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THE US, THE UN AND THE IRAQIS THEMSELVES, V. 7.0

 
 
McTag
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 06:08 pm
Controlling the airspace over a virtually flat desert gives you quite a good contol of the ground, and knowledge of what is moving on the ground.

Couple that with ability to intercept and monitor electronic traffic, and shoot out and destroy anti-aircraft installations and radar...I'd call that control.
0 Replies
 
hamburger
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 08:07 pm
i have been discussing the situation in iraq with a major in the canadian army for some time. he served in intelligence for some time (he called it an oximoron !). we meet for a morning swim several times a week. he said that the iraq war is a military exercise terribly gone wrong. apparently all great armies have to test their ability to to respond to a threat every few years to see if their systems are up to snuff. he thinks that iraq was quite deliberately chosen for this test, because not only would it provide for a good test of the strength and capabilities of the u.s. forces but would also sweep saddam from power and (so it was thought) enhance the position of the u.s. in the middle east. when the iraqis did not receive the u.s. forces "with open arms" as intelligence(??? see above !) sources had predicted, things started to unravel. when the war was also called "a crusade", things went from bad to worse. the word "crusade" was used by the mullahs to remind the faithful of what the christians had done to muslim children and women during the crusades(i'm just reading in longman's 'world history' : "...jerusalem fell with a terrible slaughter of the muslims ..."). ... ... on our recent hawaii cruise in early december we had a lecturer aboard who had originally come from iran(he had been a coach of the iranian soccer team). he became a teacher in the u.s. and is now retired and gives lectures about middle east. he also stated that using the word "crusades" was like dropping a bomb among muslims. he said that is difficult if not impossible for non-muslims to understand the fear and loathing it sets of in muslims. ... ... choosing language carefully may not be very important to north-americans, but even europeans are usually quite sensitive to certain language terms. it is certainly important for business people negotiating with partners in asia and the midddle east to understand that words and gestures are very important and must be chosen carefully. i know that there are special traning courses available to north-american business people to make them aware of these sensitivities. even our local library carries a book to help business people understand this important subject. i believe "saving face" is at the top of one chapter. perhaps something to think about ! hbg
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 08:20 pm
Frank Apisa wrote:
Here is a list of Robert McNamara's 11 items of mistakes we made going into the Vietnam misadventure.

Quote:
In 1995, former U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert published In Retrospect, the first of his three books dissecting the errors, myths and miscalculations that led to the Vietnam War, which he now believes was a serious mistake. Nine years later, most of these lessons seem uncannily relevant to the Iraq war in its current nation-building, guerrilla-warfare phase.


[1]* We misjudged then -- and we have since -- the geopolitical intentions of our adversaries . . . and we exaggerated the dangers to the United States of their actions.

[2]* We viewed the people and leaders of South Vietnam in terms of our own experience. . . . We totally misjudged the political forces within the country.

[3]* We underestimated the power of nationalism to motivate a people to fight and die for their beliefs and values.

[4]* Our judgments of friend and foe alike reflected our profound ignorance of the history, culture, and politics of the people in the area, and the personalities and habits of their leaders.

[5]* We failed then -- and have since -- to recognize the limitations of modern, high-technology military equipment, forces and doctrine. . . . We failed as well to adapt our military tactics to the task of winning the hearts and minds of people from a totally different culture.

[6]* We failed to draw Congress and the American people into a full and frank discussion and debate of the pros and cons of a large-scale military involvement . . . before we initiated the action.

[7]* After the action got under way and unanticipated events forced us off our planned course . . . we did not fully explain what was happening and why we were doing what we did.

[8]* We did not recognize that neither our people nor our leaders are omniscient. Our judgment of what is in another people's or country's best interest should be put to the test of open discussion in international forums. We do not have the God-given right to shape every nation in our image or as we choose.

[9]* We did not hold to the principle that U.S. military action . . . should be carried out only in conjunction with multinational forces supported fully (and not merely cosmetically) by the international community.

[10]* We failed to recognize that in international affairs, as in other aspects of life, there may be problems for which there are no immediate solutions. . . . At times, we may have to live with an imperfect, untidy world.

[11]* Underlying many of these errors lay our failure to organize the top echelons of the executive branch to deal effectively with the extraordinarily complex range of political and military issues.


(Frank, I added the numbers to make individual reference easier.)

South Vietnam requested the US's aid in resisting the insurrection by the Viet Cong, the aid by North Vietnam of the Viet Cong, and the invasion by North Vietnam of South Vietnam. We made the mistake of thinking we could rescue South Vietnam simply by containing North Vietnam and exterminating the Viet Cong. In my opinion the only way for the US to have successfully rescued South Vietnam was for the US to exterminate North Vietnam with WMD. Since we were clearly unwilling to resort to WMD, we should not have fought in Vietnam.

We fought nonetheless for among other reasons our unjustified fear that a North Vietnamese victory would permit Communism to spread throughout South East Asia [McNamara's mistake #1, McN#1]. About a million South Vietnamese were killed while we were there and another million or so were killed after we left. Also, about a million South Vietnamese fled the country before we left and another million fled after we left. And, let us not forget Pol Pot's murder of 2 million civilians in Cambodia after we left Vietnam.

I think we are not making McN#1 in Iraq. More on that later.

We did make McN#2,3,4,5 in Iraq. Those mistakes are correctable. I think we are not making McN#6. We did make and are still making McN#7. But that too is correctable. A large segment of our population, call 'em blues, have and are making McN#8. The rest of us including the administration did not make this mistake in Iraq (read "American Soldier"). I don't think McN#9 is a mistake except that we delayed our invasion of Iraq 6 months more than we should have, trying to win the support of those who had vested interests in protecting Saddam Hussein. Perhaps we made McN#10. Perhaps we didn't (see my discussion below of McN#1). I'm withholding my judgment until after 1/30/05. We have made and are making McN#11. However, this mistake is correctable for Iraq.

We are not making McN#1 in Iraq. If anything we are underestimating the dangers to the United States of al Qaeda's support, harboring and actions.

Quote:
Osama bin Laden’s August, 1996 Fatwa, Declaration of War against the Americans Occupying the Land of the Two Holy Places

Those youths know that their rewards in fighting you, the USA, is double than their rewards in fighting some one else not from the people of the book. They have no intention except to enter paradise by killing you. An infidel, and enemy of God like you, cannot be in the same hell with his righteous executioner.

Quote:
Osama bin Laden’s 23 February 1998 Fatwa, Jihad Against Jews and Crusaders

On that basis, and in compliance with Allah's order, we issue the following fatwa to all Muslims:
The ruling to kill the Americans and their allies [/b]-- civilians and military -- is an individual duty for every Muslim who can do it in any country in which it is possible to do it, in order to liberate the al-Aqsa Mosque and the holy mosque [Mecca] from their grip, and in order for their armies to move out of all the lands of Islam, defeated and unable to threaten any Muslim. This is in accordance with the words of Almighty Allah, "and fight the pagans all together as they fight you all together," and "fight them until there is no more tumult or oppression, and there prevail justice and faith in Allah."
...

Quote:
Al-Qaida Statement Warning Muslims Against Associating With The Crusaders And Idols Jun 09, 2004

Once again, we repeat our call and send this clear message to our Muslim brothers, warning against fellowship with the Crusaders, the Americans, Westerners and all idols in the Arab Gulf. Muslims should not associate with them anywhere, be it in their homes, complexes or travel with them by any means of transportation.

No Muslim should risk his life as he may inadvertently be killed if he associates with the Crusaders, whom we have no choice but to kill.

Everything related to them such as complexes, bases, means of transportation, especially Western and American Airlines, will be our main and direct targets in our forthcoming operations on our path of Jihad that we, with Allah's Power, will not turn away from.

We further repeat our warning to the officials and those who guard the American complexes and who stand with America and its hired help, who takes up arms against the Mujahideen for defending for them and their interests such as the Saudi government and others who choose to support the idol’s regime over the Islamic one. We call them to repent, separate and to hate idols by fighting them with money, tongues and arms.
...

Quote:
The National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States Report, i.e., The 9-11 Commission Report alleged, 8/21/2004:

[CHAPTERS 1, 2.4, 2.5, 3.1] Before we invaded Afghanistan and Iraq, al Qaeda et al fomented the following mass murders of Americans:
1. 10/1983 US Marine Corps Headquarters in Beirut--241 dead Americans;
2. 2/1993 WTC in NYC--6 dead Americans;
3. 11/1995 Saudi National Guard Facility in Riyadh--5 dead Americans;
4. 6/1996 Khobar Towers in Dhahran--19 dead Americans;
5. 8/1998 American Embassy in Nairobi--12 dead Americans;
6. 12/2000 Destroyer Cole in Aden--17 dead Americans;
7. 9/2001 WTC in NYC, Pentagon, Pennsylvania Field--approx. 1500 dead Americans (+1500 dead non-Americans);
8. Question


Al Qaeda says what they will do, and they do what they say, unless we can stop them first. It is naïve to think it sufficient to defend ourselves against al Qaeda with only a domestic defense and not an international offense. A domestic defense is insufficient for a great many reasons. The primary reason is our criminal laws severely handicap our ability to stop domestic al Qaeda attacks before they occur. Even if we were to establish a permanent state of martial law (metaphorically speaking, ensconce ourselves in a closet), we would still not be able to stop a determined, suicidal effort of a few al Qaeda operatives to mass murder civilians any time and place in the US they want.

We have no other choice but to win in Iraq. We must correct our mistakes and get on with it. It is not a question whether we can win; it is only a question of how and when we can win.
0 Replies
 
Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 08:45 pm
ican711nm wrote:
We have no other choice but to win in Iraq.


That is self-serving, gratuitous hyperbole.

Of course we have other choices...but there are people in this country who are being stone headed about it...and refuse to acknowledge that we have other choices.

In fact, this item is so wrong...I suspect it may have been put in here so that you can retract it for some reason.



Quote:
We must correct our mistakes and get on with it.


Or we should simply acknowledge that the costs (not just monetary) for "correcting our mistakes" is simply too high...and presents the danger of making further, even more serious, mistakes...

...and just do what we most likely will have to do at some point anyway...

...namely...cut and run.


Quote:
It is not a question whether we can win; it is only a question of how and when we can win.


Baloney!

The very real possibility exists that we cannot win this one...that all the choices lead to loss of some kind.

That, in fact, was why so many of us argued against going in the way we did in the first place.
0 Replies
 
dyslexia
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 09:04 pm
the only question is how much we lose before we stop losing and come home. I guess the Bush ego will determine that.
0 Replies
 
Cycloptichorn
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 09:09 pm
Quote:

Baloney!

The very real possibility exists that we cannot win this one...that all the choices lead to loss of some kind.

That, in fact, was why so many of us argued against going in the way we did in the first place.


Agreed. If you don't believe that we could lose this one, you're living in a fantasy world.

Cycloptichorn
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 09:26 pm
Frank Apisa wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
We have no other choice but to win in Iraq.
That is self-serving, gratuitous hyperbole.
Laughing Mine isn't hyperbole; but yours is! I gave my reasons for my statment that you quoted. You gave zero reasons for your statement here.

By the way your statement back several pages that conservatives are constantly having to be rescued by non-conservatives is very very funny. Laughing I didn't know Nixon and Reagan and the Bushes were non-conservatives Shocked Laughing

Frank Apisa wrote:
Of course we have other choices...but there are people in this country who are being stone headed about it...and refuse to acknowledge that we have other choices. In fact, this item is so wrong...I suspect it may have been put in here so that you can retract it for some reason.
More hyperbole! Yes, technically we actually do have another choice! We can hide in a martial law closet here in the states and die at the increased rate at least double the national accident death rate. Silly me. I rejected that choice as a non-choice.

What other choices do you read in your cards?

Frank Apisa wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
We must correct our mistakes and get on with it.

Or we should simply acknowledge that the costs (not just monetary) for "correcting our mistakes" is simply too high...and presents the danger of making further, even more serious, mistakes... ...and just do what we most likely will have to do at some point anyway... ...namely...cut and run.
These verbal obfuscations imply advocacy of
Quote:
We can hide in a martial law closet here in the states and die at the increased rate at least double the national accident death rate.


Frank Apisa wrote:
ican711n wrote:
It is not a question whether we can win; it is only a question of how and when we can win.

Baloney! The very real possibility exists that we cannot win this one...that all the choices lead to loss of some kind. That, in fact, was why so many of us argued against going in the way we did in the first place.
"Baloney" doesn't constitute a rebuttal, Frank, it's merely a food or an euphemism for an epithet.

That kind of content free response is why so many of you who argued and argued "we can't win this one" were and are continuing to fail to grasp the full consequences of what you advocated and continue to advocate. It's long past time for you to think about the full consequences of doing what you advocate. Adopting your recommendation limits our choice to
Quote:
We can hide in a martial law closet here in the states and die at the increased rate at least double the national accident death rate.
That choice is not acceptable to me or to those I love. We would rather take our chances in Iraq as long as necessary to discover how to win there and then win there.

Oh, yes, technically there's a third choice. Don't do anything. But, of course, if we want different challenge we can always move to France! :wink:
0 Replies
 
ican711nm
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 09:59 pm
Cycloptichorn wrote:
If you don't believe that we could lose this one, you're living in a fantasy world. Cycloptichorn
Of course we can lose this one. But why try to lose this one.

It's easy to lose this one. Fleeing Iraq will guarantee we lose this one. I'd rather we take our chances and work to really win this one. Yes siree! Give me liberty or give me death; I'm not willing to hide in a marshal law closet. I'm not willing to simply wait to be murdered. If I've got to go down, I'd rather it be fighting than snarling and quarreling, moaning and groaning, and whining and crying. I reject the losers' mentality, because losers are sure to lose. I prefer the winners' mentality, because winners sometimes win.
0 Replies
 
revel
 
  1  
Reply Tue 28 Dec, 2004 11:54 pm
Is this getting as tiresome to anyone else?
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 12:12 am
"The al Qaeda are a confederation of multiple terrorist groups led by Osama bin Laden," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"Osama bin Laden aided a group of Islamic extremists encamped in northern Iraq," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"The Al Qaeda encamped in northern Iraq, suffered major defeats by Kurdish Forces in the late 1990s," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"In 2001, the Al Qaeda remnant in northern Iraq, with Osama bin Laden's help, re-formed into an organization called Ansar al Islam (AaI)," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"There is zero evidence that the Kurd's again attacked the AaI al Qaeda in northern Iraq," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"There is zero evidence that Saddam's regime attacked the AaI al Qaeda in northern Iraq," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"There is zero evidence that the US attacked the AaI al Qaeda in northern Iraq before 2003," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"There is zero evidence that Saddam Hussein requested the Kurds to attack the AaI al Qaeda in northern Iraq," is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"There is zero evidence that Saddam Hussein requested the US to attack the AaI al Qaeda in northern Iraq" is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
"In 2003, the US attacked and defeated the AaI al Qaeda in northern Iraq" is not evidence of a nexus between Saddam and al-Qaeda.
0 Replies
 
InfraBlue
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 12:33 am
Also, there is evidence that the autonomous Kurdish groups, namely the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) and the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), were preparing to move against Ansar al-Islam in the summer of 2002.

Their plans were hindered by two things, two Islamist groups with which they had peace agreements controlled areas to Ansar's west, and in the way of their movements. Another, more deciding hinderance was the increasing possibility of a US strike against Baghdad.

Trouble brews between Kurds/Islamic rebels in Iraq
0 Replies
 
OCCOM BILL
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 12:36 am
Not like World War II, eh? The whiners among you are going to love reading about your predecessors. :wink: It seems the more things change, the more they stay the same.
http://www.kultursmog.com/images/Life-Cover-300.jpg
http://www.kultursmog.com/images/Life-Head-01.jpg
This one is so similar to some of the nonsense you liberals say, I won't make you wait: :wink:
Quote:
We have swept away Hitlerism, but a great many Europeans feel that the cure has been worse than the disease.

Here is the whole story:
Quote:
We are in a cabin deep down below decks on a Navy ship jam-packed with troops that's pitching and creaking its way across the Atlantic in a winter gale. There is a man in every bunk. There's a man wedged into every corner. There's a man in every chair. The air is dense with cigarette smoke and with the staleness of packed troops and sour wool.

"Don't think I'm sticking up for the Germans," puts in the lanky young captain in the upper berth, "but…"

"To hell with the Germans," says the broad-shouldered dark lieutenant. "It's what our boys have been doing that worries me."

The lieutenant has been talking about the traffic in Army property, the leaking of gasoline into the black market in France and Belgium even while the fighting was going on, the way the Army kicks the civilians around, the looting.

"Lust, liquor and loot are the soldier's pay," interrupts a red-faced major.

The lieutenant comes out with his conclusion: "Two wrongs don't make a right." You hear these two phrases again and again in about every bull session on the shop. "Two wrongs don't make a right" and "Don't think I'm sticking up for the Germans, but…."

The troops returning home are worried. "We've lost the peace," men tell you. "We can't make it stick."

A tour of the beaten-up cities of Europe six months after victory is a mighty sobering experience for anyone. Europeans. Friend and foe alike, look you accusingly in the face and tell you how bitterly they are disappointed in you as an American. They cite the evolution of the word "liberation." Before the Normandy landings it meant to be freed from the tyranny of the Nazis. Now it stands in the minds of the civilians for one thing, looting.

You try to explain to these Europeans that they expected too much. They answer that they had a right to, that after the last was America was the hope of the world. They talk about the Hoover relief, the work of the Quakers, the speeches of Woodrow Wilson. They don't blame us for the fading of that hope. But they blame us now.

Never has American prestige in Europe been lower. People never tire of telling you of the ignorance and rowdy-ism of American troops, of out misunderstanding of European conditions. They say that the theft and sale of Army supplies by our troops is the basis of their black market. They blame us for the corruption and disorganization of UNRRA. They blame us for the fumbling timidity of our negotiations with the Soviet Union. They tell us that our mechanical de-nazification policy in Germany is producing results opposite to those we planned. "Have you no statesmen in America?" they ask.

The skeptical French press
Yet whenever we show a trace of positive leadership I found Europeans quite willing to follow our lead. The evening before Robert Jackson's opening of the case for the prosecution in the Nurnberg trial, I talked to some correspondents from the French newspapers. They were polite but skeptical. They were willing enough to take part in a highly publicized act of vengeance against the enemy, but when you talked about the usefulness of writing a prohibition of aggressive war into the law of nations they laughed in your face. The night after Jackson's nobly delivered and nobly worded speech I saw then all again. They were very much impressed. Their manner had even changed toward me personally as an American. Their sudden enthusiasm seemed to me typical of the almost neurotic craving for leadership of the European people struggling wearily for existence in the wintry ruins of their world.

The ruin this war has left in Europe can hardly be exaggerated. I can remember the years after the last war. Then, as soon as you got away from the military, all the little strands and pulleys that form the fabric of a society were still knitted together. Farmers took their crops to market. Money was a valid medium of exchange. Now the entire fabric of a million little routines has broken down. No on can think beyond food for today. Money is worthless. Cigarettes are used as a kind of lunatic travesty on a currency. If a man goes out to work he shops around to find the business that serves the best hot meal. The final pay-off is the situation reported from the Ruhr where the miners are fed at the pits so that they will not be able to take the food home to their families.

"Well, the Germans are to blame. Let them pay for it. It's their fault," you say. The trouble is that starving the Germans and throwing them out of their homes is only producing more areas of famine and collapse.

One section of the population of Europe looked to us for salvation and another looked to the Soviet Union. Wherever the people have endured either the American armies or the Russian armies both hopes have been bitterly disappointed. The British have won a slightly better reputation. The state of mind in Vienna is interesting because there the part of the population that was not actively Nazi was about equally divided. The wealthier classes looked to America, the workers to the Soviet Union.

The Russians came first. The Viennese tell you of the savagery of the Russian armies. They came like the ancient Mongol hordes out of the steppes, with the flimsiest supply. The people in the working-class districts had felt that when the Russians came that they at least would be spared. But not at all. In the working-class districts the tropes were allowed to rape and murder and loot at will. When victims complained, the Russians answered, "You are too well off to be workers. You are bourgeoisie."

When Americans looted they took cameras and valuables but when the Russians looted they took everything. And they raped and killed. From the eastern frontiers a tide of refugees is seeping across Europe bringing a nightmare tale of helpless populations trampled underfoot. When the British and American came the Viennese felt that at last they were in the hands of civilized people. But instead of coming in with a bold plan of relief and reconstruction we came in full of evasions and apologies.

U.S. administration a poor third
We know now the tragic results of the ineptitudes of the Peace of Versailles. The European system it set up was Utopia compared to the present tangle of snarling misery. The Russians at least are carrying out a logical plan for extending their system of control at whatever cost. The British show signs of recovering their good sense and their innate human decency. All we have brought to Europe so far is confusion backed up by a drumhead regime of military courts. We have swept away Hitlerism, but a great many Europeans feel that the cure has been worse than the disease. [Emphasis mine]

The taste of victory had gone sour in the mouth of every thoughtful American I met. Thoughtful men can't help remembering that this is a period in history when every political crime and every frivolous mistake in statesmanship has been paid for by the death of innocent people. The Germans built the Stalags; the Nazis are behind barbed wire now, but who will be next? Whenever you sit eating a good meal in the midst of a starving city in a handsome house requisitioned from some German, you find yourself wondering how it would feel to have a conqueror drinking out of your glasses. When you hear the tales of the brutalizing of women from the eastern frontier you think with a shudder of of those you love and cherish at home.

That we are one world is unfortunately a brutal truth. Punishing the German people indiscriminately for the sins of their leader may be justice, but it is not helping to restore the rule of civilization. The terrible lesson of the events of this year of victory is that what is happening to the bulk of Europe today can happen to American tomorrow.

In America we are still rich, we are still free to move from place to place and to talk to our friends without fear of the secret police. The time has come, for our own future security, to give the best we have to the world instead of the worst. So far as Europe is concerned, American leadership up to now has been obsessed with a fear of our own virtues. Winston Churchill expressed this state of mind brilliantly in a speech to his own people which applies even more accurately to the people of the U.S. "You must be prepared," he warned them, "for further efforts of mind and body and further sacrifices to great causes, if you are not to fall back into the rut if inertia, the confusion of aim and the craven fear of being great."


Source
0 Replies
 
Frank Apisa
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 04:06 am
ican711nm wrote:
Frank Apisa wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
We have no other choice but to win in Iraq.
That is self-serving, gratuitous hyperbole.
Laughing Mine isn't hyperbole; but yours is! I gave my reasons for my statment that you quoted. You gave zero reasons for your statement here.

By the way your statement back several pages that conservatives are constantly having to be rescued by non-conservatives is very very funny. Laughing I didn't know Nixon and Reagan and the Bushes were non-conservatives Shocked Laughing

Frank Apisa wrote:
Of course we have other choices...but there are people in this country who are being stone headed about it...and refuse to acknowledge that we have other choices. In fact, this item is so wrong...I suspect it may have been put in here so that you can retract it for some reason.
More hyperbole! Yes, technically we actually do have another choice! We can hide in a martial law closet here in the states and die at the increased rate at least double the national accident death rate. Silly me. I rejected that choice as a non-choice.

What other choices do you read in your cards?

Frank Apisa wrote:
ican711nm wrote:
We must correct our mistakes and get on with it.

Or we should simply acknowledge that the costs (not just monetary) for "correcting our mistakes" is simply too high...and presents the danger of making further, even more serious, mistakes... ...and just do what we most likely will have to do at some point anyway... ...namely...cut and run.
These verbal obfuscations imply advocacy of
Quote:
We can hide in a martial law closet here in the states and die at the increased rate at least double the national accident death rate.


Frank Apisa wrote:
ican711n wrote:
It is not a question whether we can win; it is only a question of how and when we can win.

Baloney! The very real possibility exists that we cannot win this one...that all the choices lead to loss of some kind. That, in fact, was why so many of us argued against going in the way we did in the first place.
"Baloney" doesn't constitute a rebuttal, Frank, it's merely a food or an euphemism for an epithet.

That kind of content free response is why so many of you who argued and argued "we can't win this one" were and are continuing to fail to grasp the full consequences of what you advocated and continue to advocate. It's long past time for you to think about the full consequences of doing what you advocate. Adopting your recommendation limits our choice to
Quote:
We can hide in a martial law closet here in the states and die at the increased rate at least double the national accident death rate.
That choice is not acceptable to me or to those I love. We would rather take our chances in Iraq as long as necessary to discover how to win there and then win there.

Oh, yes, technically there's a third choice. Don't do anything. But, of course, if we want different challenge we can always move to France! :wink:


Well it appears obvious that Ican is still in his "I will not concede that I am wrong no matter what" mode.

Fair enough. When you are wrong as often as he is...I guess you have to be careful not to start that kind of thing or you'd spend most of your time doing it.

This horseshyt he wrote...this pretense of rebuttal is so full of holes it is laughable. If anyone else wants to tear into it...please feel free to do so.

I've got more self-respect than to argue with him any further.
0 Replies
 
Gelisgesti
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 07:06 am
It's like this thread has an infestaion of Cliff Clavins.
0 Replies
 
Gelisgesti
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 07:22 am
Quote:

2. Dozens Killed in Iraq Early Wednesday morning, ...
Dozens Killed in Iraq

Early Wednesday morning, a huge explosion rocked West Baghdad, flattening several houses and killing 28, including 7 policemen. Iraqi police were raiding the building, a suspected safe house for guerrilla forces, when it went up in flames (presumably because munitions stored there caught fire).

Dawn estimates the number of dead in Iraq violence on Tuesday at 42 (This was before the house exploded). Al-Zaman says 26 of them were Iraqi police or national guards. Sunni Arab guerrillas launched apparently coordinated attacks on police stations in the Sunni heartland. In Dijla alone, guerrillas killed 12 police. The Baathists and Salafi Muslim fundamentalists fighting the guerrilla war see police and national guards as collaborators with foreign occupation.

In recent days, several members of the Sadr Movement [Arabic] have been arrested, including one sweep of 15 in Hilla on Sunday. A spokesman for Muqtada al-Sadr warned that the arrests threaten to provoke unrest in Shiite areas on the even of the forthcoming elections.

Syria is denying giving aid to the Iraqi guerrillas. Personally, I don't think it is plausible that Damascus is helping the Salafi Muslim fundamentalists, whom the Allawis (folk Shiites) in charge of the Syrian Baath fear and despise. Some Baath officials or officers might be helping some Iraqi Baath guerrillas. The Syrian Baath is no longer a coherent party, but rather has multiple cliques. But note that the Iraqi Baath and the Syrian Baath seldom got along, and Syria allied against Iraq in the Gulf War.

Georgie Ann Geyer gives evidence that the US military is in denial about how badly the fight against the Sunni Arab guerrillas is going. The US has no Iraqi police in Mosul, a city of a million, and there has been an expansion of the number of guerrilla cells thoughout the Sunni Arab heartland.
Wed, Dec 29, 2004 0:20
3
0 Replies
 
Gelisgesti
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 07:29 am
Quote:
p/Ed - Georgie Ann Geyer
UExpress
MAGINOT MINDS IN WASHINGTON GLOSS OVER THE TRUTH IN IRAQ

Tue Dec 28, 6:01 PM ET

By Georgie Anne Geyer

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- On the eve of World War II, the French depended confidently upon their huge and famous Maginot Line. Its enormous defensive fortresses, created almost as a necklace of cities in themselves, lined the entire border between France and Germany -- this time, the Germans would never pass!

Geyer
Georgie Ann Geyer


But all the Germans had to do was to march around through Belgium to invade France. By May 1940, the vaunted Maginot Line was pitifully useless against such innovative resolve.

Today in Iraq (news - web sites), American officials are having to face their own verbal and rhetorical Maginot Lines. Our "answer" has been that we can get out when Iraqi forces are trained, when elections are held, and when Iraqis themselves win back the country from the "insurgents" or "terrorists" or "guerrillas" (or whatever we finally determine they are).

But in only the last two weeks, American generals and civilian officials are, in fact, admitting that they have their own similar Maginot Line problems. In Mosul, the Iraqi police force has "faded away." American generals speak of a "virtual connectivity" of the insurgents never seen before, as they use the Internet to pass along techniques, tactics and advice to one another. American generals now admit that almost all of them are Iraqis; we have created the Iraqi terrorists who were not there before.

Take only the astoundingly candid analysis, based in part on an interview with Gen. John Abizaid, the senior U.S. military commander in the region, by CNN's excellent Pentagon (news - web sites) correspondent, Barbara Starr, on television last Sunday.

Starr reported: "Senior U.S. military sources in the region tell CNN the city of Mosul has been wracked by violence for weeks. Local Iraqi security forces have virtually melted away, say those officials. One senior U.S. officer tells CNN, we have no Iraqi police force up in Mosul today.

"The problem in getting Iraqis to fight the insurgency may be deeper across Iraq. The military assessment now is that the U.S. miscalculated Iraqi tribal and religious loyalties and did not realize Iraqis are likely to fight only for their brethren ... So in cases like Mosul, they simply will not fight the intimidation of the insurgents, the U.S. now believes."

And remember, until now Mosul was one of our success stories!

Put aside the stunning fact that American officials could not figure out that people anywhere will fight for their families instead of for the foreign invaders; the recent report by the Center for Strategic and International Studies states that the numbers of trained Iraqi army and police are far below what is required. Only one example: As of Dec. 6, the Pentagon reported that 27,000 trained army troops were needed, but that only 3,428 were listed as "trained/on hand."

Or consider these other warning signs:

# American generals now speak in interviews about the "cellular expansion" of the insurgents. They see a constant spread of new, small cells with no clear command and control links that can form quickly, exploit and sacrifice, rather than relying on hard-core or closed, secure cells and forces. The Independent newspaper in London estimates there were at least 190 suicide bombers in the last 12 months (one might pause to think that they had something they believed in to take such a terminal measure).

# Officers and diplomats in the area are now changing their time limits. Some are saying that all of 2005 will be a very troubled year, that it will take five to 10 years, even under reasonably effective Iraqi rule, to bring any stability at all, and some are noting that insurgencies usually take 10 to 30 years to play themselves out. The able Gen. Abizaid himself says we are in the middle of a fight against "Salafist jihadists," or Muslim fundamentalists determined to recreate the supposed seventh-century paradise of the Prophet Muhammad himself. He compares it, revealingly, to the long and arduous fight against the utopian Bolsheviks in the 20th century.

# "This was to be a satellite war," William Lind, the respected military analyst now at the Free Congress Foundation, told me, "a war laid out on a billiard table against an enemy who plays by our rules." Indeed, the military seems finally to have grasped the absurdity of this naive view and is beginning to stress foreign languages and cultural intangibles.

The truth no one really wants to deal with is that this war could very easily be lost by the United States. All the insurgents have to do is hang on another year. All we have to do is what the French and the British did in their colonies: Let themselves be exhausted and finally destroyed by their hubris, their delusions and their arrogant lack of understanding of the local people.

Our Maginot Lines today are our satellites, our huge bombers, our willingness to destroy a city such as Fallujah without even knowing who's there. Our Maginot minds refuse to see that the Germans sneaking around the French through Belgium to destroy them is disturbingly analogous to the insurgents in Iraq moving in cells from city to city and letting us think we are "winning."
0 Replies
 
au1929
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 07:43 am
I do not want to be like Chicken Little and cry the sky is falling, the sky is falling. However, it sure does look as if it is teetering on the brink.
0 Replies
 
Gelisgesti
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 08:25 am
All hope hinges on the 1/30/05 election .... no plan exist for the possibility of a failed process .... with the exception of the gunships and 1/4 ton bombs ... when the streets run red, the people of Iraq will, out of desperation and the will to survive, make the revolution of the 1920's pale in comparison ....
0 Replies
 
McTag
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 09:00 am
Bill, I read a similar article to the one you posted above, about anti-war writings in the 1940s.
(I remember JFKs father, Joseph Kennedy, wrote that Britain was finished and he went back to the States). These things are surprising to read nowadays BUT

I would be more positive about the conduct of the war if I thought the cause was just and the enterprise was moral. As you know, I think the invasion is immoral and illegal. All other things pale beside that. It is no surprise though that it has damaged America's standing in the world, perhaps for ever.
0 Replies
 
McTag
 
  1  
Reply Wed 29 Dec, 2004 09:09 am
revel wrote:
Is this getting as tiresome to anyone else?


You are probably making the beginners' mistake of reading Ican's posts. They are scroll posts. Once you get used to this, it is much easier. :wink:
0 Replies
 
 

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