@MontereyJack,
MontereyJack wrote:We accepted China, Israel, India, Pakistan and North Korea getting the bomb without doing anything.
China, Israel, India, and Pakistan are legally allowed to have nukes.
North Korea got hit by devastating world-wide sanctions when they developed nukes.
MontereyJack wrote:If Israel keeps saber rattling and threatening to bomb anyone they don't like,
Israel only bombs people who insist on attacking them.
MontereyJack wrote:and refuses to settle or even seriously negotiate the issues that have threatened middle east peace for the last sixty years,
It is not Israel who has refused to negotiate. It is the Palestinians who are always refusing to come to the negotiating table.
MontereyJack wrote:although again, according to 16 US intelligence agencies, they are not.
That assessment is based on a pretty narrow definition of "building nukes".
Using that definition, Iran is only building nukes if they start producing nuclear weapon components and assembling them.
At the moment all Iran is doing is developing the capability to build nuclear weapon components.
MontereyJack wrote:It's called Mutual Assured Destruction. It kept the US and Russia from killing each other for sixty years because neither of us was quite stupid enough to test it.
Iran getting a nuclear deterrent would be bad news both regionally and world-wide.
Regionally, Iran would become even more aggressive towards western interests, secure in the knowledge that their nuclear deterrent would prevent anyone from acting against them.
The world-wide repercussions, if Iran is allowed to develop nuclear weapons without consequences, would be the end of the Non Proliferation Treaty and the spread of nuclear arsenals to nations around the world (and eventually a nuclear war somewhere probably).
If Iran is able to develop illegal nuclear weapons with no consequences, anyone else who wants nukes will simply follow in their footsteps.
The end of the NPT would also mean the US will have to resume nuclear testing and start designing more modern warheads, and also build our arsenal back up to Cold War levels (both necessary to deal with a world where "everyone" has nukes).
We'd likely also start sharing our nuclear weapons technology with Israel and our other allies, so they could better cope with the rampant spread of nukes around the world.
MontereyJack wrote:If Israel is stupid enough to test it, and from years of evidence Netanyahu just might be, I think this time around they are in fact likely to bring a firestorm down on their own heads.
Israel does not propose testing MAD. They propose bombing Iran with conventional weapons before Iran develops nukes.