192
   

monitoring Trump and relevant contemporary events

 
 
blatham
 
  5  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 07:17 am
Quote:
The White House budget office has drafted a hit list of programs that President Trump could eliminate to trim domestic spending, including longstanding conservative targets like the Corporation for Public Broadcasting, the Legal Services Corporation, AmeriCorps and the National Endowments for the Arts and the Humanities.

...Most of the programs cost under $500 million annually, a pittance for a government that is projected to spend about $4 trillion this year. And a few are surprising, even though most if not all have been perennial targets for conservatives.

...One surprise for some close watchers of Mr. Trump’s presidential campaign is the inclusion of the Export-Import Bank on the O.M.B.’s list. Other Republican candidates had promised to eliminate the bank, a favorite target of House conservatives like Mr. Mulvaney. Conservatives, led by the billionaire Koch brothers, have run a multimillion-dollar campaign to kill the bank, which guarantees loans for overseas customers of American corporations, by denouncing it as “crony capitalism.”
NYT
As the piece notes, these operations are of no real financial significance and shutting them down has no economic justification. This is entirely ideological. And meanwhile, far vaster amounts of tax dollars will go to the military and all the corporations and lobbying entities which profit from such spending.

As a side note, conservative governments in Canada have been steadily working to defund the CBC which is analogous to NPR. This is not merely a desire to bring everything into line with the "private always does things better" myth but also there's a desire here to suppress influential media deemed too friendly to liberal notions.
0 Replies
 
oralloy
 
  -3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 07:40 am
@blatham,
blatham wrote:
Apparently, you feel obliged to continue this one. Let me put some questions to you.
1) can you link me to a post pre-election where you predicted Trump would win?
2) can you cite anyone other that Moore who made that prediction?

I, oralloy, state for the record that I am NOT Michael Moore.


The date of my prediction that the Republicans would win the 2016 election no matter what:
April 20, 2013:
http://able2know.org/topic/212871-2#post-5307952
Oralloy wrote:
Obama just blew all of his political capital in this futile assault against the NRA, and now he's got nothing left to do anything at all with his second term.
Oralloy wrote:
after four years of an ineffective do-nothing presidency, the voters are going to put a Republican in the White House in 2016.


The date of my prediction that Trump would be our next president:
February 9, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/309762-2#post-6123152
Oralloy wrote:
Chris Christie will go down in history as the man who made Trump president. Rubio was the only one who had enough appeal to both conservatives and moderates to allow him to beat Trump.


The date of my prediction that under Mr. Trump's leadership the Republicans will hold the White House for the next 20 years:
February 14, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/309762-5#post-6125874
oralloy wrote:
Robert Gentel wrote:
I don't think even he would be stupid enough to do the things he says on trade. It would destroy the economy. That is something that would legitimately cause a revolution.

Mr. Trump is setting himself up as someone who is going to do what he says, as opposed to a typical politician who will pander and then change their minds.
I think he really does mean to do what he says.
Oralloy wrote:
It's going to be worse for the Democrats than for the Republicans. Trump is going to reshape the Republican Party to fit his views, but I'm upping my electoral predictions now to say that the Republicans are guaranteed to win the next five presidential elections.


February 16, 2016
http://able2know.org/topic/309762-6#post-6127450
Oralloy wrote:
I'm basing it on logic, not on wishful thinking. My logic may be wrong. I don't claim infallibility. But it is more than wishful thinking.
Oralloy wrote:
Let's compare notes after each of the next five elections. Maybe I'll be wrong. It's happened before. But I've also been right before. We'll see.


Hawkeye saw Trump coming even before I did. I am reasonably confident that he as well is not Michael Moore.
0 Replies
 
oralloy
 
  -3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 07:42 am
@blatham,
blatham wrote:
First, Rasmussen consistently skews Republican.

So do the voters. So it all works out in the end and results in accurate polling.
0 Replies
 
gungasnake
 
  -2  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 07:47 am
What has DT been up to lately, you ask.....

http://russia-insider.com/en/great-draining-begins-trump-purges-state-departments-7th-floor-shadow-government/ri18969

https://scontent-dft4-2.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/16648996_1804952973163250_6193360544925979955_n.jpg?oh=fffe070ddd35e5bc931a5e51e51ad078&oe=594055A7
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 07:49 am
Quote:
Good editorial in the Times this morning. I'll just note one part here:
Mr. Trump’s vaunted $1 trillion infrastructure spending program, by contrast, doesn’t yet exist, because the president confuses executive orders with achievements.
NYT
The statements from Trump and Miller claiming accomplishments previous unheard of in the history of the US are so blatantly false as to be very creepy. Surely this propaganda line is being pushed to counter the broad consensus that his administration is just a big ******* mess. But there's probably a part of Trump (and Bannon, Miller, etc) that actually believes he's actually done this. The signed EOs likely seem like accomplishments to him because he (and they) don't have a clue about governance at this level.

But I'll toss out another idea here. Because Trump is so pathological in his self-regard and narcissism, his presidential accomplishments he thinks the media is suppressing/denying0 include winning the election and winning it in the manner he did (media mastery) thus he talks about it all the time as an "accomplishment'. Thus the dramatic EO signing photo ops are a huge accomplishment for the same reason. He gets great TV ratings that's an "accomplishment". He has fans come to rallies and that's an accomplishment. His inauguration speech was an accomplishment. His destruction or attempted destruction of the WH press conference format is an accomplishment. And surely he and Bannon and crowd conceive that the chaos they are creating at home and abroad are an "accomplishment".
0 Replies
 
oralloy
 
  -1  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 07:52 am
@hightor,
hightor wrote:
Look at McConnell's eight years of obstruction — the country can go to hell as long as we can pin it on Obama.

The Democrats like to blame the Republicans for Mr. Obama's failure to get things done. But if not for the 2013 gun control debacle, Mr. Obama would have had the political capital to drive a legislative agenda through Congress in 2013.

Also, Republican leadership reached out to Mr. Obama in 2011 and were willing to make a deal. It all collapsed because Mr. Obama gave in to Leftist extremists and started making unreasonable demands.

In 2015 Republican leaders were preparing to reach out to Mr. Obama on immigration reform, but he stomped all over them by doing it all by executive order instead.
blatham
 
  3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:06 am
Quote:
As Republican lawmakers prepare to leave Washington for a weeklong congressional recess, liberal groups and Democratic Party organizers are hoping to make their homecoming as noisy and uncomfortable as possible.

But national organizers concede they are playing catch-up to a “dam-bursting level” of grass-roots activism that has bubbled up from street protests and the small groups that have swelled into crowds outside local congressional offices.

Protests against the Republican agenda have become routine since President Trump took office, with momentum building through widely shared videos of lawmakers being confronted by constituents angry over efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Now, national groups see the recess as the chance to capitalize on that local activism, with a show of might aimed at declaring the arrival of a new, and sustainable, political force — barely three months after their humiliating defeat in November.
NYT
It's not an original observation that it often takes an approaching catastrophe - suddenly visible and undeniable - to get people's asses in gear.
blatham
 
  3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:14 am
This has been a very interesting phenomenon over the last week.
Quote:
A funny thing happened in Russia this past week: President Trump’s face, once ubiquitous on the talk shows and evening news programs that tack closely to the Kremlin’s political agenda, was suddenly absent. Gone.

“Like they flipped a switch,” said Alexey Kovalev, a journalist at the Moscow Times who covers Russian state media.
It’s not hard to guess why. Engulfed in scandal over contacts between senior aides and Russian officials, the Trump administration has sought to put daylight between itself and the Kremlin.

In a single week, Washington has complained that Russia is violating a 1987 nuclear treaty and accused the Kremlin of meddling in various foreign elections. Scandal has forced out a national security adviser sympathetic to Moscow. Trump’s tone has seemed to harden on issues like Russia’s occupation of the Crimean peninsula.
WP
Not to put too fine a point on what is too ******* obvious for words, in the last week the PR/propaganda thrust from Trump and from Putin is again aligned/coordinated. The new thrust is "Trump and Putin are not aligned or coordinated. Nothing to see here. Forget about it."

0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:33 am
Here's an opportunity missed by Bannon, Miller and Trump:
Quote:
“As a mother and as the First Lady of this country, Mrs. Trump is committed to the preservation and continuation of the White House Gardens, specifically the First Lady [Michelle Obama's] Kitchen Garden and the Rose Garden,” Stephanie Winston Wolkoff, senior adviser to the first lady, said in a statement to CNN.
WP

That's softening up Mrs Trump for public consumption. But this isn't the Trump crowd's normal mode. This won't get the base any more eager to rip out the throats of insufficiently patriotic scum.

What they should have done is find a cousin of Rachel Carson and have her spray the garden with DDT. Then, for good measure, have that cousin join Sarah Palin to ride all over it in a Hummer while unloading a few kilos of lead from AK47 into the kale and broccoli. While wearing swimsuits. Make America Great Again.

0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  6  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:41 am
WP headline
Quote:
‘What the hell is he doing on Twitter and watching cable TV all the time?': Eight independents talk Trump
WP
Well, that's obvious. He's accomplishing and then watching himself doing so much accomplishing.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  5  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:46 am
Quote:
[While in Munich] John McCain said on Friday that Donald Trump’s administration was in “disarray” and that Nato’s founders would be alarmed by the growing unwillingness to “separate truth from lies”.
Guardian
Good for you, McCain.
0 Replies
 
hightor
 
  3  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:51 am
@oralloy,
Quote:
But if not for the 2013 gun control debacle, Mr. Obama would have had the political capital to drive a legislative agenda through Congress in 2013.

So if the country had effective gun laws and the Sandy Hook massacre had never happened Obama and the congress could have worked together. Sounds like a good reason to get more restrictive gun legislation on the books!

Seriously, I really doubt that the Tea Party would have ever allowed Obama to push through any kind of wide ranging legislation. But we'll never know.
oralloy
 
  -1  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:56 am
@blatham,
Quote:
As Republican lawmakers prepare to leave Washington for a weeklong congressional recess, liberal groups and Democratic Party organizers are hoping to make their homecoming as noisy and uncomfortable as possible.

But national organizers concede they are playing catch-up to a “dam-bursting level” of grass-roots activism that has bubbled up from street protests and the small groups that have swelled into crowds outside local congressional offices.

Protests against the Republican agenda have become routine since President Trump took office, with momentum building through widely shared videos of lawmakers being confronted by constituents angry over efforts to repeal the Affordable Care Act. Now, national groups see the recess as the chance to capitalize on that local activism, with a show of might aimed at declaring the arrival of a new, and sustainable, political force — barely three months after their humiliating defeat in November.

For the next 20 years of Republican rule, extreme-Left lunatics will dominate the Democratic Party.

It won't matter though because the Republicans will be in charge.

Before the voters will even consider allowing the Democrats back into power, the Democrats will have to purge all of these extreme-Left lunatics and nominate someone more along the lines of Mr. Trump to be their candidate.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  4  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 08:57 am
Side note (way to the side)
Not sure if you've read or heard of Frenchman Guirec Soudee who is sailing around the world with a chicken BBC

Went for dinner last night with a friend who has a super place down on the water. She's carved off a bit of the house for herself and uses the remaining and much larger portion of it as a B and B (pretty serious money).

Soudee is staying there presently with his girlfriend who flew in from Paris. So is the chicken. He's in a bathroom I did some work on a few weeks back.
0 Replies
 
Brandon9000
 
  -1  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 09:02 am
@layman,
layman wrote:

Brandon9000 wrote:

Your argument seems to depend on lies. No one contemplates using tanks to deport illegal immigrants. Presumably, if you had a valid argument, you would have made it.


Who's talking about "deporting" anyone? The point is to get rid of them. Tanks should be shelling the headquarters of drug cartel gangs holing up in sanctuary cities right now, can't ya see?

I have to disagree. That would be murder. I just want the illegals deported.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  4  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 09:03 am
Quote:
President Donald Trump on Saturday doubled down on his claim that he "inherited a mess," urging his Twitter followers again to not "believe the main stream" media.

"Don't believe the main stream (fake news) media.The White House is running VERY WELL. I inherited a MESS and am in the process of fixing it." the president tweeted while his motorcade was en route to Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, according to pool reports.
Politico
Being a pathological liar is bad enough. But being that stupid makes it even more terrifying. Just try to imagine how this crew would have responded if they'd inherited the financial crash. Or imagine if something serious now does happen. Terrified yet?
0 Replies
 
oralloy
 
  -1  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 09:06 am
@hightor,
hightor wrote:
So if the country had effective gun laws and the Sandy Hook massacre had never happened Obama and the congress could have worked together.

The country does have effective gun laws.

Unlikely that the massacre could have been prevented, but Mr. Obama had a choice whether or not to waste all of his political capital in a fruitless tantrum against the NRA.


hightor wrote:
Sounds like a good reason to get more restrictive gun legislation on the books!

The 2013 gun control debacle resulted in liberalism being destroyed as a political force in America. I'd think the Left would want to quit before they get even further behind.


hightor wrote:
Seriously, I really doubt that the Tea Party would have ever allowed Obama to push through any kind of wide ranging legislation. But we'll never know.

It's hard to resist the bully pulpit of a newly-elected president.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  4  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 10:09 am
@blatham,
blatham wrote:

How accurate do you find this reporting?
Quote:
The rise of Trump has led to an unexpected twist in Germany’s election: A resurgent left
WP


I'm not Walter, or German, but it feels to me like the Post was a bit too eager to make the "Schulz effect" into something about America. I'm sure the Trump angle plays a role, but there are plenty of domestic contexts to the SPD's sudden success as well. Here's a couple of pieces I read from academic sources trying to analyze Schulz's sudden effect, and his use of anti-Trump rhetoric is at most mentioned in an aside:

* ‘Straight outta Würselen’ and straight into the German Chancellery? Martin Schulz and the SPD’s resurgence

* Hope for Europe’s Social Democrats? Why Martin Schulz Might Reinvigorate the SPD but Struggle To Become Chancellor

* The Schulz effect – the German Social Democrats are gaining popularity
nimh
 
  5  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 10:14 am
@McGentrix,
Fair point about other polls showing a less deeply awful approval rating. There was no nefarious agenda behind my post: the Gallup poll just happened to be the one I'd seen. It is, after all, the most recent one. But sure, take the others on board as well - they're still historically bad, if not quite as bad. With the single exception, of course, of Rasmussen... it's Rasmussen, after all.
0 Replies
 
nimh
 
  4  
Sat 18 Feb, 2017 10:15 am
@layman,
Ah yeah, Gallup is well known for polling those famous communist party rallies. Sure nuff.
 

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