Results! Election night'04 ... your armchair expert analysis

Yeah, I understand. I would have thought all those counties, high or low population, would however have been divvied up in precincts of each roughly the same population size.

(Ie, Amsterdam council has much more people than Amstelveen council does, but when parliamentary elections come, Amsterdam is divided in, say, 80 precincts and Amstelveen in 20, so each precinct still has about the same number of voters.)

But I think Bill already said that no, the remaining 20% of FL precincts still have half the population! OK, so theres still hope ... (Bush now still leading by 5% with 79% of precincts in ... thats a 240,000 vote lead to catch up with ...)

Mr. Obama is speaking on CNN.

Yeah.

Minnesota's light blue, anyway.

And all this "calling" stuff -- as my husband said, "Did they learn nothing last time?" It ain't over 'til it's over (and hopefully that'll be before Christmas.)

Arkansas called for Bush

Barack Obama is giving his victory speech right now. Alan Keyes, contrary to tradition and in a final act of pure crassness, refused to concede until after Obama speaks.

Phoenix - you can create your own scenarios here:

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-polldatapage.htmlstory

The chicken's yummy, Osso! I'll have a glass of wine, too, please, if you don't mind. Mixing alcohol always makes the outcome of such things as this anticlimactic, and I am fearing the champagne in the fridge will have to wait for turkey-day to be opened. I suggest you try a beer or some sake as soon as you finish your glass m'dear, unless you have a sensitive online stomach :wink:

I'm roasting a slab of pig meat, was hoping to pretend it was elephant... The piggies're eating their bacon tonight, eh?

Re Bunning - Louisville precincts haven't been counted yet - he's only winning by 18,000 or so votes. Louisville has a church on every corner...have friends there and visit fairly often.

I know!! Same with MSNBC, was driving me nuts, I woulda hoped it was better on other sites.

But I found a way around it, tho!

See, if you go to a state's exit poll for the Presidentials and you scroll all the way down, you also get the numbers of how Bush voters, Kerry voters and all voters voted for one or the other Senate candidate in the state.

OK? Now smart thinking ... go to the exit poll for the Senate race, scroll all the way down, and see how one Senate candidate's voters, another Senate candidate's voters ... and all voters ... voted for Kerry or Bush.

Presto!

Yeah JW great LAT link I'd forgotten to post it yet! They got one for the Senate races too.

And dear Osso, lovely chicken ... ah ... lemme sit back and enjoy the food for a moment here. 'S been being too tense, all this. <nods>

Nimh - Fox just called it for Bunning. Whew!

A-ha! Aren't you smart. :-)

Guys, I need to get going. I didn't really expect to KNOW anything at this point, and I'm surely happier to see things going about as expected -- the battleground states being battled, the rest of 'em falling about where they're supposed to -- than some out-of-left-field Bush landslide. But doubt I'll sleep very well tonight.

Have fun! See ya in the morning!

I am really pissed. There is an amendment in Florida that doctors have to notify parents of minors in order for the girl to have an abortion. It seems to be winning, by a big margin. Even though there are ways to circumvent the law through judicial means, in the case of an abusive househeld, I think that this is just another way to limit abortions.

Yeah, the dumb "ban same sex marriage" one is doing well here, too. WHATever.

Now my damn CPU crashed!

Nimh, I may have exaggerated the pop of the South East by a little, but rest assured this is the Democratic section. Dade, Broward and Palm Beach, each have well over a million people and are the biggest concentration of Democrats... and the highest concentration of people... so last to be counted and the densest precincts. Phoenix's West Coast to Tampa are like swing state people and all of the no-hill-billies (hated religious righty's) have already been counted. :wink: That's why they still can't call it despite the preponderance of the results being in.

Sake for Osso and anyone else who wants it.

Oy! Major league problems with touch screens in Collier County.(Naples- southwest Florida)

Good Night Sozobe!

4:30 AM already ... at some point I'm gonna hafta call it a night .. but I hate the anticlimax of waking up too late and the first thing to face in the day being bad news. (First thing in the day being good news is better, but still feels like I missed the party.)

Havent got a clue how long I stayed up for the 2000 race ... I was already on Abuzz and DSL, so I probly followed it long enough on the net ... but cant remember how I felt, except for distanced.

No recollection of 96 at all. Probably just wasnt interested.

But I remember 92. I was living in a students house, watching CNN in the kitchen - alone I think, I dont think the others were much interested, at all, unlike with the Gulf War which everyone followed "live" on CNN - and I remember Clinton being called the winner and turning up to be cheered at and give his speech ...

I hadnt thought much at all of Clinton all through the primaries. Not that I'd followed them with anything like this year's interest, but I followed them a bit - and I think my sympathies were with Tsongas and Brown. But when he spoke, I felt good, I felt really hopeful, really like he was heralding in a new era.

A repeat would be nice ...

Re: Broward County

..."With 84% precincts reporting the vote Bush net vote increase over 2000 is 49,026!"

<from that Horserace blog guy>

Nite Soz.