192
   

monitoring Trump and relevant contemporary events

 
 
layman
 
  -4  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 10:23 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

Sure sure sure... Just saying, if dems want to win elections, they'll have to become better listeners than you are.


I'm sure he listens, but only to himself, eh, Ollie? He aint alone.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 10:30 am
@Olivier5,
Olivier5 wrote:

Sure sure sure... Just saying, if dems want to win elections, they'll have to become better listeners than you are.


Sorry, but that's bullshit. The issue isn't that the Dems aren't 'listening' to the people of the region. I wonder what leads you to believe this IS the problem in the first place?

Describe what being a 'better listener' would look like - in detail. Because I have been watching Dem politics for about four decades now and I'm not seeing a failure to listen to anyone.

Cycloptichorn
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layman
 
  -3  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 10:42 am
@Cycloptichorn,
The comments of those who have proven themselves to be fanatical partisan extremists are greatly admired in some circles. The commentary section of "The Daily Worker," for example.

You might want to share your insights in that forum for maximum approval, eh?
0 Replies
 
layman
 
  -2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 10:57 am
@layman,
Just curious, Hi...did ya like the Robert Johnson tune I posted here?

If ya aint sure where "here" is, just click there where it says "layman" in blue, ya know?
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  3  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 10:57 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
The issue isn't that the Dems aren't 'listening' to the people of the region.


they definitely aren't communicating well

https://thinkprogress.org/appalachia-used-to-be-a-democratic-stronghold-heres-how-to-make-it-one-again-300952ae296d/

Quote:
National-level Democrats have been losing Appalachia for years, primarily because candidates often don’t know how to communicate their economic message to the region’s poor, largely white denizens — or simply don’t feel they should have to.

It doesn’t have to be this way. Democrats can win back the once strongly left-leaning region, but only if they’re willing to grapple seriously with the area’s difficult economic present — and work to invite them into a very different future.



Quote:
Appalachia’s ties to the Democratic Party go back decades — especially in West Virginia, which only voted for a Republican presidential candidate twice from 1960 to 2000 (it went red in 1972 and 1984, elections where the Republican candidate carried 49 out of 50 states). The state has also voted for a Democratic Senator every year since 1960, and consistently elected Democratic House members until 2010.



Quote:
For example, Floyd county — an Appalachian coal county in Eastern Kentucky that voted for Democrat John Kerry in 2004 — boasted 27,789 registered Democrats in 2008, compared to just 2,856 Republicans. Yet John McCain edged out Obama there on Election Day that year, winning 7,741 votes to 7,530. By 2012, it wasn’t even close: Mitt Romney brought home 9,784 votes there in 2012, but only 4,733 supported Obama.


I'm really interested in Floyd County as a friend of mine who used to work for the Canadian Progressive Conservatives is now an American liberal and has been spending a lot of time there over the past couple of years trying to figure out what's been going on there.


Quote:
The decline of coal is a constant point of political debate in Appalachia, where several counties still base their economies around excavating the coveted fossil fuel. It is true — as much as Democrats and environmentalists avoid saying it — that Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) regulations have hurt the coal industry over the years, giving an edge to cleaner forms of energy such as natural gas. But the industry was hemorrhaging jobs long before Obama became president, and equally to blame are things such as the aforementioned mechanization of the industry, the fact that Appalachia’s coal seams may be drying up, and a worldwide decline in demand for coal, among other things.



Quote:
Meanwhile, federal GOP lawmakers have actively denied the president the opportunity to offer help to the region, blocking his Appalachian aid package from even receiving a vote in Congress.

“The Republicans have done a good job of marketing the so-called ‘war on coal,’ when in fact it’s the Democrats who have worked just as hard as anyone to diversify the economy and help bring jobs to Appalachia,” Lowry said.

Even progressives in the region are susceptible to “war on coal” rhetoric, however, and are slowly forging a new kind of Democrat. In May, West Virginia Democrats selected climate change-denier and coal industry billionaire Jim Justice as their nominee for governor — receiving Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-WV) endorsement even though he was a Republican until 2015.

When asked about the coal industry, Justice assured reporters that he will make sure the state “mines more coal … than has ever been mined before.”



___


I found this an interesting read

http://stansburyforum.com/can-berniecrats-win-in-appalachia/

throwing in the summary


Quote:
When the phrase “ideological purity” is used in a question during an interview with him, Mudcat scoffs.

“Politics aren’t about intellectual ideas, they’re about visceral feelings,” he said. “If the message is not in line with visceral concerns, it’s not going to work. Coal doesn’t account for all the jobs in West Virginia, but it’s the culture. Anybody attempting to attack coal or that they don’t feel is sympathetic to coal ain’t gonna make it.”

Deskins said he believes Democrats can turn healthcare and Medicaid into winning issues that will outweigh those other concerns.

“Democrats should be running on their own wedge issues and saying look, the Republicans want to take Medicaid away from your family, from your neighbors, from your friends,” Deskins said. “If you’re here in Appalachia and say you don’t know someone covered by Medicaid, that’s not true. Democrats should be using that issue like a damn cudgel and beating Republicans with it in 2018.”

Voters don’t always have coherent public policy views, and even when they do, they don’t always vote based on that. It’s not the details of public policy that win voters; it’s appealing to their gut.

“Frankly I think there’s less the Democrats could do to move the needle than there is that Republicans could do to help them move it,” said western Virginia Del. Greg Habeeb of Salem. “Let’s say we get eight years of Trump and it’s a total unmitigated disaster for western Virginia. At that point you’re not running saying, ‘I’ve got this complicated Democratic position on government services.’ You run saying, ‘They suck, vote for me.’”

That may give Sanders supporters a glimmer of hope.

“It’s a lot easier to win by simply being anti-establishment than it is to win on the basis of detailed left-leaning economic policy proposals,” Crichlow said. “Much of this country has a generations-long entrenched antipathy toward those. But that said, with the right candidate and the right message — maybe simply call for raising the minimum wage, versus a raise to $15 — and in the right environment…sure, why not? Ken Hechler politics was very popular here once. It could rise again.”
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 10:59 am
@maporsche,
Quote:

Also, they voted for someone who said that had a plan to move forward. They consistently vote for those people.


More accurately, they voted for someone who had slogans, not plans. Trump never enumerated a single step of any 'plan' that would help them, not once. And he's done nothing in his year in office to help them at all, and he has done several things that directly hurt them. The failure of Congress to reauthorize SCHIP will devastate health care for the children of the region and neither Trump nor the GOP give two shits.

Clinton not only had an actual plan, she pointed out on multiple occasions, publicly, in detail, that Trump did not. And they voted against her in massive numbers. So I can't agree with your assessment that these people made some sort of sober judgement here and chose the person they thought had the 'better plan.' They chose the person who told them the lies they wanted to hear, despite the fact that it was widely agreed - by both sides of the fence! - that these were pure lies.

Quote:
Disdain? No, that's way too much. You don't show contempt to these people, at least not if you want to ultimately help them.


I don't care about helping them enough to lie about their problems, and to remove them from any sense of self-responsibility for their situation. That's the same as infantilizing them, it's a soft bigotry. I refuse to engage in that behavior, even if they find the truth to be offensive.

Quote:
You're talking about welfare fraud and disability fraud as if it's some huge epidemic....it's not.


I mean, I disagree with you 100%. Welfare and disability fraud IS a huge problem in this country and the Appalachian region is as bad or worse than anywhere else.

Here, please read:

http://apps.npr.org/unfit-for-work/

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/367903/white-ghetto-kevin-d-williamson

http://www.kxii.com/content/news/Tangled-in-fraud-probe-100s-face-loss-of-Social-Security-disability-checks-408607815.html

http://www.aei.org/publication/here-is-americas-disability-belt/

Note the graphic on this last one:

http://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/percentage-e1481919244306.png

You cannot look at this and tell me that the people of that region are not abusing the disability and welfare system.

Cycloptichorn
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:04 am
@ehBeth,
Failure to communicate well isn't the equivalent of a failure to listen. If the prescription is for Democrats to dumb down their message and rely upon emotional wedge issues, fine. I understand the allure of doing so. But let's not pretend it's an honorable thing, it's essentially a recommendation for the Dems to mimic the shitty behavior of the GOP. It's difficult for me to get behind that.

Once we figured out that coal was incredibly destructive to both the region, the people involved in the production of it, and the environment as a whole via burning it for fuel, the relationship between the environmentally-conscious Democratic party and the people of coal country headed downhill almost immediately. There's very little the Dems could do to stop that from happening, outside of abandoning their position on environmental issues and that's a complete non-starter. It's not about a failure to listen to the people of the region, it's about ideological and ethical differences between the two groups - and I'm sorry, but I don't pretend there's an equivalence between the two positions.

Cycloptichorn
blatham
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:04 am
Swamp-draining notes from all over
Quote:
Ryan Zinke orders helicopter to get him to horseback ride with Mike Pence on time
TP

But let's be fair. Certainly, the President would have put a stop to this, had he known. But it was a weekend so he was with family. They were together machine-gunning elephants from Air Force One.
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  3  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:07 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
You cannot look at this and tell me that the people of that region are not abusing the disability and welfare system.


ever work in / with a mining community? I have. I was a disability claims adjuster specializing in a mining region in Canada.

Some claims abuse but damn, the worst working conditions and so so many injuries and drug addiction problems (people using drugs to keep going underground following minor injuries leading to more injuries and addiction). Only jobs that came close to the severity/complexity of the types of claims were prison guards.
layman
 
  -4  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:07 am
@ehBeth,
Quote:
Clinton haunted by coal country comment

In 2008, Hillary Clinton won the West Virginia primary in a landslide. The state isn't as welcoming to her this time around. When officials in Logan, West Virginia, were contacted last week about hosting Hillary Clinton for a local rally, it didn’t take long for them to respond with an answer: Hell no.

“Bill and Hillary Clinton are simply not welcome in our town,” they wrote in a letter to the office of Sen. Joe Manchin, whose office had inquired about the availability of local facilities. “Mrs. Clinton’s anti-coal messages are the last thing our suffering town needs at this point. The policies that have been championed by people like Mrs. Clinton have all but devastated our fair town, and honestly, enough is enough. We wish them the best in their campaign, however we again state they are not welcome on our city’s properties.”

Clinton said: “We’re going to put a lot of coal miners and coal companies out of business.”


https://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/sanders-looking-to-rack-up-west-virginia-win-over-clinton-222952

Maybe it's the hicks who are listening, eh?
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:08 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Read the Stansbury forum piece I linked above. Read it and really take in the messages there.
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:09 am
@ehBeth,
Drug abuse problems are not an excuse for disability claims.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  3  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:11 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:

Failure to communicate well isn't the equivalent of a failure to listen.

It's not about a failure to listen to the people of the region


it is an absolute failure to listen and to think about the right kind of message to use

you can't communicate if you're not listening

the local candidates do seem to be getting a handle on it. if the national party can't/won't , it's hard to be at all sympathetic. they'll continue to get the votes they deserve
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:12 am
@ehBeth,
I've read it before. There's no message in there that's particularly revolutionary and I addressed that in my last response to you. It's simply a call for a devolution of the message to emotional appeals based on wedge issues. This is the lowest form of campaigning and governance and yes, I agree that it may be necessary to win in that region. But it's hardly a high-road approach.

Quote:
it is an absolute failure to listen and to think about the right kind of message to use


Once again, these are two completely separate things. A 'failure to listen' would indicate that the Dems are unwilling to hear the people of the region describe their problems and desires. There's zero evidence that this is the case for Democrats, who are happy to listen. We just don't give them the answers they want, because there no longer ARE any good answers for the region. There are only bad choices left and we have to pick through the best of those. But that's not a winning message, so what you and Mudcat are basically advocating here is lying to them like Trump and the GOP does. Isn't that correct? I mean, if that's not correct, what's the specific approach that you think should be taken by the Dems? In detail.

Cycloptichorn
blatham
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:13 am
@Cycloptichorn,
One of the big fat problems with the "we just need to listen better" is evident when you imagine this as a sadly missed solution for dealing with 1930s German Nazis.

Having lived in Texas for a year, I made quite a few friends among very poorly informed right wing Texans. As everywhere, essentially nice people. But as regards politics, many were absolutely ******* bonkers. What is one supposed to listen to? A repeat of what Hannity or Limbaugh said the day before?
0 Replies
 
ehBeth
 
  3  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:16 am
@Cycloptichorn,
Cycloptichorn wrote:
But it's hardly a high-road approach.


successful politics rarely is

successful politicians listen, figure out what's going to get to people and use that in their messaging
Cycloptichorn
 
  2  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:16 am
@ehBeth,
So, lie to them. Got it. I can't get behind that whether you think it would be successful or not. I'd rather lose that region than lie to people about the seriousness of their situation and what needs to be done to correct it.

Cycloptichorn
ehBeth
 
  3  
Fri 8 Dec, 2017 11:20 am
@Cycloptichorn,
I'd rather that the national party develop young local candidates who understand the area, understand what will win, and help them do just that.

At the same time, the national party needs to figure out a way to move left without using the language of socialism. There are clearly high IQ wonks in the party, they need to find more people with high EQ.
0 Replies
 
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