county-by-county:

http://jaycost.blogspot.com/

<the Horserace blog guy>

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Seems like the commentators are giving Bush the edge in Florida. I am still not sure I buy it. I think the turnout, and the Hispanic vote (including the Cuban vote) are going to give Kerry the state.

We will see. I will still be surprised if FL isn't blue by morning.

But the NPR analysts are pretty much giving FL to Bush and the current analysis is that Ohio is the key.

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PA to Mr Kerry -per CNN-- by a much larger than expected margin. Looks good for other mid-western states.

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omigawd, Dems are losing seats in the senate, house and governorship too!

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They're all probably going to be verrrrry careful about calling Florida.

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195 B/ 133K... and I popped my 2nd rl beer... No way I can go exercise tonight, no way I can tear myself away... and I won't tell you how much Halloween candy I munched down while anxiously waiting for news here... and still no real news except that things seem ominous...

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Martinez has dropped to dead even Shocked

(Nimh, that could be a very positive tell for your side.)

I can't tell you how much that one bothers me, too, Phoenix. Evil or Very Mad

And I won't... I'm outta that conversation. Let's all be happy for Obama!

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Thanks for the link, JW, fascinating to see the comparisons with 2000 not just at state level, but below ... unnerving, but fascinating.

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Actually Ebrown, Miami-Dade isn't as anti-Bush as Broward and Palm Beach counties, I don't think. Martinez may have something to do with it... and JEB's spanish is pretty slick as well.

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You're most welcome, nimh. Happy to return the favor after all the hard work you put into the "Bookies" thread.

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CNN projection

Bush will win Idaho and Kerry will win California.

Bush 197
Kerry 188

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It's now 50/50 for Thune and Daschle - still a ways to go, though - precinct wise.

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There's no way Kerry can win at this point, if the projections are all accurate. Unless he takes just about every state int he west, which isn't gonna happen. Crying or Very sad

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now for Hawaii...

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princesspupule wrote:

There's no way Kerry can win at this point, if the projections are all accurate. Unless he takes just about every state int he west, which isn't gonna happen.

I'm a Bush supporter and I don't see where you are getting your numbers..

I'm still trying to figure out how GWB is going to pull this one out.

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BBC News projection:

George W Bush: 211

John Kerry: 188

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Princess, Kerry just won Pennsylvania, (CNN).

Now, the pressure is on Bush to win both Florida and Ohio-and maybe he doesn't even win then.

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Fedral wrote:

princesspupule wrote:
There's no way Kerry can win at this point, if the projections are all accurate. Unless he takes just about every state int he west, which isn't gonna happen.

I'm a Bush supporter and I don't see where you are getting your numbers..

I'm still trying to figure out how GWB is going to pull this one out.

OMG! OMG! See what happens when I drink virtual sake and wine and rl beer? I forget to refresh my screen! I had 133 Kerry and 195 Bush and only the west unaccounted for... CA, OR, WA, AK, HI, NV, AZ, ID... Embarrassed

Passing you a beer, Fedral! In spite of our political diversity, Prost! Idea

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So far Iowa and Michigan are the only two going astray on me... and I'll take that trade any day. Neither have really decided yet either.

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Results! Election night'04 ... your armchair expert analysis

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