192
   

monitoring Trump and relevant contemporary events

 
 
snood
 
  2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:04 am
@blatham,
blatham wrote:

No pressure. You can slip in and slip out as you choose.


Ewwww! Stop being creepy!
blatham
 
  1  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:13 am
@snood,
A Canadian small-town Mennonite kid gone baby oil sex creepy. Tarantino wouldn't reject me so quickly.
0 Replies
 
Walter Hinteler
 
  3  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:15 am
@blatham,
Trump firm 'refusing to pay' legal bill for windfarm case
Quote:

Scottish government says US president’s company has not accepted bill of tens of thousands of pounds

Donald Trump’s family firm is refusing to accept a legal bill worth tens of thousands of pounds after he lost a lengthy court battle against a windfarm near his Aberdeenshire golf course, according to the Scottish government.

A Scottish court ruled in February this year the Trump Organization had to pay the Scottish government’s legal costs after his attempt to block an 11-turbine windfarm in Aberdeen Bay ended with defeat in the UK supreme court in 2015.

The Scottish government has said Trump’s firm has refused to accept the sum it had put forward or reach an agreement on costs, so the case is now in the hands of a court-appointed adjudicator.

“As the amount of expenses has not been agreed, we are awaiting a date for the auditor of the court of session to determine the account. We expect payment when this has been completed,” a government spokeswoman said.

The case is expected to be heard quickly. Sarah Malone, executive vice-president of the Trump golf resort, said claims the firm had refused to pay the sum sought by the government are incorrect. “This is not in our control,” she said. “The matter is in the hands of the auditors of the court of session and the Scottish ministers.”

Trump launched his campaign against the Aberdeen Bay windfarm in 2012 after claiming the “monstrous” project, a scheme to test wind turbine technologies, would ruin the view from his golf resort at Menie, north of Aberdeen, and dissuade guests from playing there.

He took his battle to the Scottish parliament, claiming the country’s heavy investment in onshore windfarms would ruin its tourism industry. In one famous exchange with MSPs, Trump insisted the committee did not need to call any witnesses to verify his claims.

“I am the evidence,” he said. “I’m an expert in tourism. I have won many, many awards … if you dot your landscape with these horrible, horrible structures, you will do tremendous damage.”

Trump fell out with Alex Salmond, the then first minister, who had championed Trump’s claims the economic benefits of his Aberdeenshire resort justified bulldozing a very rare dune habitat he was building it on, as well as overriding local planning rules.

After Trump lost the supreme court case in 2015, Salmond branded him a “loser” and Trump retaliated by describing the then former first minister as a “has-been”.

Trump alleged Salmond promised him the windfarm would never be built when the pair met for dinner in New York in 2007, before Trump won planning permission for the resort. Salmond denied doing so.

Trump made good his promise to fight the windfarm, which was backed by the Scottish government, the European Union and prominent major business leaders in Aberdeen who had previously championed his golf resort application, by launching a court challenge against it in 2013.

Trump’s lawyers alleged in court in 2014 that Salmond had illegally interfered with the windfarm project to ensure it was approved. Those claims were rejected by Scottish civil court judge Lord Doherty. Trump had also tried but failed to become a party in a separate legal battle to stop the Viking wind project, involving 107 turbines, being built on Shetland.

Trump’s critics claimed the property mogul was complaining about the windfarm to deflect attention from his financial problems in Aberdeenshire, and the dire impact of the 2008 global recession on its prospects.

Last month the company admitted the 2008 recession and the collapse in oil prices in 2014 had been the reason the resort was never developed in line with Trump’s original plans. The Trump International Golf Club posted a £1m annual loss for 2018 last week, the seventh loss in a row. Trump and his family firm have now loaned the business £43m and it has yet to turn a profit.
Walter Hinteler
 
  2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:19 am
@Walter Hinteler,
I really this part of the above quoted report
Quote:
Trump insisted the committee did not need to call any witnesses to verify his claims.
“I am the evidence,” he said. “I’m an expert in tourism. I have won many, many awards … if you dot your landscape with these horrible, horrible structures, you will do tremendous damage.”


The US President has still the chance to get one of the coming Nobel Prices he wants - if not, I suggest to apply for the Edinburgh Comedy Awards
izzythepush
 
  4  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:20 am
@Walter Hinteler,
Walter Hinteler wrote:

Quote:

The Trump International Golf Club posted a £1m annual loss for 2018 last week, the seventh loss in a row. Trump and his family firm have now loaned the business £43m and it has yet to turn a profit.



Makes me feel proud to be British.
Walter Hinteler
 
  3  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:28 am
@izzythepush,
Witness in Trump-Ukraine Matter Ordered Not to Speak in Impeachment Inquiry
Quote:
[...]
The decision to block Gordon D. Sondland, the United States ambassador to the European Union, from speaking with investigators is certain to provoke an immediate conflict with potentially profound consequences for the White House and President Trump. House Democrats have repeatedly warned that if the administration tries to interfere with their investigation, it will be construed as obstruction, a charge they see as potentially worthy of impeachment.

But in making the decision on Tuesday, hours before he was scheduled to sit for a deposition in the basement of the Capitol, the Trump administration appears to be making the calculation that it is better off risking the House’s ire than letting Mr. Sondland show up and set a precedent for cooperation with an inquiry they have strenuously argued is illegitimate.

Mr. Sondland has become enmeshed in the burgeoning scandal into how the president sought to push the Ukrainians to investigate his political rivals. Although Ukraine is not in the union, Mr. Trump instructed Mr. Sondland — a wealthy hotelier and campaign contributor — to take a lead in relations between the Trump administration and the country. Democrats consider him a key witness to what transpired between the two countries.

Sign Up for On Politics With Lisa Lerer
A spotlight on the people reshaping our politics. A conversation with voters across the country. And a guiding hand through the endless news cycle, telling you what you really need to know.

Mr. Sondland interacted directly with Mr. Trump, speaking with the president several times around key moments that House Democrats are now investigating, including before and after Mr. Trump’s July call with the new Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelensky. The president asked Mr. Zelensky on the call to do him “a favor” and investigate the business dealings of Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s son and a conspiracy theory about Ukrainian meddling in the 2016 election.

Text messages provided to Congress last week showed that Mr. Sondland and another senior diplomat had worked on language for a statement they wanted the Ukrainian president to put out in August that would have committed him to investigations sought by Mr. Trump into his political rivals. The diplomats consulted with Mr. Trump’s personal lawyer, Rudolph W. Giuliani, about the statement, believing they needed pacify him in order to pacify Mr. Giuliani and Mr. Trump and allow the United States to normalize relations with the Ukrainians.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:30 am
@Walter Hinteler,
Yes, that passage really stood out. Recall this one
Quote:
“You would be doing wind, windmills, and if it doesn’t if it doesn’t blow you can forget about television for that night,” the president said to laughter. Imagining a family conversation, he added, “Darling, I want to watch television. I’m sorry, the wind isn’t blowing.”

Trump concluded that the audience should trust that he knows what he’s talking about. “I know a lot about wind,” the Republican said. “I know a lot about wind.”


Edit: I see that George Conway is now describing himself as "Lawyer. Windmill cancer survivor"
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:32 am
@izzythepush,
And you get an amen from this colony.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 06:48 am
Today, Trump will award the Presidential Medal of Freedom to former Attorney General Edwin Meese.

Meese remains a key figure in movement conservatism believing that his version of conservatism is the only legitimate political ideology. There's a high likelihood that Trump would not give him the time of day outside of Meese's political utility. And Trump likely wouldn't even be aware of this utility if not for people around him, like Pence, pressing the matter.
0 Replies
 
blatham
 
  3  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 07:04 am
Voices From The Right, episode 666
Quote:
Bill Kristol
@BillKristol
The decision that Sondland not testify today isn’t his. It isn’t Pompeo’s. It’s Trump’s. Why would Trump prevent his testifying other than that he’ll reveal more incriminating facts? In any case the stonewalling of the House’s impeachment inquiry is clear grounds for impeachment.


Trump is innocent of everything. That's why he obstructs the release of all the evidence which would prove his innocence. This makes sense.
0 Replies
 
hightor
 
  4  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 07:09 am
Why conspiracy theories are deeply dangerous

Such beliefs promote extreme political agendas and allow governments to dismiss their critics as cranks.

Quote:
Within hours of the disgraced US financier Jeffrey Epstein being found dead in his cell in August, Donald Trump was retweeting a conspiracy theory about his death. Epstein hanged himself but the original tweet by the right-wing comedian Terrence K Williams implied that the Clintons had somehow been involved in his demise. Unsurprisingly, neither Williams nor Trump produced any actual evidence in support of this suggestion.

A conspiracy theory isn’t a theory like any other. The official account of the 11 September 2001 attacks is a theory about a conspiracy – an al-Qaeda conspiracy – but not a conspiracy theory. What are called “conspiracy theories” subvert received opinion and are based on the idea that things aren’t as they seem. The official account of 9/11 and the theory that the attacks were planned by the Bush administration are both theories about conspiracies but only the latter is a conspiracy theory.

Another key feature of conspiracy theories is that they tend to be highly speculative rather than based on firm evidence. Many conspiracy theories, like those over the Epstein hanging or 9/11, are not just based on flimsy or contested evidence. They are based on no evidence. They are pure conjecture, without any basis in reality.

In that case, why do people invent conspiracy theories? What do they hope to gain by peddling their theories?

Conspiracy theories are first and foremost forms of political propaganda. They are designed to denigrate specific individuals or groups or advance a political agenda. The theory that the Clintons were somehow involved in the Epstein suicide denigrates the Clintons. The notion that the US government staged the 2012 mass shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School helped the pro-gun lobby to deflect arguments for greater gun control. What better way to pre-empt calls for greater gun control in the wake of a school shooting than to claim that it never happened?

To say that conspiracy theories are forms of political propaganda is to make a point about their actual political function. There is no need to assume that conspiracy theorists don’t believe their own theories. The deluded Sandy Hook conspiracy theorists who genuinely believe that the whole thing was a hoax will be no less effective at getting the anti-gun control message across than an insincere proponent of the same theory. Indeed, the true believer might be more effective precisely because they themselves believe it.

The sincerity of a person who believes their own conspiracy theories doesn’t mean that these theories aren’t propaganda. Whatever the conspiracy theorist’s beliefs and intentions, the actual function of their theories is to promote a political agenda, be it anti-Semitism, opposition to gun control, hostility to the federal government, or anything else. Conspiracy theories promote a political agenda in a special way: by marketing seductive explanations of major events that are unlikely to be true but are likely to influence public opinion in the preferred direction.

The political agendas of conspiracy theorists are often right wing but the extreme left is as keen on conspiracy theories as the extreme right. Hitler was a conspiracy theorist but so was Stalin. Many conspiracy theories of the extreme right and extreme left are anti-Semitic. Indeed, anti-Semitism is built into the DNA of conspiracy theories. One of the most notorious anti-Semitic conspiracy theories is the 1903 Protocols of the Elders of Zion, a fabricated text that was quoted approvingly by Hitler. The historian Norman Cohn has described how the myth of the Jewish world conspiracy helped enable the Holocaust.

Most people are consumers rather than producers of conspiracy theories. They don’t come up with their own conspiracy theories but endorse those that are already in circulation. But which ones? Research suggests that liberals in the US are more likely to be “truthers”: to believe that the Bush administration planned 9/11. In contrast, conservatives tend to be “birthers” who believe that Barack Obama wasn’t born in America.

This suggests that the specific conspiracy theories that people accept are aligned with their political outlook. Conspiracy theories about climate change are another example of this. There is evidence that such theories more likely to be endorsed by people with free-market ideologies. Why would that be? Presumably because, as committed free marketeers, they dislike the regulations that are needed to combat man-made global warming.

The idea that conspiracy theories function as political propaganda is more controversial than it should be. Many psychologists are keen on the idea that belief in conspiracy theories is largely a matter of personality. People who have a “conspiracy mentality” are more likely to believe conspiracy theories than those who don’t. That may be so, but the particular conspiracy theories that people endorse are much more a matter of ideology than psychology.

If conspiracy theories are political propaganda, that should put paid to the popular notion that they are harmless. They are as harmful and dangerous as the causes they promote. A number of these causes have been extremist, racist causes, like anti-Semitism. Conspiracy theories have a life of their own, with their own history and meaning. By endorsing conspiracy theories, one can’t help associating with the causes that these theories have traditionally promoted.

Despite this, conspiracy theories continue to be popular with people who regard themselves as politically progressive. They like these theories because they fail to understand their dark side. In addition, they see conspiracy theories as anti-establishment and a way of expressing their unhappiness with the status quo. For example, conspiracy theories about 9/11 became a way for people to express their opposition to the Iraq war.

Yet when the president of the United States is a conspiracy theorist, it’s hard to make the case that conspiracy theories are anti-establishment. When people protested against the appointment of Brett Kavanaugh to the US Supreme Court, it was the Republican political establishment that blamed the protests on a conspiracy orchestrated by George Soros. It used to be said that conspiracy theories were contrary to the official view. In the era of Trump, many conspiracy theories are the official view.

Another popular fantasy about conspiracy theories is that they hold governments to account. In reality, conspiracy theories make accountability more difficult because they allow governments to dismiss their critics as cranks. Governments do need to be held to account but the hard work of uncovering real conspiracies has been done by journalists and historians rather than by armchair conspiracy theorists.

For example, Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein of the Washington Post uncovered the Watergate cover-up but they were investigative reporters rather than conspiracy theorists. Furthermore, their account of what Richard Nixon and his henchman were up to was based on solid evidence, including evidence from a source within the administration. It wasn’t baseless speculation, like the theory that the Clintons were responsible for the death of Epstein.

To say that conspiracy theories function as political propaganda is not to deny that there is a deep human need to find meaning in random events. The popularity of conspiracy theories doubtless has something to do with the fact that they satisfy this need. As conspiracy theorists like to say, things happen for a reason, but sometimes the reasons are much less exciting than they suppose. Opportunities to foil the 9/11 plot were missed not because of a conspiracy but because the FBI and CIA were at loggerheads.

Ultimately, the events that conspiracy theories try to explain often have no deeper meaning. The only thing they prove is that **** happens. It is conspiracy theories themselves that have a deeper meaning and that meaning is political. The best antidote is therefore to stay focused on their political agenda and keep scrutinising their motives.

newstatesmanamerica
revelette1
 
  3  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 07:14 am
Quote:
Poll: Majority of Americans say they endorse opening of House impeachment inquiry of Trump

A majority of Americans say they endorse the decision by House Democrats to begin an impeachment inquiry of President Trump, and nearly half of all adults also say the House should take the additional step and recommend that the president be removed from office, according to a Washington Post-Schar School poll.

The findings indicate that public opinion has shifted quickly against the president and in favor of impeachment proceedings in recent weeks as information has been released about Trump’s efforts to pressure Ukrainian government officials to undertake an investigation into former vice president Joe Biden, a potential 2020 campaign rival, and Biden’s son Hunter.

Previous Post-Schar School or Post-ABC News polls taken at different points throughout this year found majorities of Americans opposing the start of an impeachment proceeding, with 37 percent to 41 percent saying they favored such a step. The recent revelations appear to have prompted many Americans to rethink their position.


WP

democrat impeachment tally

Quote:
218 votes, would be needed to impeach.
225 support
10 no or not now



Pelosi should hold the vote for impeachment today.
oralloy
 
  -2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 07:30 am
@revelette1,
Republicans should start laying the groundwork for impeaching the next Democratic president now (no matter how far in the future it is before that happens). That way their presidency can be tied up with an impeachment trial from the moment they take office.
eurocelticyankee
 
  5  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 07:37 am
Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump
As I have stated strongly before, and just to reiterate, if Turkey does anything that I, in my great and unmatched wisdom, consider to be off limits,
I will totally destroy and obliterate the Economy of Turkey (I’ve done before!).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
One of the idiots latest tweets.

I, in my great and unmatched wisdom. That's something you'd expect to hear from Kim jong un.
Trump, he's such a wannabe Dictator. Sad that people will still vote for this madman.

0 Replies
 
coldjoint
 
  -2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 08:20 am
@blatham,
I see your word still means less than a pixel. You said you would not post on this thread. That makes you dishonest and renders your posts a product of that dishonesty. People should look through that glass before taking anything you say seriously.
0 Replies
 
snood
 
  4  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 08:37 am
Coldjoint returns from the crypt
coldjoint
 
  -2  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 08:40 am
@snood,
Quote:
Coldjoint returns from the crypt

It looks like Trump is still president. He was on his last days when I left and here he is again. Trump will leave office early 2025.
0 Replies
 
MontereyJack
 
  3  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 08:45 am
@oralloy,
what a dunb idea.
coldjoint
 
  -1  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 08:51 am
@MontereyJack,
Quote:
what a dunb idea.

Do I have to say anything? Laughing
hightor
 
  3  
Tue 8 Oct, 2019 08:51 am
Top Secret Russian Unit Seeks to Destabilize Europe, Security Officials Say

Quote:
First came a destabilization campaign in Moldova, followed by the poisoning of an arms dealer in Bulgaria and then a thwarted coup in Montenegro. Last year, there was an attempt to assassinate a former Russian spy in Britain using a nerve agent. Though the operations bore the fingerprints of Russia’s intelligence services, the authorities initially saw them as isolated, unconnected attacks.

Western security officials have now concluded that these operations, and potentially many others, are part of a coordinated and ongoing campaign to destabilize Europe, executed by an elite unit inside the Russian intelligence system skilled in subversion, sabotage and assassination.

The group, known as Unit 29155, has operated for at least a decade, yet Western officials only recently discovered it. Intelligence officials in four Western countries say it is unclear how often the unit is mobilized and warn that it is impossible to know when and where its operatives will strike.

The purpose of Unit 29155, which has not been previously reported, underscores the degree to which the Russian president, Vladimir V. Putin, is actively fighting the West with his brand of so-called hybrid warfare — a blend of propaganda, hacking attacks and disinformation — as well as open military confrontation.

“I think we had forgotten how organically ruthless the Russians could be,” said Peter Zwack, a retired military intelligence officer and former defense attaché at the United States Embassy in Moscow, who said he was not aware of the unit’s existence.

In a text message, Dmitri S. Peskov, Mr. Putin’s spokesman, directed questions about the unit to the Russian Defense Ministry. The ministry did not respond to requests for comment.

Hidden behind concrete walls at the headquarters of the 161st Special Purpose Specialist Training Center in eastern Moscow, the unit sits within the command hierarchy of the Russian military intelligence agency, widely known as the G.R.U.

Though much about G.R.U. operations remains a mystery, Western intelligence agencies have begun to get a clearer picture of its underlying architecture. In the months before the 2016 presidential election, American officials say two G.R.U. cyber units, known as 26165 and 74455, hacked into the servers of the Democratic National Committee and the Clinton campaign, and then published embarrassing internal communications.

Last year, Robert S. Mueller III, the special counsel overseeing the inquiry into Russian interference in the 2016 elections, indicted more than a dozen officers from those units, though all still remain at large. The hacking teams mostly operate from Moscow, thousands of miles from their targets.

By contrast, officers from Unit 29155 travel to and from European countries. Some are decorated veterans of Russia’s bloodiest wars, including in Afghanistan, Chechnya and Ukraine. Its operations are so secret, according to assessments by Western intelligence services, that the unit’s existence is most likely unknown even to other G.R.U. operatives.

The unit appears to be a tight-knit community. A photograph taken in 2017 shows the unit’s commander, Maj. Gen. Andrei V. Averyanov, at his daughter’s wedding in a gray suit and bow tie. He is posing with Col. Anatoly V. Chepiga, one of two officers indicted in Britain over the poisoning of a former spy, Sergei V. Skripal.

“This is a unit of the G.R.U. that has been active over the years across Europe,” said one European security official, who spoke on condition of anonymity to describe classified intelligence matters. “It’s been a surprise that the Russians, the G.R.U., this unit, have felt free to go ahead and carry out this extreme malign activity in friendly countries. That’s been a shock.”

To varying degrees, each of the four operations linked to the unit attracted public attention, even as it took time for the authorities to confirm that they were connected. Western intelligence agencies first identified the unit after the failed 2016 coup in Montenegro, which involved a plot by two unit officers to kill the country’s prime minister and seize the Parliament building.

(Three other people were sickened, including a police officer and a man who found a small bottle that British officials believe was used to carry the nerve agent and gave it to his girlfriend. The girlfriend, Dawn Sturgess, died after spraying the nerve agent on her skin, mistaking the bottle for perfume.)

The poisoning led to a geopolitical standoff, with more than 20 nations, including the United States, expelling 150 Russian diplomats in a show of solidarity with Britain.

Ultimately, the British authorities exposed two suspects, who had traveled under aliases but were later identified by the investigative site Bellingcat as Colonel Chepiga and Alexander Mishkin. Six months after the poisoning, British prosecutors charged both men with transporting the nerve agent to Mr. Skripal’s home in Salisbury, England, and smearing it on his front door.

But the operation was more complex than officials revealed at the time.

Exactly a year before the poisoning, three Unit 29155 operatives traveled to Britain, possibly for a practice run, two European officials said. One was Mr. Mishkin. A second man used the alias Sergei Pavlov. Intelligence officials believe the third operative, who used the alias Sergei Fedotov, oversaw the mission.

Soon, officials established that two of these officers — the men using the names Fedotov and Pavlov — had been part of a team that attempted to poison the Bulgarian arms dealer Emilian Gebrev in 2015. (The other operatives, also known only by their aliases, according to European intelligence officials, were Ivan Lebedev, Nikolai Kononikhin, Alexey Nikitin and Danil Stepanov.)

The team would twice try to kill Mr. Gebrev, once in Sofia, the capital, and again a month later at his home on the Black Sea.

Speaking to reporters in February at the Munich Security Conference, Alex Younger, the chief of MI6, Britain’s foreign intelligence service, spoke out against the growing Russian threat and hinted at coordination, without mentioning a specific unit.

“You can see there is a concerted program of activity — and, yes, it does often involve the same people,” Mr. Younger said, pointing specifically to the Skripal poisoning and the Montenegro coup attempt. He added: “We assess there is a standing threat from the G.R.U. and the other Russian intelligence services and that very little is off limits.”

The Kremlin sees Russia as being at war with a Western liberal order that it views as an existential threat.

At a ceremony in November for the G.R.U.’s centenary, Mr. Putin stood beneath a glowing backdrop of the agency’s logo — a red carnation and an exploding grenade — and described it as “legendary.” A former intelligence officer himself, Mr. Putin drew a direct line between the Red Army spies who helped defeat the Nazis in World War II and officers of the G.R.U., whose “unique capabilities” are now deployed against a different kind of enemy.

“Unfortunately, the potential for conflict is on the rise in the world,” Mr. Putin said during the ceremony. “Provocations and outright lies are being used and attempts are being made to disrupt strategic parity.”

In 2006, Mr. Putin signed a law legalizing targeted killings abroad, the same year a team of Russian assassins used a radioactive isotope to murder Aleksander V. Litvinenko, another former Russian spy, in London.

Unit 29155 is not the only group authorized to carry out such operations, officials said. The British authorities have attributed Mr. Litvinenko’s killing to the Federal Security Service, the intelligence agency once headed by Mr. Putin that often competes with the G.R.U.

Although little is known about Unit 29155 itself, there are clues in public Russian records that suggest links to the Kremlin’s broader hybrid strategy.

A 2012 directive from the Russian Defense Ministry assigned bonuses to three units for “special achievements in military service.” One was Unit 29155. Another was Unit 74455, which was involved in the 2016 election interference. The third was Unit 99450, whose officers are believed to have been involved in the annexation of the Crimean Peninsula in 2014.

A retired G.R.U. officer with knowledge of Unit 29155 said that it specialized in preparing for “diversionary” missions, “in groups or individually — bombings, murders, anything.”

“They were serious guys who served there,” the retired officer said. “They were officers who worked undercover and as international agents.”

Photographs of the unit’s dilapidated former headquarters, which has since been abandoned, show myriad gun racks with labels for an assortment of weapons, including Belgian FN-30 sniper rifles, German G3A3s, Austrian Steyr AUGs and American M16s. There was also a form outlining a training regimen, including exercises for hand-to-hand combat. The retired G.R.U. officer confirmed the authenticity of the photographs, which were published by a Russian blogger.

The current commander, General Averyanov, graduated in 1988 from the Tashkent Military Academy in what was then the Soviet Republic of Uzbekistan. It is likely that he would have fought in both the first and second Chechen wars, and he was awarded a Hero of Russia medal, the country’s highest honor, in January 2015. The two officers charged with the Skripal poisoning also received the same award.

Though an elite force, the unit appears to operate on a shoestring budget. According to Russian records, General Averyanov lives in a run-down Soviet-era building a few blocks from the unit’s headquarters and drives a 1996 VAZ 21053, a rattletrap Russia-made sedan. Operatives often share cheap accommodation to economize while on the road. British investigators say the suspects in the Skripal poisoning stayed in a low-cost hotel in Bow, a downtrodden neighborhood in East London.

But European security officials are also perplexed by the apparent sloppiness in the unit’s operations. Mr. Skripal survived the assassination attempt, as did Mr. Gebrev, the Bulgarian arms dealer. The attempted coup in Montenegro drew an enormous amount of attention, but ultimately failed. A year later, Montenegro joined NATO. It is possible, security officials say, that they have yet to discover other, more successful operations.

It is difficult to know if the messiness has bothered the Kremlin. Perhaps, intelligence experts say, it is part of the point.

“That kind of intelligence operation has become part of the psychological warfare,” said Eerik-Niiles Kross, a former intelligence chief in Estonia. “It’s not that they have become that much more aggressive. They want to be felt. It’s part of the game.”

nyt
 

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