In From NZ source re exit polls - amy be the same as above?? But still, here 'tis:
NEWSFLASH: First Exit Poll Results Favour Kerry
BUSH IS WINNING IN...
Kerry 48 Bush 50
Kerry 46 Bush 53
Kerry 49 Bush 51
KERRY IS WINNING IN...
Kerry 54 Bush 45
Kerry 50 Bush 49
Kerry 50 Bush 49
Kerry 51 Bush 47
Kerry 50 Bush 48
Kerry 51 Bush 46
At first blush - if these results prove accurate - then Kerry
will have won the election carrying both Ohio and Florida by
a nose and Pennsylvannia, New Mexico, Wisconsin and Michigan
However with Florida and Ohio both separated by only one point
(and noting that in exit polls in 2000 Gore won Florida by three
points) nothing will be certain for some time yet.
Florida has 27 electoral college votes and Ohio 20 electoral
college votes. In order to win a candidate needs to win at least
270 votes. (For further information on the electoral college
While polling places officially close in some Eastern states
at approximately 1pm NZ Time, in several states all those queing
as of that time will still be allowed to vote. And with two,
three and four hour queues reported in some states it is probable
that voting will not be completed in some parts of the Eastern
United States (and particularly in democratic leaning counties
in Ohio and Florida) till as late as 10pm or 11pm.
Therefore, unless Kerry wins an early lead in sufficient states
to make Ohio and Florida irrelevant, there is likely to be a
very long night of counting ahead.
(Their sources and url :EDITOR'S NOTE: Scoop will be providing running newsflashes of
breaking news from the US elections today. To kick the day off
we have some leaked exit poll results which come via http://democraticunderground.com
(all of which will
be good sources of news this afternoon.) For the latest Scoops
on the US Elections see... http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/index.html#sow