@layman,
layman wrote:There aint enough of their snobby "elite" voters to win elections, but they aint got no clue about how to appeal to anyone else.
That's the problem--they DON'T appeal to anyone else. Their PC-driven identity politics can get them some minority and special interest votes, sure, but that aint NEVER gunna cut it with the average American.
In the Montana election yesterday, the Republican candidate won by 6 points. Last year, Trump had still won the state by over 20 points. If the Republican candidates do that much worse than Trump '16 in the mid-terms, the Democrats win back the House. Even if you give the Republican incumbents a 3-point incumbency advantage, the Democrats still win back the House.
Will that actually happen? Eh, who the **** knows. A year and a half to go is a long time. But if the Dems come within 6 points in Montana, they're doing pretty well with the average American. If the Dems come within 7 points in a Kansas district which Trump had won by 16 -- as they did last month -- they're not doing so badly with the average American. If the Dems win a state Assembly district on Long Island which Trump had still won by 23 points -- as they did last weekend -- they're not doing so badly with the average American.
The average American doesn't live in Kansas or Montana. The average American lives in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania or Florida. If Dems are getting within 7 points in districts in Montana and Kansas, they're getting way, way more than "some minority and special interest votes", and looking pretty competitive for 2018.